antonius123
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The question is, how do you know which way the US is coming from?
You need to intercept and shoot down the US fighter, before that, you will need to know where they are coming from? China have a very big coast, which mean you need to spread thin the asset to cover all the coast, when your defense spread thin, you cannot concentrate your work, meaning you cannot concentrate your attack on the incoming US force.
Simple! You want to attack Beijing, you will have to fly fighters and bombers from Korea, or Okinawa.
Once US start to accumulate her machine wars in Osan/Okinawa, soon China is putting her eye on those bases.
Guam, Japan, South Korean if you want close range
Singapore, Diego Garcia which is out of Chinese DF-whatever range
Australia and Hawaii if you want to be totally out of Chinese reach
You want to fly drones and F22 to Beijing from Singapore/Australia/Hawaii?
You do know average airfield repair take 6 hours to repair a runway to serviceable status. Combat engineer will fix a runway within 6 hours.
In a war between how long you can keep launching missile to keep those base out of commission and how quickly the ground engineer can fix the runway, the ground engineer will always win.
Let alone can DF-26 really be able to take out these airfield? Do bear in mind SLBM or IRBM does not just exist now, we have been fighting with our airfield in range of both IRBM and SLBM before, what make you think Chinese DF-26 or DF-21 is any better than Scud or Saber?
If the engineers and tools to repair are still alive. 6 hours is enough for China to send numerous DF-26 to single airbase nearby. Not to mention sending J-16 to clean up the airfield.
first of all, you can never blinded US satellite completely, there are more than 3000 US satellite orbiting the world at any moment, to blind the US completely, you will need to take down at least 90% of those and in theory, if there are 5 satellite remaining in different LOS position on earth orbit, the GPS system can still be continue. Only a few of them the Chinese can reach, the other are in high orbit which is outside the ASBM range.
3000 GPS satellites? Are you sure? Please check!!
China doesn't need to kill all GPS satellites circling the earth.
Yes, you may not be able to watch world series live during a Chinese-US war, but the military will still have their satellite.
Also, age of flight begin before GPS, how do people go where they want to go, bomb drop where they want to drop before 1990? Or did we not fight war with Air Force before GPS and not use bomb before GPS? Even without GPS, we have a lot of option. IRS, INS, Beam Riding, LATRIN POD and so on.
That's why the war took years and tolls.
Why do US need to station their Carrier 1500km from Chinese Coast?
When their aircraft non-refuel operational range is 3000-4000 km away?
The same question : why US need carriers?
Why did US not use Germany base to attack Iraq instead of Kuwait/Saudi/Italy base or carriers in gulf?
And from where the US will fly the refueling tankers to attack China?
Also, how do you suppose the Chinese sub and Surface ship not being destroyed by US Navy to begin with?
IF sea war happen, that means there won't surprise attack to Beijing anymore.
Once sea war happen, China will be ready to launch DF-26 aimed to carriers and US air bases, and prepare hundred of fighter to fly to attack US carriers.
That is because you are still looking at the whole defense as a single thing.
You do not count the time for Chinese force to redeploy elsewhere to another area once the previous area have fallen. Your unit cannot teleport, your tank cannot appear in Beijing from heibe out of thin air. You need time to transport the tank from one location to another, and when you start transferring these asset, that is where they are more vulnerable.
In case of a defensive line is broken, it will take time for China to regroup and redeploy to a second or third defense line, but for the attacking US troop, they don't need to regroup as they are already in the same spot at the same area. Does that make sense to you?
LOLs. You are dreaming to send tanks and troops before wiping out whole Chinese defence system? That is suicidal. Don't you learn from Iraq war?
China don't need to redeploy army/airforce to Beijing if Beijing has fallen, what she need to do is to ensure that US fighter and bombers after their first sortie cannot go back to their bases! Your empty F-22 and B22 may not be able to return to Guam/Okinawa due to simultaneous attack by DF-26 to those base + those defenseless us planes will be easily chased and shot down by J-10/J-11B from other Chinese air bases.
You keep saying China can and will destroy this US carrier or that US base, but what you discounting is what if you don't? Or I can also say the US can destroy any defensive measure without giving a reason.
A war does not fight because you think or you say you are going to have to destroy this and that or what weapon you can use this or that and the enemy will be gone. In war, it is never going to be like that. Of course when we are talking about it, yes DF-21 IF THEY CAN OPERATE LIKE THEY CLAIM, it would be undefeatable, but can they work in what they original intent is one thing, how the US is going to tackle it is another.
You also failed to understand the whole battlefield management concept. You expect one part of Chinese defense will be able to engage another part of US invasion force. What if that part of the defense are also being engage to being with? Or is facing a possible invasion so they are going to have to blog down and cannot move?
I've told you US will be outnumbered, that is more than enough.
If hundreds of DF-21D, DF-26, supersonic missiles, submarines, aegis still failed to sink US carriers (which is small possibility); there will be hundreds of J-10, J-11B, J-20 that the us carriers need to face, and all f-18 will be outnumbered easily.
The time for China to mobilize and accumulate their fighter and defence system should be less than that US need to mobilize her fighter and carriers to attack China.
You should go back and study how US win in Desert Strom and how they uses statics and mobile offensive edge to defeat the numerical superior Iraqi force. Also, don't buy into superweapon. Again, if they are really that good, do you think the American or Russian is stupid? If they are really that good, would Russian and American be already devoted enough resource into it? again, just because you make good missile which is better than US on paper does not mean they are wonder weapon, that just mean you have that, and the enemy don't think they need that. Or do you really think missile technology is really some rocket science that US have problem developing?
LOL. If you understand US tactic in desert storm, you won't be thinking of sending tanks and troops before all enemy's defense system is down!
You can discount China DF-21D, DF-26, anti satellites, etc, still US will have small chance to win war within Chinese territory not only because China massive territory but also her defense system that out number US by far. You are fool if you think China is comparable with Iraq.
What is the different though?
Would an Iraqi or Afghani bullet hit you and you won't die? Would an Iraqi missile or Afghani RPG hit you and you will survive? but You will only die because of a Chinese bullet and your tank and APC only destroy if they got hit by a Chinese missile?
We are talking about how war is fought, equipment yes, they have their fail rate or their advantage or technological advancement too, but the use of equipment is always evolve around how you fight, not the other way around.
Have you been in war and fought the Iraqi and Afghani? And know they are absolutely shit? Are they really poor farmer in AKs? Do bear in mind, even an Ak, if they were given to different people, they will have different use, so can you really discount Iraqi and Afghani is not as the same league to the Chinese?
How about the US, Iran and Russia? Afghanistan have been in war with both US and Russian, are they rubbish too? So if the afghan and iraqi can withstand these operation, what do you think they are different then the Chinese? Or do you really think Chinese can do better?
buddy, you are talking about something you can't possibly know, and that, is a mistake.
Does Iraq has HQ-9/S-300/S-400, anti satellites, aegis, strong submarine, intercontinental missiles, satellites - advanced radar - AWACS and command system? How many fighters did Iraq have? Were they comparable to US both quantity and quality?
I am discounting DF-21D, supersonic missiles, anti stealth radar, etc.