It does not take a military strategist to know that there is a race against Iran to occupy Sothern Syria with the help of the Kurds in an effort to cut off the land corridor that is so vital to Iran, the same corridor that gives us a supply line all the way to Lebanon. So here are a few questions to ponder:
1. Will this inevitably lead to an open conflict with Iran vs. the U.S. and its coalition? Is there a way to prevent this occupation by the U.S. and the Kurds from happening without risking a live firefight?
2. Is this a ruse to provoke Iran to so they can attack Iran to please S.A and Israel by Trump and associates under the guise of Iran and it's proxies were threatening U.S. forces?
3. What are out choices here? Should we go balls out and get Russia to give air support and bet the Americans won't have the stomach for a live firefight?
Recently a former US ambassador to Syria (?) told RT that the axis will manage to eventually kick US and its influence out of Syria just like they did in Lebanon and Iraq. This is a sound statement backed up by reason: There is simply too much ideological support along with extremely motivated fighters on the ground that can fight for extended period of time.
Any confrontation with Iran would require US to rally its EU partners. With current administration, the EU does not want to have anything to do with US. The public opinion of Al-Saud and Trump is all time low: ex. French Election, Britain's Corbyn's recent gain, etc.. In addition, Iran's recent successes with French's Total, Airbus and etc shows there is too much political will to improve relationship with Iran. This can be also said to some extend about EU-Russia relationship.
In addition, in case of irrational mishap, Iran would almost entirely annihilate the entire US bases, naval assets and cause complete blockade of hydro-carbon energy supplies not only through Persian Gulf/Omen but also in the Red Sea. This is an unbearable risk that American's cannot handle especially under a clown's leadership such as Trump's.
So no, all this fuss on the media are just fuss propelled by Saudi funding and lobbying. Iran should carry out calculated operations such as the recent missile strikes and further drone activity to continuously INCREASE RISK. In any rational decision making, cost - benefit analysis is done and Iran should maintain a posture to project an extreme high risk for any actions against itself or its interest.
Something that I forgot to add: Iran's effectiveness in diplomacy. Practically, no war is ever won with just weapons. Sustainable solutions are always reached through diplomacy. Military gains are used as leverage among many other assets in diplomacy. Currently, despite some of its shortcomings, our diplomatic efforts backed by our military efforts have created a relatively stable scenario in the region. Before we had EU, US, Russia, China, Saudi Wahhabia, Qatar and the illegitimate state of Israel against us, now:
-EU is working with us
-Turkey and Qatar are moving away from Saudi anti Iran coalition
-Russia and Iran have stronger relationships than ever before
-China is willing to expand collaboration in SCC, Eurasia...
-Israel and Saudi Wahhabia are recognized as the international violators of human rights and war criminals.
