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The Ill-Fated Relationship Between Pakistan and the International Monetary Fund (IMF)

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With citizens being choked by the worsening inflation, the PTI government under Imran Khan is doing everything it can to avert the economic fallout that awaits if the IMF refuses the $1 billion loan.

Many economists believe the IMF economic deal to be the cause of Pakistan's rising inflation, but at this juncture, this dreaded deal also seems to be the only recourse for the country.

Read the complete article: https://www.paradigmshift.com.pk/pakistan-and-the-imf/

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It is a Corruption relationship between Pakistan's Corrupt Establishment and a racist master called IMF.
 
Pakistan was handed a poisoned chalice and the corrupts couldn't give a damn about the suffering of the masses. Pakistan needs to overhaul this colonial economic system and bring uplift to the masses.
 
Blackmail of state via economics or other such means, either Pakistan nation shows courage and return to a modest life style and learn to live within its means ( especially the elites who buys iPhones and audi etorns) or be a subservient nation and accept rulers who obey their masters.

They offer you loans with interest, make you happy at the same time tightening their grip. Sweet poison.

Should have thought about all these things when doing such deals. We had thar coal which is one of the largest indigenous reserve of energy yet we went for imported fuels be it coal or LNG in dollars ( a billion dollars each month for coal and LNG which we could have avoided entirely) . We went for high ROI and capacity payments on top which have to be paid in dollars to international companies. We ran an import based economy and facilitated it.

Now we are in a debt trap and if we don't do as asked they won't give us money to pay interest on the money we owe to them.

We went for expensive vanity projects and maxed out the credit card thinking there is no tomorrow.

The West will make us pay dearly for Afghanistan and coming out of the death trap they planned via BLA TTP . Making India a dominant power with passive neighbourhood has always been their plan to counter/challange China. Pakistan is the wrench stuck in their overall scheme.
 
This latest pain could have been avoided if IK didnt believe in delusions of Tareen. This latest CAD crisis benefitted rich leaving middle/low income people even more poorer with inflation. Growth without reform is a pipe dream.

Now IMF again put hammer on PSDP in mini budget. Because its easy to cut development budget then reduce other expenditure of running loss making entities and paying useless employees.
 
Its all because of a stupid PM and his corrupt govt. All his policies are to appease and help the rich elite class. The only solution is to squeeze taxes out of the rich elite class who have been sucking the country dry.
 
There is also the risk of the terms for the loans; making the SBP (State bank of Pakistan) completely independent of the wishes of the democratically elected government, such as losing control to devalue the money of necessary such as in the even of war. It would make Pakistan permanently uncompetitive in exports of done incorrectly like the 1985 Plaza Accords turned Japan’s roaring economy into a stagnant one for the past 36 years.

The government should reach out to the overseas Pakistanis over some of these terms from the IMF, instead of risking national sovereignty and long term economic prospects for just $1 Billion.
 
Game of cat and mouse... producers and consumers.
System that is doesn't want all to be just that, endless consumers... living off the paper.

@Mangus Ortus Novem
All hand in glove... wolves are out. Gatekeepers of the system seek submission... after BrettonWoods... shouldn't it be all about growth and GDP.
Endless production, growth and of course consumption.

What is happening to both Pakistan and Turkiye if I say so is BY DESIGN!
Sooner or Later... but by default.
 
Let's get over it. The economy was outsourced to IMF a long time ago. These so-called defenders of Pakistan are hand and glove with IMF, WB and the rest.

This latest pain could have been avoided if IK didnt believe in delusions of Tareen. This latest CAD crisis benefitted rich leaving middle/low income people even more poorer with inflation. Growth without reform is a pipe dream.

Now IMF again put hammer on PSDP in mini budget. Because its easy to cut development budget then reduce other expenditure of running loss making entities and paying useless employees.

Imran Khan is the biggest problem. He broke his own promises and he will pay the ultimate price. Let the elections come.
 
Blackmail of state via economics or other such means, either Pakistan nation shows courage and return to a modest life style and learn to live within its means ( especially the elites who buys iPhones and audi etorns) or be a subservient nation and accept rulers who obey their masters.

They offer you loans with interest, make you happy at the same time tightening their grip. Sweet poison.

Should have thought about all these things when doing such deals. We had thar coal which is one of the largest indigenous reserve of energy yet we went for imported fuels be it coal or LNG in dollars ( a billion dollars each month for coal and LNG which we could have avoided entirely) . We went for high ROI and capacity payments on top which have to be paid in dollars to international companies. We ran an import based economy and facilitated it.

Now we are in a debt trap and if we don't do as asked they won't give us money to pay interest on the money we owe to them.

We went for expensive vanity projects and maxed out the credit card thinking there is no tomorrow.

The West will make us pay dearly for Afghanistan and coming out of the death trap they planned via BLA TTP . Making India a dominant power with passive neighbourhood has always been their plan to counter/challange China. Pakistan is the wrench stuck in their overall scheme.

Frankly, this is all Pakistan's own making. With one tounge the state claims it wants to give regional connectivity utmost priority. With another tounge these inept fools defy their own promises. These people are their own enemy. Foolish and ignorant to believe that both sides can be milked.

We have seen the confused and inept governance in the past 4 years. This government had an open field. It couldn't even achieve the most pressing goals. Nawaz Sharif fled to a foreign country. The other scoundrels are roaming freely. What happened to the promise to eliminate corruption and political mafias? It is pointless to mention all other objectives. It has been one big fat disappointment and due to IMF dictation the economy won't get any respite.

Imran Khan will leave the office as a disgraced man. A man who had a golden opportunity to at least lay a foundation if nothing else. Instead he left this country in a confused state.
 
India should offer zero percent loans to all South Asian nations in these testing times.


It is a Corruption relationship between Pakistan's Corrupt Establishment and a racist master called IMF.
Let's get over it. The economy was outsourced to IMF a long time ago. These so-called defenders of Pakistan are hand and glove with IMF, WB and the rest.



Imran Khan is the biggest problem. He broke his own promises and he will pay the ultimate price. Let the elections come.

It is unfair to blame Pakistan's government or the establishment. They are doing their best. No one could foresee COVID pandemic coming.
 
There is also the risk of the terms for the loans; making the SBP (State bank of Pakistan) completely independent of the wishes of the democratically elected government, such as losing control to devalue the money of necessary such as in the even of war. It would make Pakistan permanently uncompetitive in exports of done incorrectly like the 1985 Plaza Accords turned Japan’s roaring economy into a stagnant one for the past 36 years.

The government should reach out to the overseas Pakistanis over some of these terms from the IMF, instead of risking national sovereignty and long term economic prospects for just $1 Billion.

What is the end goal here anyway? Keep taking loans from IMF and accrue more debt?

Did you know that expats in foreign countries cannot even deposit money in Pakistani bank accounts? Banks like HBL refuse to transfer the money. We all know where such dictation is coming from. Pakistani banks and other institutions share all kinds of financial information regarding expats with Western nations.

The myth that overseas Pakistanis living in Western nations can contribute economically is just that. The government hasn't got a leg to stand on.
 
The military govt's of Ayub, Zia, and Musharraf were fortunate that they by chance governed in good times (for them). Ayub with the anti communist bloc, Zia after the USSR invasion of Afg and Musharraf after 9/11. If it wasnt for American/European/Middle East aid and largess the military regimes would have not pulled off any economic success.

The civilian govt's all had common characteristics of corruption and ineptitude but were unfortunate in not being part of any major international event/policy that would make Pak an important regional player so they plodded along only on borrowed money. CPEC being somewhat of an exception but that too came late in the Nawaz times. Pakistan's money has been stolen, misspent, and misused for decades, almost exclusively by Pakistanis.

I am no fan of IK but feel sorry for him as far as the economy goes as he has inherited a poisoned chalice and some of the geopolitics are outside his control but at the end of the day the buck stops with him.

The questions you need to ask yourselves are: Who is forcing Pak to borrow from IMF? or from Saudi? or UAE? or to take aid from the West?

Yes lets blame everyone else except ourselves. Lets be delusional, but its not going to solve Pak's economic issues.
 
Gotta feel for Asad Umar and Hafeez Shaikh. All the sacrifices and pain taken over 2 years to bring at least one deficit under control undone in 3 months.

What morons. All that was needed was some patience. 2-3 years of controlled imports to push reserves closer to $30b so you had a margin of safety to try hockey stick growth.
 
India should offer zero percent loans to all South Asian nations in these testing times.





It is unfair to blame Pakistan's government or the establishment. They are doing their best. No one could foresee COVID pandemic coming.
Some of us saw the terms of the IMF loans and predicted the mayhem that it was going to cause.

Criticisms of IMF
International_Monetary_Fund_logo.svg
Over time, the IMF has been subject to a range of criticisms, generally focused on the conditions of its loans. The IMF has also been criticised for its lack of accountability and willingness to lend to countries with bad human rights records.
Criticisms of the IMF include
1. Conditions of loans
On giving loans to countries, the IMF make the loan conditional on the implementation of certain economic policies. These policies tend to involve:
  • Reducing government borrowing – Higher taxes and lower spending
  • Higher interest rates to stabilise the currency.
  • Allow failing firms to go bankrupt.
  • Structural adjustment. Privatisation, deregulation, reducing corruption and bureaucracy.
The problem is that these policies of structural adjustment and macroeconomic intervention can make difficult economic situations worse.
  • For example, in the Asian crisis of 1997, many countries such as Indonesia, Malaysia and Thailand were required by IMF to pursue tight monetary policy (higher interest rates) and tight fiscal policy to reduce the budget deficit and strengthen exchange rates. However, these policies caused a minor slowdown to turn into a serious recession with very high levels of unemployment.
  • In 2001, Argentina was forced into a similar policy of fiscal restraint. This led to a decline in investment in public services which arguably damaged the economy.
2. Exchange rate reforms. When the IMF intervened in Kenya in the 1990s, they made the Central bank remove controls overflows of capital. The consensus was that this decision made it easier for corrupt politicians to transfer money out of the economy (known as the Goldenberg scandal, BBC link). Critics argue this is another example of how the IMF failed to understand the dynamics of the country that they were dealing with – insisting on blanket reforms.
The economist Joseph Stiglitz has criticised the more monetarist approach of the IMF in recent years. He argues it is failing to take the best policy to improve the welfare of developing countries saying the IMF “was not participating in a conspiracy, but it was reflecting the interests and ideology of the Western financial community.”
3. Devaluations In earlier days, the IMF have been criticised for allowing inflationary devaluations.
4. Neo-Liberal Criticisms There is also criticism of neo-liberal policies such as privatisation. Arguably these free-market policies were not always suitable for the situation of the country. For example, privatisation can create lead to the creation of private monopolies who exploit consumers.
5. Free market criticisms of IMF
As well as being criticised for implementing ‘free-market reforms’ Others criticise the IMF for being too interventionist. Believers in free markets argue that it is better to let capital markets operate without attempts at intervention. They argue attempts to influence exchange rates only make things worse – it is better to allow currencies to reach their market level. [criticism of IMF]
  • There is also a criticism that bailing out countries with large debt creates moral hazard. Because of the possibility of getting bailed out, it encourages countries to borrow more.
6. Lack of transparency and involvement
The IMF has been criticised for imposing policy with little or no consultation with the affected countries.
Jeffrey Sachs, the head of the Harvard Institute for International Development said:
“In Korea the IMF insisted that all presidential candidates immediately “endorse” an agreement which they had no part in drafting or negotiating, and no time to understand. The situation is out of hand…It defies logic to believe the small group of 1,000 economists on 19th Street in Washington should dictate the economic conditions of life to 75 developing countries with around 1.4 billion people.” source
7. Supporting military dictatorships
The IMF has been criticised for supporting military dictatorships in Brazil and Argentina, such as Castello Branco in 1960s received IMF funds denied to other countries.
Response to criticism of IMF
1. Crisis always lead to some difficulties
Because the IMF deal with the economic crisis, whatever policy they offer, there are likely to be difficulties. It is not possible to deal with a balance of payments without some painful readjustment.
2. IMF has had some successes
The failures of the IMF tend to be widely publicised. But, its successes less so. Also, criticism tends to focus on short-term problems and ignores the longer-term view. IMF loans have helped many countries avoid liquidity crisis, such as Mexico in 1982 and more recently, Greece and Cyprus have received IMF loans.
3. Confidence
The fact there is a lender of last resort provides an important confidence boost for investors. This is important during the current financial turmoil.
4. Countries are not obliged to take an IMF loan
It is countries who approach the IMF for a loan. The fact so many take loans suggest there must be at least some benefits of the IMF.
5. IMF easy target
Sometimes countries may want to undertake painful short term adjustment but there is a lack of political will. An IMF intervention enables the government to secure a loan and then pass the blame on to the IMF for the difficulties.
6. IMF better than previous alternatives.
J.M. Keynes who helped found principles of IMF stated “IMF is the exact opposite of the Gold Standard. It is an attempt at an improved system of international currency.”
External pages
 
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