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Solar - The Untapped Potential in Pakistan

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Solar - the untapped potential in Pakistan

By DR AHMED KIANI
Published: July 8, 2019

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ISLAMABAD: In the last few decades, energy demand has surged as a function of industrialisation, population growth, inhabitant density amplification, commercial activity intensification, enhanced space mobility, de-forestation, etc.

These factors are now linked to the economic development of nations through energy economics. However, global energy scaling is hindered by international climate control treaties such as the Kyoto Protocol (Japan, 1997) and numerous United Nations Climate Change Conferences over the years (COP21, France, 2015; COP22, Morocco, 2016; COP23, Germany, 2017 and COP24, Poland, 2018).

Member states from around the world are allotted year-on-year Green House Gas (GHG) emission mitigation targets for curbing the impact of global warming. These communal gatherings for emission consensus are a result of 0.2-degree Celsius projected rise in temperature per decade globally due to emissions in the next two decades.

US company to invest in Pakistan’s solar energy sector

Even so, if the concentrations of GHGs were not to change, rise in sea level and anthropogenic warming would occur for centuries.

Pakistan’s current energy mix includes fossil fuels (furnace oil, natural gas and coal) and renewables (hydroelectric power, wind and solar) across its geographical vertices. The country stands at 169th place in the Environmental Performance Index (EPI) out of the 180 countries included in the study.

Although past and present governments consistently claim supply-demand parity, what still remains unanswered is the lack of rural electrification due to a low transmission/distribution network spread or grid proximity (70% of Pakistan is rural and overall grid connectivity stands at 42% to date), high cost of well-to-consumer for a multitude of reasons (dilapidated development infrastructure, shortage of investment, lack of intrinsic resources, security, etc), rising fuel import bill, under-utilisation of existing power plant capacities, shortage of fuel transport civil linkages, to name a few. All of these sources of energy generation are dirty, especially coal, and except solar.

Solar is one such clean energy resource that has made strong headway in recent years. It is by far the most popular renewable energy resource relative to its peers due to its low operational/maintenance cost, ease of installation/use and zero GHG emissions. For a country like Pakistan, solar energy is particularly suitable due to its optimal geographical location. In comparison with many European countries, most cities in Pakistan receive about 1,500-2,500 hours of sun annually, which is twice more than that of Europe.

Balochistan is particularly rich in solar energy with annual mean sunshine duration of 8-8.5 hours per day and these values are one of the highest in the world.

Unfortunately, with the technology being clean, cheap and abundant and climate platform ideal, it is a surprise that solar adoption to this day remains low in Pakistan. With several policies being passed, frameworks introduced and consultancies being sought over the last 10+ years, we as a nation have not been able to fully maximise this energy source as a value addition to the national grid.

One of the main challenges comes not from government regulations, theft or mismanagement, but from the technology itself. Solar has the good fortune and a bad omen of being relatively easy to set up, compared to other renewables (such as biogas, hydro, wind, etc).

It is often commonly misconstrued as a do-it-yourself (DIY) exercise in Pakistan. Therefore, the price variation through over-customisation of solutions has rendered not only the end-user confused but also misinformed.

From street vendors in Rawalpindi to SMEs all are equally to blame for the muddle in the solar energy price control, incomplete installations, workforce misuse, misappropriation of public wealth, indecisive policymaking and unaccountable billing.The Quaid-e-Azam Solar Park is one prime example of such public-private partnership conundrum, which was hailed as a symbolic beacon of clean energy in the country.

Recommendations

From a policy standpoint, the government entities must adhere to the following recommendations for a successful renewable energy transition from the current energy climate of the country:

  • GHG policies and regulation: Government should promote and implement green energy policies for resource portfolio diversification, resource availability and accessibility, infrastructure development planning, socio-economic prosperity and social welfare, geopolitical affluence and long-term sustainability of the country.
  • Technology: This comes in two parts:
  1. Incentivise solar manufacturers by providing a conducive investment climate for product launch, marketing and awareness, logistical, operational, contractual, managerial and financial assistance in either a joint-venture partnership with local government/private entities or by allocating sole trader rights with long-term contracts.
  2. Incentivise consumers with green tax rebates and bonuses with net metering via upfront tariff by governmental regulatory procedures.
  • Infrastructure requirements: Facilitate installation of solar technologies by creating service, operation and after-sale maintenance procedures and protocols, in a transfer-of-technology strategy collaborated with international solar companies.
  • Target market segment: The network should target households rather than IPPs as is the failed approach to date. The segment of interest should be rural geographical settlements conducive to solar, as these would not only act as self-sustaining energy consumers but also energy sources forming point-size energy generators in the overall schematic of a micro-grid. These micro-grids would eventually connect to the main national energy grid and act as actual contributors of electricity.
  • Market regulators: The responsibilities of regulating bodies are restricted to electricity generation licensing, establishing standards and control for electricity generation and cooperating with regional/international consortiums for efficient supply of solar energy and upfront tariff pricing.
  • Assets & communication: Ownership, responsibilities, operations and maintenance responsibilities have to be dedicated and streamlined within a framework including solar manufacturers, green government entities, management, infrastructure upkeep, power sector and transport authorities, consumer welfare departments and customer care. All communication channels should be established for efficient running of the system where all participants are monitored for a successful delivery of service.
10,800 schools to convert to solar power
Pakistan can make use of this freely available and widely distributed solar energy for improving socio-economic conditions of the people living in remote areas and for reducing the poverty level. Harnessing the sun’s power is considered an attractive alternative because it is a renewable resource, causing zero pollution.

In contrast to conventional fuels, its use eliminates the need for refining, transporting and conveying fuels and power over long distances. If this potential is left untapped, we might never limit our emissions and remain fuel importers for decades to come.

The writer is a PhD in Engineering from the University of Cambridge, United Kingdom and is an expert in emerging technologies

Published in The Express Tribune, July 08th, 2019.

https://tribune.com.pk/story/2008369/2-solar-untapped-potential-pakistan/
 
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Sir ji industry lagwaoo idhar tu koi baat bany sab panels tu bus import manufacturing ourselves save the dollars plus cut the cost too

agar idhar industrian lgi hui hotin to aaj is mulk ki economy ka bera garak na hua hota.

On topic, I believe that keeping the future in mind; Pakistan should invest in atleast 3 industries and their R&D.

1) Battery manufacturing as in future these current batteries will become obsolete and they will have double capacity and will take a lot less time for charging

2) PV industry. In future the current PV efficiency of 17-22% will become obsolete and their efficiency will become double(in a decade)

3) Electric Vehicle manufacturing; This will help in reducing oil imports as well. And EV's are the future

There are many other things as well keeping the 4th Industrial Revolution in mind but that's another debate.
 
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Sir ji industry lagwaoo idhar tu koi baat bany sab panels tu bus import manufacturing ourselves save the dollars plus cut the cost too
Industry lagain gay tu kam karna paray ga. First locally produce and cut the cost and then ask people to adopt them.
 
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Sir that topic is of my interest and working on it for last 8-9 years batteries and both solar/wind did many post bus rehny hi dain.Just few days ago on PDF 2 articles shared one future batteries second increasing efficiency rates MIT research.Problem in our society very few dare to enter in new field (those who got resources ) even potential there .One request if u can start an permanent thread regarding 4th Industrial Revolution with Pakistani perspective political kachra par par ky damagh hil giya hai. @Verve @ps3linux bhai loog yeh bhi dekh lu also tag u both in above mentioned articles
agar idhar industrian lgi hui hotin to aaj is mulk ki economy ka bera garak na hua hota.

On topic, I believe that keeping the future in mind; Pakistan should invest in atleast 3 industries and their R&D.

1) Battery manufacturing as in future these cuurent batteries will become obsolete and they will have double capacity and will take a lot less time for charging

2) PV industry. In future the current PV efficiency of 17-22% will become obsolete and their efficiency will become double(in a decade)

3) Electric car/bus manufacturing; This will help in reducing oil imports as well. And EV cars are the furture

There are many other things as well keeping 4th Industrial Revolution in mind but that's another debate.
 
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Pakistan is blessed with a goldmine of solar energy, sadly our industrialists are too coward to enter into a new sector and start manufacturing solar panels. Heck it is not rocket science, go to alibaba you can find Chinese vendors selling the complete setup for manufacturing these panels. It just requires plenty of upfront capital.


Large tracts of barren, inhabitable arid land in Baluchistan can be turned into the energy hub of not only Pakistan but the region as well, but there is no thought or effort towards it.
 
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Sir that topic is of my interest and working on it for last 8-9 years batteries and both solar/wind did many post bus rehny hi dain.Just few days ago on PDF 2 articles shared one future batteries second increasing efficiency rates MIT research.Problem in our society very few dare to enter in new field (those who got resources ) even potential there .One request if u can start an permanent thread regarding 4th Industrial Revolution with Pakistani perspective political kachra par par ky damagh hil giya hai. @Verve @ps3linux bhai loog yeh bhi dekh lu also tag u both in above mentioned articles

Sir while I understand the solar energy potential of Pakistan, what I really love to see is some progress towards indigenous production capability for solar cells and batteries I am not talking about assembling the crappy products imported from the cheapest vendors in china. I keep mentioning people with money here are "creative impotent" and those with ideas/adventurism like you and few others I know don't have the stash to move in this direction.

Moreover, some research in improving the efficiency, localization of the solar panels. Research in High Density Batteries could be highly beneficial in the long run.

While solar electricity is based upon excitation of electrons (single/multiple) by photon is a good product the technology I am looking forward to see may be in my life time superconductors and electricity production (mass scale) through heat exchangers.
 
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A fantastic opportunity is to be had here. Homes could be self sufficient, businesses hooked up and generating power for themselves and others.
Links can also be made to farming.
 
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Whoever hits the market with domestic made solar panels will become a billionaire. If we can make them cheap (or even import without duty), we could revolutionise energy production in our country.
 
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@Verve and me discussing some ways.Making solar cells from scratch not possible for us (even do research on it too nothing extra complicated was in touch with Malaysian comapny) so discussing ways of increasing of efficiency rate lots cheaper for us and good experiment.ABout batteries rehny hi du visit many universities as working on both solar and wind i always mention real cost if on batteries other we can cover but batteries real issue.Offered many bhai do some experiment i dont want AGM simple lead acid battery ka kar du totally failed and universities i visited all engineering looks like they produce just ratta lagay gadhay not creative thinkers
Sir while I understand the solar energy potential of Pakistan, what I really love to see is some progress towards indigenous production capability for solar cells and batteries I am not talking about assembling the crappy products imported from the cheapest vendors in china. I keep mentioning people with money here are "creative impotent" and those with ideas/adventurism like you and few others I know don't have the stash to move in this direction.

Moreover, some research in improving the efficiency, localization of the solar panels. Research in High Density Batteries could be highly beneficial in the long run.

While solar electricity is based upon excitation of electrons (single/multiple) by photon is a good product the technology I am looking forward to see may be in my life time superconductors and electricity production (mass scale) through heat exchangers.
 
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@Verve and me discussing some ways.Making solar cells from scratch not possible for us (even do research on it too nothing extra complicated was in touch with Malaysian comapny) so discussing ways of increasing of efficiency rate lots cheaper for us and good experiment.ABout batteries rehny hi du visit many universities as working on both solar and wind i always mention real cost if on batteries other we can cover but batteries real issue.Offered many bhai do some experiment i dont want AGM simple lead acid battery ka kar du totally failed and universities i visited all engineering looks like they produce just ratta lagay gadhay not creative thinkers

Sir, an example of what we discussed.

https://www.e-education.psu.edu/eme812/node/537
 
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@Verve and me discussing some ways.Making solar cells from scratch not possible for us (even do research on it too nothing extra complicated was in touch with Malaysian comapny) so discussing ways of increasing of efficiency rate lots cheaper for us and good experiment.ABout batteries rehny hi du visit many universities as working on both solar and wind i always mention real cost if on batteries other we can cover but batteries real issue.Offered many bhai do some experiment i dont want AGM simple lead acid battery ka kar du totally failed and universities i visited all engineering looks like they produce just ratta lagay gadhay not creative thinkers

Bhai; here in Pakistan, unfortunately, research work is really pathetic.
These current lithium ion batteries will become obsolete in the future.

I shared an article here about the future batteries. Here is the link
https://defence.pk/pdf/threads/futu...ds-last-months-and-power-over-the-air.626027/

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Take a look at this article as well. The level of research work being done in the world on batteries is phenomenal. A battery revolution is about to happen.

A graphene breakthrough hints at the future of battery power


From laptops that charge in 15 minutes to electric scooters, the first round of graphene-based products could finally deliver on the promise of the much-hyped wonder material

Catch the 1E bus from central Belgrade, Serbia, and you’ll be riding the future.

The five Chariot e-buses that operate on this route are some of the first in the world to run solely on supercapacitors, a fast-charging alternative to batteries that could revolutionise how we store energy.

Instead of holding electricity as chemical potential, like a battery, supercapacitors (also known as ultracapacitors) store it in an electrical field, like static collecting on a balloon. Because there’s no chemical reaction going on, they don’t degrade like lithium-ion batteries, which rely on rare-earth metals and can end up in landfill after two years. This means that you can charge them much more quickly – a five minute charge for one of Belgrade’s buses can carry it up to 18 kilometres.

There are two reasons supercapacitors haven’t yet replaced batteries in our electric cars and electronics: they hold less energy in the same amount of space, and they can’t hold it for as long. A fully charged supercapacitor can leak down to empty in hours, rather than days.

That’s fine for a bus that can be charged at every stop, but less useful for a car that needs to run all day. But now, a host of researchers and start-ups are trying to make supercapacitors better. To do it, they’ve turned to one of the most hyped materials in history: graphene.

Read the rest of article here.
https://www.wired.co.uk/article/graphene-batteries-supercapacitors
 
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Industry lagain gay tu kam karna paray ga. First locally produce and cut the cost and then ask people to adopt them.
hit it on the nail. Investing in production of local panels is the way to go; I have installed around 10kw of panels myself and with around 10+ truck 28v batteries; completely off the grid for years.
 
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Bhai; here in Pakistan, unfortunately, research work is really pathetic.
These current lithium ion batteries will become obsolete in the future.

I shared an article here about the future batteries. Here is the link
https://defence.pk/pdf/threads/futu...ds-last-months-and-power-over-the-air.626027/

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Take a look at this article as well. The level of research work being done in the world on batteries is phenomenal. A battery revolution is about to happen.

A graphene breakthrough hints at the future of battery power


From laptops that charge in 15 minutes to electric scooters, the first round of graphene-based products could finally deliver on the promise of the much-hyped wonder material

Catch the 1E bus from central Belgrade, Serbia, and you’ll be riding the future.

The five Chariot e-buses that operate on this route are some of the first in the world to run solely on supercapacitors, a fast-charging alternative to batteries that could revolutionise how we store energy.

Instead of holding electricity as chemical potential, like a battery, supercapacitors (also known as ultracapacitors) store it in an electrical field, like static collecting on a balloon. Because there’s no chemical reaction going on, they don’t degrade like lithium-ion batteries, which rely on rare-earth metals and can end up in landfill after two years. This means that you can charge them much more quickly – a five minute charge for one of Belgrade’s buses can carry it up to 18 kilometres.

There are two reasons supercapacitors haven’t yet replaced batteries in our electric cars and electronics: they hold less energy in the same amount of space, and they can’t hold it for as long. A fully charged supercapacitor can leak down to empty in hours, rather than days.

That’s fine for a bus that can be charged at every stop, but less useful for a car that needs to run all day. But now, a host of researchers and start-ups are trying to make supercapacitors better. To do it, they’ve turned to one of the most hyped materials in history: graphene.

Read the rest of article here.
https://www.wired.co.uk/article/graphene-batteries-supercapacitors

That's what I intended to say that graphene based high density batteries are going to revolutionize charge storage, but I think somewhere else I mentioned whichever country succeeds in mass production of graphene sheets and carbon nanotubes will becomes the richest and most powerful in the world, the applications are unlimited.

Few weeks back I think I read an article about flouride based batteries breakthrough research.
 
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