Reasons why AAP may yet return in Delhi

[Dem!god]

I know. Its not their fault. For them, basic survival is the most important thing.And parties like AAP try to take that advantage by offering freebies.

hey,...you are quick to catch on....good...

 

[ranjeet]

Hardcore AAP members are mostly like zombies blindly believes in whatever AK says. But after the resignation drama he pulled He is not going to increase his target voters size. And whatever the vote share there is it's going to erode.

 

[kaykay]

This is just one side of story. Other side of story is that those 'confused' voters who gave Kejriwal a chance in hope of some good will no longer find this 'dharna' guy capable of 'governing' a govt. So all in all he will get no more support than he already has but he might lose some for sure.

 

[Dem!god]

Why u say so?

Middle class ne kya ukhaad liya, jo lower class ne nahi kiya

middle class kutch nai ukhadd pata kyun ki lower class yaha itne jayada hai....aur middle class vote nai deta..oops...

 

[Levina]

I am not entitled to say that..but they generally vote without thinking......

No I guess they vote for ppl who influence them more.
If they get paid (like in tamil nadu) then they cast their votes for the party which paid them.
If they are brainwashed by leaders and made to believe that a particular party would give them more benefits then they for vote for such parties.
Its not about thinking I think its more about how they get influenced.

 

[Indischer]

No I guess they vote for ppl who influence them more.
If they get paid (like in tamil nadu) then they cast their votes for the party which paid them.
If they are brainwashed by leaders and made to believe that a particular party would give them more benefits then they for vote for such parties.
Its not about thinking I think its more about how they get influenced.

There's a big difference between politics of Tamil Nadu and what's currently happening in Delhi.

1. Delhi being a large city basically, there aren't pronounced regional and Caste divisions like in big states. The caste/creed card cannot be played by any Party like in other larger states.

2. In say Tamil Nadu, to a guy sitting in a far-off village, any developmental work/populist freebies given in Chennai city will have no bearing to his well-being. Not the case in Delhi, where the State is the City.

 

[Dem!god]

No I guess they vote for ppl who influence them more.
If they get paid (like in tamil nadu) then they cast their votes for the party which paid them.
If they are brainwashed by leaders and made to believe that a particular party would give them more benefits then they for vote for such parties.
Its not about thinking I think its more about how they get influenced.

that's my point....they do not think of what's behind the scene...most of us don't,.. and this is where we fail.....

 

[GURU DUTT]

A lot of people are writing off the AAP and its leader Arvind Kejriwal from the Delhi scene. While that may be the case, the Indian electorate is quite unpredictable and we cannot really know what the core voters are thinking in their minds and how they will cast their final vote.

Some factors which could go in AAP’s favour in Delhi at least…

1. Kejriwal has captured the mindshare of Delhiites.

Some people may be disgusted with Kejriwal, but he sure has captured the imagination of many of the citizens who are tired of things not changing in Delhi. Freebies like electricity and water subsidies may well still work.

He still appeals to sections like the lower middle class who are tired of police brutality and autowallahs who think Kejriwal is sympathetic towards them. Even many people in Khirki Extension came out in support of vigilante minister Somnath Bharti.

2. The Ambani FIR and Jan Lokpal Bill will click.

Some AAP supporters are chuffed that only Kejriwal had the guts to file an FIR against powerful industrialist Mukesh Ambani whom he has accused of influencing the decisions of both the Congress and BJP.



Even the Jan Lokpal Bill, which has been dismissed as impractical and unconstitutional by critics, should have been given at least chance, it can be argued. Had it been shot down by the courts, then the AAP would have faced a lot of flak.

However since it wasn’t even tabled in the Assembly and Kejriwal resigned over it, he can claim the high ground over the issue.

3. Dr Harsh Vardhan is not charismatic enough.

Whether we like it or not, personalities matter in Indian politics. Jayalalitha, Mayawati, Mamata Banerjee etc are all very high-profile figures and extremely popular in their States. Harsh Vardhan seems like a well-meaning sincere man, but he is not charismatic enough.

Currently the personality of Kejriwal, for better or worse, towers over both Sheila Dixit and Harsh Vardhan and hence he may still fetch more votes.

4. Vote for both Kejriwal and Modi.

If the Assembly elections and Lok Sabha elections take place together, then the thought of “Modi for PM and Kejriwal for CM” may click with the voters. The Congress is down and out in both the State and Centre.

It’s a straight fight between the AAP and BJP and a confused voter may split her/his preferences. We don’t know much about the AAP’s Lok Sabha chances, but they may still have a fighting chance in the Assembly polls.

5. Last image: Both Congress and BJP looked bad.

Had Kejriwal quit after his dharna that brought Delhi to a standstill then that may have been the last image of him. However, people’s last image before the government falls will be that of both the BJP and Congress MLAs creating a ruckus all day and preventing an anti-corruption bill from being tabled.

In fact AAP had been at the receiving end on Twitter for many days with hashtags like #AAPDrama and #AAPCon trending. But on that day at least #AnarchistCongBJP was a top trend.

6. The means justify the ends.

While there are many charges of drama, anarchy, vigilantism, amateurishness etc against the AAP, there are no serious corruption charges against any of the leaders. The AAP has consistently stuck to their anti-corruption stand and the voters may still be thinking that the AAP deserves a longer stint.

Many movements in India have seen agitations, have been anarchist and have broken the law. The people of India have backed such movements in the past and there’s no surety that they will junk the AAP when they did the same.

7. Regional leaders get many chances.

Electorally Kejriwal may or may not emerge as a national leader but he is already a strong regional leader. And regional leaders do not disappear in a hurry as the rest of India will show you.

In UP, Mulayam Singh Yadav of the SP had a bad first term while Mayawati’s was lacklustre. Yet both of them were given majorities by the electorate in two subsequent terms. The electorate of Delhi have similarly given AAP an incomplete term and they may be tempted to give a full one now.

While at times Kejriwal looks like he is working in total madness, there may yet be a method in the madness and that’s something you and me can’t say.

Only the Delhi electorate will have the last say. We have been surprised many times in the past.

7 reasons why AAP may yet return in Delhi

100 baato ki ek baat ssab ji "kaath ki handiya ek baar charti hai baar baar nahi "

well AAP is supported by paid media , congress and maoist minded JNU types so its still 50 :50

and all those (muslims & so called secularists) who think they will not give Modi there no matter whats will give there vote to AAP still its a long way to go as for harsh wardhan he is not charismatick but knows how to stear peoples imagination very well and last but not the least onli BJP is the party whose supporters will vote for modi while those of others parties keep changing there stands


Thanks u

 

[utraash]

I think AAP will return in Delhi ..for sure......
let's see what will happen...

Being a Delhiwala I can say he does not hav gud chance to return in power ....... He project ed himself asm aadmi n his governance has benefited little to same aam aadmi. .... many started believing him as dramebaz......his sudden resign left the whole Delhi in complete chaos. .......
As per my understanding his tally wud b around 20 to 25 seats in next election. ......

 

[SarthakGanguly]

I believe AAP has a very good chance of coming back to Delhi. The immigrant population in Delhi(excluding Pandits and Sikhs) all support Kejru. It will be good if they chose this nut again. It will be nice to feel nostalgic about the industrious past of Delhi after a period of (say) 5 years - when all investment, factories, jobs leave Delhi. A similar feeling exists in Kolkata I guess - ah the Good ol'days

 

[livingdead]

Being a Delhiwala I can say he does not hav gud chance to return in power ....... He project ed himself asm aadmi n his governance has benefited little to same aam aadmi. .... many started believing him as dramebaz......his sudden resign left the whole Delhi in complete chaos. .......
As per my understanding his tally wud b around 20 to 25 seats in next election. ......

I think he will come back... people of India are more into style and symbolism than substance, and kejriwal has lot to offer to them.

 

[utraash]

I think he will come back... people of India are more into style and symbolism than substance, and kejriwal has lot to offer to them.

Believe me he will not be.... many people r not happy even who voted him..... thr r confused voters which bjp can encash now easily Harsvardhan has to fiercely put himself as an alternative leader of Delhi...... Bjp has gud chances but they totally banking on anti khoongress votes instead selling thr substance to public. .......

 

[Star Wars]

people of India are more into style and symbolism than substance.

And you figured that how exactly ?

 

[kbd-raaf]

He's definitely coming back, the man is an electoral genius. RIP Delhi's prosperity, it was good while it lasted. Long live the Socialist Republic of Soviet Delhi.

 

[livingdead]

And you figured that how exactly ?

by tapasya... I sit on my chair in lotus mudra and chant 'ohhhhhhhhhmmmmm' and things get clearer after every puff..