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Turkey’s annual inflation soars to almost 79%, hitting highest level in 24 years

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INFLATION

Turkey’s annual inflation soars to almost 79%, hitting highest level in 24 years​

PUBLISHED MON, JUL 4 20224:03 AM EDTUPDATED 44 MIN AGO
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Natasha Turak@NATASHATURAK
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KEY POINTS
  • The annual inflation rate was 78.62% for June, according to the Turkish Statistical Institute, surpassing forecasts.
  • Soaring consumer prices have hit the population of 84 million hard, with little hope for improvement in the near term as a result of the Russia-Ukraine war, high energy and food prices, and a sharply depreciated lira.
On 27 Oct. 2018, shoppers walk through aisles of fruits and vegetables in the Women's Bazaar, or Cumralilar Gida Kadinlar pazari, in Konya, an Anatolian city in Turkey. (Photo by Diego Cupolo/NurPhoto via Getty Images)

Shoppers stroll the aisles of a bazaar in Konya, Turkey. The country is experiencing brutal inflation, with food and non-alcoholic beverage prices rising 70.3% year over year for March.
Diego Cupolo | Nurphoto | Getty Images
Inflation in Turkey rose close to 79% last month, the highest the country has seen in a quarter of a century.
The annual inflation rate was 78.62% for June, according to the Turkish Statistical Institute, surpassing forecasts. That’s the country’s highest annual inflation reading in 24 years. The monthly increase was 4.95%.

Soaring consumer prices have hit the population of 84 million hard, with little hope for improvement in the near term as a result of the Russia-Ukraine war, high energy and food prices, and a sharply depreciated lira, the national currency.

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Transportation prices jumped 123.37% from the previous year, and food and non-alcoholic beverage prices climbed 93.93%, according to government data.
Turkey has enjoyed rapid growth in previous years, but President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has for the last few years refused to meaningfully raise rates to cool the resulting inflation, describing interest rates as the “mother of all evil.” The result has been a plummeting Turkish lira and far less spending power for the average Turk.
Erdogan instructed the country’s central bank — which analysts say has no independence from him — to repeatedly slash borrowing rates in 2020 and 2021, even as inflation continued to rise. Central bank chiefs who expressed opposition to this course of action were fired; by the spring of 2021, Turkey’s central bank had seen four different governors in two years.
The country’s interest rate was gradually reduced to 14% last fall and has remained unchanged since. The lira fell 44% against the dollar last year, and is down 21% against the greenback since the start of this year.
Turkey’s government has introduced unorthodox policies to try to shore up the lira without raising interest rates. In late June, Turkey’s banking regulator announced a ban on lira loans to companies holding what it deemed to be too much foreign currency, which boosted the currency briefly but caused more uncertainty among investors who questioned the sustainability of the measure.
 
That's what happens when you let someone with no economic knowledge run the country and interfere with the central bank.

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That's what happens when you let someone with no economic knowledge run the country and interfere with the central bank.

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well i wonder why turkey need so high interst rate for low inflation 5 percent intrest rate in the west is very high
 
well i wonder why turkey need so high interst rate for low inflation 5 percent intrest rate in the west is very high
Turkey is one of the most famous countries to constantly hyperinflate their currency, so no one trusts them at all.

Add to that Erdogan going full retard while having sole control over monetary policy in Turkey and you have the result you see.

Doesn't help that Turkey is an import economy focused on printing money with loans for urban residential ponzi schemes.


Since 1946 Turkish lira was pegged to the U.S. dollar at the rate of 2.8 liras to 1 USD. But in 1970 the currency started falling. The chronic high inflation during 1970-2005 resulted in severe depreciation of the national currency. In 1990, 1 USD was equal to 2,500 liras. And by 2005, one USD was worth 1,350,000 liras.

The highest annual inflation rate in Turkey reached about 38%, making lira the least valuable currency in 1995-96 and 1999-2004.

This eventually led to the 2005 redenomination when the old currency unit was changed to the new lira at the rate of 1,000,000 to 1. In 2009, it was decided to refuse from the "new" label.

In 2017, Turkey experienced an inflation rise again. The currency devaluation, increasing borrowing costs, large amounts of private foreign-currency-denominated debt, and Erdoğan's decision to prevent the Central Bank from making the interest rate adjustments caused the currency and debt crisis. Some also say that one of the reasons for this was the geopolitical conflicts with the United States and the enforced tariffs on some Turkish products such as steel and aluminum.
 
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How are Turkish people able to afford bills, food etc.
 
That's what happens when you let someone with no economic knowledge run the country and interfere with the central bank.

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In fact, Turkish interest rates must fall, or their future will be more miserable. If years of inflation can completely reduce Turkey's interest rates, it is worth it.
We need to know that the interest rate of Turkey in 2021 is 19%!
 
In fact, Turkish interest rates must fall, or their future will be more miserable. If years of inflation can completely reduce Turkey's interest rates, it is worth it.
We need to know that the interest rate of Turkey in 2021 is 19%!
The only way to lower their interest rates without running into devaluation risk is for Turkey to stop existing and a new entity to take it's place.

Turkey is a totally tarnished "brand" among international capital and therefore needs to either have good governance for an extended period of time (highly unlikely), or it needs to rebrand itself to be something else and change it's entire history and culture.
 
The only way to lower their interest rates without running into devaluation risk is for Turkey to stop existing and a new entity to take it's place.

Turkey is a totally tarnished "brand" among international capital and therefore needs to either have good governance for an extended period of time (highly unlikely), or it needs to rebrand itself to be something else and change it's entire history and culture.
Incorrect!
Erdogan's method is actually familiar to us Chinese, because we also used it from 1984 to 1994.
Since 1984, the Chinese govt has also significantly reduced interest rates. The exchange rate of CNY against the US dollar fell from 2.3 to 8.6. We also faced crazy inflation. At that time, the minimum foreign exchange in China's Treasury was only $1.2 billion.
But the Chinese got up again. If Turks are strong enough, they also can do that.
 
Incorrect!
Erdogan's method is actually familiar to us Chinese, because we also used it from 1984 to 1994.
Since 1984, the Chinese govt has also significantly reduced interest rates. The exchange rate of CNY against the US dollar fell from 2.3 to 8.6. We also faced crazy inflation. At that time, the minimum foreign exchange in China's Treasury was only $1.2 billion.
But the Chinese got up again. If Turks are strong enough, they also can do that.
You missed the part about a long period of good governance.

Turkey is not going to have that at any point in the foreseeable future.

Currency value isn't simply about math, it is also about confidence.
 
You missed the part about a long period of good governance.

Turkey is not going to have that at any point in the foreseeable future.

Currency value isn't simply about math, it is also about confidence.
You also miss that Turkey's external conditions are better than China's, and Turkey can easily obtain external support. China faced Global trade sanctions after 1989.
The Chinese can survive, so can the Turks!
Turks should not lose confidence. Erdogan's economic policy has a successful precedent.
 
You also miss that Turkey's external conditions are better than China's, and Turkey can easily obtain external support. China faced Global trade sanctions after 1989.
The Chinese can survive, so can the Turks!
Turks should not lose confidence. Erdogan's economic policy has a successful precedent.
Erdogan was literally in power the last time he tried the same thing.

He doesn't learn from his mistakes.

The United States cannot get away with printing dollars and circulating it into the economy, but you think Turkey can get away with it.

Delusional.
 
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The only way to lower their interest rates without running into devaluation risk is for Turkey to stop existing and a new entity to take it's place.

Turkey is a totally tarnished "brand" among international capital and therefore needs to either have good governance for an extended period of time (highly unlikely), or it needs to rebrand itself to be something else and change it's entire history and culture.
why cant be people just shut up when they don't know about türkiye but your case different I feel like your are butthurth from pkk/ypg/fetö operation and our
foreign policy and the last sentence ''change it's entire history and culture.'' what you gonna do try harder dude your world slip away your hands
 
why cant be people just shut up when they don't know about türkiye but your case different I feel like your are butthurth from pkk/ypg/fetö operation and our
foreign policy and the last sentence ''change it's entire history and culture.'' what you gonna do try harder dude your world slip away your hands
Convert your lira to something else while the Fed is still hiking.

Thank me later.


Whenever the Fed is hiking, the turkish lira goes into hyperinflation from it's usual high inflation.
 

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