consider the south korea has unbelievable territory request/ demand on Chinese land, its a must to pay a price to keep korea split apart.
Then so be it. There is no reservation about killing another half a million PLA troops on the other side. The modern advances in arms technology has made the job easy and cleaner.
what Russia main goal is no Nuclear weapons on the Korean peninsula and also selling their natural resources
There is nothing for Russia to sell to Kim Jong Il. It's the other way around; Russia demanding a repayment of $11 billion in outstanding debt. So that tells you whom the Russians expect to be in charge.
500k dead that's not an intervention that's all out war
500K+ is how many Chinese troops perished during the last war.
the korean war itself in the 50's saw less than 200k Chinese KIA
The figure used outside of China is 500K+.
in addition economic activity in china freeze= world wide depression
Not really, since Chinese are too poor to consume and there are other sources of labor, namely Vietnam and India.
Seoul is too close to the North Korean border.
Seoul contains over half the entire South Korean population. Kim Jong-Il is holding Seoul hostage, with his thousands of artillery pieces
There are only 300 artillery pieces with enough range to reach Seoul, most of which would be taken out in half a day. And the invasion into the North begins.
and with his nuclear weapons.
NK's nukes are too heavy to fit on a missile. It will have to be driven down by the ground vehicle, which will of course not make it across the DMZ because the nuke depot is so far away(It's near Chinese border).
That's why no one dares to respond when North Korea sunk the Cheonan (killing 46 soldiers) or when they bombarded that South Korean island with artillery shells.
Did you know that NK lost dozens of troops during that exchange, while the ROK Marine Corp lost two? One was returning from the port, and the other got bored and went out of bunker for smoke and then got hit by the shell. No troop in their combat position were injured.
Kim Jong-Il can take Seoul off the map within the first few moments of war.
No he can't.
If the North Korean regime collapses, then millions of Korean refugees will stream over the border into China, and many millions more will starve to death within North Korea itself.
This happens only if China decides to "intervene"; the whole thing would be over in a week if China does not, and minimum amount of refugees into China who would then eager to return.
If China decides to fight, then it will cost the lives of half a million PLA troops as well as trillions in economic losses for China. We are talking at least a 30% drop in China's GDP(Export, shipping blocked as the Yellow Sea turns into a war zone)
We will of course take all actions to protect our own national interests.
China's best interest is to stay put and watch the whole thing over in a week.
Of course this quick resolution would have the negative consequence of having a US airbase within an unrefueled combat radius to Beijing, as well as a US submarine naval base in the Yellow Sea in what used to be North Korea.
Don't worry, if NK does collapse in the future, then CCP will make sure that it will become a new province of China.
Or China itself could face the people's revolution as ordinary people rise up in the economic hardships during the second war.
We don't need 20 million refugees the solution is get rid of the Kims and install a Pro China Military junta
Since there is no such thing as pro-China faction within NK, the only way to do this is to send in PLA troops into NK, which then triggers the second war and half a million PLA troops perish in the attempt.
we use it as a bargining chip for a Neutral United Korea
Korea is always anti-China, whether it's North or South. There is no such thing as a neutral Korea. Remember, Chinese babies have no right to exist in North Korea, not even ROK shows that kind of hatred toward Chinese.
North Korea's mixed-blood baby policy.
Half-American babies? Ok
Half-Southeast Asian babies? Ok
Half-Japanese babies? Ok.
Half-Chinese babies? Terminated at birth.
, fact are no countries, not Japan, not Russia, not USA, not China, not India, not Pakistan will ever, ever support Korea having nuclear capabilities or testing an nuclear device(big repercussions) or transfer any of the most vital sensitive military tech to South Koreans(American goal is to keep South Korean military dependent forever), which is why there is not a true ally of North Korea after they made their underground atomic test, apart from China who was still supportive because of their past brotherly support in North Korea's liberation from imperialism, but i say that patience should also be limited, USA certainly will not ever want a nuclear capable Korean Peninsula and North Korea as of now have never proven they can miniaturize or deliver a nuclear warhead effectively yet and if they do this, they know they will even lost all support even from China, lets be honest, neither Japan, neither will Russia, or China will want Korea to ever attempt to create a nuclear device, so they will continue to work together on this issue, no one will give South Korea a free military leg up just because they start kissing American butt, in this sense North Korea keep their pride and integrity while South Korea is looking more and more like a loser and sellout everyday, i always say China's main threat is not India or anyone else, but should now clearly focus her security attention towards the American potential puppet states in the pacific, the pearl of string theory is proven false and sensationalist, by Indian scaremongers, in reality China real security threat are the puppet states to the east, no need for denial, these are facts, so extra focus is certainly now given to counter these threats.
