Business News:
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BSP rates seen to hold until 2016
By Lawrence Agcaoili (The Philippine Star)
Updated August 17, 2015 - 12:00am
MANILA, Philippines - Barclays and ANZ Bank see the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) keeping interest rates steady until the first half of next year amid the benign inflation environment.
Barclays said it expects the BSP to tweak policy rates in the third quarter of next year instead of the fourth quarter of this year after the central bank lowered its inflation forecast to 1.8 percent from 2.1 percent this year.
The BSP has set an inflation target range of two to four percent this year.
Inflation averaged 1.9 percent in the first seven months of the year after easing to a 20-year low of 0.8 percent in July from 1.2 percent in June amid stable food prices and lower utility rates.
“Benign inflation leave a room to keep policy on hold for the time being, especially with the recent weakness in the peso. As such, we are pushing back our forecast of a rate hike in the fourth quarter 2015, to the third quarter 2016, when election-related uncertainty should be over, and inflation starting to pick up,” Barclays said.
Monetary authorities decided to keep interest rates unchanged during its policy setting meeting last Aug. 13 but cited risks brought about by the longer-than-expected El Niño weather condition.
The BSP has kept policy rates steady since September last year. The overnight borrowing rate is pegged at four percent and the overnight lending rate at six percent.
BSP Governor Amando Tetangco Jr. earlier said the decision to keep key policy rates unchanged was based on its assessment that prevailing price and output conditions support maintaining current policy settings.
“In deciding to keep the BSP’s monetary policy settings unchanged, the Monetary Board observed that the recent benign inflation outturns have been a result of favorable supply-side conditions, which are seen as largely transitory,” Tetangco said.
Monetary authorities noted the upside risks coming from pending petitions for power rate adjustments and the impact of stronger-than-expected El Niño dry weather conditions on food prices and utility rates.
However, he explained the modest rise in food and commodity prices as well as slower global economic activity could pose downside risks to inflation.
“This makes it clear that while inflation is low, the bank is watchful of supply side shocks that could push up prices. There have recently been some signs that food production may come under pressure, as the Philippines recently announced that it would miss its 2015 rice production targets, raising the likelihood of higher imports in order to ensure adequate stocks,” Barclays said.
On the other hand, ANZ Bank said the BSP is likely to keep policy rates steady until the first half of next year.
“We therefore maintain our forecast that the central bank will remain on hold through the first half 2016. The expected effects of El Niño, coupled with the persistent delays in infrastructure, both beyond the influence of the central bank, are the main risks to growth,” ANZ Bank said.
The investment bank pointed out monetary authorities arrived at the decision despite external shocks brought about by the weakening of the peso after the People’s Bank of China decided to devalue the yuan.
“The BSP did note that developments on the global front need careful monitoring, but also noted that this was from a perspective of financial stability. Our reading of the BSP reaction is that prudence, i.e. a steady hand on policy settings, remains the likely outcome going forward,” ANZ Bank said.
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BSP rates seen to hold until 2016 | Business, News, The Philippine Star | philstar.com
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GDP growth outlook cut to 5.7% in 2015
By Lawrence Agcaoili (The Philippine Star)
Updated August 17, 2015 - 12:00am
MANILA, Philippines - ANZ Bank slashed its economic growth projections for the Philippines this year and next year due to anemic spending by the administration of President Aquino.
In its latest research note, ANZ Bank lowered its gross domestic product (GDP) growth forecast for the Philippines to 5.7 percent instead of 6.1 percent this year and to six percent instead of 6.3 percent next year.
ANZ Bank said government spending continued to disappoint in the first half of the year.
“Public spending continued to disappoint in the first half of 2015, which led to a year-to-date budget surplus of P13.8 billion, far from the annual target deficit of P283.7 billion,” the investment bank said.
Latest data from the Department of Finance (DOF) showed the country recorded a budget surplus of P13.8 billion in the first six months of the year, reversing the P54 billion deficit recorded in the same period last year.
The government has penned a budget gap target of P155.08 billion for the first half of the year and P283.7 billion for 2015.
Revenues collected mainly by the Bureau of Internal Revenue (BIR) and the Bureau of Customs (BOC) went up 16 percent to P1.086 trillion from P933.7 billion, while expenditures rose nine percent to P1.072 trillion from P987.7 billion.
At this rate, ANZ Bank said the government would have to post an average of P49.6 billion deficit every month for the rest of the year to reach its target.
“Thus, we now believe the government’s deficit target of two percent of GDP is no longer attainable and we downgrade our 2015 fiscal deficit forecast to 0.08 percent of GDP,” the investment bank said.
The country’s GDP growth slowed down to 5.2 percent in the first quarter of the year from 5.6 percent in the same quarter last year amid weak government spending.
The government sees the GDP growing between seven and eight percent this year.
Socioeconomic Planning Secretary Arsenio Balisacan admitted that meeting the lower end of the government’s GDP growth target this year remains a challenge amid the weak global demand.
“It’s a big challenge to get the seven percent. But we’ll see,” Balisacan said earlier.
Latest data from the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) showed the country’s merchandise exports slipped 4.7 percent to $28.8 billion from January to June this year compared to $30.23 billion in the same period last year.
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GDP growth outlook cut to 5.7% in 2015 | Business, News, The Philippine Star | philstar.com
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Philippine gaming firms in losing streak in H1
By Iris C. Gonzales (The Philippine Star)
Updated August 17, 2015 - 12:00am
MANILA, Philippines - Gaming companies in the Philippines are losing their winning streak due to mounting costs and because of what seems to be a spillover of the gaming slump in Macau, as seen in their first half losses.
But the chief of the country’s gaming regulator, the Philippine Amusement Gaming Corp. (Pagcor) is unfazed with the recent developments, saying gaming revenues are still going up, attributing instead the companies’ losses to expansion expenses.
“This has nothing to do with gaming behaviour. The figures will speak for themselves. The revenues are still up,” said Pagcor chairman Cristino Naguiat Jr.
Melco Crown Philippines, the subsidiary of Melco Crown and Belle Corp., incurred a net loss of P4.9 billion in the first half of the year from P2.4 billion, which it attributed to taxes, fees and expenses related to the continuous improvement of the resort and casino complex.
The resignation of James Packer as chairman of global firm Crown Resorts also puts a cloud of uncertainty over the company’s operations.
However, local officials were quick to assure that Packer’s resignation won’t have a negative impact on operations of Melco Crown’s City of Dreams, the newest casino resort at the 100-hectare Las Vegas-style Entertainment City.
“Prospects are good. James Packer has nothing to do with Manila operations. Lawrence Ho is the CEO,” said Willy Ocier, vice chairman of Belle Corp.
Manuel Gana, chief financial officer of Belle also said Packer was not involved in the day-to-day operations of COD Manila.
City of Dreams has suspended 100 workers temporarily due to mounting costs, which the company said is a temporary streamlining.
“The company has taken a step toward a temporarily streamlining of the cost structure, and has to temporarily suspend employment with certain employees. This proactive stance, though a tough and difficult decision affecting less than two percent of its total manpower, is essential for long-term sustainability of business,” it said in a statement sent to The STAR.
It said it continues to expand across all segments, with gaming and non-gaming revenues delivering robust growth in the second quarter.
Travellers International Hotel Group, operator of Resorts World Manila, meanwhile, reported a decline in revenues in the first half to P2.4 billion, 1.67 percent lower while second quarter income fell 46.4 percent year-on-year to P622 million as gaming revenues dropped by 10.5 percent to P5.7 billion during the period.
Bloomberry Resorts Corp. likewise incurred a net loss of P786.5 million in the April to June period, widening the net loss of P533.1 million in the first quarter, its income report showed.
As a result, its first half net loss ballooned to P1.32 billion compared to a net income of P2.31 billion a year earlier.
The company said operating cost and expenses of Solaire increased by 32.3 percent to P10.98 billion in the six-months ending June on the back of costs and expenses related to the full operation of Sky Tower and related amenities in the first half of 2015.
In a recent research note, First Metro said Macau’s gaming slump has contaminated the local industry’s earnings outlook.
Analysts said there is an ongoing gaming slump in Macau due to a crackdown on corruption and a no-smoking policy in some casinos.
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Philippine gaming firms in losing streak in H1 | Business, News, The Philippine Star | philstar.com
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National Development News:
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Green Jobs bill set for House approval
By Paolo Romero (The Philippine Star)
Updated August 17, 2015 - 12:00am
MANILA, Philippines - The House Committee on Labor and Employment has approved and endorsed for plenary approval the Green Jobs bill, a first-of-its-kind measure which seeks to open job opportunities in the field of green technology and environment conservation.
Davao City Rep. Karlo Alexei Nograles, chairman of the panel, said House Bill 4969 or the proposed Philippine Green Jobs Act has likewise passed the scrutiny of the House Committees on Appropriation, and the Ways and Means to scour funds for the implementation of the law.
The Senate, through Sen. Juan Edgardo Angara, has also committed to pass Senate Bill 2893 or their version of the Green Jobs Act, which was hailed by the United Nation’s International Labor Organization as the “first of its kind” and a creative innovation to address the challenges of climate change.
The measure seeks to promote work that produce goods and services that benefit and preserve the environment. These particularly involve business enterprises that use fewer natural resources in their production processes.
“With the adverse effects of climate change being felt around the world and its increasing threat to lives and properties, nations have found it imperative to facilitate and guide the process of making industries less harmful to the environment,” Nograles said.
The bill is also pushing for fiscal incentives and tax perks to encourage individuals and enterprises to participate in the creation of green jobs, practice the use of environment-friendly technologies and produce green goods and services.
Under the proposal of Nograles, the so-called “green companies” or business enterprises involved in the production of environment-friendly products and those that offer services to promote environmental protection and conservation are entitled to fiscal incentives that may include additional deduction of labor expense and duty-free importation of capital equipment.
The incentives shall be determined and administered by the Department of Finance.
With this bill, Nograles hopes to see the establishment of many “green investments” in the Philippines such as those involved in the production of electronic vehicles, solar panels and even power companies that use renewable resources.
“This is the future. I think that in the next 10 to 20 years, we will already see a lot of homes equipped with their own solar panels and homes that have their own water recycling facilities. What we need now is to encourage more investments on green technology. This is like in the early ‘90s where mobile phones were only for the rich whereas today, every Filipino has their own cellular phone,” he said.
With the world’s dwindling resources, he said countries have no recourse but to move toward a more sustainable use of their natural resources and harness the full potential of renewable resources.
“Public policy must center on developing a green jobs agenda, enhancing workers’ skills, and ensuring a just transition to a green economy,” Nograles said.
The Department of Labor and Employment is tasked to create a national green jobs human resource development plan, which will sustain the transition into a green economy.
“It shall include programs, projects, and activities pertaining to basic, higher and technical vocational education and training, a database that identifies and links green job opportunities with private and public entities, and information on knowledge and skill requirements of a green economy,” Nograles said.
The bill also seeks to delegate the Secretary of Labor and Employment as an additional member of the Climate Change Commission as well as mandates the Department of Education and the Commission on Higher Education to design and implement the appropriate curriculum in support of the green economy.
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Green Jobs bill set for House approval | Business, News, The Philippine Star | philstar.com
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Military and Defense News:
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Japan joins U.S.-Philippine humanitarian drills amid China sea dispute
World | Sat Aug 15, 2015 10:01am EDT
SUBIC BAY, Philippines
(This August 14, 2015 story was refiled to say this was the first Japanese role at Subic Bay)
Japan has joined U.S.-led maritime humanitarian exercises off the Philippines for the first time, as concerns mount among the three allies about China's growing assertiveness in the disputed South China Sea.
A Japanese navy replenishment ship was in Subic Bay, a former U.S. naval base, to refuel a U.S. Navy floating hospital en route to Vietnam for the seven-nation humanitarian mission.
It was the first time a Japanese navy ship has taken part in the humanitarian assistance and disaster relief drills from Subic Bay. Japan has participated in past Pacific Partnership missions in other areas.
A flotilla of Japanese training vessels, including a submarine, makes annual port calls in Manila.
Rear Admiral Charles Williams, commander of U.S. Seventh Fleet's Task Force 73, said humanitarian assistance and disaster relief exercises were becoming a regular component of military exercises in the Philippines.
"You are seeing in exercises ... a shift from strictly bilateral engagement to multilateral, which is why you see the Japanese here today," Williams told journalists aboard USNS Mercy, one of two U.S. hospital ships.
China claims most of the South China Sea, through which $5 trillion in ship-borne trade passes every year. The Philippines, Vietnam, Malaysia, Taiwan and Brunei also have overlapping claims. Japan and China also have conflicting claims in the East China Sea.
Williams said the presence of Admiral Katsutoshi Kawano, head of Japan's Self-Defence Forces, "speaks volumes about their commitment to the region and their commitment to being part of a multilateral engagement".
Kawano met early this week with his Philippine counterpart, General Hernando Iriberri, and Defence Secretary Voltaire Gazmin in Manila, where he expressed interest in holding joint amphibious landing exercises and operations with Philippine marines.
In a meeting with Gazmin, Kawano also expressed interest in sharing information in the South China Sea and capacity building, particularly in humanitarian assistance and disaster relief.
Williams said humanitarian assistance and disaster relief operations were "a great avenue towards increasing maritime stability and security in this region", part of Washington's rebalance to Asia policy.
China hit back on Monday at U.S. criticism that it restricts navigation and overflights in the South China Sea. U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry also said China's construction of facilities on man-made islands for "military purposes" was raising tension and risked "militarization" by other claimant states.
(Reporting By Manuel Mogato; Editing by Nick Macfie and Tom Heneghan)
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Japan joins U.S.-Philippine humanitarian drills amid China sea dispute| Reuters
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