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Spaceplanes vs super rockets: Expert reveals who will win the battle of cheap space

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Spaceplanes vs super rockets: Expert reveals who will win the battle of cheap space
  • Bristol University academic compares Skylon to Falcon 9 to Falcon Heavy
  • Skylon is more expensive and requires more reuses before its costs fall
  • It also has the contraint of needing to take off from and land on a runway
  • It costs 6 times more to refuel Skylon than a Falcon 9, the research found
By ASHLEY DOVE-JAY FOR THE CONVERSATION

PUBLISHED: 22:00, 14 December 2015 | UPDATED: 23:33, 24 January 2016


Launching satellites, spacecraft and people into space is expensive because we only use our launch vehicles once.

After delivering their payloads into orbit, our rockets either burn up in the atmosphere or crash into the ocean.

But what if you could reuse the launch vehicles?

Engineers have spent decades on this problem, and finally two different solutions have emerged; spaceplanes and super rockets.

Scroll down for video

2F60218E00000578-3359967-image-a-1_1450130304220.jpg

Britain's Skylon is compared to two rockets from SpaceX, the Falcon 9 and the Falcon Heavy, its bigger brother due to launch for the first time in April. Skylon costs about 30 times more than a Falcon 9 and 20 times more than a Falcon Heavy


SKYLON VS FALCON 9
- Skylon costs about 30 times more than a Falcon 9 and 20 times more than a Falcon Heavy.

- Using an exotic and relatively expensive combination of jet and rocket propellants, it costs about six times more to refuel Skylon than a Falcon 9, and twice as much as a Falcon Heavy.

- It also needs to take off from and land on a 5km-long runway, while the Falcon 9 can launch from an area about the size of an oversized helipad.

- This introduces greater operational and maintenance costs, though these could fall were Skylon to gain approval to use commercial airports.


US-based SpaceX has built a rocket that can return to base, using its rocket engines to land vertically.

Meanwhile, UK-based Reaction Engines is touting Skylon, a spaceplane built around its hybrid turbojet/rocket SABRE engine, which can travel into space – but takes off and lands on a runway like an aircraft.

Both solutions are promising. Both have significant financial support. But which approach is more economically sound? Will one solution render the other obsolete?

Using the best information available, with support from BBC Sky at Night Magazine, I’ve tackled this question.

I've created a graph that summarises the answer to this question in terms of the cost per kg to take a payload into low Earth orbit (LEO), and the effect of using reusable launch vehicles.
article-1312886-0B3A99C7000005DC-681_634x334.jpg

The Skylon is able to take off and land at a normal airport, reducing the cost of space flight


Here Skylon is compared to two rockets from SpaceX, the Falcon 9 and the Falcon Heavy, its bigger brother due to launch for the first time in April.

The most cost-effective expendable rockets are also included for comparison.

The graph – notice the two different x-axes – reveals that Skylon is vastly more expensive and requires many more reuses before its launch costs fall to the same as reusable rockets.

Even then, Falcon rockets can be cheaper still.

2F60218A00000578-3359967-image-a-2_1450130311905.jpg

The graph – notice the two different x-axes – reveals that Skylon is vastly more expensive and requires many more reuses before its launch costs fall to the same as reusable rockets. Even then, Falcon rockets can be cheaper still

2F60779A00000578-3359967-image-a-1_1450132133229.jpg

US-based SpaceX has built a rocket, dubbed Falcon 9 that can return to base, using its rocket engines to land vertically

With this in mind, it’s a wonder that the European Space Agency is still pushing forward with its ludicrously expensive Ariane 6 launch vehicle.

Even with a significant drop in launch costs, it’s questionable whether the commercial market for launch services would grow sufficiently large to provide Skylon with the use needed to drive down its overall costs.

HOW THE SABRE ENGINE WORKS
Modern-day traditional aviation engines have to carry tanks of liquid oxygen when travelling at more than 1,900mph because they can't 'breathe' oxygen.

Oxygen helps an engine to burn the fuel needed to power its propulsion.

Reaction Engine's Sabre design uses a system of pipes, filled with helium.

The air passes through these pipes and the helium helps remove any heat and the oxygen is carried to the engine.

Once in space, the engine is capable of switching into rocket mode.

This means the craft can travel in orbit for around 36 hours and used to launch satellites, for example.

Last year the total number of rocket launches worldwide was just 92.

There are several reasons why Skylon remains uncompetitive when compared with even the partially reusable (let alone the fully reusable) Falcon rockets:

Skylon costs about 30 times more than a Falcon 9 and 20 times more than a Falcon Heavy.

While it is hypothetically more reliable (though I question this), such an enormous difference has a significant impact on insurance costs, which drives up operating costs further.

Using an exotic and relatively expensive combination of jet and rocket propellants, it costs about six times more to refuel Skylon than a Falcon 9, and twice as much as a Falcon Heavy.

It also needs to take off from and land on a 5km-long runway, while the Falcon 9 can launch from an area about the size of an oversized helipad.

This introduces greater operational and maintenance costs, though these could fall were Skylon to gain approval to use commercial airports or dedicated runaways/launch sites by the British government.

Reaction Engines recently partnered with BAE Systems to speed up the program.

There would need to be a decade of development and testing – and £14 billion in investment – before Skylon makes it near a runway.

2F60778600000578-3359967-image-a-2_1450132174856.jpg

Using an exotic and relatively expensive combination of jet and rocket propellants, it costs about six times more to refuel Skylon (pictured) than a Falcon 9, and twice as much as a Falcon Heavy

2F607BF500000578-3359967-image-a-4_1450132186560.jpg

Space X is no more than a few years away from a fully operational 1st-stage reusable Falcon rocket programme. Pictured is the Falcon Heavy rocket

On the other hand SpaceX, a company valued at £8 billion with around 4,000 staff and currently turning a profit, is perhaps no more than a few years away from a fully operational 1st-stage reusable Falcon rocket programme.

Recent tests have demonstrated that it has almost perfected the tricky automatic rocket landing. Once they do, they will dismantle and study the vehicle.

The design will be optimised, reliability improved and costs lowered further.

In 1996, a Chinese Long March 3B rocket crashed on launch, and the US suspected Chinese authorities stole US encryption technology attached to the rocket’s payload, an Intelsat satellite.

The political firestorm that followed created significant, heavy-handed changes to US legislation relating to satellites and other space technologies.

A consequence of this is that SpaceX has difficulty attracting non-US customers and little chance of working with foreign governments – which now make up two-thirds of the launch market worldwide.

This gives the UK’s Skylon a huge competitive advantage as it faces no such restrictions – in fact, within the non-US market, Skylon would have no real competition at all.

However, moves are already afoot to relax these rules. Only time will tell if these changes extend to commercial launch operators like SpaceX.

In terms of tackling the problem of expendable rockets, it seems that Reaction Engines is about a decade too late compared to it's U.S counterparts.

SpaceX has nearly cracked it. However, the SABRE engine is a remarkable technological leap forward, technology that could find a place in civil aviation as the keystone in hypersonic passenger and transport aircraft of the future.

Follow us: @MailOnline on Twitter | DailyMail on Facebook

@Technogaianist , @C130 ,@Blue Marlin , @Vauban ,@Hamartia Antidote ,@F-22Raptor ,@Taygibay , @gambit , @Nihonjin1051 ,@Penguin et al. Your take on this.
Seems to me that our government,BAE and reaction engines will have to be patient since Skylon will cost a lot more than other during it's early days/launch, but costs will come down significantly more than almost any other rocket out there bar falcon. so we should be in it for the long run. Interesting times we live in. Cant wait to see how things will play out these coming years/2 decades from now.
 
Spaceplanes vs super rockets: Expert reveals who will win the battle of cheap space
  • Bristol University academic compares Skylon to Falcon 9 to Falcon Heavy
  • Skylon is more expensive and requires more reuses before its costs fall
  • It also has the contraint of needing to take off from and land on a runway
  • It costs 6 times more to refuel Skylon than a Falcon 9, the research found
By ASHLEY DOVE-JAY FOR THE CONVERSATION

PUBLISHED: 22:00, 14 December 2015 | UPDATED: 23:33, 24 January 2016


Launching satellites, spacecraft and people into space is expensive because we only use our launch vehicles once.

After delivering their payloads into orbit, our rockets either burn up in the atmosphere or crash into the ocean.

But what if you could reuse the launch vehicles?

Engineers have spent decades on this problem, and finally two different solutions have emerged; spaceplanes and super rockets.

Scroll down for video

2F60218E00000578-3359967-image-a-1_1450130304220.jpg

Britain's Skylon is compared to two rockets from SpaceX, the Falcon 9 and the Falcon Heavy, its bigger brother due to launch for the first time in April. Skylon costs about 30 times more than a Falcon 9 and 20 times more than a Falcon Heavy


SKYLON VS FALCON 9
- Skylon costs about 30 times more than a Falcon 9 and 20 times more than a Falcon Heavy.

- Using an exotic and relatively expensive combination of jet and rocket propellants, it costs about six times more to refuel Skylon than a Falcon 9, and twice as much as a Falcon Heavy.

- It also needs to take off from and land on a 5km-long runway, while the Falcon 9 can launch from an area about the size of an oversized helipad.

- This introduces greater operational and maintenance costs, though these could fall were Skylon to gain approval to use commercial airports.


US-based SpaceX has built a rocket that can return to base, using its rocket engines to land vertically.

Meanwhile, UK-based Reaction Engines is touting Skylon, a spaceplane built around its hybrid turbojet/rocket SABRE engine, which can travel into space – but takes off and lands on a runway like an aircraft.

Both solutions are promising. Both have significant financial support. But which approach is more economically sound? Will one solution render the other obsolete?

Using the best information available, with support from BBC Sky at Night Magazine, I’ve tackled this question.

I've created a graph that summarises the answer to this question in terms of the cost per kg to take a payload into low Earth orbit (LEO), and the effect of using reusable launch vehicles.
article-1312886-0B3A99C7000005DC-681_634x334.jpg

The Skylon is able to take off and land at a normal airport, reducing the cost of space flight


Here Skylon is compared to two rockets from SpaceX, the Falcon 9 and the Falcon Heavy, its bigger brother due to launch for the first time in April.

The most cost-effective expendable rockets are also included for comparison.

The graph – notice the two different x-axes – reveals that Skylon is vastly more expensive and requires many more reuses before its launch costs fall to the same as reusable rockets.

Even then, Falcon rockets can be cheaper still.

2F60218A00000578-3359967-image-a-2_1450130311905.jpg

The graph – notice the two different x-axes – reveals that Skylon is vastly more expensive and requires many more reuses before its launch costs fall to the same as reusable rockets. Even then, Falcon rockets can be cheaper still

2F60779A00000578-3359967-image-a-1_1450132133229.jpg

US-based SpaceX has built a rocket, dubbed Falcon 9 that can return to base, using its rocket engines to land vertically

With this in mind, it’s a wonder that the European Space Agency is still pushing forward with its ludicrously expensive Ariane 6 launch vehicle.

Even with a significant drop in launch costs, it’s questionable whether the commercial market for launch services would grow sufficiently large to provide Skylon with the use needed to drive down its overall costs.

HOW THE SABRE ENGINE WORKS
Modern-day traditional aviation engines have to carry tanks of liquid oxygen when travelling at more than 1,900mph because they can't 'breathe' oxygen.

Oxygen helps an engine to burn the fuel needed to power its propulsion.

Reaction Engine's Sabre design uses a system of pipes, filled with helium.

The air passes through these pipes and the helium helps remove any heat and the oxygen is carried to the engine.

Once in space, the engine is capable of switching into rocket mode.

This means the craft can travel in orbit for around 36 hours and used to launch satellites, for example.

Last year the total number of rocket launches worldwide was just 92.

There are several reasons why Skylon remains uncompetitive when compared with even the partially reusable (let alone the fully reusable) Falcon rockets:

Skylon costs about 30 times more than a Falcon 9 and 20 times more than a Falcon Heavy.

While it is hypothetically more reliable (though I question this), such an enormous difference has a significant impact on insurance costs, which drives up operating costs further.

Using an exotic and relatively expensive combination of jet and rocket propellants, it costs about six times more to refuel Skylon than a Falcon 9, and twice as much as a Falcon Heavy.

It also needs to take off from and land on a 5km-long runway, while the Falcon 9 can launch from an area about the size of an oversized helipad.

This introduces greater operational and maintenance costs, though these could fall were Skylon to gain approval to use commercial airports or dedicated runaways/launch sites by the British government.

Reaction Engines recently partnered with BAE Systems to speed up the program.

There would need to be a decade of development and testing – and £14 billion in investment – before Skylon makes it near a runway.

2F60778600000578-3359967-image-a-2_1450132174856.jpg

Using an exotic and relatively expensive combination of jet and rocket propellants, it costs about six times more to refuel Skylon (pictured) than a Falcon 9, and twice as much as a Falcon Heavy

2F607BF500000578-3359967-image-a-4_1450132186560.jpg

Space X is no more than a few years away from a fully operational 1st-stage reusable Falcon rocket programme. Pictured is the Falcon Heavy rocket

On the other hand SpaceX, a company valued at £8 billion with around 4,000 staff and currently turning a profit, is perhaps no more than a few years away from a fully operational 1st-stage reusable Falcon rocket programme.

Recent tests have demonstrated that it has almost perfected the tricky automatic rocket landing. Once they do, they will dismantle and study the vehicle.

The design will be optimised, reliability improved and costs lowered further.

In 1996, a Chinese Long March 3B rocket crashed on launch, and the US suspected Chinese authorities stole US encryption technology attached to the rocket’s payload, an Intelsat satellite.

The political firestorm that followed created significant, heavy-handed changes to US legislation relating to satellites and other space technologies.

A consequence of this is that SpaceX has difficulty attracting non-US customers and little chance of working with foreign governments – which now make up two-thirds of the launch market worldwide.

This gives the UK’s Skylon a huge competitive advantage as it faces no such restrictions – in fact, within the non-US market, Skylon would have no real competition at all.

However, moves are already afoot to relax these rules. Only time will tell if these changes extend to commercial launch operators like SpaceX.

In terms of tackling the problem of expendable rockets, it seems that Reaction Engines is about a decade too late compared to it's U.S counterparts.

SpaceX has nearly cracked it. However, the SABRE engine is a remarkable technological leap forward, technology that could find a place in civil aviation as the keystone in hypersonic passenger and transport aircraft of the future.

Follow us: @MailOnline on Twitter | DailyMail on Facebook

@Technogaianist , @C130 ,@Blue Marlin , @Vauban ,@Hamartia Antidote ,@F-22Raptor ,@Taygibay , @gambit , @Nihonjin1051 ,@Penguin et al. Your take on this.
Seems to me that our government,BAE and reaction engines will have to be patient since Skylon will cost a lot more than other during it's early days/launch, but costs will come down significantly more than almost any other rocket out there bar falcon. so we should be in it for the long run. Interesting times we live in. Cant wait to see how things will play out these coming years/2 decades from now.
rubbish, i dont buy it. reaction engines are doing an amazing job keep going . articles like this dont do them any justice and hold any weight. 50 quid says this article is paid of by space x. ula is going to lose a $800 million contract from usaf as the rd180 engine from russia will be banned due to lobbying from congress. and who will fill in the void? just after the falcon 9 will resume launches. quiet strange. he should have just retired after paypal and got drunk on a remote island and stayed there.
 
sounds like it would take a lot of investment to make this a reality. Falcon 9 is a reality right now and it keeps improving and becoming cheaper.

what are they marketing this for?? putting small satellites into LEO or commercial air travel??? the latter only makes sense if you want to fly from let's say the UK to Australia in less than a hour, but the cost to just fuel it would make the cost of a ticket insanely high.
 
I think we should ignore it because the report is from Bristol University. I think we should wait for a credible source like MIT etc. to publish the report.....
 
Blue Origins =, SpaceX (if the ULA doesn't find a replacement) and Aerojet Rocketdyne. @SvenSvensonov already answered this question:

https://defence.pk/threads/us-space-program-a-thread.380100/page-14#post-7677935

Efforts are underway to replace the RD-180

...

@mike2000 is back - I'm a space enthusiast, not an expert and hardly an expert on financial matters. So I can't vouch for the cost estimates, and I wont even try.

But right now this is flying:

wvpyfu1mkcqma8wrqgzr.gif


And this isn't:

PSC0913_SK_094.jpg


The Sabre engine is cool though:

PSC0913_SK_098.jpg


One is currently infinity more costly to launch then the other. Lets wait and see before comparing Skylon to Falcon 9 or Falcon 9 Heavy.

It's too early for Skylon.
RD-180 substitute is years away. ULA has only 9 RD-180s in stock at this moment. they'll all be gone by 2017 I hope.

big things are going to happen in 2017 as well. Falcon 9 Dragonrider will be sending up NASA astronauts to the ISS .
 
I think the restriction mentioned on what Spacex can launch is backwards. SpaceX isn't restricted to domestic launches...I think sensitive satellites developed by US companies are restricted to US based launches. That doesn't mean SpaceX has any restrictions. So saying Skylon would have no competitors is incorrect.
 
rubbish, i dont buy it. reaction engines are doing an amazing job keep going . articles like this dont do them any justice and hold any weight. 50 quid says this article is paid of by space x. ula is going to lose a $800 million contract from usaf as the rd180 engine from russia will be banned due to lobbying from congress. and who will fill in the void? just after the falcon 9 will resume launches. quiet strange. he should have just retired after paypal and got drunk on a remote island and stayed there.

I think so too. Reaction engines is doing a fabulous and revolutionary job since Skylon would operate like an aeroplane, taking off from, and returning to, a standard runway.
Moreover, even though i must confess it's expensive to develop( think of it as a new Airbus design) as i said earlier, it ought to be a good long-term investment because again, like an Airbus- a Skylon is designed to be used over and over again. Today's rockets can be used just the once.:agree: Therein lies the main advantage we will nave over our U.S counterparts(not withstanding the fact that Richard Branson is British. lol).

In fact, i will compare skylon to the aviation model,, because the idea as currently envisaged is that there would be a vehicle manufacturer (like an Airbus or a Boeing) that would sell Skylons to many operators (space equivalents of BA, Air France, Lufthansa, etc).:Dsomething like this one
_75169179_img_0033.jpg




_75168988_img_0035.jpg

To get telecoms satellites in position, Skylon would deploy a re-usable upper-stage propulsion unit
_75168986_img_0032.jpg

Even though it carries a smaller fraction of propellant, its bulk is still dominated by tankage
_68753874_68753873.jpg

UK Chancellor George Osborne (second left) sees the Sabre engines as a breakthrough technology
 
RD-180 substitute is years away. ULA has only 9 RD-180s in stock at this moment. they'll all be gone by 2017 I hope.

big things are going to happen in 2017 as well. Falcon 9 Dragonrider will be sending up NASA astronauts to the ISS .

You missed the most exciting news.... Elon is going to reveal his long awaited BFR/MCT architecture in September at International Aeronautical Congress ...
Raptor Engine............:smokin:
 
Last edited:
i am presently not in aviation design but i believe that though space-planes are the natural way to achieve earth-orbit, skylon is being over-complicated by its designers... the skylon project needs a fresh team with a different mindset.

it is not fair to use the unrealized skylon to compare with falcon 9.

with space-planes, "vertical take-off and landing" should be a design goal from the beginning, but skylon would need a big runway.

---

@Levina
 
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