What's new

Saudi Arabia Is Planning Record Crude Oil Production in July

raptor22

SENIOR MEMBER
Joined
Dec 8, 2011
Messages
7,064
Reaction score
9
Country
Iran, Islamic Republic Of
Location
Iran, Islamic Republic Of
Saudi Arabia Is Planning Record Crude Oil Production in July

Saudi Arabia is planning to pump a record amount of crude in July, embarking on one of its biggest-ever export surges to cool down oil prices, according to people briefed on the country’s output policy.

State oil company Saudi Aramco is aiming to boost production next month to about 10.8 million barrels a day, the people said, asking not be named discussing confidential information. That would surpass the previous high of 10.72 million barrels a day in November 2016, illustrating its unprecedented response to the pressure U.S. President Donald Trump has put on OPEC to supply more oil.

Record Breaker
Saudi Arabia is said to be planning to pump a record amount of crude in July

Saudi Energy Minister Khalid Al-Falih committed at last week’s meeting of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries to "do whatever is necessary to keep the market in balance" and prioritize its customers.

Saudi Arabia, the world’s largest oil exporter, told OPEC it pumped 10.03 million barrels a day in May. The actual production level in July will depend on demand for exports and domestic consumption, so could end up ranging between 10.6 million and 11 million barrels a day, the people said. Domestic oil use surges during summer months as the kingdom burns crude to generate electricity for air conditioning.

Saudi officials didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment.

Saudi Arabia is under pressure from the White House to pump more crude to alleviate high prices before he U.S. midterm elections in November. The administration is also pressing allies to end all purchases of Iranian oil by Nov. 4, potentially removing a significant chunk of the country’s 2.5 million barrels a day of exports from the market.

Price Gyrations
Trump’s motivation for pressing Saudi Arabia for more oil was evident in price gyrations on crude markets on Tuesday. Prices fell on the news that the kingdom would boost output, then rallied after the U.S. State Department revealed the full extent of the pressure it intends to apply to Iran’s oil industry.

West Texas Intermediate, the U.S. benchmark, rose above $70 a barrel for the first time in a month, jumping as much as 3.2 percent.

The president has publicly complained about OPEC policy and rising oil prices on Twitter. Moreover, U.S. lawmakers have resurrected the "No Oil Producing and Exporting Cartels Act," or NOPEC, which proposes making the group subject to the Sherman antitrust law that was used more than a century ago to break up the oil empire of John Rockefeller.

"Looks like OPEC is at it again," Trump wrote in mid-April in a post on Twitter. "Oil prices are artificially Very High! No good and will not be accepted!" He criticized the cartel again in May and after last week’s meeting.

Although OPEC gave no figures in its communique about the output increase and ministers offered contradictory estimates, Al-Falih said the total hike from the cartel and its allies -- including Russia, Oman, and Kazakhstan -- would be "closer to 1 million than to 600,000 barrels a day."

He declined to say last week how much the kingdom would pump in July, but promised a month-on-month hike in the order of "hundreds of thousands of barrels" rather than "ten of thousands."

Within 48 hours of the group’s meeting, U.S. Energy Secretary Rick Perry said the OPEC+ boost "may be a little short" of what’s required to prevent an oil price spike over the summer.

"Seven hundred thousand barrels a day is what they are going to, and we need about a million," he said. "Obviously, we have a market that is stressed from the standpoint of supply."

Al-Falih said on Sunday after the conclusion of the meeting between the OPEC and its allies that Aramco had the decision to boost output and was already ramping up shipments.

Data for early June compiled by Bloomberg showed a significant jump in exports from the kingdom, with shipments in the first 20 days of the month running about 500,000 barrels a day higher than the average for the whole of May.

If sustained, that would indicate the biggest monthly output increase in more than a decade and suggests that Aramco has already raised output this month to a level that’s higher than many in the market expected.

The Saudi state oil company is putting part of the extra production on storage, according to the same people. Aramco has tank farms within the kingdom, plus overseas in three strategic locations: Okinawa in Japan, Sidi Kerir in Egypt, and Rotterdam, in the Netherlands. Tanker tracking data for June shows a large uptick in Saudi oil shipments into Egypt.

.....

P.S: @VEVAK now I am totally on board with razing Saudis refineries and oil fields to the ground in any possible war scenario ....
 
Do you guys remember when back in the days president Ahmadinejad was threatening the world that "We are not going to sell you any oil"?
 
This is not Ahmadinejad era @raptor22, if they try to replace us, IRGC will cripple their oil production.
An old persian saying

دیگی که واسه ما نمی‌جوشه، سر سگ توش بجوشه

Persian gulf 2ill be their grave
 
oh they do it for iranian sanctions.. and I thought the oil prices will hit records..
 
This is not Ahmadinejad era @raptor22, if they try to replace us, IRGC will cripple their oil production.
An old persian saying

دیگی که واسه ما نمی‌جوشه، سر سگ توش بجوشه

Persian gulf 2ill be their grave

Wishful thinking.

Iran is pragmatic not impulsive, as long as it can sell enough oil to keep afloat it will not start a war.
 
They way I see it we have only 2 choices. Not 3. only 2.

1. Develop nukes and start a non nuclear war against saudi and UAE, while threatening anyone interfering with nukes. And threatening US with nukes if they dont remove sanctions.

2. Khamenei must leave the country and a pro US or at least a neutral government with good ties to US and Israel must be elected.

Otherwise they will never stop bullying us and we will fall eventually.

There is no other choice.
 
They way I see it we have only 2 choices. Not 3. only 2.

1. Develop nukes and start a non nuclear war against saudi and UAE, while threatening anyone interfering with nukes. And threatening US with nukes if they dont remove sanctions.

2. Khamenei must leave the country and a pro US or at least a neutral government with good ties to US and Israel must be elected.

Otherwise they will never stop bullying us and we will fall eventually.

There is no other choice.

You could view it that way but the argument of the United States falling into a bloody civil war before Iran potentially yields to US demands is another scenario that is seemingly becoming more and more likely.

Recent news here in the states is quite dire depending on your perspective but political lines here are become very distinct and dialogue between the sides is also becoming more and more vile threatening the unity of our Union. The media is also playing hard in drumming up the potentiality of a civil war of sorts being fought here on US soil, some say that a soft civil war is already well underway with the hot one coming soon.

Regardless you're right as far as Iran being constantly bullied by the US. The US only respects power that of which Iran only holds so much. Hypothetically one would assume nukes would help Iran but that would only bring unknown consequences and further serve to destabilize the region. My own opinion is that there should be some governmental reform which could help to further create stability given the fact that Iran's economic situation is increasingly getting dire. But above all if Iran is to go down the path of going against what the US hegemon has to say then prepare for more hardships along the way. Hopefully Iran can get better deals with China to at least stay afloat
 
They way I see it we have only 2 choices. Not 3. only 2.

1. Develop nukes and start a non nuclear war against saudi and UAE, while threatening anyone interfering with nukes. And threatening US with nukes if they dont remove sanctions.

2. Khamenei must leave the country and a pro US or at least a neutral government with good ties to US and Israel must be elected.

Otherwise they will never stop bullying us and we will fall eventually.

There is no other choice.

Go for number 2. Number 1 will fail
 
You could view it that way but the argument of the United States falling into a bloody civil war before Iran potentially yields to US demands is another scenario that is seemingly becoming more and more likely.

Recent news here in the states is quite dire depending on your perspective but political lines here are become very distinct and dialogue between the sides is also becoming more and more vile threatening the unity of our Union. The media is also playing hard in drumming up the potentiality of a civil war of sorts being fought here on US soil, some say that a soft civil war is already well underway with the hot one coming soon.

Regardless you're right as far as Iran being constantly bullied by the US. The US only respects power that of which Iran only holds so much. Hypothetically one would assume nukes would help Iran but that would only bring unknown consequences and further serve to destabilize the region. My own opinion is that there should be some governmental reform which could help to further create stability given the fact that Iran's economic situation is increasingly getting dire. But above all if Iran is to go down the path of going against what the US hegemon has to say then prepare for more hardships along the way. Hopefully Iran can get better deals with China to at least stay afloat
I hear those news too but I don't think anything is going to happen to US unity. What is most likely going to happen is US becoming more introverted and withdraw from most of the international treaties and communities just like it was before WWI. Which doesn't mean it is still not going to abandon its military adventures or interfering with other countries affairs as it has always done even before WWI.

Current situation is nothing new. Just after the revolution the exchange rate between Rial and USD changed from 70 Rials per 1 USD to 700 Rials per 1 USD. It really doesn't mean anything for a country that can supply most of its needs from internal resources. It is a hype that will take time to settle. Iran needs to navigate the waves for 1-2 years by tightening the economy or even introducing rationing just like war era until calm returns to society.
 
They way I see it we have only 2 choices. Not 3. only 2.

1. Develop nukes and start a non nuclear war against saudi and UAE, while threatening anyone interfering with nukes. And threatening US with nukes if they dont remove sanctions.

2. Khamenei must leave the country and a pro US or at least a neutral government with good ties to US and Israel must be elected.

Otherwise they will never stop bullying us and we will fall eventually.

There is no other choice.

Supreme Leader does not run the country in the traditional sense. Apparently you don’t understand how Iran’s power structure works.

The supreme leader is a MEDIATOR of all the power factions in Iran (which there are many). He belongs to the conservative camp and thus tends to rule towards conservative camp ideologies. However, he also has to keep all power factions in balance including his own such that no one gains too much power.

The single most powerful faction is the IRGC faction. There will be a coup before there is a friendly US government in Iran.

IRGC controls all major military assets (outside the airforce) IRGC umbrella controls upwards of 40% of the Iranian economy. Many powerful people in Iran are former IRGC personell and thus have loyalty to the group.

Furthermore, IRGC personell are being promoted into Artesh upper echelons to prevent any division between two sides.

So no, option 2 is unlikely. IRGC and Basij will not just rollover. They might decide to negotiate with the US eventually, but they aren’t magically going to leave Iran. That’s absurd.
 
Supreme Leader does not run the country in the traditional sense. Apparently you don’t understand how Iran’s power structure works.

The supreme leader is a MEDIATOR of all the power factions in Iran (which there are many). He belongs to the conservative camp and thus tends to rule towards conservative camp ideologies. However, he also has to keep all power factions in balance including his own such that no one gains too much power.

The single most powerful faction is the IRGC faction. There will be a coup before there is a friendly US government in Iran.

IRGC controls all major military assets (outside the airforce) IRGC umbrella controls upwards of 40% of the Iranian economy. Many powerful people in Iran are former IRGC personell and thus have loyalty to the group.

Furthermore, IRGC personell are being promoted into Artesh upper echelons to prevent any division between two sides.

So no, option 2 is unlikely. IRGC and Basij will not just rollover. They might decide to negotiate with the US eventually, but they aren’t magically going to leave Iran. That’s absurd.

As long as Khamenei is anti US and anti Israel. IRGC has to be the same. If Khamenei leaves and a new US and Israel friendly supreme leader is elected, then IRGC can be the same without losing face and power
 
Back
Top Bottom