Russia-Ukraine War - News and Developments PART 2

[vizier]

Selling defensive surface to air missiles to Russia which will be used to defend against atacms(or lrasm later on) will not be the same as selling tactical ballistic missiles that would directly kill Ukranian troops. So they cant make much noise about it if Iran sells something that can intercept atacms. Russia has BukM3 which has better known specifications to do this job and is used in Smo zones but if Iran has a similar system that can intercept such missiles they can sell those to Russia as well. In return if most missiles are intercepted by Russia then Russia wont do mass scale bombings in Kiev in return and do some proportional strike depending on the damage caused by atacms close to Smo zones. After 2 months time the negotiations will begin anyways when biden leaves office.

Worst case scenario is Usa allowing lrasm missiles that can reach Moscow to be used by Ukraine. Storm shadow, scalp and similar systems can theoretically reach Moscow with reduced payload and more fuel that is another scenario. These missiles are stealthy and difficult to intercept. Iran and China can sell shorad vehicles that can be stationed south of Moscow. These missiles combined with Russian missiles can make a dense air defense layer that lrasm cannot pass from south fired from Ukraine. That would deescalate the conflict. If most missiles are intercepted by Russia and no casualties in Ukrainian attacks then Russia wont do mass scale bombings in Kiev in return deescalating the conflict and do a proportional strike depending on the damage caused.

 

[AbdulQadir7]

Recent reports from Ukrainian intelligence indicate that Russian forces may be preparing to launch the RS-26 Rubezh missile from the Kapustin Yar launch site in Astrakhan, potentially targeting Kiev. Here are the key details regarding the RS-26 and its implications:

Key Features of the RS-26 Rubezh​

1. Range and Capabilities:
   • The RS-26 Rubezh has a range of up to 6,000 kilometers, making it capable of striking targets deep within Europe, including major cities like Kiev.
   • It employs a solid-fuel propulsion system, which enhances mobility and reduces launch preparation time.
2. Accuracy:
   • The missile boasts an accuracy of approximately 150 meters, allowing for precise targeting of military installations and strategic sites.
3. Warhead Specifications:
   • The RS-26 can carry a warhead weighing around 1.2 tons, which can be equipped with a nuclear payload or conventional explosives, depending on the mission requirements.
4. Deployment and Mobility:
   • As a road-mobile missile system, the RS-26 can be launched from various locations, making it harder to detect and target before launch. This mobility contributes to its survivability against preemptive strikes.

Strategic Implications​

• Increased Tensions: The potential launch of the RS-26 towards Kiev signifies an escalation in hostilities between Russia and Ukraine, particularly as both nations continue to engage in military operations amid ongoing conflict.
• Deterrence and Response: The capability to strike major urban centers with high precision raises concerns for Ukrainian defense strategies. It may prompt Ukraine to enhance its air defense systems or seek additional support from Western allies.
• Geopolitical Context: The use of advanced missile systems like the RS-26 highlights Russia's ongoing commitment to maintaining a robust strategic arsenal capable of projecting power across Europe. This development could influence NATO's response strategies and defense postures in Eastern Europe.

Conclusion​

The reports of a potential RS-26 launch towards Kiev underscore the heightened risks associated with the ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine. As both sides prepare for possible escalations, the international community continues to monitor developments closely, emphasizing the need for diplomatic efforts to mitigate tensions and prevent further military confrontations.

View attachment 1034543

On November 21, 2024, Russia launched an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) at Ukraine, marking the first time such a weapon has been used during the ongoing conflict. The missile was reportedly fired from the Astrakhan region and targeted the city of Dnipro, hitting critical infrastructure and enterprises in the area. This escalation comes in response to Ukraine's recent use of Western-supplied missiles to strike targets within Russian territory, including Storm Shadow missiles and US-produced long-range missiles

The Ukrainian military confirmed the missile strike and noted that it was part of a broader series of attacks that included various missile types, such as Kh-47M2 Kinzhal missiles and Kh-101 cruise missiles. Ukrainian air defenses successfully intercepted several of these incoming missiles during the assault

In light of these developments, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has urged citizens to remain calm and avoid panic amid fears of further Russian escalation. He emphasized the need for vigilance and support for the military as tensions rise following these significant military actions

Russia fires intercontinental missile at Ukraine https://p.dw.com/p/4nEBU?maca=en-Twitter-sharing

 

[vizier]

I dont think that Russia will use tactical nukes but there can be a false flag op as well before biden leaves office. After a dirty bomb explosion Usa can use this as an excuse to start cruise missile conventional bombing of Russian troops in Smo zones on behalf of Ukraine from Ukraine airspace. Zelensky can claim it is their doing to keep others away from direct conflict with Russia. That can result in Russia using strategic nukes on Ukraine or they can use emp detonation at upper atmosphere that would effect Romania, Poland and nearby countrys economies too.
Any tactical nuclear accusation should be throughly investigated to identify false flags.

 

[Novus ordu seclorum]

Moments before a Russian kamikaze drone intercepts
a NATO Mercenary unit operating in Kursk.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1858973146860450229

It flew inside the door like a bird.

 

[HaiderAfan]

so putler has been waiting 3 years to take out the ATACAMS?
Go home Putin, you’ve shown the world how weak Russia really is

Weak Russia results

On November 21, 2024, Russia reportedly launched an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) at Ukraine, marking the first instance of such weaponry being used in the ongoing conflict. The missile was fired from the Astrakhan region in southern Russia, targeting the city of Dniproduring a nighttime assault. This escalation follows Ukraine's recent use of long-range missiles supplied by the U.S. and UK to strike deep into Russian territory, prompting warnings from Moscow about potential retaliation.

Details of the Incident​

• Missile Launch: The Ukrainian Air Force confirmed the launch of an ICBM, asserting that it was aimed at crippling critical infrastructure in Dnipro. However, a Western official disputed this claim, suggesting that while a ballistic missile was indeed fired, it did not qualify as an ICBM. The exact type of missile used has not been clarified by either side.
• Other Attacks: Alongside the ICBM, Russia also launched several other missiles, including Kh-101 cruise missiles and a Kh-47M2 Kinzhal missile. Ukrainian air defenses successfully intercepted six of the Kh-101 missiles during this assault.
• Casualties and Damage: Initial reports indicated damage to a rehabilitation center for disabled individuals in Dnipro, but there were no immediate confirmations regarding casualties from the ICBM strike.

Context and Implications​

This incident is significant as it reflects a potential escalation in military tactics by Russia amidst an already intense conflict. The use of an ICBM—typically designed for nuclear payloads—raises concerns about the shifting dynamics of warfare in the region. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has urged citizens to remain calm and avoid panic as tensions escalate following this attack.The situation underscores the ongoing volatility in Ukraine and highlights the risks associated with the use of advanced military technology in modern warfare.

 

[Soldier35]

Ukrainian media published footage of a strike by Ukrainian Storm Shadow cruise missiles, made in England, on a building in the village of Maryino in the Kursk region of Russia. The strike was carried out on buildings on the territory of the estate of the princes Baryatinsky, it is unknown what is there. According to Ukrainian media, there is a communications bunker under the building. The second version of the media is that there were North Korean soldiers in the bunker. Judging by the video, there is no air defense in the area. Or the air defense is not equipped with radar to detect low-flying targets, this happens quite often. Why is this happening, the length of the front line is about 2000 km, the Russian army does not have enough air defense systems to cover all the facilities in Russia, since there are thousands of them. It is worth noting that no air defense can shoot down 100% of targets. Earlier, it was proposed to create an air defense belt around Ukraine, but it is unknown whether this was implemented. The video was filmed by a Ukrainian drone on November 20 and shortened. Judging by the video, about 10 missiles reached their target. At the end, the results of the missile strike are shown, but it is difficult to understand anything from them.

 

[Soldier35]

Ukrainian media reported that Russia used the RS-26 Rubezh intercontinental ballistic missile to strike the Yuzhmash plant in Dnepropetrovsk. This has not been officially confirmed. There is almost no information about the Russian RS-26 Rubezh missile system. The missile's range is about 3,500 km and the missile's weight is about 50 tons. The RS-26 Rubezh missile's warhead presumably has 6 separating warheads. The guidance system is autonomous and inertial. The video shows a truly unusual missile strike on Ukraine. The attack resembles something similar to strikes by separating warheads of an intercontinental ballistic missile. The missile's warhead was uncharged. There are media versions that conventional Iranian or North Korean missiles were used.

 

[RoadAmerica]

This is the joke

Russia hits 700,000 casualties in Ukraine says Britain

British intelligence reveals over 700,000 Russian casualties in Ukraine plus the destruction of 3,558 tanks, 147 helicopters, 132 fixed-wing aircraft, more than 8,500 armoured vehicles, 1,750 artillery systems, and 26 warships.

ukdefencejournal.org.uk

Casualties sound grossly inflated. Putin eagerly awaits Trump as President. Wonder why. He is in the driver's seat and Trump knows it. It is already a win for Putin because Trump has promised to meet him. At the moment he cannot travel to the West. The world will get to know the true picture of Ukraine's defeat when their territory shrinks.

I’d agree the kia/wounded is a bit inflated but the armor losses are spot on. The Russian economy is toast for decades, even China can’t help them.

Recent developments indicate that Ukraine has escalated its military operations by using UK-supplied Storm Shadow missilesagainst targets inside Russia for the first time. This action follows a significant shift in policy from Western allies, particularly the United States and the United Kingdom, allowing Ukraine to target Russian territory directly.

Key Points​

1. First Use of Storm Shadow Missiles: Ukrainian forces reportedly launched Storm Shadow missiles at Russian military targets, marking a notable escalation in the conflict. This comes after Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy had long advocated for the use of long-range missiles to strike deep into Russian territory.
2. Recent Authorization: The use of these missiles coincides with a recent authorization from U.S. President Joe Biden, who approved the deployment of American long-range ATACMS missiles against Russian targets just days prior. This shift reflects a broader strategy among Western allies to enhance Ukraine's military capabilities.
3. Targets and Impact: Reports suggest that the missiles were aimed at military installations in regions such as Kursk, which is near the Ukrainian border. The Storm Shadow is designed to penetrate fortified positions, making it effective against military command centers and munitions depots.
4. Response from Russia: The Kremlin has condemned these actions, stating that using Western weapons to strike within its territory constitutes a significant escalation of hostilities. Russia has warned that such developments could increase tensions and potentially lead to broader conflict.
5. Geopolitical Concerns: The timing of these missile strikes raises concerns about the potential for escalating conflict, especially with former President Donald Trump's return to office on the horizon. Some analysts fear that increased military actions could provoke a more aggressive response from Russia, leading to wider regional instability.
6. Public and Military Reactions: Ukrainian officials have emphasized their commitment to defending their territory and responding forcefully to Russian aggression. Meanwhile, there are calls for continued support from Western nations to ensure Ukraine can maintain its defensive operations.

Broader Implications​

• Potential for Escalation: The deployment of long-range missiles into Russian territory could provoke a stronger military response from Moscow, raising fears of a wider conflict.
• International Dynamics: The situation complicates international relations as Western nations balance their support for Ukraine with concerns about provoking Russia further.
• Military Strategy: Ukraine's use of Storm Shadow missiles signifies a strategic shift in its approach to countering Russian advances and may influence future military tactics on both sides.

Conclusion​

The reported use of UK-supplied Storm Shadow missiles by Ukraine against targets in Russia marks a critical escalation in the ongoing conflict. As both sides prepare for potential repercussions, the international community watches closely, aware that these developments could reshape the dynamics of the war and influence geopolitical stability in the region.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1859253924038922480

Ukraine has escalated….thats rich

I dont think that Russia will use tactical nukes but there can be a false flag op as well before biden leaves office. After a dirty bomb explosion Usa can use this as an excuse to start cruise missile conventional bombing of Russian troops in Smo zones on behalf of Ukraine from Ukraine airspace. Zelensky can claim it is their doing to keep others away from direct conflict with Russia. That can result in Russia using strategic nukes on Ukraine or they can use emp detonation at upper atmosphere that would effect Romania, Poland and nearby countrys economies too.
Any tactical nuclear accusation should be throughly investigated to identify false flags.

Take your meds

Weak Russia results

On November 21, 2024, Russia reportedly launched an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) at Ukraine, marking the first instance of such weaponry being used in the ongoing conflict. The missile was fired from the Astrakhan region in southern Russia, targeting the city of Dniproduring a nighttime assault. This escalation follows Ukraine's recent use of long-range missiles supplied by the U.S. and UK to strike deep into Russian territory, prompting warnings from Moscow about potential retaliation.

Details of the Incident​

• Missile Launch: The Ukrainian Air Force confirmed the launch of an ICBM, asserting that it was aimed at crippling critical infrastructure in Dnipro. However, a Western official disputed this claim, suggesting that while a ballistic missile was indeed fired, it did not qualify as an ICBM. The exact type of missile used has not been clarified by either side.
• Other Attacks: Alongside the ICBM, Russia also launched several other missiles, including Kh-101 cruise missiles and a Kh-47M2 Kinzhal missile. Ukrainian air defenses successfully intercepted six of the Kh-101 missiles during this assault.
• Casualties and Damage: Initial reports indicated damage to a rehabilitation center for disabled individuals in Dnipro, but there were no immediate confirmations regarding casualties from the ICBM strike.

Context and Implications​

This incident is significant as it reflects a potential escalation in military tactics by Russia amidst an already intense conflict. The use of an ICBM—typically designed for nuclear payloads—raises concerns about the shifting dynamics of warfare in the region. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has urged citizens to remain calm and avoid panic as tensions escalate following this attack.The situation underscores the ongoing volatility in Ukraine and highlights the risks associated with the use of advanced military technology in modern warfare.

View attachment 1034672

just wasting more money

 

[HaiderAfan]

Russian President Vladimir Putinhas announced that Russia is preparing for a significant missile attack on Ukraine, stating that civilians in Ukraine and citizens of other friendly states will be warned in advance to evacuate potential attack zones. This announcement comes amid escalating tensions following Ukraine's recent use of long-range missiles supplied by the U.S. and UK to strike targets within Russian territory.

Recent Developments​

• Missile Launches: On November 21, 2024, Russia launched what it claims to be a new type of missile against Ukraine, specifically targeting the city of Dnipro. This strike has been described as part of a broader military response to Ukraine's actions.
• Types of Missiles: While Ukrainian officials initially reported the use of an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM), U.S. officials indicated that it was likely an intermediate-range ballistic missile instead. This distinction is crucial as the use of an ICBM would represent a significant escalation in the conflict.
• Civilian Impact: The missile strikes have resulted in damage to critical infrastructure and civilian areas, raising concerns about the humanitarian impact of such military operations.

Putin's Statements​

In his remarks, Putin emphasized the necessity of warning civilians to minimize casualties during these operations. He framed the upcoming attacks as a necessary measure in response to what he termed aggressive maneuvers from NATO nations and Ukraine's military actions.

Contextual Background​

This development occurs against a backdrop of increased military activity and rhetoric from both sides. Recently, the U.S. has authorized Ukraine to employ long-range weaponry, which has prompted Russia to adjust its military strategy and nuclear posture. The situation remains fluid, with both nations on heightened alert as they prepare for potential escalations in hostilities.As tensions rise, international observers are closely monitoring the situation, particularly regarding the implications for regional security and humanitarian conditions within Ukraine.

 

[Novus ordu seclorum]

The Russian economy is toast for decades, even China can’t help them.

Why not. They can get everything they need from China. Russia has lots of gas and oil to sell.

 

[Akbar26]

Recent developments indicate that Russian forces are preparing to launch the RS-26 Rubezh intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) in a potential strike against Kiev. This escalation comes in response to Ukraine's recent use of Western-supplied long-range missiles, including Storm Shadow and ATACMS, targeting Russian military facilities.

Key Details​

1. Missile Specifications: The RS-26 Rubezh is a mobile ground-based missile system with a range of up to 6,000 kilometers and the capability to carry multiple independently targetable reentry vehicles (MIRVs). It is designed to evade missile defense systems and has a warhead weight of approximately 1.2 tons.
2. Launch Preparations: Reports suggest that the missile could be launched from the Kapustin Yar testing site in the Astrakhan region, which is strategically positioned to target Ukrainian territory while avoiding interception by air defense systems deployed closer to the front lines.
3. Russian Military Statements: Russian military analysts have indicated that the deployment of the RS-26 would serve as a significant warning to Ukraine and its Western allies. They suggest that this missile could be used as part of a broader strategy to exert psychological pressure on Ukraine amidst ongoing military operations.
4. U.S. Embassy Closures: In light of these threats, several Western embassies in Kiev, including those of the United States, Italy, Spain, and Greece, have temporarily closed due to security concerns about a "potential significant air attack." This reflects heightened fears regarding an imminent escalation in hostilities.
5. Ukrainian Response: Ukrainian officials have urged citizens to remain vigilant and heed air raid alerts while emphasizing that they are prepared for potential missile strikes. Despite the threats, daily life in Kiev continues, albeit with increased caution among residents.
6. Geopolitical Context: The situation reflects escalating tensions in the ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine, particularly as Ukraine gains access to advanced weaponry from Western allies. The potential use of the RS-26 missile underscores the risks of further escalation and the possibility of significant civilian casualties.

Broader Implications​

• Escalation Risks: The potential launch of the RS-26 ICBM could lead to a severe escalation in the conflict, prompting stronger military responses from both sides.
• International Reactions: The international community is closely monitoring these developments, with calls for restraint and diplomatic efforts to de-escalate tensions.
• Humanitarian Concerns: Should such missiles be used against urban centers like Kiev, there would be grave humanitarian implications, potentially resulting in widespread destruction and loss of life.

Conclusion​

The preparations by Russian forces to potentially launch the RS-26 Rubezh missile against Kiev mark a critical escalation in the ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine. As both sides brace for possible military actions, the international community remains watchful, aware that these developments could significantly impact regional stability and civilian safety.

View attachment 1034642

https://twitter.com/x/status/1859862205669474632

 

[Akbar26]

Russian President Vladimir Putinhas announced that Russia is preparing for a significant missile attack on Ukraine, stating that civilians in Ukraine and citizens of other friendly states will be warned in advance to evacuate potential attack zones. This announcement comes amid escalating tensions following Ukraine's recent use of long-range missiles supplied by the U.S. and UK to strike targets within Russian territory.

Recent Developments​

• Missile Launches: On November 21, 2024, Russia launched what it claims to be a new type of missile against Ukraine, specifically targeting the city of Dnipro. This strike has been described as part of a broader military response to Ukraine's actions.
• Types of Missiles: While Ukrainian officials initially reported the use of an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM), U.S. officials indicated that it was likely an intermediate-range ballistic missile instead. This distinction is crucial as the use of an ICBM would represent a significant escalation in the conflict.
• Civilian Impact: The missile strikes have resulted in damage to critical infrastructure and civilian areas, raising concerns about the humanitarian impact of such military operations.

Putin's Statements​

In his remarks, Putin emphasized the necessity of warning civilians to minimize casualties during these operations. He framed the upcoming attacks as a necessary measure in response to what he termed aggressive maneuvers from NATO nations and Ukraine's military actions.

Contextual Background​

This development occurs against a backdrop of increased military activity and rhetoric from both sides. Recently, the U.S. has authorized Ukraine to employ long-range weaponry, which has prompted Russia to adjust its military strategy and nuclear posture. The situation remains fluid, with both nations on heightened alert as they prepare for potential escalations in hostilities.As tensions rise, international observers are closely monitoring the situation, particularly regarding the implications for regional security and humanitarian conditions within Ukraine.

View attachment 1034679

Ukraine has fired British-made Storm Shadow missiles into Russian territory, marking a significant escalation in the ongoing conflict. Here are the key details:
Missile Launches

• Storm Shadow Missiles: Ukraine reportedly utilized Storm Shadow cruise missiles against targets inside Russia for the first time. This action occurred just one day after Ukraine deployed U.S.-made ATACMS missiles into Russian territory, targeting military facilities in the Bryansk region. Ukrainian Defense Minister Rustem Umerov has stated that Ukraine is committed to using all available resources to defend itself, although he did not confirm specifics about the missile strikes
• Russian Response: The Russian Defense Ministry confirmed that it intercepted two Storm Shadow missiles along with six HIMARS rockets and 67 drones. Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov condemned the missile strikes as a "new escalation" and criticized the Biden administration for allowing Ukraine to use American missiles against Russian territory

Context and Implications

• Escalation of Conflict: The launch of these missiles represents a significant shift in Ukraine's military strategy, as it seeks to counter Russian advances and target critical military infrastructure within Russia. The use of long-range missiles like the Storm Shadow, which can hit targets up to 250 kilometers away with high precision, underscores Ukraine's evolving capabilities amid ongoing hostilities
• International Reactions: This development has raised concerns among Western allies regarding potential escalations in the conflict. The Biden administration's recent decision to relax restrictions on Ukraine's use of long-range weapons has been met with apprehension, as it could provoke further retaliatory measures from Russia, including heightened nuclear rhetoric and military responses

Conclusion
The situation remains fluid as both sides navigate this new phase of conflict. The implications of Ukraine's missile strikes on Russian territory could significantly alter the dynamics of the war, prompting further military responses from Russia and potentially impacting international diplomatic efforts aimed at resolving the crisis.

 

[AbdulQadir7]

Serbian President Aleksandar Vucichas issued a stark warning to NATO, emphasizing that any military action against Russia using Western weapons could provoke a severe response from President Vladimir Putin. Vucic stated, "If you attack Russia with Western weapons and think Putin won’t respond, you either don’t know him or you’re abnormal." This statement reflects the heightened tensions in the region amid ongoing conflicts involving Russia and its neighbors.

Key Points:​

• Regional Tensions: Vucic's comments come at a time when Serbia is increasingly aligning itself with Russia, rejecting Western pressures and sanctions. His remarks underscore Serbia's position as a key player in the Balkans, where it has been bolstering its military capabilities.
• Military Buildup: Serbia has significantly invested in rearmament, becoming the largest military force in the Western Balkans. This has raised concerns among neighboring countries about potential aggression and destabilization efforts.
• NATO's Role: The warning highlights the delicate balance of power in Eastern Europe, where NATO's actions are closely monitored by countries like Serbia that maintain strong ties with Russia. Vucic's remarks suggest that any perceived threat to Russian security could lead to unpredictable consequences.
• Implications for Stability: The ongoing conflict in Ukraine and NATO's involvement have created a precarious security environment in the region. Vucic’s statements reflect fears that escalating tensions could lead to broader conflicts, drawing in multiple nations and alliances.

This warning serves as a reminder of the complexities of international relations in Eastern Europe and the potential for miscalculations that could lead to significant military confrontations.