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Post-sanctions Iran must focus on building a knowledge economy

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Post-sanctions Iran must focus on building a knowledge economy - Quartz

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In 1979, the Islamic Revolution rid Iran of over two and a half millennia of monarchy. It also led to a three-decade exodus of highly educated Iranians from the country. According to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), for over twenty-five years, Iran has consistently had one of the highest rates of brain drain in the world. As revealed by various World Bank reports, the annual emigration of at least 150,000 skilled individuals from Iran costs the country’s economy tens of billions of dollars per year. According to an oft-cited 2012 survey by the National Science Foundation, which is based in Washington, DC, 89% of Iranian doctoral students stay in the United States after graduation.

Last year, Bloomberg News’s Golnar Motevalli reported that “at least 40% of top-performing students with undergraduate degrees in science and engineering left the country to pursue advanced degrees.” This staggering statistic, due mostly to Iran’s high unemployment rate and lingering lack of job security (attributable at least partly to years of economic sanctions), came directly from the country’s National Elites Foundation, “a government-run organization that supports academically gifted and high-achieving students.”
While these issues have been simmering for decades, the administration of president Hassan Rouhani has been more forthcoming than its predecessor in combating and acknowledging this devastating reality. “In today’s world, a traditional economy cannot rival the world and we can compete with the world economy if we have a knowledge-based economy,” the Shana news agency quoted Rouhani as saying last year.

Even Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Iran’s highest political and religious authority, agrees. The Supreme Leader has directed the government to offer “incentives” to attract investment from the millions of successful and affluent Iranians abroad in order to create a “foundation to attract the expertise and scientific capability of the diaspora towards national growth.”

The annual emigration of at least 150,000 skilled individuals from Iran costs the country’s economy tens of billions of dollars per year.

Still, despite understanding the importance of fostering a knowledge-based economy, the Iranian government has few avenues for transforming these good intentions into concrete practice.
Over 7,000 miles away, iBridges, a California-based non-profit dedicated to developing and growing the high-tech entrepreneurial ecosystem in Iran, may be part of the solution to this problem. A private initiative spearheaded by Iranian-American co-founders Kamran Elahian and Hamid Biglari and wholly unaffiliated with the Iranian government, iBridges is actively fostering and engaging an international network of entrepreneurs and investors hoping to collectively build the very kind of knowledge-based economy Iran so desperately needs.

Bridge to the future

Launched last year by a collective of successful Silicon Valley entrepreneurs and investors of Iranian extraction, iBridges held its first forum at the University of California, Berkeley, in Sep. 2014. According to the group, the inaugural event drew more than 1,700 attendees—physical and virtual—and “brought together thought leaders and seasoned entrepreneurs” to discuss the “opportunities and challenges” that Iran’s emerging tech industry holds for the country’s economic development.

This past June, iBridges held its second conference in Berlin, Germany, which the Financial Times described as “the biggest gathering of Iranians outside of the Islamic Republic in more than 30 years.” The three-day convening built upon last year’s success, attracting Iranian expatriates, emerging entrepreneurs, and foreign investors in huge numbers. Eyeing a now-secured breakthrough in nuclear negotiations between Iran and the six world powers, attendees flocked to Germany to explore the possibilities, prospects, and pitfalls facing Iran’s burgeoning technology sector.

The event not only highlighted iBridges’s commitment to accelerating the growth of an innovation economy in Iran, but also contained the seeds of its potential success. Among the attendees at the Berlin conference was prominent Silicon Valley venture capitalist Dave McClure, who suggested the possibility of US-based financial support for Iran’s tech sector. In an interview with The Guardian, McClure was quoted as saying, “If the country opens up and relations are restored with the US and other parts of the world, I think there is going to be a lot of economic growth. Definitely there are many interesting possibilities for tech startups, too.”
American sanctions against Iran, in place for decades, prevent US-based companies and organizations from doing business directly with the country. “Based on how US investment laws are structured right now,” explained McClure, “it’s not possible for investors like me to invest directly in startups in Iran but we are optimistic that may change in the near future if relations are normalized.”

Moving away from an oil economy

For over a century, the Iranian economy has relied heavily, if not almost exclusively, on oil revenue. In addition to being arcane and restrictive, this economic model is unsustainable, as Iran’s oil and gas reserves, while ample, are finite and non-renewable. As reported by the Financial Times, during his address to the Berlin gathering, Elahian observed that an extraction economy like Iran’s “is sitting on a time bomb.” In other words, future economic growth for the country will come not through fossil fuels, but rather through human innovation.

“The Iranian diaspora is a greater resource for the country even than oil.”

The Iranian government has long been wary of technology, as a potential vehicle for the West’s “cultural” invasion of the country. These days, however, the government has little choice but to embrace the technological revolution. A statement by a senior official in president Rouhani’s administration even described the iBridges conference as “a bridge between Iranian entrepreneurs across the world” that “will strengthen their scientific bases and enhance the confidence of those based in Iran.”

“This is particularly significant for the country because of the sharp decline in our oil revenues, which may continue falling in the coming years,” the statement added. “It will also help to slow down the brain drain from Iran and may even encourage some Iranians to come back.”

Rouzbeh Pirouz, who leads Iran’s top investment firm, Turquoise Partners, told Bloomberg earlier this month, “The Iranian diaspora is a greater resource for the country even than oil.”

Taking inspiration from China and India

But private, independent, foreign-based initiatives like iBridges cannot remake the Iranian economy alone. In order to compete in global and regional markets, the Iranian government must actively nourish and cultivate its ever-growing crop of tech entrepreneurs. When Iran’s minister of science, research, and technology, Reza Faraji Dana, addressed Iran’s severe emigration problem in Jan. 2014, he said, according to Al-Monitor, that Iran must provide “proper conditions for the return of experts to the country.” He referenced China as an appropriate model for Iran to follow.

Indeed, countries like China and India have been successful in attracting educated expatriates back to their home countries. But how have they done this and what made their diasporas eager to return home?
Their success can largely be attributed to the massive tech boom experienced by both countries in the last decade. Last year alone, Japanese telecommunications giant Softbank flooded the Indian tech ecosystem with a hefty $10 billion in investments. One Indian company, Flipkart, managed to raise $1 billion in investment in 2014. In 2013, Indian companies pulled in $1.8 billion in venture funding, according to a report from Ernst & Young. China surpassed the Indian subcontinent that year, attracting $3.5 billion in venture capital. Chinese e-commerce sales have also vastly outstripped their Indian counterparts, amounting to $300 billion annually compared to India’s $2 billion.

During this period of rapid growth, both China and India have witnessed an influx of highly skilled professionals, who previously lived and worked abroad and have decided to return home. As one study illustrates, a powerful combination of career, family, culture, and rapidly growing economies have drawn these highly educated individuals back to their home countries.

This phenomenon has been a boon for the Chinese and Indian tech sectors. In many cases, returning professionals have leveraged the practical experience and networking skills they obtained from working in the US tech world to build companies of their own. By managing to attract and retain these young, highly educated individuals, China and India have managed to effectively reverse their own histories of brain drain. In fact, China has now become the third most popular destination for international students around the world, after the United States and Great Britain.

“The situation in Iran is quite exceptional, there is a huge market for startups.”

Iran must learn from these experiences, particularly since the recent nuclear deal is driving foreign investors back into Iran. Already, there have been signs that the Iranian government is eager to invest in its domestic, entrepreneurial scene. In Dec. 2013, president Rouhani announced on Twitter that the government would invest $1 billion in a new Innovation and Prosperity Fund, which would build technology complexes throughout the country and inject capital to invigorate Iran’s nascent knowledge economy.

Some in Iran’s tech sector are already very optimistic. On the sidelines of the iBridges forum in Berlin, Hamid Mohammadi, co-founder of the popular and profitable e-commerce platform Digikala (often dubbed the “Iranian Amazon”), told The Guardian, “The situation in Iran is quite exceptional, there is a huge market for startups, something you can’t easily find in other countries, and maybe that’s why many of the Iranian diaspora are returning to Iran.”

Recent media reports confirm this trend. Earlier this month, Bloomberg quoted Ali Zuashkiani, co-founder of the Tehran-based International Association of Iranian Managers, as saying that Iran is seeing “a wave of return.” The association is described as “a networking initiative bringing together Iranian professionals inside the country and abroad.”

Prospects of partnership

As the Rouhani administration transforms words into action, apolitical, wholly independent organizations, like iBridges, can serve as useful private surrogates to help Iran replicate the policies and strategies used by China and India to jump start their tech sectors.

Already, many in Iran are hopeful the success of the nuclear negotiations will have positive effects on Iran’s economy. “This deal will result in many changes in the Iranian startup ecosystem,” Neda Golshan, an entrepreneur-in-residence at Sarava Pars, a Tehran-based asset management firm, told TechCrunch. With the easing and eventual collapse of much of the international sanctions regime against Iran, Iranian businesses will likely have greater, easier access to global commerce and new technologies, which will, in turn, “raise competition and lead to a more mature market,” according to Golshan.

Connecting foreign investors with Iranian innovators is the connective tissue iBridges provides. In this way, hubs like iBridges, which serve as catalysts for connections and collaboration, can help reverse the brain drain phenomenon and transform Iran’s thriving, yet nascent, startup culture. The increased visibility they provide for Iran’s market will generate more foreign investment; indeed, investors from Europe and Asia are already flocking to Iran.

If Iranian businesses and eager investors can take advantage of the resources iBridges has to offer and Iran can reintegrate into the global economy, the effects of successful, multilateral diplomacy would be more far-reaching than anticipated. Indeed, Iran would be back in business.
 
Big talk and few actions as always Middle Easterners!
 
Big talk and few actions as always Middle Easterners!

There is a very big difference between so called "middle easterners". For example, Iran is making great achievements in things like Stem cell, cloning, nanotech, laser, nuclear etc which can be used in industry (exports, services etc) to make revenues and your country cannot even manufacture a spoon.

Don't fool yourself by comparing yourselves to Iran just because you're across the Persian gulf to us. The reality is, Iran and saudi arabia are worlds apart. Iran is Iran. Don't mix us into these "middle east "group nonesense.
 

Well I am talking in terms of the industry, science etc and not the religious reasons. Comparing Iran to these other so called middle eastern nations (minus Isreal) in terms of science and technology is like comparing Germany to Somalia. That's not saying Iran has no problems. Ofcourse it does. The country is riddled with corruption and mismanagement and politics and religion is allowed to play monopoly with Iran too much. But regardless of that, Iran still has immensely more potential than any other country in that region. Does this mean I like the statue quo however? Heck no. I want a much more efficient ruling system in Iranian managerial positions like Economy etc.
 
Well I am talking in terms of the industry, science etc and not the religious reasons. Comparing Iran to these other so called middle eastern nations (minus Isreal) in terms of science and technology is like comparing Germany to Somalia. That's not saying Iran has no problems. Ofcourse it does. The country is riddled with corruption and mismanagement and politics and religion is allowed to play monopoly with Iran too much. But regardless of that, Iran still has immensely more potential than any other country in that region. Does this mean I like the statue quo however? Heck no. I want a much more efficient ruling system in Iranian managerial positions like Economy etc.

Honestly, I should say No. Israel is a different story from the middle east, but Iran, Saudi, Turkey, ... are all more or less in the same category. One is better in some areas, another one is better in other fields. Saudis have a couple of very good(good compared to the middle east, crappy compared to the 1st world) universities, and also annually send tens of thousands of students to US, and west. Iran had the same policy during shah era.
There is not much difference between these countries, and to be honest, even all of them combined, have no place in the world, in terms of science and technology.
 
Honestly, I should say No. Israel is a different story from the middle east, but Iran, Saudi, Turkey, ... are all more or less in the same category. One is better in some areas, another one is better in other fields. Saudis have a couple of very good(good compared to the middle east, crappy compared to the 1st world) universities, and also annually send tens of thousands of students to US, and west. Iran had the same policy during shah era.
There is not much difference between these countries, and to be honest, even all of them combined, have no place in the world, in terms of science and technology.

Sorry bro, but in this case I vehemently disagree with you. Although I would agree Iran is not in a position where Iranian should be elated about because Iran is light years away from its true potential. However, I completely stand by my initial statement that these other countries around Iran are nowhere near Iran in some regards like industry, science. But this makes me happy and sad, it makes me sad because it only makes me think what Iran could have been today if a more efficient system was in place. As for Iranian place in the world in terms of science, once again, although Iran is doing great in many fields like Stem cells, nanotech,, cloning etc, there is still alot of work to be done. Iran is still in its infancy, but still, relatively, it is much ahead that the ones around it.

I am frankly not interested in this Iran being 1st in the region nonesense because the region is nothing. Iran should strive to be among top in the world, and to be fair, there is work being done in that regard to reach those position in some fields.

I think we need to wait perhaps 10 years and see how the situation is. Right now, you may be reluctant to see Iran in a completely different light than these other nations, but lets wait and see what happens. I am optimistic we'll see great things.
 
Sorry bro, but in this case I vehemently disagree with you. Although I would agree Iran is not in a position where Iranian should be elated about because Iran is light years away from its true potential. However, I completely stand by my initial statement that these other countries around Iran are nowhere near Iran in some regards like industry, science. But this makes me happy and sad, it makes me sad because it only makes me think what Iran could have been today if a more efficient system was in place. As for Iranian place in the world in terms of science, once again, although Iran is doing great in many fields like Stem cells, nanotech,, cloning etc, there is still alot of work to be done. Iran is still in its infancy, but still, relatively, it is much ahead that the ones around it.

I am frankly not interested in this Iran being 1st in the region nonesense because the region is nothing. Iran should strive to be among top in the world, and to be fair, there is work being done in that regard to reach those position in some fields.

I think we need to wait perhaps 10 years and see how the situation is. Right now, you may be reluctant to see Iran in a completely different light than these other nations, but lets wait and see what happens. I am optimistic we'll see great things.

Dear, I understand your sentiments about Iran. But, you are wrong about the so called scientific/technologic progresses of Iran. I don't wanna involve in a discussion about these subjects, but reality is far away different from what they say in their media.
 
There is a very big difference between so called "middle easterners". For example, Iran is making great achievements in things like Stem cell, cloning, nanotech, laser, nuclear etc which can be used in industry (exports, services etc) to make revenues and your country cannot even manufacture a spoon.

Don't fool yourself by comparing yourselves to Iran just because you're across the Persian gulf to us. The reality is, Iran and saudi arabia are worlds apart. Iran is Iran. Don't mix us into these "middle east "group nonesense.

You are way into dreams and denial, or you pretend that you do believe in these dreams. That's the 3rd world best phrase to use "our potentials". They use it to kill their guilty feeling. We used to hear about Iraq's fantastic potentials, Egypt's undiscovered treasures, KSA's upcoming industrialization.....etc. You are all in one basket Middle Easterners. No one is going to really utilize any of these potentials for the coming 5-7 decades at least (if ever). All the Middle East has sunk into incurable corruption, regressions, and severe laziness for more than 1000 years. No serious signs of reforms are ever visible. Nothing but the usual propaganda, defensiveness, blaming the West and Zionism. Iran isn't the exception that you try to make here.
 
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You are way into dreams and denial, or you pretend that you do believe in these dreams. That's the 3rd world best phrase to use "our potentials". They use it to kill their guilty feeling. We used to hear about Iraq's fantastic potentials, Egypt's undiscovered treasures, KSA's upcoming industrialization.....etc. You are all in one basket Middle Easterners. No one is going to really utilize any of these potentials for the coming 5-7 decades at least (if ever). All Middle Easterners have sunk into incurable corruption, regressions, and severe laziness for more than 1000 years. No serious signs of reforms are ever visible. Nothing but the usual propaganda, defensiveness, blaming the West and Zionism. Iran isn't the exception that you try to make here.
It's not limited to Middle East. It's applicable to much of the third world. The next best phrase is "our politicians screwed us otherwise we could have been the best of the best" lol.
 
%99 of what the starting article says and %90 of all above comments are pure bull sssshit and comes from mouths of a inferiority complex ill brains... The middle east despite its apparent similarity has light years of difference among them...

The countries of ME and North Africa are very different in many aspects. They are different on so many levels. They are different politically, economically, scientifically, educationally, religiously, culturally. Putting the whole ME into one basket is as naive as putting all Europe into EU.

There are countries that there are no hopes for them to change so one day they become a part of pioneers of science and tech and civilization at world scale.

Actually, we can put them in categories:

1- Some of them have no positive prospects of change in them. Religion and culture plays the biggest role here. Some nations are so blind religiously and culturally that seeing them in war is something quite expected forever. Nations like Yemen, Afghanistan, Libya and recently Syria, Iraq, and Lebanon to some extend are prone to a continuous chain of war s and destruction. Nations that can not live in peace with their own countrymen just because they are Sunni, or Shia or Christian or Druze don't have TIME to even think about progressing and becoming a pioneer of science and tech that brings civilization with it. World through devastating civil wars learned that if you want to fight your own countrymen under the names of race, color, religion, ethnicity, political orientation and etc, there would be no END to that... So, soon or later, one nation must learn to live in peace and focus on progress. So in order to progress these nations need to find a way to put their simple differences a side and then focus on building instead of destroying. Only big nations have the strength to both involve in wars and progress at the same time which non of above mentioned nations are a part of.

2- Some of them, learned from history and chose to live in peace but never learned to wake up and become a builder. Most of this group are sleep in a desired dream of spending oil money and the world is heaven. These nations has non of needed elements to become a great pioneer nation. The problem is that they don't want to change their current position. This is why, Tribal monarchies are very much fit with their respected nations. These nations are wealthy today and poor tomorrow as their wealth is based on the price of oil in NYMEX or DGCX commodity markets. So, whatever trillions of dollars these nations make of their oil they never have the capacity no the potential to become a true pioneer and great nation in world scale.

3- Some of them are tribal monarchies but with no OIL to support their peaceful life. Jordan and Morocco are from this category. These have the capability to become a third hand knowledge based nations but never get too far due to their limited structural strength.

4- Another group of ME nations are those with limited capabilities and dreams. These are one of them best of ME although still a consumer of what world pioneers offer to them. Tunisia, Egypt, Algeria are in this group. Somehow UAE, Lebanon and Jordan also fit into this category. These nations never become any better than what they are today and specially are reluctant and sensitive to the main world orders. Their fate is not in their hands.

5- The last group contents Iran and Turkey and Israel. These three already passed successfully the miseries and are in the right path toward becoming pioneers. Israel lack enough population and land with lots of security issues that will play as obstacles, other than this, they are on the right track and can become a pioneer of civilization and progress in 21th century (only if they survive the apocalyptic existential threats though!). Turkey found the right path, trained enough work force and brains to progress, yet again has to face many security threats. Turkey has to deal once and for all with Kurd, Cyprus and MB agenda issues, other than this, will get slowed or stopped someday. Iran is a very unique case here. It has great ambitions, great resources, great brains and work force. Iran just recently in last couple of decades found the right path. Iran is very well trained to not only hold tight in face of cruel sanctions and imposed wars but also surpass it with a better situation. Among the three in this list, Iran is the only nation that has whatever it takes to become not only a pioneer in world scale but also one of the top of pioneers. Corruption and Western and Arab enmity are two threats that will slow Iran if not figured. Iran is correcting its mistakes. in 2015 Iran is on the right track and learned what to do to become a great nation again.

So, in my personal opinion, in 35 years from now (2050) we most probably see a major change in world pioneer nations list.

In 2050, Brasil, Russia, Indonesia, SK, China, India, Argentina, Mexico, Turkey, Iran and Poland are going to enter the list of 20 or 25 Advanced Pioneer Nations on earth. No, previously settled nations are going to get out of this list.

The inferiority complex is a curable illness, though the cure yet to be found!

Those who bring examples such as great Iraq or Egypt don't know the difference between real progress in science and tech and few simple show ups like what Saddam did...

When you call a nation as developing fast toward industrialization, you must look at everything in their country...

Countries who are truly changing into industrialized nations, managed to reduce the infant morality rates, improve their rates of access to clean water, sanitation, literacy, all sorts of industrial infra, access to utilities, birth rates, good health services, the number of educated work force, number of research centers, number of researches done, number of 21th century science research output, the strength of one nation in future sciences like biochemistry, biophysics, genetics, nano, stem cells, cloning, composites, modern weaponry, etc...

Iran for comparison managed to improve almost all above mentioned aspects in last 3 decades. Iran has managed to join the elite list of nations in many of modern sciences mentioned above... Iran managed to improve all above sectors while being under the harshest sanctions ever applied to a nation, Iran almost became an industrialized nation while being imposed by the longest war in 20th century by a maniac called Saddam and his honorable supporters (Arabs, East and West).... Today, Iran is on the verge of becoming the only great nation in the western half of Asia.

Iran has a very active armament industry that generate hundreds of thousands of knowledge-based jobs with billions of investment in industry. Iran has created a young but very active privately owned high-tech sector that will take the lead of industrialization and top level progress in less than a decade. A small Science and Tech Park in small city of Yazd with only 60 private high tech companies managed to export $45.2 millions of quality high tech products to the world in 2014 while we have around 9000 much bigger high tech companies. Last year, Iran managed to export $61 billions of non-oil products (14 petrochemical value added products, 12 billions of technological and engineering services, 35 billions of other products)... last year alone Iran had %20 growth in non-oil exports... Let us not forget that Iranian local market has a huge demand that most of high tech companies can not export due to huge internal demand for their products.

Remember that Iran managed to see all these advancements while being hit hard by sanctions and war. This is what a great nation means.

10 years ago, Iran was a nation solely dependent on OIL while having very diversified industries in action.. now in 2015 Iran managed to export more Non-oil products than oil itself... Now in 2015 Iran has more than 9000 high tech, knowledge based PRIVATELY OWNED companies working hard to invent, produce and create. In 10 years from now, the number of private high tech companies are going to be at least 30000 companies. Iranian defense industries are only gaining weight and size. Iranian automobile companies are waking up trying to correct their horrible mistakes by opening up to the experts. IKCO has hired million dollar experts to design better, to build more efficient and market its products better. Iranian government issued an order to buy Made in Iran products (more than 150 different industries and products)... The leader and the President issued fierce orders to confront and eliminate corruption in all levels of the country... Great Ayatullahs are issuing Fitvas to the people to donate their religious funds to high tech companies and research centers instead of religious centers..... A new wave of Iranian expats returning home is occurring today... Now, the Iranian common culture understands the importance of research and progress... The old generation of inferiority complex is dying and a new generation of Iranian are coming up to the stage... This new generation knows that he can... this generation don't give a FOOK about what inferiority brains says... They use their brains and sooner than many of you think Iran will revive again as the great Iran... a pioneer among pioneers...

So, if you are inferior by mindset, you better keep it to yourself and your children... We Iranians inside Iran woke up and will do the impossible as we already did many times... If you believe Western civilization is better, so you better stay there... change your names... teach your chilren to become gays and lesbians... teach them to make a child and then live as room mates than marrying... you can teach them that Islam is the religon of hostility (while most people are killed by Christians and Jews than Muslims throughout history!!)... You can teach your children to avoid ME...

I like millions of other Iranians prefer to keep our Shia Islam while working hard to become a pioneer nation...
 
%99 of what the starting article says and %90 of all above comments are pure bull sssshit and comes from mouths of a inferiority complex ill brains... The middle east despite its apparent similarity has light years of difference among them...

The countries of ME and North Africa are very different in many aspects. They are different on so many levels. They are different politically, economically, scientifically, educationally, religiously, culturally. Putting the whole ME into one basket is as naive as putting all Europe into EU.

There are countries that there are no hopes for them to change so one day they become a part of pioneers of science and tech and civilization at world scale.

Actually, we can put them in categories:

1- Some of them have no positive prospects of change in them. Religion and culture plays the biggest role here. Some nations are so blind religiously and culturally that seeing them in war is something quite expected forever. Nations like Yemen, Afghanistan, Libya and recently Syria, Iraq, and Lebanon to some extend are prone to a continuous chain of war s and destruction. Nations that can not live in peace with their own countrymen just because they are Sunni, or Shia or Christian or Druze don't have TIME to even think about progressing and becoming a pioneer of science and tech that brings civilization with it. World through devastating civil wars learned that if you want to fight your own countrymen under the names of race, color, religion, ethnicity, political orientation and etc, there would be no END to that... So, soon or later, one nation must learn to live in peace and focus on progress. So in order to progress these nations need to find a way to put their simple differences a side and then focus on building instead of destroying. Only big nations have the strength to both involve in wars and progress at the same time which non of above mentioned nations are a part of.

2- Some of them, learned from history and chose to live in peace but never learned to wake up and become a builder. Most of this group are sleep in a desired dream of spending oil money and the world is heaven. These nations has non of needed elements to become a great pioneer nation. The problem is that they don't want to change their current position. This is why, Tribal monarchies are very much fit with their respected nations. These nations are wealthy today and poor tomorrow as their wealth is based on the price of oil in NYMEX or DGCX commodity markets. So, whatever trillions of dollars these nations make of their oil they never have the capacity no the potential to become a true pioneer and great nation in world scale.

3- Some of them are tribal monarchies but with no OIL to support their peaceful life. Jordan and Morocco are from this category. These have the capability to become a third hand knowledge based nations but never get too far due to their limited structural strength.

4- Another group of ME nations are those with limited capabilities and dreams. These are one of them best of ME although still a consumer of what world pioneers offer to them. Tunisia, Egypt, Algeria are in this group. Somehow UAE, Lebanon and Jordan also fit into this category. These nations never become any better than what they are today and specially are reluctant and sensitive to the main world orders. Their fate is not in their hands.

5- The last group contents Iran and Turkey and Israel. These three already passed successfully the miseries and are in the right path toward becoming pioneers. Israel lack enough population and land with lots of security issues that will play as obstacles, other than this, they are on the right track and can become a pioneer of civilization and progress in 21th century (only if they survive the apocalyptic existential threats though!). Turkey found the right path, trained enough work force and brains to progress, yet again has to face many security threats. Turkey has to deal once and for all with Kurd, Cyprus and MB agenda issues, other than this, will get slowed or stopped someday. Iran is a very unique case here. It has great ambitions, great resources, great brains and work force. Iran just recently in last couple of decades found the right path. Iran is very well trained to not only hold tight in face of cruel sanctions and imposed wars but also surpass it with a better situation. Among the three in this list, Iran is the only nation that has whatever it takes to become not only a pioneer in world scale but also one of the top of pioneers. Corruption and Western and Arab enmity are two threats that will slow Iran if not figured. Iran is correcting its mistakes. in 2015 Iran is on the right track and learned what to do to become a great nation again.

So, in my personal opinion, in 35 years from now (2050) we most probably see a major change in world pioneer nations list.

In 2050, Brasil, Russia, Indonesia, SK, China, India, Argentina, Mexico, Turkey, Iran and Poland are going to enter the list of 20 or 25 Advanced Pioneer Nations on earth. No, previously settled nations are going to get out of this list.

The inferiority complex is a curable illness, though the cure yet to be found!

Those who bring examples such as great Iraq or Egypt don't know the difference between real progress in science and tech and few simple show ups like what Saddam did...

When you call a nation as developing fast toward industrialization, you must look at everything in their country...

Countries who are truly changing into industrialized nations, managed to reduce the infant morality rates, improve their rates of access to clean water, sanitation, literacy, all sorts of industrial infra, access to utilities, birth rates, good health services, the number of educated work force, number of research centers, number of researches done, number of 21th century science research output, the strength of one nation in future sciences like biochemistry, biophysics, genetics, nano, stem cells, cloning, composites, modern weaponry, etc...

Iran for comparison managed to improve almost all above mentioned aspects in last 3 decades. Iran has managed to join the elite list of nations in many of modern sciences mentioned above... Iran managed to improve all above sectors while being under the harshest sanctions ever applied to a nation, Iran almost became an industrialized nation while being imposed by the longest war in 20th century by a maniac called Saddam and his honorable supporters (Arabs, East and West).... Today, Iran is on the verge of becoming the only great nation in the western half of Asia.

Iran has a very active armament industry that generate hundreds of thousands of knowledge-based jobs with billions of investment in industry. Iran has created a young but very active privately owned high-tech sector that will take the lead of industrialization and top level progress in less than a decade. A small Science and Tech Park in small city of Yazd with only 60 private high tech companies managed to export $45.2 millions of quality high tech products to the world in 2014 while we have around 9000 much bigger high tech companies. Last year, Iran managed to export $61 billions of non-oil products (14 petrochemical value added products, 12 billions of technological and engineering services, 35 billions of other products)... last year alone Iran had %20 growth in non-oil exports... Let us not forget that Iranian local market has a huge demand that most of high tech companies can not export due to huge internal demand for their products.

Remember that Iran managed to see all these advancements while being hit hard by sanctions and war. This is what a great nation means.

10 years ago, Iran was a nation solely dependent on OIL while having very diversified industries in action.. now in 2015 Iran managed to export more Non-oil products than oil itself... Now in 2015 Iran has more than 9000 high tech, knowledge based PRIVATELY OWNED companies working hard to invent, produce and create. In 10 years from now, the number of private high tech companies are going to be at least 30000 companies. Iranian defense industries are only gaining weight and size. Iranian automobile companies are waking up trying to correct their horrible mistakes by opening up to the experts. IKCO has hired million dollar experts to design better, to build more efficient and market its products better. Iranian government issued an order to buy Made in Iran products (more than 150 different industries and products)... The leader and the President issued fierce orders to confront and eliminate corruption in all levels of the country... Great Ayatullahs are issuing Fitvas to the people to donate their religious funds to high tech companies and research centers instead of religious centers..... A new wave of Iranian expats returning home is occurring today... Now, the Iranian common culture understands the importance of research and progress... The old generation of inferiority complex is dying and a new generation of Iranian are coming up to the stage... This new generation knows that he can... this generation don't give a FOOK about what inferiority brains says... They use their brains and sooner than many of you think Iran will revive again as the great Iran... a pioneer among pioneers...

So, if you are inferior by mindset, you better keep it to yourself and your children... We Iranians inside Iran woke up and will do the impossible as we already did many times... If you believe Western civilization is better, so you better stay there... change your names... teach your chilren to become gays and lesbians... teach them to make a child and then live as room mates than marrying... you can teach them that Islam is the religon of hostility (while most people are killed by Christians and Jews than Muslims throughout history!!)... You can teach your children to avoid ME...

I like millions of other Iranians prefer to keep our Shia Islam while working hard to become a pioneer nation...

I did not read all of your post(I don't have time for that), but a couple of points:
If Iranian economy is so strong, industrialized and diversified, why it got quickly crippled by US sanctions?!!!
10000000 pages of rants, does not mean as 1 single action.
BTW, typical Iranians living in Iran, don't think in the way you do, so don't talk like you are the true representative of Iran.
You are bragging about non-oil exports, while gas, LNG, and petrochemical exports are categorized as non-oil exports!!! Still well above 80%+ of Iranian exports are selling oil/gas/minerals.
You bragged about IKCO, while they are bankrupt, while enjoying high custom rates on car imports. Remove customs for car imports, then we can see if IKCO can even survive for 2 weeks.
High Tech exports?!!! LOL
BTW, what's the difference between Sigheh Mut'a, and cohabitation? Just saying two sentences of Arabic non-senses is the only difference.
No one teaches another person to become gay or straight. It's not like gays have studied a minor on "becoming gay" in college.

I did not want to reply to your post, but with all due respect for you, it was really beyond madness.
 
Today, Iran is on the verge of becoming the only great nation in the western half of Asia.

Is the fantasy over yet? When can you realize for a second that pretending in front of outsiders about the well-being of yourself won't make things any better? Iran had the following ranking through 4 different international sources (by GDP per capita):

1. International Monetary Fund: Iran ranked 98th (while Namibia was ranked 91st and Jamaika 99th).
2. World bank: Iran ranked 99th (while Cuba ranked 83).
3. CIA World Fact Book: Iran ranked 100 (while Guyana 95 and Jordan 99).
4. United Nations: Iran ranked 92nd (while Colombia 79 and Turkemnistan 77).

If this is the ranking that Iran has got, I am sorry to tell you that the development of Iran hasn't started yet.

List of countries by GDP (nominal) per capita - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
 
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