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Taiwan’s ruling party replaces pro-beijing candidate

William Hung

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Taiwan’s Kuomintang replaces pro-Beijing candidate Hung Hsiu-chu

Taiwan’s ruling Nationalist Party dropped its unpopular presidential candidate on Saturday, in hopes that her replacement will revive the party’s fortunes three months before an election that the pro-independence opposition is heavily favored to win.

Delegates at an extraordinary party congress voted overwhelmingly to nullify Hung Hsiu-chu’s nomination and selected party chairman Eric Chu to lead the ticket in the Jan. 16 election.

Chu, the mayor of suburban New Taipei City and a former accounting professor, had earlier declined to seek the nomination. But upon accepting it Saturday, he said the election was too important not to step in.

“The presidential and legislative elections are polls to determine the nation’s future, to determine the future polices of the nation,” Chu said.

Hung had resisted stepping down as the party’s candidate, but said she accepted the decision and would remain loyal to the party.

The Nationalists have lost favor over their pro-China policies, and Hung was running about 20 percentage points behind Democratic Progressive Party candidate Tsai Ing-wen, who advocates greater caution in relations with Beijing.

While the presidency remains in doubt, a more popular candidate could help the Nationalists retain their majority in Taiwan’s 113-seat parliament.

Hung’s nomination in July set up Taiwan’s first presidential race between female candidates from the two major parties.

However, the veteran legislator and former teacher was seen as lacking in executive experience and had focused much of her campaign on the party’s already embattled China policy. Chu is seen as relatively more moderate on cross-Taiwan Strait relations while maintaining friendly ties with the mainland’s ruling Communist Party.

A win for Tsai would throw up new questions about Taiwan’s relations with Beijing, which claims the island as its own territory to be reunited with the mainland, by force if necessary. Despite that threat, China is now Taiwan’s biggest trading partner and a growing source of tourism and investment.

Talks between the sides have been based on the Nationalists’ acceding to Beijing’s demand that Taiwan and China be seen as part of the same country, something the DPP has refused to do.

While the DPP officially advocates Taiwan’s formal split from China, it has pledged to adhere to the will of the majority of Taiwanese, who favor maintaining the status quo of de facto independence.

China took a hard line against the last DPP president, Chen Shui-bian, who served from 2000 to 2008. Its approach softened radically under current Nationalist President Ma Ying-jeou, who is constitutionally barred from seeking a third four-year term.

Ma’s government signed 23 agreements with China to promote investment, tourism and trade, helping to reduce tensions between the sides to their lowest level in more than six decades.

Although welcomed by the business community, the agreements incurred a backlash from younger Taiwanese. Tens of thousands protested in Taipei last year against the deals, saying they had been rushed through without adequate consultation.

Along with harming their economic prospects, the deals were opposed out of fear they will eventually give China political control over the island.

Fearing election defeat, Taiwan’s ruling party drops presidential candidate | Asia Times
 
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Sadly it wont happen. My sources in Taipei tell me that Dr. Tsai In Wen is scheduled to take the presidency this 2016. The KMT will be replaced by the DPP.

In fact just this past week, Dr. Tsai concluded her 'Friendship Japan Tour', where she was greeted by the vocal yet powerful Taiwanese minority in Japan. The Formosa Group:

AJ201510090038M.jpg


491519526-taiwans-democratic-progressive-party-gettyimages.jpg
 
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Sadly it wont happen. My sources in Taipei tell me that Dr. Tsai In Wen is scheduled to take the presidency this 2016. The KMT will be replaced by the DPP.

Yea it’s far too late. This last minute replacement is just a final desperate attempt at turning the tide.

These are the two interesting events for 2016, the China-Philippines arbitration verdict and the new China-Taiwan-US dynamics if the DPP wins.

In fact just this past week, Dr. Tsai concluded her 'Friendship Japan Tour', where she was greeted by the vocal yet powerful Taiwanese minority in Japan. The Formosa Group:

AJ201510090038M.jpg


491519526-taiwans-democratic-progressive-party-gettyimages.jpg

That tour hinted where the DPP will take Taiwan if they win next year.
 
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Yea it’s far too late. This last minute replacement is just a final desperate attempt at turning the tide.

These are the two interesting events for 2016, the China-Philippines arbitration verdict and the new China-Taiwan-US dynamics if the DPP wins.


Btw, the JSDF and the RCAF (Taiwanese Armed Forces) are currently conducting talks about a military-to-military exercise platfrom that will be land-air-naval in forum. I suppose with Japan's vocal position in being a more pro-active contributor to peace was the confidence necessary for our Taiwanese partners to ask for Japanese-Taiwanese defense exercises on annual basis. Historical friendship and relations, i suppose, trumps any political vagaries in cross-straits relations.

That tour hinted where the DPP will take Taiwan if they win next year.

Well, yes, of course. In fact it was President Lee Teng Hui who heralded the friendship tour when he visited Tokyo 2 months ago. Of course his visit was largely popular in Japan as well as Taiwan's "Silent Majority", the KMT and pro-mainland unification forces (which are in the minority in Taiwan, btw) were all the more vocal. However, the DPP thrashed such bark to the side, clearly manifested when DPP's chairwoman and frontrunner, Dr. Tsai Ing Wen, went to Japan for 4-5 days.

In fact she was even greeted by Nobuo Kishi, the younger brother of Shinzo Abe. Abe did not meet with her to appease Mainland's sensitivities, but i believe his message was sent to Dr. Tsai vis-a-vis the mouth of Nobuo Kishi.

:)

These are the two interesting events for 2016, the China-Philippines arbitration verdict and the new China-Taiwan-US dynamics if the DPP wins.

Indeed. It represents a solid wall, i suppose. With Japan's more active position, and the rise of the DPP and fall of the KMT --- this will represent a total paradigm shift in regards to Asia-Pacific mechanisms. I do predict an alliance formulation between Taiwan and Japan. Taiwan knows its security and safety lies on strong and firm relations with Japan.

This is a mature relationship building process, i suppose. We should encourage it.
 
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Btw, the JSDF and the RCAF (Taiwanese Armed Forces) are currently conducting talks about a military-to-military exercise platfrom that will be land-air-naval in forum. I suppose with Japan's vocal position in being a more pro-active contributor to peace was the confidence necessary for our Taiwanese partners to ask for Japanese-Taiwanese defense exercises on annual basis. Historical friendship and relations, i suppose, trumps any political vagaries in cross-straits relations.

My feeling is that the DPP will not be serious about their pro-independence stance until the US get rid of their “strategic ambiguity” with respect to openly defending Taiwan should they declare independence and the PRC reacts. I think seeking closer military-military ties with Japan like what you have mentioned is a first step in trying to get rid of that “US strategic ambiguity”, or at least to migitate it, if you know what I mean.
 
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My feeling is that the DPP will not be serious about their pro-independence stance until the US get rid of their “strategic ambiguity” with respect to openly defending Taiwan should they declare independence and the PRC reacts. I think seeking closer military-military ties with Japan like what you have mentioned is a first step in trying to get rid of that “US strategic ambiguity”, or at least to migitate it, if you know what I mean.

LOL, us talking about strategic ambiguity while being strategically ambiguous ? LOL! I love it !
 
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My feeling is that the DPP will not be serious about their pro-independence stance until the US get rid of their “strategic ambiguity” with respect to openly defending Taiwan should they declare independence and the PRC reacts. I think seeking closer military-military ties with Japan like what you have mentioned is a first step in trying to get rid of that “US strategic ambiguity”, or at least to migitate it, if you know what I mean.

This is an interesting take... and plausible.
 
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During the Cuban Missile Crisis, the US did not back down to the Soviets because Cuba to the Soviets was just an expendable pawn while having a nuclear armed communist state 90 miles off Florida was an existential threat to the US.
 
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