Daily Times Monitor
LAHORE: India is likely to witness another large-scale militant attack on its soil, with American attempts to elicit cooperation from Pakistan through aid packages unlikely to affect Islamabads behaviour significantly, a leading intelligence group has warned.
According to the Indo-Asian News Service, Stratfor has said that New Delhi has refrained from taking overt military action against Pakistan after the Mumbai terror attacks for fear of destabilising Pakistan further and giving regional terrorists an excuse to focus their attention on India.
Yet the gradual unravelling of command and control within the Pakistani military establishment has enabled many more of Islamabads Islamist militant proxies operating in Pakistan and India to team up with transnational jihadists to carry out deadlier and more strategically targeted attacks, it said.
Though the timing is uncertain, India is likely to witness another large-scale attack on its soil that will once again escalate cross-border tensions, Stratfor warned.
The intelligence group said it would not attempt to predict the outcome of an uncertain election in India.
But should the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) manage to overcome its setbacks and take the lead, the Indian restraint against Pakistan would not be assured in the event of another large-scale militant attack, said Stratfor.
It predicted that American attempts to elicit cooperation from Pakistan through aid packages were unlikely to have much effect.