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Shift in focus: Rise of Pakistan just a matter of time, says Morgan Stanley

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Pakistan is located in a region that will bring major changes in the world economy in coming decades primarily due to its demographics.

With over 100 million people below the age of 30 aspiring to change their lives, the rise of Pakistan is just a matter of time, Morgan Stanley Chief Investment Strategist David M Darst said on Tuesday.

“Demographics will play a major role in coming decades. Pakistan is among those nine countries in Asia that will add another China in the next 35 years and the impact of this change will be phenomenal on the world economy,” he said while giving a lecture on “The World Economic Environment: Where’s the Global Capital Going”.

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It was part of a special series of lectures that was organised by The Aga Khan University here at its auditorium.

With a young population of an average age of 22 years, “I believe the opportunities that the young entrepreneurs from Pakistan have are going to make an exceptional contribution to the economy of the region,” he added.

Darst, who is the author of 11 books and has a PhD in economics from Yale, said it is wrong to believe that Pakistan is lagging behind due to its proximity with Afghanistan, Iran and India. “In fact, I believe Pakistan is in the centre of Asian countries like Iran, Bangladesh, Vietnam and Indonesia that will significantly contribute in the world economy in coming decades.”

Speaking about the strong fundamentals of Pakistan’s stocks, he said, with 31% returns in dollar terms Pakistan led the world markets in 2014. “What is important is that the stocks in Pakistan are still very cheap compared to the markets in the industrialised world and they are performing better than many markets in terms of returns,” he added.

“I am surprised to see low number of investors in the bourses of Pakistan. This must change considering the strong fundamentals of Pakistani stocks.”

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Darst said women in the world are playing an important role in today’s world economy. The rise of the entrepreneurs from the developing world, especially women entrepreneurs, will also bring significant positive changes in this century.

Listing down the challenges to the global economy, he said though Pakistan and India have benefitted from the current sharp decline in oil prices, sudden fall in oil prices has rejuvenated fears of deflation in many countries.

He said Europe is redefining itself and the sharp changes in Europe can surprise the world at large.

Speaking on the challenges facing Europe in relation to Greece, he said the new elected prime minister of Greece could take decisions that may not go well with the euro and the overall economy of the continent.

Published in The Express Tribune, January 28th, 2015

Shift in focus: Rise of Pakistan just a matter of time, says Morgan Stanley – The Express Tribune
 
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Yes, Pakistan is a country of old civilization. The people of pakistan has lots of aspirations. They are the people who has skills. Pakistan can literally flowrish in small and mid size industries requiring skilled manpower if it can get rid of terrorism and corruption. Pakistan really need to invest in skill developments and infracture and education.
 
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Yes, Pakistan is a country of old civilization. The people of pakistan has lots of aspirations. They are the people who has skills. Pakistan can literally flowrish in small and mid size industries requiring skilled manpower if it can get rid of terrorism and corruption. Pakistan really need to invest in skill developments and infracture and education.

throughout the history, Pakistan was always a strategically located country in the region. Talent from all around Asia came to the region to try their luck, specially in Lahore region which was the center of Mughal empire. But for now those creative genes are dormant due to lack of competition in creativity, the only competition in Pakistan right now is creative ways of corruption and Lahore region is winning it. But, once the focus changes and we are able to control easy corruption money then only Lahore region will bring us out this dead state we are in right now.

No one will agree with me but I love history and how history shapes human.
 
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throughout the history, Pakistan was always a strategically located country in the region. Talent from all around Asia came to the region to try their luck, specially in Lahore region which was the center of Mughal empire. But for now those creative genes are dormant due to lack of competition in creativity, the only competition in Pakistan right now is creative ways of corruption and Lahore region is winning it. But, once the focus changes and we are able to control easy corruption money then only Lahore region will bring us out this dead state we are in right now.

Yes, Once Lahore was a very modern city and Hindus and Muslims lived to gather here. I watched a documentary stating an old man that it was a proverb in that time that if you have not seen Lahore, You have not seen anything. It has remained a center of freedom struggle also. Bhagat singh used to do his activity there. Slowly radical Islam took Lahore in its grip and finished Hinduism and converted Lahore into a city which it is today. If I get a chance, I would certainly like to visit Lahore and see its survived legacy of art and monuments.
 
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Pakistan is located in a region that will bring major changes in the world economy in coming decades primarily due to its demographics.

With over 100 million people below the age of 30 aspiring to change their lives, the rise of Pakistan is just a matter of time, Morgan Stanley Chief Investment Strategist David M Darst said on Tuesday.

“Demographics will play a major role in coming decades. Pakistan is among those nine countries in Asia that will add another China in the next 35 years and the impact of this change will be phenomenal on the world economy,” he said while giving a lecture on “The World Economic Environment: Where’s the Global Capital Going”.

931.jpg


It was part of a special series of lectures that was organised by The Aga Khan University here at its auditorium.

With a young population of an average age of 22 years, “I believe the opportunities that the young entrepreneurs from Pakistan have are going to make an exceptional contribution to the economy of the region,” he added.

Darst, who is the author of 11 books and has a PhD in economics from Yale, said it is wrong to believe that Pakistan is lagging behind due to its proximity with Afghanistan, Iran and India. “In fact, I believe Pakistan is in the centre of Asian countries like Iran, Bangladesh, Vietnam and Indonesia that will significantly contribute in the world economy in coming decades.”

Speaking about the strong fundamentals of Pakistan’s stocks, he said, with 31% returns in dollar terms Pakistan led the world markets in 2014. “What is important is that the stocks in Pakistan are still very cheap compared to the markets in the industrialised world and they are performing better than many markets in terms of returns,” he added.

“I am surprised to see low number of investors in the bourses of Pakistan. This must change considering the strong fundamentals of Pakistani stocks.”

1026.jpg


Darst said women in the world are playing an important role in today’s world economy. The rise of the entrepreneurs from the developing world, especially women entrepreneurs, will also bring significant positive changes in this century.

Listing down the challenges to the global economy, he said though Pakistan and India have benefitted from the current sharp decline in oil prices, sudden fall in oil prices has rejuvenated fears of deflation in many countries.

He said Europe is redefining itself and the sharp changes in Europe can surprise the world at large.

Speaking on the challenges facing Europe in relation to Greece, he said the new elected prime minister of Greece could take decisions that may not go well with the euro and the overall economy of the continent.

Published in The Express Tribune, January 28th, 2015

Shift in focus: Rise of Pakistan just a matter of time, says Morgan Stanley – The Express Tribune
Well first we need to get rid of TTP and BLA than it can and for sure happen
 
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We need atleast more than 6% growth rate till 2025.

if this year we indeed achieve 5%,than i am hopeful it will be possible to achieve 6% next year

the indications are telling that for fiscal year 2014 Pakistan GDP will grow by 5+% and inflation will be recorded also at 5+% and if it happens then GDP growth will In sha ALLAH hit 6+% in 2015 and by going this way I am sure in 2017 Pakistan GDP will grow by 8%.
 
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the indications are telling that for fiscal year 2014 Pakistan GDP will grow by 5+% and inflation will be recorded also at 5+% and if it happens then GDP growth will In sha ALLAH hit 6+% in 2015 and by going this way I am sure in 2017 Pakistan GDP will grow by 8%.

Hitting upto 6% is not a major problem for a developing country like Pakistan but sorry it will take us a decade of work to progress beyond 8%,Yes i am hopeful for 7% around 2018-19.
 
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Hitting upto 6% is not a major problem for a developing country like Pakistan but sorry it will take us a decade of work to progress beyond 8%,Yes i am hopeful for 7% around 2018-19.

Brother electricity shortage is costing us 2-3% of GDP growth every year and as PML N govt says that they will eliminate loadshedding i 2017-18 or will minimise it to very very low then I can expect Pakistan GDP to grow more than 8% every year.
 
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Brother electricity shortage is costing us 2-3% of GDP growth every year and as PML N govt says that they will eliminate loadshedding i 2017-18 or will minimise it to very very low then I can expect Pakistan GDP to grow more than 8% every year.

Well it will take atleast 2 decades to finish pakistan energy crisis.

PMLN govt does want to remove the energy crisis but it is not possible under this term,the best they can do is to bring it below 5hrs in major cities and beloe 7hrs in the rest of Pakistan
 
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Yes, Once Lahore was a very modern city and Hindus and Muslims lived to gather here. I watched a documentary stating an old man that it was a proverb in that time that if you have not seen Lahore, You have not seen anything. It has remained a center of freedom struggle also. Bhagat singh used to do his activity there. Slowly radical Islam took Lahore in its grip and finished Hinduism and converted Lahore into a city which it is today. If I get a chance, I would certainly like to visit Lahore and see its survived legacy of art and monuments.

You should stop watching Indian News channels. Lahore is still the most open minded city in the sub-continent.
Besides, if RSS and hindu nationalists cant hold India back how can fundamentalists hold Pakistan back.
 
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Huge Population is not favour to economy. How will we able to provide them job
It is. Huge population means huge room for growth.

Greater Population + Resources (Natural resources in case of Pakistan) = Greater growth.
 
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