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Pakistan's turbulent politics
First days of the Raja
Jun 22nd 2012, 16:46 by S.S. | ISLAMABAD
The temperature in Pakistan’s hyper-activist Supreme Court must have reached boiling point after Raja Pervez Ashraf was chosen on June 22nd as the candidate of the ruling Pakistan Peoples Party (PPP) for prime minister. His predecessor, Yousaf Raza Gilani, was thrown out of the job this week by their Lordships.
The PPP had initially chosen Makhdoom Shahabuddin, an aristocratic former health minister, as the next prime minister, on June 20th. But by the following day it had to hurriedly ditch him, after a warrant was issued for his arrest. While he was health minister, the ministry approved the import of a huge quantity of a chemical that can be used to manufacture ecstasy pills and other narcotics. By Friday, instead of walking into Prime Minister’s House, Mr Shahabuddin was in court, seeking pre-arrest bail.
The choice of Mr Ashraf is deeply problematic. He is known to all Pakistan as “Raja Rental”, for presiding over deals which involved the government paying cronies to set up temporary or “rental” power plants, to plug the crippling shortfall in electricity supply, while he was energy minister.
The rental plants were often established with ageing equipment, though the government was charged for new gear, and the blackouts only grew. Rental power was deemed a “total failure” according to a Supreme Court judgment on the issue earlier this year, for producing high cost and insufficient electricity.
That verdict found that officials involved, including Mr Ashraf, had “violated the principle of transparency” and must be investigated by the anti-corruption watchdog, the National Accountability Bureau, to see if they were “getting financial benefits” out of the “scam”.
But more than the courts, the people of Pakistan will feel aggrieved at the appointment of a man whose ministry oversaw over a national disaster, pursuing questionable schemes while simply watching the problem grow. Mr Ashraf, 61, became known for continually predicting the imminent end of the electricity shortage, only to have to eat his words before unabashedly issuing a new rosy prediction.
In recent days, the relentless summer heat has triggered violent protests across Punjab, the province that houses over half the population, over the electricity shortages, which means that fans and refrigerators don’t work. There is misery for households while industry is being shut down.
Some in Pakistan see even darker clouds ahead. The appointment of Mr Ashraf will also not impress the military, which is the ultimate arbiter of Pakistan’s political process. The timing of the move on Mr Shahabuddin was seen as highly suspicious, not least by him. The Anti-Narcotics Force, which is headed by an army general, is pursuing Mr Shahabuddin.
Conspiracy theorists—which includes most people here—think the object is to force early elections or even create such chaos that an excuse will be found to impose an unelected government of technocrats, by the military and courts working together. Elections have to be called by March 2013 anyway.
The legal-political circus is set to continue, so Mr Ashraf’s tenure could be very short lived. Mr Gilani was disqualified from office by the Supreme Court for refusing to write a letter to the Swiss authorities to request the re-opening of dormant money-laundering cases against the president, Asif Ali Zardari, who also heads the PPP.
Mr Ashraf is expected by his boss, the president, to resist court orders. As the legal arguments now having already been exhausted with Mr Gilani, the court will probably give Mr Ashraf little time to comply before also dispensing with him. Then yet another prime minister will be needed. Pakistan can forget about any actual business of government getting done.
There are three options now.
1- Raja is charged on contempt, and circus goes on. Court should not do it, because 2 PM's is just too much.
2- The court writes the letter on it's own after forming a commission. good option.
3- Enough pressure is built on Zardari and government that they are forced to elections. Most commentators are saying that something might happen by October.
And on that Shahabuddin thing. Here's how the story is going on the media right now.
ANF was formed for countering narcotics, and hence has close cooperation with the world agencies and government. Shahabuddin was involved in exporting the drug, above the quota limit, hence also making it a international case. So, there was international pressure that a guy who is accused of exporting illegal drugs is made PM of the country. So the warrants were issued and all that took place.
I would go for option 4,
That is Supreme Court is too busy in dealing with existing cases and give a hearing date after 3 months. 1 hearing date and then another hearing date after 3 months again and then election time will be near.
Writing the letter is imminent but not humiliate the nation all over the world by disqualifying the second Prime Minister in a short period of time. Zardari to waise bhi besharami ki harkatain kar raha hai -- SC ko hi thora khayal kar lena chahiye
A hearing date would do nothing but just keep on dragging the issue unnecessarily. Either do it now, or just get a decision that when the piece of ***** departs from Presidency, action will be taken.
I think that SC 'ko apna hath hola rakhna chhiay hai'.
ISLAMABAD: Prime Minister Raja Pervez Ashraf defended on Saturday President Asif Ali Zaradri’s immunity, saying it would end the day after he leaves office.
His comments come after the Supreme Court on Wednesday gave the new prime minister two weeks to indicate whether he would ask Swiss authorities to reopen corruption cases against the president.
The issue has caused removal of Ashraf’s predecessor Yousuf Raza Gilani from office as prime minister on June 19 after the court convicted him of contempt in April for refusing to reopen the multi-million-dollar cases.
“He (Asif Ali Zardari) is the democratic elected President of Pakistan and as per law he enjoys the immunity as long as he holds the office,” Ashraf told reporters in Lahore.
When the new prime minister was asked what the government’s stance would be at the upcoming Supreme Court hearing on July 12, Ashraf reiterated the presidential immunity.
“All the legal experts have given us the same opinion… So we will see the matter from the same angle,” he said.
Analysts say the latest notice by the Supreme Court indicates the judiciary is unwilling to end a showdown with the government that could force elections before February 2013, when the administration would become the first in Pakistan to complete a full five-year mandate.
The allegations against Zardari date from the 1990s when he and his late wife, ex-premier Benazir Bhutto, were suspected of using Swiss accounts to launder $12 million allegedly paid in bribes by companies seeking customs inspection contracts.
The Swiss shelved the case in 2008 when Zardari became president.
But in 2009 the Supreme Court overturned a political amnesty that had frozen investigations into the president and other politicians, ordering that the cases be reopened.