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Sri Lankan Economy to grow at 8 pct in 2014

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The Sri Lankan economy is expected to grow at more than eight percent next year, with inflation remaining at mid-single digit, while exports grow at 12.7 percent and the budget deficit expected to contract to 5.2 percent, the Central Bank said in its ‘Recent Economic Developments, highlights for 13 and prospects for 2014’ report launched recently.


"The Sri Lankan economy is projected to grow at a higher rate of around 8 per cent in 2014, supported by the recovery in the global economy, continued expansion of domestic economic activity and the impact of growth oriented policy measures adopted in 2013."


"Inflation is expected to remain at mid-single digit levels during 2014. However, a rebound in the growth of credit aggregates without a commensurate decline in credit to the public sector, and the possible strengthening of global commodity prices, aided by a gradual increase in global growth continue to pose upside risks to inflation in the period ahead."



"Domestic output is expected to increase in line with changing lifestyles of people and increasing penetration into global markets. In order to increase the production capacity of the country, investment activities are expected to expand continuously while greater emphasis on manufacturing output is also expected to stimulate demand for services such as trade, transportation, communication and banking. The expansion in tourism and related services is also expected to contribute to higher economic growth. Favourable weather conditions and continued government support are expected to raise output in the agriculture sector in 2014," the bank said


"With the gradual recovery of Sri Lanka’s main export markets in 2014, export earnings are expected to expand, while imports are envisaged to rise to cater to the demand created by an increase in production of exports and higher economic growth."


"Earnings from exports are expected to grow by 12.7 per cent to US dollars 11.2 billion in 2014. This growth will be driven by all three sectors. Industrial exports, which account for the largest share of exports, are expected to increase significantly. This growth is largely due to the expected recovery in the US and EU economies, which continue to be the main markets for Sri Lanka’s industrial exports."


"The expected gradual recovery in the global economy, improved infrastructure facilities, the gradual relaxation of capital controls and improved investor confidence amidst a stable macroeconomic environment are expected to yield a surplus in the BOP in 2014"


"As envisaged in the Medium Term Macro Fiscal Framework, further consolidation is expected in the fiscal sector, with the budget deficit expected to be reduced to 5.2 percent of GDP in 2014 from 5.8 per cent of GDP estimated for 2013."


"The Monetary Programme envisages broad money to grow by 15 per cent in 2014, driven by a pickup in credit to the private sector, while credit granted to the public sector is projected to moderate."


-MA
The Island

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At 7% growth, economies double every decade. At 8%, it doubles every 9 years.

Even if we estimate low, SL will probably be over $10,000 nominal and $22,000 PPP per capita by 2030.

Just did some math:
Only 6.3% average growth up to 2030 is needed to bring our per-capita GDP to $10,000 or 22,000 by PPP. Easily achievable. In fact I will be disappointed if we don't get any higher.

If we manage 7% average growth up to 2030, GDP per cap. will be $11,000.
7.5% = $11,800
8% = $12,700
 
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To be fair India actually do need to throw some money at sanitation.

The situation is deplorable

India is off topic in this thread. lol

Actually dude, there is so poor countries in this world than India but some of those countries aren't look dusty or dirty. Indian people have a discipline issue, that's why they pollute roads.... no offence.
 
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India is off topic in this thread. lol

Actually dude, there is so poor countries in this world than India but some of those countries aren't look dusty or dirty. Indian people have a discipline issue, that's why they pollute roads.... no offence.

Truth is offensive as itis often blunt. And yes, Indians lack respect for civic laws.

I deleted my post btw. I thought I was replying to another thread.

Sorry :-)
 
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It seems Sri Lanka is set to be the next "Asian Tiger"!

What's the driving force behind this success? I have seen some Lankans here praising Rajapakse's prudent leadership, is it the main reason here? And also what are the growth oriented policy measures as said in the article?
 
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It seems Sri Lanka is set to be the next "Asian Tiger"!

What's the driving force behind this success? I have seen some Lankans here praising Rajapakse's prudent leadership, is it the main reason here? And also what are the growth oriented policy measures as said in the article?


I am no expert but from what i can see is that SL don`t have to waste money a war anymore..I am sure the foreign investments and the booming tourism too helps a lot
 
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I am no expert but from what i can see is that SL don`t have to waste money a war anymore..I am sure the foreign investments and the booming tourism too helps a lot

If it was not for the 25 year civil war, Sri Lanka would now be as rich as Malaysia.

Sri Lanka is by far the best run country in the subcontinent.

Good going Sri Lanka!:enjoy:
 
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Truth is offensive as itis often blunt. And yes, Indians lack respect for civic laws.

I deleted my post btw. I thought I was replying to another thread.

Sorry :-)

Wow, nice handling of criticism bro. We need more people like you in PDF.
 
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It seems Sri Lanka is set to be the next "Asian Tiger"!

What's the driving force behind this success? I have seen some Lankans here praising Rajapakse's prudent leadership, is it the main reason here? And also what are the growth oriented policy measures as said in the article?

The driving force behind the success?
It's probably 5 things: A well-educated population, no national threats, good governance, tourism and geographical location.

The well-educated population is thanks to half a century of investment in universal primary and secondary education, and free university. Also universal free healthcare and a decent welfare safety net for a country with Sri Lanka's resources.

Rajapaksa is probably the "core" of our governance. He knows what needs to be done and does it.

Geographical location means Sri Lanka is right in the way of one of the most valuable shipping lanes in the world, connecting the East with the West. This is what Singapore does.

I don't think there are any specific policies, but the ones I would point to is universal healthcare and good education. That builds a stable base.
 
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The driving force behind the success?
It's probably 5 things: A well-educated population, no national threats, good governance, tourism and geographical location.

The well-educated population is thanks to half a century of investment in universal primary and secondary education, and free university. Also universal free healthcare and a decent welfare safety net for a country with Sri Lanka's resources.

Rajapaksa is probably the "core" of our governance. He knows what needs to be done and does it.

Geographical location means Sri Lanka is right in the way of one of the most valuable shipping lanes in the world, connecting the East with the West. This is what Singapore does.

I don't think there are any specific policies, but the ones I would point to is universal healthcare and good education. That builds a stable base.

^ I've said this before and I'll say it again, SL has a good chance of becoming South Asia's Singapore.

Probably the only decently run country in the region.
 
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The driving force behind the success?
It's probably 5 things: A well-educated population, no national threats, good governance, tourism and geographical location.

Seriously ?? Dude would agree to every single point you have made but the one highlighted.. Never in history have the country had been so politicized as this regime has, Where you can get away scot free with murder and corruption with impunity if you're connected to the Rajapaksas
 
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Seriously ?? Dude would agree to every single point you have made but the one highlighted.. Never in history have the country had been so politicized as this regime has, Where you can get away scot free with murder and corruption with impunity if you're connected to the Rajapaksas

They're not perfect but they do get stuff done, nobody can deny that. That's what I mean. Obviously they're not saints or corruption free. But they're good at nation-building which is what we need.
 
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They're not perfect but they do get stuff done, nobody can deny that. That's what I mean. Obviously they're not saints or corruption free. But they're good at nation-building which is what we need.
We have to get our priorities straight. We can't afford to gamble with government change and go on roller coaster rides anymore. We badly needs to develop the country at any cost.
 
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We have to get our priorities straight. We can't afford to gamble with government change and go on roller coaster rides anymore. We badly needs to develop the country at any cost.

Agree, no one said becoming developed would be easy or without sacrifice. We need leaders prepared to do what is necessary.
 
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