What's new

Possible Russian S-400 sale to India and Pakistan's Response.

There is a problem, that China have buyed the S-400 but don't have the source code, of the radars and the active radar seeker algorithm.

@south block can you answer as sir @Basel have suggested -- huge number of loterring sucidal UAV just like heron.

One solution may be using HALE UAVs or other systems to detect location of system deployed and also doing SIGINT / ELINT, then use mix (UAVs, ARMs, MRBLs etc.) of systems to take out SAMS.

WS-2 Multiple Launch Rocket System | Military-Today.com

SY-400 Short-Range Ballistic Missile | Military-Today.com


YJ-12 ARM
 
.
first of all your not indian, your Colombian don't be ashamed of you ancestry. the s400's range is not 600km its 6000km, you forgot an extra 0, stupid Colombian.
radars
the range of the 48N6E2 is: 195 km - old and obsolete
the range of the 48N6E3 is 250 km - decent mid class ok
the range of the ELM-2090U is 500km - its an abm and used for strategic (large) assets


missiles
the akash is ancient we develop that thing in the 60's, there are in museums im talking about the blood hound sam
barak is a decent mid range naval sam
missiles
the 77n6-1 is not even ready yet there's only one battalion operational, and thats outside Moscow. not even export capable. its beyond mtcr regs. so if they do export it, the range will only be 350km max.

besides i heard otherwise, i heard india is getting the 48N6DM missile instead, why dont you enlighten us and provide a source instead of talking out of your @$$.

besides our aster blk30 will beat anything the Russians have to offer.
Aster-30_surface-to-air_defense_missile_system_MBDA_France_French_army_defense_industry_640_001.jpg
LOL just pointing that you are a Pakistani made you go all bonker posting stupid stuff, what's the reason for not accepting your identity or flag to ashamed :azn:
 
Last edited:
.
Pakistani Standoff missiles be it chinese reverse engineered or any other are useless against our military and civilan infrastructure apart from the ones which are located near the border but that too will be secured once Barak 8,Spyder will be inducted in large numbers.

our big geography made their stand off weapons useless and redundant thereby giving us massive geographic superiority.

There is absolutly no stand off weapon with pak which can attack our far off air bases in east and central india even if pak have S 500 in future.

india-air-network-map.jpg


On the other hand pakistani critical military and civilIan infrastructure is located very near on int border and under the effective range of Brahmos and KH 35 and KH 59 fired from SU 30 flying from Assam,I don't know what will stop the Brahmos fired at pakistani Dam,Nuclear installations and Air bases.

pak major air bases most of them located near the border

pakistan-map-airbase.gif


Pak civilian infrastructure and Dams
dams.jpg

List of dams and reservoirs in Pakistan - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Pak power stations pak only produce 20k MW of electricity even if few of these taken out there will be a complete blackout within hours.
powerstation.png

List of power stations in Pakistan - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
 
.
first of all your not indian, your Colombian don't be ashamed of you ancestry. the s400's range is not 600km its 6000km, you forgot an extra 0, stupid Colombian.
radars
the range of the 48N6E2 is: 195 km - old and obsolete
the range of the 48N6E3 is 250 km - decent mid class ok
the range of the ELM-2090U is 500km - its an abm and used for strategic (large) assets


missiles
the akash is ancient we develop that thing in the 60's, there are in museums im talking about the blood hound sam
barak is a decent mid range naval sam
missiles
the 77n6-1 is not even ready yet there's only one battalion operational, and thats outside Moscow. not even export capable. its beyond mtcr regs. so if they do export it, the range will only be 350km max.

besides i heard otherwise, i heard india is getting the 48N6DM missile instead, why dont you enlighten us and provide a source instead of talking out of your @$$.

besides our aster blk30 will beat anything the Russians have to offer.
Aster-30_surface-to-air_defense_missile_system_MBDA_France_French_army_defense_industry_640_001.jpg
You will tackle Russian S 400 SAM system with another SAM system brilliant logic :lol:
 
.
He is a Pakistani his identity was busted in other forum as for UAV no Pakistan UAV current or future procurement can make such deep incursion without being detected forget about that all this radars & tel will have point defense coverage specially to deal with those type of threats
LOL just pointing that you are a Pakistani made you go all bonker posting stupid stuff, what's the reason for not accepting your identity or flag to ashamed :azn:
Ok you got me i'm not British, im korean.:partay:

You will tackle Russian S 400 SAM system with another SAM system brilliant logic :lol:
im comparing the systems, same situation with @zebra7. a good counter would be a cruise missile in Pakistanis case the c-802 or the raad would be a quick easy response/counter. if you read my other posts it will show you the other potential responses that Pakistan could do.
 
.
@Basel what about Hale UAV for Signit , Dummy Babur with multiple aerial decoy for saturation + jh-7b with yj-12arm

it cannot be defeated with one solution but for penetration multiple options have to be tried to achieve the goal.
 
.
Pakistani Standoff missiles be it chinese reverse engineered or any other are useless against our military and civilan infrastructure apart from the ones which are located near the border but that too will be secured once Barak 8,Spyder will be inducted in large numbers.

our big geography made their stand off weapons useless and redundant thereby giving us massive geographic superiority.

There is absolutly no stand off weapon with pak which can attack our far off air bases in east and central india even if pak have S 500 in future.

View attachment 269475

well thats the problem. because your assests are far from the border that means pakistani jets can enter indian airspace. in a low altitude config, this would be used in the thar desert as its all flat plained this is consistent just up untill amritsar. again read my post. low altitude penetration and then you fire the mar 1 if your close enough or the alcm's not glide bombs as there too low to go the distance.

how do you know your sams will be located near the border? your forgetting the indian side of the border is not very populated. also the barak 8 is a naval sam and a mid range sam. unlike davids sling.

also the babur cruise missile is somthing you may not be aware of. google it.


On the other hand pakistani critical military and civilIan infrastructure is located very near on int border and under the effective range of Brahmos and KH 35 and KH 59 fired from SU 30 flying from Assam,I don't know what will stop the Brahmos fired at pakistani Dam,Nuclear installations and Air bases.

pak major air bases most of them located near the border

View attachment 269477

Pak civilian infrastructure and Dams
View attachment 269482
List of dams and reservoirs in Pakistan - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Pak power stations pak only produce 20k MW of electricity even if few of these taken out there will be a complete blackout within hours.
View attachment 269486
List of power stations in Pakistan - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

the kh-35u is old yet effective you may as well replace it with the brahmos
the kh59-mk2 or as you may call the "special version" with a 350kkm range is similar to the raad that pakistan ad a while ago. why dont india develop its own alcm.

also remember this cold start.

we all know by now theres never going to be a full scale war, the world will not accept it or tolerate it.
so your fantasy of blowing up dam's and power stations are just your fantasies

pakistans responce to the cold start is in my opinion in 2 stages. the first you know very well. the nasr
the second stage is the abdali and the ghaznavi. these are used for bases. not brigades.
 
.
@PARIKRAMA

There is no proof in public domain.
The Triumph's leading developer is the Almaz Central Design Bureau. According to Alexander Lemansky, General Designer of the Bureau, state that definition of the S-400 design was performed jointly by the designers and the Russian MoD, with specific capability foci in:
  • Defeating threats at low and very low flight altitudes;
  • Dealing with the overall reduction of target signatures resulting from the pervasive use of stealth technology;
  • Dealing with the increase in target quantities resulting from the widspread use of UAVs;
  • Applying all means to defeat advanced jammers employed by opponents;
  • Surviving in an environment where PGMs are used widely;
  • Accommodating an environment where an increasing number of nations are deploying TBMs and IRBMs.
Theoretically a basic requirement to pre testing and testing the system was tested against Iskander (480 km ranged one) and Yakhont too. After Russia's issue with INF treaty, the later variants were produced for Iskander. There was a urgent talks few years back that Russia may sell Iskander to Saudi Arabia and also has supplied to Syria. With both these places, the Russian generals were clear that they do not rule out a possibility of Iskander falling into Nato hands and USA using it to get a similar QBM which gives a much needed boost to Nato forces in Europe and takes pin point strike role in SAM sites. This was when the S400 series production and missile newer type development plan increased (including new type Kill vehicle).

The issue with a QBM moving at high speed is that radar detection and a complex algorithm to prdict the point of impact after few seconds need high degree of computation and on top iskander does do almost 30g maneuvers. The test which proved S400 can do intercept needed not one but rather 4 launches of different SAMs per iskander missile. Again if interception is a success, the question of efficiency does arise and thus the new 77N6 N/N1 with more than 7km/sec speed. Practically if you see, USA and Russia wont fire ICBMs to each other and get MAD done. Its more of using Europe where IRBMs and QBMs may be supplied and which act as a deterrent in a complex chess game. Again these are collected from Russian sites, and various blogs//forums. By the way Prometheus in reality is against intercepting hypersonic targets.. ICBM just happens to fall into the speed realm of interception.

There is no proof of S-400 could defeat the low altitude supersonic cruise missile. I doubted the same, because Russia no doubt have good UHF radar, but its SAM missile which have mamoth range, but could not match the agility of the Barak -8 with 50G and miniature cpu and the algorithm, and good news that China have made equivalent to Brahmos, bad news is India too have Barak-8, but still IA or IAF haven't chosed Barak-8 Land version. Spyder and Barak 1 is a capable SAM, but can it counter, low altitude, manuvering during terminal, supersonic -- NAH, otherwise there won't be barak 8 deployed in IN and israeli naval ship. This is for the attacking air bases near the border and important installation.

Sir, why would India keep the S400 withhin Nasr existing range or extended range. Even if the say S-400 system with just 1 TEL within 100 kms of the border and rest outside it, the radar coverage gives me a radius of 600 km inward detection. The engagement radius is 400 kms whether thats within Indian airspace or Pakistan comes next. On top how will you know where is my Missile TELs and where are my Radars and where are my command center and where are my pantisir units protecting it. All of that can be spread over 100 kms distance from each other implying the system acan very well be within India outside the range of conventional missiles which can do area destruction. The circlement via various TELs can instead make the whole strike package via missile much much tougher.
Secondly, a lower trajectory or even depressed trajectory detection cannot be ruled out and thus automatci popping of S400 system SAM mode. Nor about the other protective SAMs from other indian SAM systems.
The worst nightmare as termed by Gadeshi in another forum is S400 as a true tic toc tic system for 15 mins work. A TEL parks for few mins, unpack, erects the SAMs, fires, repacks and moves over.. Thus the TELs itself are continuously moving. I am not even considering the reloading part as that makes the system even more functionally survivable.

Yes only way Nasr can take out is having very very credible and precise information of either the TELs within range or disrupting the whole communication system (which is extrmely impossible due to various Electronic countermeasures)
BTW S400 has way more radar systems then missile types in order to ensure if one fails other works indepndently. On top as i posted earlier command centers is the key. Even if you take out one command center, the other command center can take over in a short time (max 10 mins) in a interlinked zone thereby handing over the command to a new center and working functionally again. (some mad scientists lol)

Till now I am not considering any strategic deployment but the tactical. The reason I consider it to be deployed near border is to threaten Awaac, which is needed for the IAF fighter planes to have an upper edge with MKI giving cover to Jaguar and CAS aircraft. Plus to protect the important cities near the border.

Large no. of UAV with aerial decoys linked with fibre optic cable to activate all sam + Nasr with depressed trajectory + SIGNIT capable UAV to gather the radars location could do the job near the border cities protection under S-400 + other SAM, together with the ECM RAdar placed near the border to jam radar.

Great choice. A question how big that small window is? Second in case of overlapping SAM sites, how a radar jamming say one site gives enough window for movement of aerial assets or any other medium to neutralise the intended targets.A higher powerful land based ECM radar also means it becomes target of enemy action too. Its value becomes strategic in nature afterall. Also such a radar wont be low cost surely.thus it wont fit into the solution at low cost mode.

ECM Radar is not needed for giving small window of attack, but allow the safety of the AWAAC to fly close to the border plus the fighter planes like JF-17 to fire strandoff Glide Bomb with GPS or laser targeted toward cities and bases from safer zone. Idea is to come close as much possible to the target.

PAF does not have a doctrine of DPSA and that also twin engined. For such a big strategic change, the def budget needs revision, the infratsructure needs changing and a capable bird needs to be identified and procured. again Rafales and Su34 wont come to PAF (no offense indian money will kepp France and Russia sealed away). So option is chinese twin engined bird. Now whether its a naval requirement for longer legs mission or PAF strategic requirement for DPSA that needs to be ascertained. Again, the indian airspace will have a mix of air superiority birds to point defence birds to SAM systems.. Thus they require a substantial squadron numbers for such a role (minimum of 4) and also to protect from overlapping SAM zones. This is cost intensive solution as doctrine of PAF/PN needs a greater modification in all aspects. Moreover its a resource an dtime consuming solution. The whole of this from start to full deployment will take minimum of 5-6+ years if finances are available now or else a bit longer timeline. The biggest thing is you dont go to war with spanking new jets you got yesterday. You traina dn eveolve strategies with them and take time. If you add that, the whole timeline goes to 10+ years easily.

Yes but when the need arises JH-7B, with DPSA at lower altitude with NAV attack, auto pilot, terrain hugging profile. Idea is its not possible to defeat the S-400 but to avoid its range below the horizon could fulfil its ground attack mission.
Also with this plane a weapon that could be important is YJ-12 ARM.

Trial and error methodology. S400 is not exported bcz of trying to protect that small part of information. The capability of jamming will require new generation jammers which needs feedback from S400 users - Russia, China and India types. The radar countermeasures is more futile as i said earlier each system has far too many radars and on top overlapping arcs makes this extremely difficult. Unless you have special Ops team insertion in multiple points and taking down at the same time.

Now here chinese knowledge of S-400 comes into effect. Its not possible for Pakistan or china to jam UHF radar of the firecontrol Radar of S-400, but could be for the active radar of SAM missile and its link. To be pointed out its not only the speed is needed to defeat the SAM missile, because more your speed say 6mach, bigger will be your turn radius, and the aircraft traveling at march 1 will have smaller radius. So the missile at march 6 should have 400 G capability to defeat the manureving plane at 1 mach.

1. Over whelm
Saturation attack fails almost any system. the question is how many missiles you will fire at one go.. from one zone or multizone. Not practically possible as almost all missiles are spread and not fired from single point. Again if the result is saturation, the number of missile produced is a cost centric and time centric function. moreover multizine fires will light up multizone detection radars too. Thus efficacy of an unsuccessful interception implies a massive saturation point at one or more points. Then what next? The aerial assets would be deployed in full time patrolling by IAF. and if command vehicles have surived the rest TELs will be again re synergised. So whats the then next step or efficacy of a saturation attack.

Over whelming does not required actually firing all the missile on one go. But overwhelhming of the Radar or the system required to make the target more it can handle. Few Dummy Babur with multiple aerial Decoy, flying apart connected with fibre obtics and emitting radiation to mimic other Babur say 10 target will make the s-400 to keep tracking 10 targets.

One of the best low altitude missile is tomahawk and pak does have a subsonic terrain hugging missile. As explained initially, this angle was taken care .. infact in the previous version in S300 this was added. i can now quote a public clipping

Russian S-400 Missile Can Hit Radar, AWACS Aircraft
ITAR-TASS World Service 5 May 99
By Anatoliy Yurkin

MOSCOW, May 5 (Itar-Tass) - The new Russian air defence S-400 Triumf system is capable of hitting radar reconnaissance and AWACS planes, which raises considerably its competitiveness on the world arms market, says the article "Triumf is put on alert", published in the May issue of the Voenny Parad journal which is now being put on sale and is distributed among subscribers. The S-400 is designed to hit modern and future attack aircraft at a distance of 400 km: tactical and strategic aviation jets, cruises of theTomahawk type and other missiles", the article notes. Triumf successfully fights air targets, manufactured with the use of "stealth" technology at all altitudes of their combat operation and at maximum distances. When creating this system, Russian specialists used latest technologies in the radar industry, microelement base and computer engineering. In the opinion of general designer Vladimir Svetlov, Triumf is the world's first system which can selectively work with the use of several types of missiles. "The long-range missile has no analogues. It eclipses the American Patriot-3 system by around 100 percent, as does the French Aster, he claimed.

Russian S-400 Missile Can Hit Radar, AWACS Aircraft

As explained above to overwhelm the S-400 system, will make the hole, through which attack could be breeched.

Thats a possibility. Hypersonic yes untill the new 77N6N/N1 are not deployed. But i am sure india will try and get it as a package (hope so) if no then its a lacunae to exploit. IF we get it then the possibility of interception will remian in higher numbers if more than 1 missile is fired to intercept. A good question on what pretext Pakistan will get a MRBM IRBM from China of 1800km range? Cost, international politics etc?

DF-21C at the terminal stage is highly maneuvering and only THAAD could counter that. And its not that easy as you are predicting, without potent Early warning system lile BWE ground radar of Rayethon, which taiwan have deployed or the 2 Chinese radars established and cost very high cost around 2 billion. Do you think that the countries like USA,Russia, or China are mad to established that + centralized control center which is no wherer in india

SLBM SLCM is good if as earlier explained the surface/submersible assets gets a weak point to fire into. But before that how will they walk pass the IN web of ships.. and SLCMs of what range speed subsonic/supersonic configuration. SLBM is much longer timeline for PN then SLCM

Unfortunately developing any missile is cost intensive, human resources intensive and time intensive. The overnight solution wont be there. the solution will take time and will need strategic rethinking at all fronts including economy which will need to support such new dynamic initiatives for national security. DPSA twin engined jets, new missiles, research etc will require lots of funding. That needs a whole new approach from Government and need a bigger booster dose in economy.

Searching for Submariene in the deep ocean is like searching the needle in husk. Nuclear sub leased from China with AIP won't be possible to keep on check. Even the US Carrier group could not detect the sub when it pop into the surface between them during the exercise. Detection of Sub is through Sonar and P8i by India. Sonar could search for 25-50 km under water and for P8i magnetic resonance sensor, how much area could they cover the indian ocean and what is the range. Do the Maths.

There is no one shot solution to counter this. But with good strategy, and multiple solutions, I don't think its unvincible. It is why it it is difficult to give you answer, because each solutions you have the answer, but when many system, woriking in conjution, there is the answer.

Thanks and regards.

LOLZ I am doing lot of Pakistani work, but no one here to support me.
 
Last edited:
.
ok so if Pakistan wanted to counter the s400 they would use a few options. first is the quick east option is stand-off weapons, and that being specifically glide bombs the h-4 and the takbir
takbir shown below. or if pakistan saw the s400 as a great threat they may use alcm's[raad] but that's unlikely.
Pakistani+GIDS+TAKBIR+Series+Satellite+Aided+Inertially+Guided+Bomb+Family+Joint+Direct+Attack+Munition+Extended+Range+(JDAM-ER.jpg

or they may go the the option of using anti radar missiles the mar-1 and the cm-102. they purchased the mar-1 from brazil a while ago and im not sure about the cm-102.
jf-17_thunder_mar1_anti_radar_load.jpg

it is possible in the future to deploy a stealth fighter [ the j-31 ] and it can use an lgb but that comes with risks as the jet may be visible on enemy radar. which is why i think the best counter to the s400 is either a cruise missile regardless if it supersonic or not. or a stealth fighter thats barely just in range of an lggb it would be a cheap quick task. #

or the rose 2 and 3 mirages are made to penetrate airspace at low altitude and then launch the mar-1.

i mentioned the aster 30 as its a viable comparison not a counter. btw italy has done business with Pakistan in terms of sams. the aspide-2000

6a53b8b216d813543d3311284d4cd585-jpg.67640

also it's worth mentioning that im not pakistani

@waz is kashmiri (AJK) i think
also @waz is an open guy (i think :D). he will only be offended if you say something without facts or say something offensive or stupid.[ i think], would assume this, as he gave a negative rating to a guy who said something stupid and called him a lier.
am i right @waz

Yes mate you're right.

Although the MAR-1 isn't feasible, considering the engagement range of the S-400, but then again that's if the planes go up without airborne standoff jammers, emitter locating systems, large numbers of the already mentioned MAR-1 anti-radiation missiles, and I suppose Nasr can play a similar role to what Israeli modified Shrikes with rocket boosters, did during their conflict with Syria.


Anyway folks, here is a good read of the effectiveness of SAM systems in modern combat.

Surface to Air Missile Effectiveness in Past Conflicts
 
.
You will tackle Russian S 400 SAM system with another SAM system brilliant logic :lol:
Leaving aside the arguments over why the S-400 is nowhere close to being the 'silver bullet' against hypothetical Pakistani missile launches during a war that some Indians think it is, offsetting an Indian acquisition of the S-400 with a similar acquisition by Pakistan is not necessarily as outlandish an option (as part of a much broader military posture) as you might think. India's largest advantage over Pakistan is in her Air-force. That air advantage will exacerbate India's much smaller advantage in ground forces.

A Pakistani acquisition of a system similar to the S-400 (again, assumption being that such a system will be networked into a much more complex and diverse Pakistani Air Defence Network, a good chunk of which already exists) would primarily assist in negating India's Air Force advantage, especially in the case of any Indian attempt at 'small scale operations against select targets'. Without air superiority, any Indian escalation will turn into a grinding ground war that is unlikely to result in a clear victory for either side.

Ergo, we are largely back at the status quo in terms of the Indian leaderships decision matrix of possible responses against Pakistan.
 
.
I also think best counter at this time would be to aquire hq9 from china if not already done so....

Negate advantage at strategic level
 
.
why are people so fixated on hq-9 its nothing more then a chinese copy of the s-300 the hq-9 won't do a damn thing, china is making big strides but there technology is a long way off meeting the standards of russian/american.
 
.
The nose cone of shaheen 3 looks like that upper portion is a lid that separates allowing multiple war heads inside to deploy....
Thats how mirv missiles work...all around the world

Applying the principle of " if it looks like a duck and quacks like a duck, it probably is a duck" u can come to a logical conclusion ....

About side firing motors , consider this.... an rv travelling at mach 20- 25 a slight push by side firing motor AFTER REENTRY is complete will put off all the calculations of an abm...
If there is only a few meter distance from your calculated point of intercept and where rv actually is.... u have a failed intercept.....

Let us consider the "duck" theory. Shaheen-3 is derived directly from Shaheen-2, so it has the same diameter of 1.4m. The mentioned "lid" here is halfway from the tip of the nose cone to the main body. Roughly approximating a smooth cone, the diameter of the cone at the that point should be 0.7m or 70 centimeters.
Exactly how do you propose are the MIRVs arranged in a mere 70cm diameter circular bus? Guess other ducks around the world are bigger.

Oh God, the RV Is SPINNING on its axis for stability as soon as it begins re-entry! You need an advanced mechanism for manuevering in those conditions. a so called "slight push" can put the RV off the intended impact by kilometers at best and destabilize, tumble & shred the RV at worst, both of which are failures.
 
Last edited:
.
Let us consider the "duck" theory. Shaheen-3 is derived directly from Shaheen-2, so it has the same diameter of 1.4m. The mentioned "lid" here is halfway from the tip of the nose cone to the main body. Roughly approximating a smooth cone, the diameter of the cone at the that point should be 0.7m or 70 centimeters.
Exactly how do you propose are the MIRVs arranged in a mere 70cm diameter circular bus? Guess other ducks around the world are bigger.

Oh God, the RV Is SPINNING on its axis for stability as soon as it begins re-entry! You need an advanced mechanism for manuevering in those conditions. a so called "slight push" can put the RV off the intended impact by kilometers at best and destablize the RV at worst, both of which are failures.
British chevaline RV was a twin cone design. Full of decoys which don't take much space.

Atmosphere starts at around 100km altitude. Shaheen 2 rising to altitude of 350 km will be coming down at Mach 15 when at 100 km altitude.
Upto that altitude abrupt change of direction is possible as it is still vacuum and far less force will be needed to do that.
After "splash" down in atmosphere at about 80 km altitude the RV spins and no further changes indirection are applied and the assembly is jettisoned.
But do the calculations, something travelling at Mach 15 will take only 20 seconds or less to complete the last leg of the journey or the journey within atmosphere where no change of direction is possible due to thermal and mechanical stresses being too high.
20 seconds to accurately acquire the warhead and fire ABM and time for ABM to reach target is far too less.
Add decoys to the mix,as twin cone if shaheen 3 suggests,then the survivability of warhead is nearly guaranteed
 
.
British chevaline RV was a twin cone design. Full of decoys which don't take much space.

The RVs had a twin cone design, not the nose cone/MIRV shroud of the Polaris missile. Here is an illustration:
Polaris_A3TK_Chevaline_RV_and_PAC_toe-in_and_tilt-out.gif


What I'm trying to say all along and want everyone to understand, is that Shaheen-3 has a smaller RV (the upper half of nose cone) and therefore a smaller warhead. Obviously yield hasn't been compromised, it must be the same as Shaheen-2, otherwise the strategic value of the device will be questioned. This implies that the older U-235 based device has been replaced by a U-235/Pu hybrid or only Pu-based implosion device. Which further means that the RV has been miniaturized enough for an MIRV bus to carry and deliver.

All of this implies that the new RV (of Shaheen-3) is small enough (~70cm at base) to be used in multiple numbers, aboard a larger payload delivering vehicle. So a new missile/variant has to be developed which can deliver 1500-2000 kg payload, with an MIRV bus wide . Trust me, when Pakistan tests a MIRV-capable system and shows its images, we'll know for sure that it is MIRV-capable.

Atmosphere starts at around 100km altitude. Shaheen 2 rising to altitude of 350 km will be coming down at Mach 15 when at 100 km altitude.
Upto that altitude abrupt change of direction is possible as it is still vacuum and far less force will be needed to do that.
After "splash" down in atmosphere at about 80 km altitude the RV spins and no further changes indirection are applied and the assembly is jettisoned.
I agree, in space, attitude changes can be made by the current systems. But you have to consider that fuel for thrusters
is quite limited (in case of Shaheen-2), but perhaps not for Shaheen-3, as I said earlier about the possibility of a large hydrazine motor in the lower part of the Shaheen-3 nose cone. This evading maneuver can only work for mid-course interceptors, not terminal ones.

But do the calculations, something travelling at Mach 15 will take only 20 seconds or less to complete the last leg of the journey or the journey within atmosphere where no change of direction is possible due to thermal and mechanical stresses being too high.
20 seconds to accurately acquire the warhead and fire ABM and time for ABM to reach target is far too less.
Add decoys to the mix,as twin cone if shaheen 3 suggests,then the survivability of warhead is nearly guaranteed
No, thats where most people are wrong. The speed of RVs inside atmosphere is drastically reduced, and the impact is usually around Mach 4-5. So the time is a longer than 20 seconds.
Wrong again, ABM radar continuously track ballistic objects from the moment they detect them (usually in the boost phase in case of Indo-Pak). BMDs are fast enough, there shouldn't be any doubt about their reaction times.
Yes, decoys are where we can effectively fool the ABM and simply over-power its capacity.
 
Last edited:
.
Back
Top Bottom