PMLN - Slogans vs Performance in last 4 years

[Realistic Change]

A clip for N$'s self reflection to see how he fared in reality vs what he promised by selling hollow slogans to buy the future of awaam:

It ends at very appropriate sentence where N$ says "what will be the pride of the nation, which takes kashkol everywhere to borrow?"

Total projected debt of Pakistan is estimated to be around $115 billion by 2020 - and with no planning on infrastructure; what economic activity would adequately service and retire this debt of humungous magnitude - guess Dar being an Economics Wizard can shed some light on it.

 

[naveedahmed86]

A clip for N$'s self reflection to see how he fared in reality vs what he promised by selling hollow slogans to buy the future of awaam:

It ends at very appropriate sentence where N$ says "what will be the pride of the nation, which takes kashkol everywhere to borrow?"

Total projected debt of Pakistan is estimated to be around $115 billion by 2020 - and with no planning on infrastructure; what economic activity would adequately service and retire this debt of humungous magnitude - guess Dar being an Economics Wizard can shed some light on it.

Yesterday, a bridge of under construction Hazara Motorway which is begin built by PMLN fell down in Sajdah to thank ALLAH for Mian Sahib telling that "Motorway par 3 roads aanay ke liye aur 3 jaanay ke liye hain."

Itni traqi kafi nahi...

 

[Realistic Change]

Yesterday, a bridge of under construction Hazara Motorway which is begin built by PMLN fell down in Sajdah to thank ALLAH for Mian Sahib telling that "Motorway par 3 roads aanay ke liye aur 3 jaanay ke liye hain."

Itni traqi kafi nahi...

Political temp in Isb quite high - surprisingly PPP is in offensive mode; as it knows that from 2nd biggest party in 2013 in next elections; its poised to be number 4th

Aitzaz Ahsan has upped the ante and rightly so; he has taken absolutely right stand and in a super searing way.

 

[naveedahmed86]

Political temp in Isb quite high - surprisingly PPP is in offensive mode; as it knows that from 2nd biggest party in 2013 in next elections; its poised to be number 4th

PPP's opposition doesn't matter that much.

 

[Realistic Change]

PPP's opposition doesn't matter that much.

To whom?

It does a lot to N$.

 

[Kabira]

If PPP win some votes in punjab it will only damage PTI and serve N. We all know PPP isn't in position to win any seats but their votes can still decide who win between PTI and N candidates.

PTI need all of anti-N votes to win seats.

 

[Flash_Ninja]

If PPP win some votes in punjab it will only damage PTI and serve N. We all know PPP isn't in position to win any seats but their votes can still decide who win between PTI and N candidates.

PTI need all of anti-N votes to win seats.

Lots of swing voters in South Punjab, but im not sure its enough to carry PTI. They need to either win Sindh too, or win seats in Central and Eastern Punjab. Both are PPP and PMLN strongholds respectively, its possible they might lose there but unlikely. Musharaffs party also makes things harder too, as they actually plan on campaigning this time around.

Independents also helped Nawaz form the government in 2013, so maybe a good PTI platform can stop PMLN from getting the majority?

If they can get enough support, then its also likely that PTI can string together a coalition and form a government before PMLN can.

 

[Kabira]

Lots of swing voters in South Punjab, but im not sure its enough to carry PTI. They need to either win Sindh too, or win seats in Central and Eastern Punjab. Both are PPP and PMLN strongholds respectively, its possible they might lose there but unlikely. Musharaffs party also makes things harder too, as they actually plan on campaigning this time around.

Independents also helped Nawaz form the government in 2013, so maybe a good PTI platform can stop PMLN from getting the majority?

If they can get enough support, then its also likely that PTI can string together a coalition and form a government before PMLN can.

Independents always join winning side, PTI should about them if they don't win in punjab.

 

[Maxpane]

better than ppp's tenure

 

[Realistic Change]

Lots of swing voters in South Punjab, but im not sure its enough to carry PTI. They need to either win Sindh too, or win seats in Central and Eastern Punjab. Both are PPP and PMLN strongholds respectively, its possible they might lose there but unlikely. Musharaffs party also makes things harder too, as they actually plan on campaigning this time around.

Independents also helped Nawaz form the government in 2013, so maybe a good PTI platform can stop PMLN from getting the majority?

If they can get enough support, then its also likely that PTI can string together a coalition and form a government before PMLN can.

PTI will be in a better position in South Punjab for 2018 as compared to PMLN and PPP - give or take South of Okara - family vote of the any influential candidate is around average of 50-60k rest is party vote. This time winning candidates will have to bag around 80,000 - 90,000 votes to secure a seat.

Strong organizational skills are required to convert support into actual vote - which PTI lacks as we speak.

Urban and Central and North will again be tightly fought and margins will be smaller and it will be two way fight between PTI and PMLN.

In Sindh - I am surprised at the new joinings that are in the works and it seems PPP waderas has serious threat. Nawabshah, Jacobabad, Sanghar will be hardly fought for sure - Makhdooms of Hala will still capture the Hyderabad's rural and surroundings. Karachi will be anybody's guess, but MQM will be hard to beat - their margins of victory had been 100,000 - 130,000 votes; it takes a revolution to cover this kind of gap.

After the census gets completed new demarcations has potential to upset the perfect mix that PMLN has created for it to manipulate the system - it depends on how much time PMLN has between census results announcement and "arranging" the right civil administration - at present they are extremely uncomfortable as new census can shift the balance between Punjabs 148 out of 272 seats to lesser share of Punjab which will be hated by PMLN as it will take away points off major advantageous position they had courtesy imbalance.

 

[Syed1.]

PTI will be in a better position in South Punjab for 2018 as compared to PMLN and PPP - give or take South of Okara - family vote of the any influential candidate is around average of 50-60k rest is party vote. This time winning candidates will have to bag around 80,000 - 90,000 votes to secure a seat.

Strong organizational skills are required to convert support into actual vote - which PTI lacks as we speak.

Urban and Central and North will again be tightly fought and margins will be smaller and it will be two way fight between PTI and PMLN.

In Sindh - I am surprised at the new joinings that are in the works and it seems PPP waderas has serious threat. Nawabshah, Jacobabad, Sanghar will be hardly fought for sure - Makhdooms of Hala will still capture the Hyderabad's rural and surroundings. Karachi will be anybody's guess, but MQM will be hard to beat - their margins of victory had been 100,000 - 130,000 votes; it takes a revolution to cover this kind of gap.

After the census gets completed new demarcations has potential to upset the perfect mix that PMLN has created for it to manipulate the system - it depends on how much time PMLN has between census results announcement and "arranging" the right civil administration - at present they are extremely uncomfortable as new census can shift the balance between Punjabs 148 out of 272 seats to lesser share of Punjab which will be hated by PMLN as it will take away points off major advantageous position they had courtesy imbalance.

Good analysis. I'd also like to chime in and say that PTI are going to push for overseas Pakistanis right to vote (IK announced today). Most overseas Pakistanis hail from larger cities and most of them are from Karachi or Lahore. I can also say with a fair amount of certainty that more than 60-70% of overseas Pakistanis are firmly in the PTI camp.

If this large votebank is given their right then this may tilt some of the voting patterns in these cities.

 

[Realistic Change]

Good analysis. I'd also like to chime in and say that PTI are going to push for overseas Pakistanis right to vote (IK announced today). Most overseas Pakistanis hail from larger cities and most of them are from Karachi or Lahore. I can also say with a fair amount of certainty that more than 60-70% of overseas Pakistanis are firmly in the PTI camp.

If this large votebank is given their right then this may tilt some of the voting patterns in these cities.

PMLN won't let it happen nor PPP has any interest in getting the laws amended re NRPs.

PMLN only like their $18-20 billion a year remittances but for their voting rights PMLN term them as non mohib e watan and mashkook hubul watni as rightly pointed out by you huge majority will vote anti PMLN.

On a side note; is N$ still visiting Hong Kong - as there will be demonstration by Pakistanis in Hong Kong against his visit