Russia-Ukraine War - News and Developments

[Zibago]

Russian oil have no affect on US oil price, because it does not affect the stock level as much.

Current estimation for US oil import from Russia is 700,000-750,000 barrel a day, that may seems like a big number to you, but if you compare the daily US oil consumption, which is 18.2 million barrel a day, that number represent 0.02 or 0.03% of daily oil use in the US.

Use of oil - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)

The types and amounts of petroleum products consumed annually in the United States, and a list of the top 5 gasoline consuming states.

www.eia.gov

The reason of the price hike is more toward the European side, Nord Stream 2 suspension and eventually cancellation and the shifting of supply to Europe is the reason why the prices goes up, and sanctioning Russia oil and gas industry will not make it stabilise. The only way we can hurt the Russian Oil and Gas industry is for us and Saudi to increase oil and gas production. Which is being done now.

If and when US ramp up the production, that would soothe the demand, and price go down, and Russia can't sell shit because they no longer have the infrastructure to do so. They can try to dump it on China but China can only take a certain amount of oil and gas, they can't take them all.

So how will Americans treat Saudi demand of supporting them without conditions in Yemen and hushing up on criticism of MBS?

Insight: Saudi crown prince plays the oil card in quest for U.S. recognition

Saudi Arabia's crown prince says he simply doesn't care whether Joe Biden misunderstands him.

www.reuters.com

Ukraine crisis will have implications for both Yemen and Syria and there are so many directions where this could go

 

[Enigma SIG]

https://www.rt.com/news/551148-napoleon-hitler-lavrov-interview/

“The European Union has been shown its place. The Nord Stream 2 story has shown perfectly the real place that the EU has on the world stage,” Lavrov asserted.

 

[Vergennes]

A total massacre...

https://twitter.com/x/status/1499649888677732353

 

[Enigma SIG]

List of embargoes applied to Russia on consumer market(firms) and social(organisations):
(Pay attention to digital services and be careful not to be stuck with these apps/services.)

Apple Pay - full block
Apple - full exit from the market
Adidas - refusal to work with the national football team
Audi - not available anymore
AMD - banned the supply of microchips and soon the supply of video cards will be banned
Amazon - blocked all retail sales
Adobe - fully blocked
British Petrolium - their shares left Rosneft
BBC - cancellation of broadcast licenses
BMW - closes factories, blocks materials
Bolt - market exit
Boeing - exit from the market
Chevrolet - not available
Cannes Festival - block Russian delegation
Cadillac - not available
Carlsberg - export restriction
Cex Io - crypto platform bans ru users
Cinema 4D - application not working
Coca Cola - exit from the market
Danone exits the market with its subsidiary Prostokvashino
Disney - cancel all movies
Dell - exit
Dropbox - will stop working in the country in a few days
DHL - exit from the market
Eurovision - disqualification
Ericsson - exit the market
Exxon Mobil recalls all experts of Russian oil companies
Blocking all balances on Etsy - ru accounts
Facebook - Russian media account ban
FedEx - a complete ban on deliveries
Formula 1 - cancellation of the tournament in Sochi
Ford - closing all stores
FIFA - disqualification of the national team for the World Cup and prohibition of holding any international matches in the Russian Federation
Google Pay - partial blocking
Google Maps - blocked information for Russia
General Motors - suspends exports
HP - import ban
Harley Davidson - cut supplies
Instagram - blocking propaganda
Intel - microchip supply ban
Jaguar - out of the market
Jooble - removed the service and made a statement
KUNA - exit from the market
Lenovo - exit from market
LinkedIn - preparing for a full departure from the country
MOK - cancellation of all competitions
Mastercard - suspension of card production, closure of several banks
Maersk - stop deliveries to / from Russia - farewell equipment with Ali express and ASOS
Mercedes - outside the country
Megogo - deleted all Russian movies
Metro - layoffs of 10 thousand employees
Mitsubishi - dismissal of 141 service center employees
Microsoft Office - a wide variety of measures are discussed
Mobile World Congress - denial of accreditation for a delegation from the Russian Federation
NFT - currency blocks of users of the Russian Federation and the Republic of Belarus, the transfer of their money to Ukraine
NHL - full block for players from Russia
Netflix - block for Russian subscriptions, stop production of Russian TV series
Nike - close all stores
Nintendo - ban on buying in rubles
Nestle closes all 6 factories in Russia
OnlyFans - shutdown in the country
Paysera - blocking
PayPal - freezing accounts for withdrawals
Paramount - movie distribution block
Parimatch - franchise withdrawn
Play Station - payment could not be completed
Pornhub - ban on access to content
Porsche - Exit from Russia
Renault - exit from the market
Samsung payment - service blocking
Snapchat - exited the app in Russia and Belarus
Scania - exit from the Russian Federation
SpaceX - delivery of Starlink to Ukraine
Shell - termination of contract with Gazprom
Spotify - unable to pay for subscription
Sony - movie distribution block
Twitter - You cannot open an account for citizens of the Russian Federation
TikTok - massive ban of aggressive contents and propaganda
Toyota - layoffs of 2,600 employees
UEFA - St. Petersburg, the ban on participation of all clubs in the Champions League and Champions League, termination of the contract with the general sponsor Gazprom
UPS - a complete ban on deliveries
Visa - blocking of banks under sanctions
Volvo - withdraw from the Russian Federation
Yandex - exclusion of company shares from quotes on the NY stock exchange
YouTube - block hundreds of RF channels and their monetization
Warner Bros cancels all movie distribution
Webmoney - prohibition of transactions
Volkswagen - going out of the country
Zoom - revocation of software development licenses

 

[8888888888888]

 

[Madni Bappa]

The thing is that the US had laid the trap many years ago before Trump when its used to foot the bill of Nato which other members did not want to pay. This indicates that the US needed Nato more than Europeans themselves. The US has to have an enemy, a nemesis so it can always justify the need to maintain an expensive and large military. Hence, the reason keep pushing the boundaries further towards Russia. This is what military and strategic thinkers did.

However, Trump accendancy to presidency had done away with such arrangements. Being a businessman, he looked at the books and his approach to politics was highly transactional. This is why he put the US at odds with Nato member and pressured them to step forward to pay the bill. Prior to this the Europeans were in for a free lunch. This caused significant dents and fractures in Nato. Guess who was watching while this happened? Putin.

Europeans are equally dependent on Russia for a number of critical imports. Germany leads the EU and it is very comfortable with Russia. The Ukraine war has put it in a difficult position. Generally, whatever direction Germany takes, EU generally follows.

Now, lets assume Russia has played into the hands of the US and Nato and re-energised the bloc, then lets answer some of the following questions:

1) Who will fund Nato and to what degree? As I said, the US footed the bill when Nato was least needed and the Europeans had a problem with that. Now, if Russia's invation of Ukraine has spurred activity to increase and bolster Nato, well...that is not going to be cheap and the US will not foot the bill especially now that is playing catchup and the geo-economic and geo-political status quo is changing. My guess is, not many Europeans will be willing to pay this tall bill.
2) Then, if the EU is not willing to pay the Nato bill what relevance will Nato have? Europeans have come to like peace and will be keen to return to that state. Which is easier, pay for Nato or make peace with Russia? I am inclined to believe that there will be some who will opt for the latter.
3) If some Europeans decide to seek peace with Russia than what unity are we talking about in Nato? How will a disunited Europe be bound in Nato?
4) Germany would love to have this war end quickly so it can resume business with Russia. Its contributions to Ukraine are, honestly, lacklustre and for good reason. As I mentioned before, if Germany seeks peace with Russia then the rest of EU will follow.

This is what Putin senses and is gambling on. I am not rooting for him to win I am simply pointing out is strategy...his chess move. I dont know if this will pan out in the same way or not.

Russia does not want war with Nato, it will equally seek peace with EU once the Ukraine problem is dealt with. The US will have to choose its strategic competitor...is it Russia or China or both. It has resources to deal with only one.

That is why I belive the days of Nato are numbered and all this noise of re-engergising Nato and knee jerk reactions with sanctions are simply going to bite Europeans. It is too expensive to be in a cold war mentality.

I think the new guy Scholz doesn't quite understand this or Russia like Angela did.

Today I heard a speech made by a German parliamentarian that also highlights that Ukraine essentially is of no principal interest for European countries.

The present situation is essentially US seeking to prove a point against Russia for some reason and Russia saying enough is enough.

Your assessment rhyms with this:

Putin at multiple occasions has passionately stated that the Russians in 90s had given everything up, bent over backwards and literally humiliated themselves in front of Russian and world population to integrate themselves into the emerging global market economy at the time. But they were constantly otherized and treated with arrogance. If US and EU had made Russia a partner. Instead of ignoring it and treating it as a vanquished nation. We wouldn't be at such a crucial cross roads today.

 

[gambit]

The US has to have an enemy, a nemesis so it can always justify the need to maintain an expensive and large military.

This is a poorly thought out argument, which made it a bad argument.

The world is filled with ideas. Some are parallel. Some are contestant. An example would be when the US rebelled against the British Crown. The colonists have a different idea on how they should live. The Crown disagreed. They fought. The colonists won. Then the US came to be. But was the American colonists against the Crown the only contestant ideas at that time? Hardly.

Here is a list of 18th century conflicts that were about the same time as when the colonists fought against the Crown...

https://www.helion.co.uk/periods/18th-century.php

Today, despite a shared terrible past, the US-UK alliance is one of the world's strongest. The two modern countries have differences but not enough to go to war over. We can say that the US-UK are parallel ideas. The point here is that the US does not 'need' any enemy or nemesis because as long as someone else have a different idea on how to live and does not like the American way, there is going to be conflict. Ideas needs the human agency to survive and propagate. Whenever we encounter a different idea, we naturally recoil. It is a protective move. If I do not protect what I have, I will be changing my mind with every new idea I meet. So I have to initially reject what I just found. Then if I chose to examine the new idea, I will do so, and if I find the new idea attractive, I will change my mind. That is how we all want the world to work.

But not everyone is patient enough to allow others to change their minds, so they resort to conflict, which naturally make me resistant to change my mind. Convince me, not force. If I am powerful enough to resist force, that is your problem, not mine. Do not blame me for taking your believers if they happened to find my idea more attractive than yours. That attraction was why East Germans jumped The Wall or Cubans risked shark infested waters to float to the US. But we do not see West Germans jumped The Wall or Americans floated to Cuba, do we?

Regarding to what is happening today. Poutine have been in power in Russia since 2000. That is 22 yrs of preserving the Russia idea. But why? In those 22 yrs, Poutine got wealthier and wealthier while the Russians got nowhere. Poutine preserved, not improved. If Poutine had improved the Russia idea, maybe Ukraine would have petitioned Russia to share in that idea. Instead, Ukraine looked westward and Poutine got mad because this beautiful Ukrainian girl looked at another man. If you do not improve your house, why should she stay? If you do not improve your body, why should she make love to you? Have you looked at all the critical social and economic statistics for Russia lately? They sucks, and anyone would say that kindly.

The US do not need to 'have an enemy'. They always find US so we have to be ready to defend the America idea. You are free to create your own idea, but do not b!tch if your citizens starts eyeballing US.

 

[Zibago]

You have changed. Neither are you posting in the 'Pakistani models and actresses' thread anymore nor are you supporting Russia in its goal of de-Nazifying Ukraine and preventing NATO from installing nuclear missiles there nor are you supporting the Aurat March in Pakistan. When did you become a mullah ?

Lack of time even now I have multiple files begging for my attention on my table
I just comment on the political stuff now as commenting on that thread requires more thorough research to put it mildly

As for Russian or Ukranian goals Russia is using the same nature excuses US did to invade Iraq so I can't support it however Ukraine has also been horrible to its Russian citizens so its a bloody mess with both sides having a shady past

As for aurat march the leaders of that movement are just racist champagne socialists who have child slaves at home and they complain about women rights on road

That march is just a charba of anti Trump women march

I am just going to ignore it

 

[dBSPL]

33 people killed in a missile strike in Chernihiv, yesterday.

Spoiler: adult content

https://twitter.com/x/status/1499455753282899974

 

[Zibago]

List of embargoes applied to Russia on consumer market(firms) and social(organisations):
(Pay attention to digital services and be careful not to be stuck with these apps/services.)

Apple Pay - full block
Apple - full exit from the market
Adidas - refusal to work with the national football team
Audi - not available anymore
AMD - banned the supply of microchips and soon the supply of video cards will be banned
Amazon - blocked all retail sales
Adobe - fully blocked
British Petrolium - their shares left Rosneft
BBC - cancellation of broadcast licenses
BMW - closes factories, blocks materials
Bolt - market exit
Boeing - exit from the market
Chevrolet - not available
Cannes Festival - block Russian delegation
Cadillac - not available
Carlsberg - export restriction
Cex Io - crypto platform bans ru users
Cinema 4D - application not working
Coca Cola - exit from the market
Danone exits the market with its subsidiary Prostokvashino
Disney - cancel all movies
Dell - exit
Dropbox - will stop working in the country in a few days
DHL - exit from the market
Eurovision - disqualification
Ericsson - exit the market
Exxon Mobil recalls all experts of Russian oil companies
Blocking all balances on Etsy - ru accounts
Facebook - Russian media account ban
FedEx - a complete ban on deliveries
Formula 1 - cancellation of the tournament in Sochi
Ford - closing all stores
FIFA - disqualification of the national team for the World Cup and prohibition of holding any international matches in the Russian Federation
Google Pay - partial blocking
Google Maps - blocked information for Russia
General Motors - suspends exports
HP - import ban
Harley Davidson - cut supplies
Instagram - blocking propaganda
Intel - microchip supply ban
Jaguar - out of the market
Jooble - removed the service and made a statement
KUNA - exit from the market
Lenovo - exit from market
LinkedIn - preparing for a full departure from the country
MOK - cancellation of all competitions
Mastercard - suspension of card production, closure of several banks
Maersk - stop deliveries to / from Russia - farewell equipment with Ali express and ASOS
Mercedes - outside the country
Megogo - deleted all Russian movies
Metro - layoffs of 10 thousand employees
Mitsubishi - dismissal of 141 service center employees
Microsoft Office - a wide variety of measures are discussed
Mobile World Congress - denial of accreditation for a delegation from the Russian Federation
NFT - currency blocks of users of the Russian Federation and the Republic of Belarus, the transfer of their money to Ukraine
NHL - full block for players from Russia
Netflix - block for Russian subscriptions, stop production of Russian TV series
Nike - close all stores
Nintendo - ban on buying in rubles
Nestle closes all 6 factories in Russia
OnlyFans - shutdown in the country
Paysera - blocking
PayPal - freezing accounts for withdrawals
Paramount - movie distribution block
Parimatch - franchise withdrawn
Play Station - payment could not be completed
Pornhub - ban on access to content
Porsche - Exit from Russia
Renault - exit from the market
Samsung payment - service blocking
Snapchat - exited the app in Russia and Belarus
Scania - exit from the Russian Federation
SpaceX - delivery of Starlink to Ukraine
Shell - termination of contract with Gazprom
Spotify - unable to pay for subscription
Sony - movie distribution block
Twitter - You cannot open an account for citizens of the Russian Federation
TikTok - massive ban of aggressive contents and propaganda
Toyota - layoffs of 2,600 employees
UEFA - St. Petersburg, the ban on participation of all clubs in the Champions League and Champions League, termination of the contract with the general sponsor Gazprom
UPS - a complete ban on deliveries
Visa - blocking of banks under sanctions
Volvo - withdraw from the Russian Federation
Yandex - exclusion of company shares from quotes on the NY stock exchange
YouTube - block hundreds of RF channels and their monetization
Warner Bros cancels all movie distribution
Webmoney - prohibition of transactions
Volkswagen - going out of the country
Zoom - revocation of software development licenses

Oh no even pornhub

 

[Ali_Baba]

List of embargoes applied to Russia on consumer market(firms) and social(organisations):
(Pay attention to digital services and be careful not to be stuck with these apps/services.)

Apple Pay - full block
Apple - full exit from the market
Adidas - refusal to work with the national football team
Audi - not available anymore
AMD - banned the supply of microchips and soon the supply of video cards will be banned
Amazon - blocked all retail sales
Adobe - fully blocked
British Petrolium - their shares left Rosneft
BBC - cancellation of broadcast licenses
BMW - closes factories, blocks materials
Bolt - market exit
Boeing - exit from the market
Chevrolet - not available
Cannes Festival - block Russian delegation
Cadillac - not available
Carlsberg - export restriction
Cex Io - crypto platform bans ru users
Cinema 4D - application not working
Coca Cola - exit from the market
Danone exits the market with its subsidiary Prostokvashino
Disney - cancel all movies
Dell - exit
Dropbox - will stop working in the country in a few days
DHL - exit from the market
Eurovision - disqualification
Ericsson - exit the market
Exxon Mobil recalls all experts of Russian oil companies
Blocking all balances on Etsy - ru accounts
Facebook - Russian media account ban
FedEx - a complete ban on deliveries
Formula 1 - cancellation of the tournament in Sochi
Ford - closing all stores
FIFA - disqualification of the national team for the World Cup and prohibition of holding any international matches in the Russian Federation
Google Pay - partial blocking
Google Maps - blocked information for Russia
General Motors - suspends exports
HP - import ban
Harley Davidson - cut supplies
Instagram - blocking propaganda
Intel - microchip supply ban
Jaguar - out of the market
Jooble - removed the service and made a statement
KUNA - exit from the market
Lenovo - exit from market
LinkedIn - preparing for a full departure from the country
MOK - cancellation of all competitions
Mastercard - suspension of card production, closure of several banks
Maersk - stop deliveries to / from Russia - farewell equipment with Ali express and ASOS
Mercedes - outside the country
Megogo - deleted all Russian movies
Metro - layoffs of 10 thousand employees
Mitsubishi - dismissal of 141 service center employees
Microsoft Office - a wide variety of measures are discussed
Mobile World Congress - denial of accreditation for a delegation from the Russian Federation
NFT - currency blocks of users of the Russian Federation and the Republic of Belarus, the transfer of their money to Ukraine
NHL - full block for players from Russia
Netflix - block for Russian subscriptions, stop production of Russian TV series
Nike - close all stores
Nintendo - ban on buying in rubles
Nestle closes all 6 factories in Russia
OnlyFans - shutdown in the country
Paysera - blocking
PayPal - freezing accounts for withdrawals
Paramount - movie distribution block
Parimatch - franchise withdrawn
Play Station - payment could not be completed
Pornhub - ban on access to content
Porsche - Exit from Russia
Renault - exit from the market
Samsung payment - service blocking
Snapchat - exited the app in Russia and Belarus
Scania - exit from the Russian Federation
SpaceX - delivery of Starlink to Ukraine
Shell - termination of contract with Gazprom
Spotify - unable to pay for subscription
Sony - movie distribution block
Twitter - You cannot open an account for citizens of the Russian Federation
TikTok - massive ban of aggressive contents and propaganda
Toyota - layoffs of 2,600 employees
UEFA - St. Petersburg, the ban on participation of all clubs in the Champions League and Champions League, termination of the contract with the general sponsor Gazprom
UPS - a complete ban on deliveries
Visa - blocking of banks under sanctions
Volvo - withdraw from the Russian Federation
Yandex - exclusion of company shares from quotes on the NY stock exchange
YouTube - block hundreds of RF channels and their monetization
Warner Bros cancels all movie distribution
Webmoney - prohibition of transactions
Volkswagen - going out of the country
Zoom - revocation of software development licenses

Suprised(not) that Airbus have not pulled out of Russia !!!

 

[Basel]

Is this true?

 

[dBSPL]

Oh no even pornhub

Frankly, I did not make any edits in the content. Yes, there are some adult content related services as well. However, according to the general picture, they also aim to affect some of service sectors in Russia.

By the way, I hope most of these services are banned for my country as well. Because when we try to prevent/block it, they cry for internet , media freedom.

 

[Elias MC]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1499675600252018695

 

[Trango Towers]

Both Russia and Ukraine are on good terms with Pakistan
As a Pakistani this conflict doesn't suit us
The concerns of both countries is of no value to us and are issues they should resolve

Agreed war is bad and we have relations with both. Pakistan taking a neutral stance is good. You asked us about our positions. My personal position would not be the same as if I was the leader of Pakistan.
White people say one thing and do another. Learn baby learn. This is not an honest world brother ... sadly