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The potential of Gwadar Port

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THE Port of Singapore Authority (PSA), the operator of Balochistan’s Gwadar Port, is likely to quit the project after Islamabad failed to meet obligations under the 40-year port-handling agreement signed in February 2007.

The PSA’s exit will brighten the prospects for China, which has already shown keen interest in taking operational control of the port.

What has so far prevented Gwadar, located 70km east of the Pakistan-Iran border, from becoming fully functional as hub port in the region? Both the government and the Singaporean firm are in default of commitments under the 2007 concession agreement. The government had committed to ensure the connectivity of the port through the construction of highways linking it not only to the rest of the country but onwards to Afghanistan, China, Iran and the Central Asian Republics. The government also failed to provide 2,250 acres of land to the PSA for the development of an industrial zone as per its commitment.

The PSA, meanwhile, had undertaken to spend $525m in five years but during the first three it invested nothing. It is unwilling to make any investment without getting free-of-cost land that would cost the government at least Rs15bn.

The government’s failure to give land to the Singaporean operator for the construction of a warehousing facility has turned the port into a white elephant, with both the government and the PSA losing millions. In the absence of a warehousing facility, no trans-shipment of containers can take place as there is no backspace for storage. The port lacks road and rail connectivity and its usage has so far been restricted to bulk cargo such as wheat and urea. The cost of doing business at Gwadar is more than double as compared to elsewhere: cargo-handlers charge double for their services because of the distance.

Last year, the Supreme Court issued a stay order against the Gwadar Port contract barring the PSA from transferring immovable property of the Gwadar Port Authority to any private party and allowed the government of Balochistan to be a party to the case. If the port operation deal with PSA is cancelled by the court, China would likely replace Singapore.

Beijing has been pushing Islamabad to give it control of Gwadar’s seaport. In December 2010, China offered the Balochistan government that it would construct 20 more berths and make the port fully operational if it took charge. In that case, China would simultaneously become the builder and operator of the port, which could become a key strategic node for Beijing to step up its presence in the region.

China has learnt at least one lesson from the US-Iran tension over the Strait of Hormuz and the Syria crisis: without significant naval presence in the Indian Ocean or the Arabian Sea, it will not be able to exercise influence in the oil-rich Middle East.

Gwadar Port could be used for the Afghan Transit Trade and also potentially for direct military supplies to Afghanistan, where China is increasing its stakes. After the drawdown of US forces in 2014, a Chinese naval base in Gwadar would help Beijing to source direct military supplies to Afghanistan. The port could turn from a commercial venture into a strategic asset for China.

China is ambitious about having a significant naval presence in the Indian Ocean. Could it be dreaming of ultimately having a nuclear submarine or aircraft carrier homeport in Gwadar, which would enable it to monitor naval patrols by the US and to expand its regional influence? That would, at the very least, require massive funds; it may not be out of place to mention that China’s defence budget is up to $106bn this year.

Gwadar Port is, however, not viable for trans-shipment and transit until Afghanistan is connected by road and rail. The prevailing uncertainty on the political and security fronts in Afghanistan and Balochistan is a significant setback.

What has so far impeded China from carrying out its ambitious plans is the worsening security in Balochistan. Baloch nationalist parties contend that the proposed uplift programmes in Gwadar reflect Islamabad’s plan to settle outsiders there which, they believe, would change the demography of the province.

Security is the key issue affecting the implementation of mega-projects in the province. In May 2004, three Chinese engineers were killed and nine others wounded in a terrorist attack in Gwadar. In 2009, China shelved its $12bn oil-refinery and oil-city project in Gwadar due to security concerns. China is presently in ‘wait and see’ mode, closely watching developments.

All Gwadar needs to emerge as a regional trans-shipment hub is sincere effort on the government’s part. It was the government’s inaction, meanwhile, that left the military more or less in charge of handling the Balochistan situation, which has further complicated the issues in the province.

Balochistan faces multi-faceted violence, including a separatist insurgency and violence along ethnic and sectarian lines. The SC recently observed its disappointment over the federal and provincial governments’ failure to control the worsening law and order situation.

Yet Balochistan has massive natural endowments which, if used rationally, could give the country an economic fillip. Gwadar Port could facilitate trade among at least two dozen countries, including those in the Persian Gulf, the Central Asian States, Iran, East Africa and so on. The port has the potential of becoming a very trade-friendly facility, with its 4.7km-long and 206m-wide approach channel, 595m-diameter turning basin, three 600m-long multipurpose berths and other cargo-handling equipment.

What is needed is the creation of a secure environment that will serve long-term objectives associated with Balochistan’s economic development. Critical to this is giving the local people a stake and the fair distribution of development gains. In a state of real security, one feels economically, socially, politically and culturally secure: security in all aspects.

The writer is the author of Economic Development of Balochistan.

sfazlehaider05@yahoo.com

The potential of Gwadar Port | DAWN.COM
 
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Gawadar port is a national asset, only Gen. Musharraf was handling Balochistan properly & he was developing the province plus he was doing a lot for Gawadar port.

I hope & pray that Gen. Musharraf comes back & run Pakistan once again because only he can take Pakistan to the right directions as far as other politicians goes they are only barking, cutting each other throats & playing with Pakistan. I miss his time of rule & everything was great in his time.

Gen. Musharraf was very close to China which is important for Pakistan.
 
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Pakistan ought to re-imagine the "Gwadar Project"

A good place to start is to study major port developments in the last few decades (perhaps even longer).

A - How did the English develop Hong Kong at a remote swampy land. But more significantly how the Chinese kept the international/free trade zone that is secure & free of politics flavor of the colony.

B - UK treats Jersey Isle as separate free area.

c - UAE \ Qatar have toned down politics and made their ports tax-free/politics-free/religion-free/low-crime.

If Pakistan was to "lease" Gwadar" region from Baluchistan and then proceed to offer a percentage on returns to Bauchistan, that would take out local politics. Then Pakistan ought to "open" Gwadar to everyone who is interested in setting up shop and will bring cash $$$ investments to build the place; offer them a freezone where Pakistani laws per se, bureaucracy, taxes, courts etc do not apply. A more robust model based on how Islamabad was developed as separate from rest of Pakistan. Or How your motorway system operates with its own police & rules. Finally offer cheap power/electricity;labor and connectivity/infrastructure. A port that does not have Air, land, rail, communications is not a port- it is a marooned isle. At the least this port must connect to Tajik road network via Wakhan and China via Sost, Gojal.
 
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^^ UAE and Qatar can enjoy granting "tax-free" status to ports because they have petro-dollars while we don't. There has to be another success story we can learn from.
 
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^^ UAE and Qatar can enjoy granting "tax-free" status to ports because they have petro-dollars while we don't. There has to be another success story we can learn from.

Actually I do clearly remember reading that Gawadar was supposed to be a tax free zone. What is planned now is only my guess.
 
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Tax-free is just a small facet of my proposition. Unfortunately, in prevailing world economic & geopolitical scenario, Pakistan is regarded as High Risk for Business and investments- just stating a fact not inviting patriotic rants. So obviously, a no-brainer but low-yield option is to just give it to ONE big player. You have tried Singapore. Now it could be Chinese. But may I remind you that it will have to be negotiated very carefully covering all contingencies such as war with India, sanctions on Iran, sanctions on Pakistan for something not yet occured and International Economic outlook for the next decade etc, etc.

In the referenced article above, it mainly deals with what China will achieve via Gawadar BUT is silent to what Pakistan ought to benchmark as her strategic targets to be met through such a transaction.
The fact that China will develop the infrastructure for the Mega-port is baked into the deal. It will only help Pakistan decades later. Pakistan could, perhaps, ask for a down payment in 50-75 Billion range to pay back her burgeoning foreign liabilities. That will open up strategic space for Pakistan.[Remember Kargil? Clinton Administration refused to allow IMF relief unless Nawaz Shrief & Musharaf combo pulled back from key peaks]. Another stipulation could be involvement in oil pipelines from Iran, Turkmenistan. Or Perhaps a nuclear submarine, though I consider that a bad bargain.

Unless Pakistan can leverage such game-changer bargains, it is better to make this port into a proscribed region where harsh laws are not applied and international commerce is free to thrive. Allowing a place for Free trading among big international players
will set the right tone for the future of Gawadar and it just may become the miracle engine that drives Pakistan into the future.

As for tax-free debate; one cannot tax when there is nothing. You have to build it up to tax it. If taxes are too high, business is like water it will flow to lower tax havens. In any case, it is very easy & cheap to not tax things at inception. That is because there is very little tax monies to be recouped at the beginning. That is excately what was advised to Pakistan regarding Islamabad. Those of you who live in Islamabad, may know that in the first 25-30 years there were no property taxes levied. Now that it is a thriving megapolis, the local government enjoys a juicy property tax collection-I imagine as I have not really checked lately.

Remember, harsh laws, unpredictable politicians & judges, and beardos (bearded Islamists) scare away Direct FDIs - the liquid fuel of economic boom. Keep them away from a free port- you have a business friendly environment. Then all global trading houses would want to open offices & warehouses in your port -not just the chinese. When that happens, you will not have to worry about tax revenues, because you will be making more money just in currency transactions, swaps, securities, insurance, & other services.
Cheers.
 
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Tax-free is just a small facet of my proposition. Unfortunately, in prevailing world economic & geopolitical scenario, Pakistan is regarded as High Risk for Business and investments- just stating a fact not inviting patriotic rants. So obviously, a no-brainer but low-yield option is to just give it to ONE big player. You have tried Singapore. Now it could be Chinese. But may

you low life troll first read it properly before starting your rants
 
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you low life troll first read it properly before starting your rants

Since I do not get to enjoy that "High Life" you enjoy down there in Karachi, I have very poor comprehension of the written word unlike yourself. You on the other hand read my entire two posts in tandem and then with your gigantic so-untroll-like mind zeroed in to that line. Bravo! You CAN count the trees while blissfully disregarding the forest!!!

P.S. Learn a little English language content comprehension before taking me on, you miserable sand-hippie from snazzy shooting sand-pits of southern Pakistan.
 
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