Taiwan think tank backs Japan's defense policy shift

[Hamartia Antidote]

I think they will form a alliance, you will have to deal with them three together, and with the US behind, with the western sanction coming up.

Anything in the future can happen. We could form an alliance with Russia too. But the facts of the situation are what things are "today"...not something in a future dreamland.

 

[Pangu]

I don't know what to make of it other than it looks like some groups in Taiwan are more worried about China than Japan. However I have no idea what the majority thinks.

The last time I talked to a Taiwanese like 6 years ago, majority prefers status quo, within the minority; a higher percentage is pro-independence while a smaller percentage is pro-unification.

 

[OCguy]

Of course Taipei appreciates any thorn in the side of Beijing. They know that Japan does not have the restrictions that they do as far as ability to purchase certain advanced weaponry from the international (US) market.

And lets be real here. The Taiwanese government isn't blind. They aren't so sure anymore that the US is going to come to the rescue in a hot war with China. They want new friends who they can attempt to sell the fact that they have a common goal in defending against Chinese aggression.

As far as which nation the Chinese military modernization is "aimed" at, I believe that is a faulty premise for a discussion. Obviously they are trying to counter US influence in their backyard, and are using the US armed forces as their mold as well as their measuring stick. But they have no intention of a direct conflict with the US military, so I wouldn't say its "aimed" that way.

I believe the overhaul and technology/infrastructure advancements are aimed at restoring national pride, and preventing the wrongs of the 20th century from ever happening again. I believe the population expects a military might to match its well known economic superpower status. Now, will there be some collateral damage due to the inherent need for boys to use their toys once they have them? Do tools always get used for their original purpose? I wish I could say no.

China will test and display its new weapons and tactics in a limited campaign, similar to the Gulf war in 1991. I doubt it will be against Japan or South Korea, so that leaves a few prime candidates who no doubt realize who they are, and are extremely nervous about the next decade.

 

[xunzi]

Of course Taipei appreciates any thorn in the side of Beijing. They know that Japan does not have the restrictions that they do as far as ability to purchase certain advanced weaponry from the international (US) market.

And lets be real here. The Taiwanese government isn't blind. They aren't so sure anymore that the US is going to come to the rescue in a hot war with China. They want new friends who they can attempt to sell the fact that they have a common goal in defending against Chinese aggression.

As far as which nation the Chinese military modernization is "aimed" at, I believe that is a faulty premise for a discussion. Obviously they are trying to counter US influence in their backyard, and are using the US armed forces as their mold as well as their measuring stick. But they have no intention of a direct conflict with the US military, so I wouldn't say its "aimed" that way.

I believe the overhaul and technology/infrastructure advancements are aimed at restoring national pride, and preventing the wrongs of the 20th century from ever happening again. I believe the population expects a military might to match its well known economic superpower status. Now, will there be some collateral damage due to the inherent need for boys to use their toys once they have them? Do tools always get used for their original purpose? I wish I could say no.

China will test and display its new weapons and tactics in a limited campaign, similar to the Gulf war in 1991. I doubt it will be against Japan or South Korea, so that leaves a few prime candidates who no doubt realize who they are, and are extremely nervous about the next decade.

Somebody has to step up to the plate and test our toys eventually in a limited scale. Perhaps our Vietnamese friends can be that test since they always believe they can defeat us.

 

[Hamartia Antidote]

Of course Taipei appreciates any thorn in the side of Beijing. They know that Japan does not have the restrictions that they do as far as ability to purchase certain advanced weaponry from the international (US) market..

Well it's a little more tricky than that. The US has always been for a peaceful unification of China and Taiwan. Technically if we sold Taiwan 50 F15's they could have a unification vote tomorrow and if it passes those F15's are now China's. So the US is very hesitant to sell Taiwan certain military items.

 

[Marshmallow]

Well it's a little more tricky than that. The US has always been for a peaceful unification of China and Taiwan. Technically if we sold Taiwan 50 F15's they could have a unification vote tomorrow and if it passes those F15's are now China's. So the US is very hesitant to sell Taiwan certain military items.

Peter Peter Pumpkin Eater....Had a ........ jk

 

[OCguy]

Well it's a little more tricky than that. The US has always been for a peaceful unification of China and Taiwan. Technically if we sold Taiwan 50 F15's they could have a unification vote tomorrow and if it passes those F15's are now China's. So the US is very hesitant to sell Taiwan certain military items.

Technology seizure by an invading force, leading to possible use against the US itself, has never been a real consideration by US military brain power. I don't think I need to go down the list of examples, including some that arent quite ancient history. .....

Sales to Taiwan are always a back-room series of proposals and rebuttals, with China sitting at the table, even if not literally.