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Trump seeks to split EU as fight intensifies over Iran nuclear deal

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Trump seeks to split EU as fight intensifies over Iran nuclear deal

18 Jan 2019 | https://www.politico.eu/article/don...-deal-seeks-to-split-eu-as-fight-intensifies/

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It's Warsaw and Washington against the big EU powers, as U.S. President Donald Trump's administration pushes to kill the Iran nuclear deal — and to exploit European divisions on foreign policy in the process.

Of all the damage Trump has done to transatlantic relations, no issue has divided the U.S. from its European allies as starkly as the dispute over the Iran accord, known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA).

The fight is about to heat up.

EU officials this month plan to approve and register in France a "special purpose vehicle" aimed at helping European companies to continue doing business with Iran and circumvent the sanctions Trump unilaterally reimposed on Tehran last year.

Final preparations for the special purpose vehicle will be discussed by EU foreign affairs ministers in Brussels on Monday, where they are also working to develop broader conclusions on Iran to be adopted at an EU leaders' summit in March.

In Poland, some analysts said the government was largely caught off-guard by the Trump administration's plans.

The refusal of the EU, and the three European guarantors of the JCPOA — France, Germany and the U.K. — to fall in line behind Trump's pullout from the deal has enraged the president and his administration.

Escalating the dispute, U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, who has railed recently against the EU and other multilateral organizations, will hold a conference in Poland next month on Middle East peace that will put a spotlight on tensions between Warsaw and Brussels, including on foreign policy.

The European Commission has initiated so-called Article 7 disciplinary proceedings against Poland over alleged rule-of-law violations.

The EU's high representative for foreign affairs, Federica Mogherini, has already said that she will not attend the conference in Warsaw, citing a scheduling conflict. And EU officials said they have not yet decided if lower-level officials would be sent in her place.

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Asked about the conference, a spokeswoman for the European External Action Service, the bloc's foreign policy arm, was noticeably unenthused. "As far as we understand this is a conference on the Middle East, the exact title says it's the ministerial to promote a future of peace and security in the Middle East," said the spokeswoman. "So I don't have a particular further comment on it."

While Warsaw seems an unlikely location for such a gathering, the conference scheduled for February 13-14 will give Pompeo a platform to press the Trump administration's Middle East policies ahead of the annual Munich Security Conference in Germany. Pompeo toured the Middle East in recent days, including a stop in Cairo, where he gave a speech bashing Iran and former U.S. President Barack Obama as two of the main causes of instability in the region.

Poland is expected to describe plans for the conference during Monday's meeting of foreign affairs ministers. EU diplomats declined to comment publicly on the event, referring questions instead to their Polish counterparts. But privately diplomats and officials expressed annoyance at what they described as a transparent effort by Warsaw to cozy up to Trump — at the evident expense of EU unity.

Iran has also reacted furiously to the conference, with its foreign minister, Mohammad Javad Zarif, deriding the event as a "desperate anti-Iran circus."


In Poland, some analysts said the government was largely caught off-guard by the Trump administration's plans and is unwisely being drawn into a feud with little upside for Warsaw.

“We are in the position of being America’s foreign policy subcontractor,” said Marcin Zaborowski, of the Warsaw-based Visegrad Insight foreign policy think tank. He said that Pompeo’s announcement, which was first made during a Fox News television interview, had prompted a scramble by Polish officials to catch up with the American initiative.

“It was done and communicated in a terrible fashion," Zaborowski said.

Polish diplomats were also called to account in Tehran, endangering ties that have warmed in recent years.

“Iran is a potential source of diversifying our energy away from Russia,” Zaborowski said. “That’s all been damaged now.”

Some U.S. diplomats have mocked the EU's efforts to preserve the Iran deal, saying it is only a matter of time before the agreement collapses.

After its top diplomat in Tehran was summoned to a meeting at the foreign ministry, the Polish government issued a statement defending its decision to host the conference. "In our view, the international community has the right to discuss various regional and global issues, and Poland [has the right] to co-organize a conference, whose goal is to develop a platform for actions promoting stability and prosperity in the Middle East region."

The Polish government has offered Trump perhaps the most support of any EU country. And Polish officials have even pitched to Trump the idea of establishing a permanent U.S. military base in the country that they said might be named Fort Trump.

Trump has said he is "strongly considering" the idea.

The EU's ability to push back on the U.S. sanctions is limited given that many companies are already complying for fear of losing access to the bigger and more lucrative U.S. market.

But the special purpose vehicle will preserve at least some economic activity, officials said, and it is viewed as an extremely important symbolic step for the Iranian government — allowing it to answer domestic critics who say that Iran should retaliate by abandoning the deal.

Some U.S. diplomats have mocked the EU's efforts to preserve the Iran deal, saying it is only a matter of time before the agreement collapses. But European officials insist that the deal is serving its intended purpose of curbing Iran's nuclear weapons program and cite more than a dozen inspections by the International Atomic Energy Agency that have found Iran in compliance.
 
US bullies EU until EU submits.

The pattern repeats every so often, nothing new.

EU hosts known Arab terrorists and MEK terrorists, they are not a reliable ally for anyone. They will continue their decline as a US vassal entity.
 
Where are the Vatan Foorooshes that thought China and Russia would save Iran?

Big wake up call, Iran doesn’t matter enough to any world power.

Iran is hoping that the US election in 2020 will yield a candidate that will return to the nuclear deal.

If Trump gets re-elected Iran will have to either negotiate or prepare for another half decade of hardship.
 
The jewish psp-op of jewish sponsored fake news trying to get all the public to believe trump was going to be impeached, then to have some jewish agent muller or whoever come out and tell everyone it was simply a jewish psy-op on the goyim to try to empower the dead zombie monster trump deal with a powerful EU resisting trump and China resisting trump.

All news in the west is psy-op fake news to get the good to support the jewish/zionist goals.
 
Where are the Vatan Foorooshes that thought China and Russia would save Iran?

Big wake up call, Iran doesn’t matter enough to any world power.

Iran is hoping that the US election in 2020 will yield a candidate that will return to the nuclear deal.

If Trump gets re-elected Iran will have to either negotiate or prepare for another half decade of hardship.

Hmmm....i think you got that wrong

Iran has survived under sanctions before so it is nothing new for them. Once Iran develops and test ICBM + Nuclear warhead US will come begging for some deal. Just look at what is happening with north korea.

If anything US has shot itself in the foot by exiting the JCPOA. In any future deals it will have to bargain from a much weaker position.
 
Hmmm....i think you got that wrong

Iran has survived under sanctions before so it is nothing new for them. Once Iran develops and test ICBM + Nuclear warhead US will come begging for some deal. Just look at what is happening with north korea.

If anything US has shot itself in the foot by exiting the JCPOA. In any future deals it will have to bargain from a much weaker position.
Iran is not currently seeking ICBMs or nuclear weapons.

I agree that would increase Iran's leverage to negotiate, but sadly it is not happening.
 
Iran is not currently seeking ICBMs or nuclear weapons.

I agree that would increase Iran's leverage to negotiate, but sadly it is not happening.

I could be wrong but i feel at some point iran will be driven to ICBM/nukes. From Iran's point of view it does not make sense to suffer under sanctions AND halt ICBM/nuke development.
 
Hmmm....i think you got that wrong

Iran has survived under sanctions before so it is nothing new for them. Once Iran develops and test ICBM + Nuclear warhead US will come begging for some deal. Just look at what is happening with north korea.

If anything US has shot itself in the foot by exiting the JCPOA. In any future deals it will have to bargain from a much weaker position.

What is happening in North Korea? Oh that’s right absolutely nothing. NK is still sanctioned up the ***, it’s people are in dire poverty, and it’s completely dependent on China to survive.

North Korea and US administration are just playing a long game that’s all. The only thing NK has bought itself is not getting more sanctions for the time being.

The sanctions are not costing the US anything. Being the world economic power, few countries with ties to US are going to risk operating in a corrupt mafia based economy like Iran and jeopardize their access to US market or get hit with sanctions penalties.

Iran is very much the one with little leverage in this situation other than empty threats of closing the strait.

However, while the sanctions grip the Iranian economy, the positive is forces the government to clean up “some” corruption and inefficiencies in order to keep the domestic population from getting restive. Though it’s a long road ahead to true economic reform.

Also achieving ICBM/nuclear weapon status is of zero use if you are going to leverage it away for no sanctions (that can come back at anytime).

As you saw in the case of Russian missile treaty, even a treaty is no longer sacred grounds for the US. Any deal Iran strikes will always have a risk of US leaving.

So the ICBM/nuke plan is either for a time when the world is weak and iran is strong enough to wether the storm of going nuclear. Or it’s for a rainy day when the noose is tightening around the government and they need to go nuclear in order to save themselves from imminent war or economic/political collapse.
 

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