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Russia-Ukraine War - News and Developments PART 2

Official footage from the Ministry of Defense showing Russian FAB-250 bombs exploding. Three FAB-250 bombs with UMPK modules were dropped on a temporary deployment point for units of the Ukrainian National Guard in the town of Pravdovka. The bombs were presumably dropped by a Su-34 aircraft. FAB-250 M-62 high-explosive bombs were adopted by the USSR in 1962. The bomb weighs 227 kilograms and contains 100 kilograms of explosives. When dropped from an aircraft at a speed of 800-900 km/h and an altitude of 10,000 meters, the FAB-250 M-62 bomb with the UMPK module flies about 80 km. The radius of destruction of the FAB-250 M-62 bomb is up to 116 meters, the deviation from the target is up to 10 meters.

 
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The Ukrainian medium intelligence ship Simferopol, built on the hull of the Project 502EM trawler, was damaged as a result of a Russian missile attack on the port of Odessa. The intelligence ship Simferopol, part of the 30th division of surface ships, was undergoing trials; the ship was launched in 2019. The ship's armament includes a 30-mm AK-306 artillery mount, a Melkhior electronic intelligence station, and imported wide-range direction-finding antennas. The Russian missile missed the ship and exploded nearby. Apparently, the ship managed to move away from the pier before the missile hit; as a result of the missile strike, a fire started on the Simferopol ship.

 
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Russian sappers showed mine traps that are found in Ukraine. Periodically, mine traps in Ukraine are duplicated several times, which can lead to the death of even an experienced sapper.


An episode of an attempt to counterattack by a Ukrainian armored group, Russian positions in the area of the village of Novotroitskoye in the Pokrovsk direction. The column, consisting of a T-64BV tank and two armored personnel carriers of an unspecified type, was moving towards the village of Novotroitskoye. Judging by the video, the lead T-64BV tank was blown up by a mine, after which the column stopped. It is reported that after the tank was blown up, Russian artillery began to work on the column

 
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Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy recently made a pointed remark regarding the fate of Russian President Vladimir Putinin the context of the recent fall of Bashar al-Assad's regime in Syria. He stated, "the brave Assad ran away to Putin. Where will Putin run away?" This statement underscores Zelenskyy's belief that the collapse of Assad’s government, which relied heavily on Russian support, signals significant vulnerabilities for Russia and its leadership.

Key Points from Zelenskyy's Statement​

  1. Assad's Regime Collapse: Zelenskyy highlighted that Assad's regime survived for decades through violence and oppression, suggesting that similar tactics are employed by Putin's government. He noted that both leaders are complicit in human rights abuses and that their regimes are interconnected.
  2. Putin's Vulnerability: By questioning where Putin might flee, Zelenskyy implies that the Russian leader could face similar consequences as Assad, especially as Russia's military capabilities are stretched thin due to its ongoing conflict in Ukraine. The recent developments in Syria could embolden opposition movements and highlight the potential for regime change.
  3. Call for Unity Against Oppression: Zelenskyy emphasized the importance of international unity in confronting authoritarian regimes. He argued that supporting Ukraine in its fight against Russian aggression also aids other regions struggling against tyranny.
  4. Human Rights Violations: The Ukrainian president drew parallels between the atrocities committed under Assad’s regime and those perpetrated by Russian forces in Ukraine. He pointed out that both regimes rely on a network of prisons and torture to maintain control, indicating a broader pattern of systemic violence.
  5. Implications for Global Politics: Zelenskyy’s comments reflect a growing sentiment among leaders in Eastern Europe that the fall of authoritarian regimes is possible and necessary for global stability. His statements serve as a warning to other oppressive governments that their time may be limited if they continue to engage in violence and repression.

Conclusion​

Zelenskyy's remarks encapsulate a pivotal moment in international relations, particularly regarding Russia's influence in the Middle East and its ongoing conflict with Ukraine. As the situation evolves, the potential for shifts in power dynamics remains significant, with implications for both regional stability and global governance. The call for unity against oppressive regimes resonates strongly as nations grapple with the realities of authoritarianism and its consequences on human rights and international peace.

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Footage of the attack of the Russian FPV kamikaze drone "Prince Vandal Novgorodsky", controlled via fiber optic cable. In the video, the FPV drone "Vandal" attacks the Ukrainian robotic platform "Lynx", with the installed combat module "Shablya". The ground-based wheeled drone "Lynx" is produced in Ukraine, it is equipped with the combat module "Shablya" with a 7.62 mm PKT machine gun. The unmanned platform "Lynx" can be controlled via cable or via Wi-Fi. The remotely controlled robot "Lynx" is equipped with boxes of ammunition for 250, 450 and 600 rounds. Judging by the video, at the time of the drone strike, the robotic platform "Lynx" was no longer active.

 
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The Russian Foreign Ministry has issued a statement indicating that Russia is preparing a massive retaliation attackagainst NATO forces in Ukraine in response to what it describes as aggressive actions involving Western long-range weapons. The ministry emphasized that this attack will not go unanswered, asserting that "appropriate measures will be taken."

Key Points​

  1. Escalation of Tensions: This announcement reflects a significant escalation in rhetoric and military posturing between Russia and NATO, particularly as the conflict in Ukraine continues to intensify. The mention of retaliation suggests that Russia perceives a direct threat from NATO's involvement in supporting Ukraine.
  2. Western Military Support: NATO countries have been providing Ukraine with military aid, including advanced weaponry, which has been crucial in its defense against Russian aggression. The Russian government views this support as an act of provocation, prompting their warning of potential military responses.
  3. Historical Context: Since the onset of the conflict in Ukraine in 2014, tensions between Russia and NATO have escalated, with both sides increasing their military presence in Eastern Europe. The situation has become more precarious following Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022.
  4. Implications for Regional Security: A Russian retaliation could have serious implications for regional security and stability, potentially leading to a broader conflict involving NATO member states. The situation remains fluid, and any military actions could trigger significant international responses.
  5. Diplomatic Efforts: Despite the escalating rhetoric, diplomatic channels remain crucial for de-escalation. However, the effectiveness of these efforts is challenged by the ongoing hostilities and mutual distrust between Russia and Western nations.

Conclusion​

The Russian Foreign Ministry's announcement of preparations for a massive retaliation against NATO forces underscores the heightened tensions surrounding the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. As both sides continue to assert their positions militarily, the potential for escalation into a larger conflict remains a pressing concern for international security. Monitoring developments will be essential as the situation evolves.

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Archival footage of an episode of a battle between Russian army special forces scouts and Ukrainian army units in the Serebryanskoye forestry. The video was filmed in the Luhansk region in the Krasnolimansk direction; it was not possible to establish which units were involved in the battle. Presumably, a Russian GM-94 hand-held multi-charge grenade launcher was used in the battle.

 
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In my humble opinion.

Russia has lost the war politically and strategically, regardless the thrust towards The Dnieper River seems unstoppable.

Attrition warfare is not in Russia's interest at all. Definitely the worst way to win the heart of Ukrainians. Russia original plan was a lightning war, but failed. Feel sorry for Russians.

The generals of Russia army and intelligence underestimated Ukraine, which is fatal.

Never underestimate your rival.


Putin credibility is further damaged by Syria affair. Already the chant is in the air, Bashar gone, Putin Next. The world does not like protracted war with no results and at one points soldiers on both side get tired and give up.
 
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Footage of the strike by the Russian FPV aircraft-type drone "Molniya-1" on the Ukrainian IFV YPR-765, produced in Holland. Technical information about the UAV "Molniya-1" in the link to the video in the comments to the video. YPR-765 was produced in Holland under license since 1974. It is not currently used by Holland. The video was filmed in the Donbass in the Toretsk direction. Presumably, the Ukrainian IFV YPR-765 was abandoned by the crew.


Ukrainian long-range kamikaze drones A-22 attacked the Russian building of the OMON "AKHMAT-Grozny" in the Chechen Republic in the city of Grozny. The strike was carried out using a Ukrainian light aircraft Aeroprakt A-22, converted into a heavy kamikaze drone. The Aeroprakt A-22 Foxbat aircraft has been produced by the Kyiv company "Aeroprakt" since 1999. The A-22 Foxbat drone can fly according to a given program, using satellite navigation, usually the flight is at a low altitude, the route is built in such a way as to bypass air defense zones. The modification of the A-22L2 aircraft is lightweight, which allows it to be used as a drone at a range of up to 2000 km, at a cruising speed of 130 km / h and equipped with additional fuel tanks. The estimated mass of explosives on board the aircraft is about 100 kg. Judging by the fact that the drones reached their target, the air defense areas were bypassed, and in Grozny, at the site of the drone strike, GPS signal distortion was not used.

 
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Russian Defense Minister Andrei Belousovhas stated that Russia must prepare for a potential military conflict with NATO in Europe within the next decade. His remarks were made during a Defense Ministry meeting on December 16, 2024, where he emphasized the need for readiness against what he described as an increasingly assertive NATO.

Key Points from Belousov's Statement​

  1. Preparation for Conflict: Belousov indicated that the Russian military's activities should be based on ensuring full readiness for various scenarios, including a direct confrontation with NATO. He cited decisions made during the NATO summit in July 2024 as evidence of the alliance's shifting doctrines that necessitate this preparation.
  2. NATO's Military Developments: The defense minister pointed to changes in NATO countries' military strategies and their support for Ukraine as factors contributing to heightened tensions. He noted that NATO's commitment to providing Ukraine with advanced military capabilities underscores the potential for escalation.
  3. Historical Context: This statement comes amid ongoing tensions between Russia and NATO, particularly following Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022. The conflict has prompted NATO to bolster its eastern defenses and increase military spending among member states.
  4. Western Response: In response to these developments, NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte has called for member nations to "turbocharge" defense spending, warning that European countries are not adequately prepared for the threat posed by Russia. He emphasized the need for a "wartime mindset" to address potential conflicts effectively.
  5. Casualty Estimates: During the meeting, Belousov claimed that Ukraine had suffered nearly one million casualties since the onset of the conflict, a figure significantly higher than estimates provided by Ukrainian officials and Western sources.
  6. Long-Term Strategy: The Russian defense minister's comments reflect Moscow's strategy of preparing for long-term confrontation, not only with Ukraine but also with NATO. This includes enhancing military capabilities and adapting to perceived threats from the West.

Conclusion​

Belousov's warning about the need for readiness against NATO highlights the escalating tensions between Russia and the Western military alliance. As both sides prepare for potential future conflicts, the geopolitical landscape in Europe remains fraught with uncertainty. The emphasis on increased defense spending and military preparedness on both sides suggests that the risk of confrontation may grow in the coming years, underscoring the importance of diplomatic efforts to de-escalate tensions.

 
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Russian President Vladimir Putin's statement about preparing for a possible direct conflict with NATO over the next decade is a serious escalation in rhetoric. This type of messaging reflects the growing tensions between Russia and NATO, particularly since the start of the Ukraine war in 2022.

Key Implications:​

  1. Military Buildup: Russia may increase its military modernization, focusing on nuclear deterrence, hypersonic weapons, and cyberwarfare capabilities.
  2. NATO's Response: NATO could interpret this as a call to further militarize its eastern flank, especially in countries like Poland, the Baltic States, and Romania.
  3. Geopolitical Tensions: This rhetoric could worsen diplomatic relations and limit any chance of negotiation or de-escalation.
  4. Economic and Sanctions Impact: Western countries might impose more sanctions or increase military aid to Ukraine as part of a broader strategy to weaken Russia's capacity to confront NATO.
Putin's statement may also serve as a strategic message for domestic audiences in Russia, reinforcing the narrative of a "Western threat" to justify internal crackdowns and sustained military mobilization.

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Assassination of Russia's chief biolab investigator, possibly Igor Kirillov, in a "Ukrainian-style bombing" is a significant development with potential geopolitical consequences. If confirmed, this event could escalate tensions between Russia, Ukraine, and Western powers.

Context:​

  1. Who is Igor Kirillov?
    • Kirillov was a senior figure in Russia's Nuclear, Biological, and Chemical (NBC) Defense Forces, often the spokesperson for Russian claims about U.S.-linked biological research in Ukraine.
    • He previously alleged that Hunter Biden's Rosemont Seneca Fund and George Soros' Open Society Foundations were involved in financing Ukrainian biological labs. These claims were widely circulated by Russian media but were dismissed as disinformation by Western sources.
  2. Assassination Tactics:
    • The use of a "Ukrainian-style bombing" likely refers to tactics seen in the deaths of figures like Darya Dugina and pro-Russian military bloggers, which involved car bombs or IEDs.
    • If confirmed, the assassination would likely be framed by Russia as a "terrorist attack" orchestrated by Ukrainian or Western intelligence services, following a pattern of accusations seen in earlier incidents.
  3. Geopolitical Consequences:
    • Russia may use this event to justify retaliatory actions against Ukraine or Western-linked targets, portraying it as part of a broader campaign of "terrorism" against Russian figures.
    • The reference to the biolab allegations ties this incident into a larger conspiracy narrative that Russia has pushed since the war in Ukraine began.
    • There may be an escalation in Russian strikes on Ukrainian infrastructure in retaliation for this high-profile killing.
This development could be pivotal if confirmed, especially given the symbolic weight of targeting a figure associated with sensitive biological and chemical defense programs. If you'd like, I can search for the latest details on this story or offer more analysis on its implications.

 
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Lieutenant General Igor Kirillov, the head of Russia's Nuclear, Biological, and Chemical Defense Forces, was killed in a bombing in Moscow on December 17, 2024. The explosion occurred when a bomb concealed in a scooter detonated near a residential building, also claiming the life of his aide.

Key Details​

  1. Circumstances of the Attack: The explosive device was triggered as Kirillov was leaving a residential area on Ryazansky Avenue. Eyewitness accounts describe the scene as chaotic, with debris scattered and emergency services responding rapidly to the incident.
  2. Recent Accusations: Just a day prior to his death, Ukraine's Security Service charged Kirillov with war crimes, specifically for allegedly using banned chemical weapons during the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. This accusation included documented instances of chemical weapon usage on the battlefield.
  3. Background on Kirillov: Kirillov had been under international sanctions due to his role in overseeing operations involving chemical weapons in Ukraine. He had served as head of the military's nuclear defense forces since April 2017 and was considered a prominent figure in Russia's military strategy.
  4. Investigative Response: Following the bombing, Russia's Investigative Committee launched an investigation into the attack. Forensic teams and investigators are currently working at the scene to gather evidence and determine the circumstances surrounding the incident.
  5. Significance of His Death: Kirillov’s assassination marks one of the most significant high-profile killings since Russia's invasion of Ukraine began nearly three years ago. It raises questions about security within Russia and potential retaliatory actions against those perceived to be involved.
  6. International Reactions: The incident has drawn attention from various international observers, particularly in light of Kirillov's controversial role in the conflict and the implications for Russian military operations moving forward.

Conclusion​

The killing of Lieutenant General Igor Kirillov is a notable event that underscores the ongoing volatility within Russia amidst its military engagements abroad. As investigations proceed, this incident may have broader implications for internal security and military strategy in response to perceived threats from both domestic and international actors.


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Following the assassination of Lieutenant General Igor Kirillov, head of Russia's Nuclear, Biological, and Chemical Defense Forces, rumors have emerged regarding potential plans by Ukrainian and Western intelligence services to target Vladimir Putinnext. This speculation comes in the wake of Kirillov's death, which was attributed to a bomb explosion in Moscow, reportedly linked to Ukrainian operatives.

Key Points​

  1. Assassination Details:
    • Kirillov was killed in an explosion caused by an explosive device hidden in an electric scooter as he exited a residential building in Moscow. The Ukrainian Security Service (SBU) has been credited with the operation, marking a significant escalation in the conflict between Ukraine and Russia.
  2. Implications of Kirillov's Death:
    • Analysts suggest that the killing of such a high-ranking official could represent a new phase in the Ukraine conflict, potentially prompting retaliatory actions from Russia. The assassination is seen as a bold statement by Ukraine, signaling its capability to strike deep within Russian territory.
  3. Rumors of Targeting Putin:
    • In light of this bold move, there are circulating rumors that Ukrainian and Western intelligence agencies may be considering further high-profile targets, including President Putin himself. This speculation reflects heightened tensions and the ongoing cycle of violence between the two nations.
  4. Responses from Russia:
    • Following Kirillov's assassination, Russian officials have vowed to retaliate against Ukrainian leadership, indicating that they view this act as part of a broader campaign against their military hierarchy. The Kremlin has emphasized that there will be "imminent retribution" for the attack.
  5. Context of the Conflict:
    • The assassination aligns with ongoing hostilities and strategic maneuvers on both sides as they prepare for potential negotiations. Both Ukraine and Russia are likely seeking to gain leverage ahead of any diplomatic discussions that may arise with the incoming U.S. administration under President-elect Donald Trump.

Conclusion​

The assassination of General Kirillov marks a significant escalation in the Ukraine conflict, raising concerns about further violence and targeted actions against key figures on both sides. As rumors about potential plans to target Putin circulate, the international community watches closely for developments that could impact regional stability and security dynamics in Eastern Europe.

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