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Pakistan On The Verge Of Inflationary Collapse - Pleads For Larger IMF Bailout

Pakistan On The Verge Of Inflationary Collapse - Pleads For Larger IMF Bailout

Tyler Durden's Photo
BY TYLER DURDEN
MONDAY, MAY 30, 2022 - 03:27 PM
Pakistan, a nuclear power with at least 165 warheads from short range to medium range, is facing potential economic collapse according to the country's Finance Minister, Miftah Ismail.

With an official inflation rate of over 13.37% (double the official CPI to get a more accurate picture of true price inflation), the 2nd fastest rising rate in Asia, Pakistan has sought relief from foreign debt obligations and an IMF bailout deal. Initial arrangements for a three year deal with the IMF began in 2019, but Pakistan says that deal, originally for $6 billion USD, is 'outdated' due to the covid pandemic and new global financial pressures. The nation now says it is in 'dire need' of at least $36 billion in order to stay afloat.



Pakistan is slated to pay back over $21 billion USD in foreign debt within the next fiscal year. It is also struggling with extensive food inflation and supply chain disruptions as the government seeks to import at least 3 million tons of wheat and 4 million tons of cooking oil to alleviate shortages.

This is yet another example of the spread of global inflation/stagflation that is going largely ignored by western media outlets. Nations like Pakistan with already weakened economic conditions are canaries in the coal mine; leading indicators of what is likely to happen throughout more affluent first world nations should current conditions continue.

With globalist institutions like the UN, the IMF, the BIS, World Bank and the WEF all predicting major food shortages this year, the mainstream media has been noticeably quiet when it comes to nations where the crisis is already bubbling to the surface.

The reason the instability in Pakistan is particularly concerning is because it is one of nine countries in the world (officially) with a nuclear arsenal, not to mention an ongoing border conflict with India which sparked two wars in 1947 and 1965, as well as a limited war in 1999. As economic instability rises so does public discontent and rebellion. By extension, political elites commonly offer war as a “release valve” for public anger and a distraction from financial pain. Otherwise, the potential for widespread civil unrest grows daily.

To be sure, Pakistan is not the only country facing these conditions today, it is one of many. However, unlike many African or South American nations where the effects of inflationary collapse remain mitigated to domestic concerns, a collapse in Pakistan could have international implications.

Beyond the threats associated with sinking economies and regional conflicts, the IMF has become the go-to loan shark, circling struggling nations when it smells blood in the water. As more and more countries face declines associated with inflation/stagflation, it is not conspiratorial to suggest that the IMF greatly benefits. As the world breaks down, more nations become beholden to the IMF debt structure until eventually they are owned lock, stock and barrel by a handful of banking elites.

@Wood @maithil @UKBengali @Bilal9 @Bilal. @Patriot forever @farok84 @ziaulislam
Country was growing at 6% who asked them to take Govt ?
 
This is bs- I doubt that upcoming debt servicing liabilities are even close to 36 bn$. They were 12-15 bn$ during PTI term. They are probably asking for another 20 bn$ to keep giving subsidies making argument that they need to “control inflation”. Another words, please let us screw this country in the long term but help us win the coming election in a year by letting us borrow and keep prices low.
 
Country was growing at 6% who asked them to take Govt ?


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Whilst You may dream of 220+ million Pakistanis lives improving with better standards of living (fulfilling basic necessities), It would seem our so called establishment have put their own 'enlightenment' goals at a far greater importance... who is Imran Khan to trample on Pakistan's self appointed overlords? He had the audacity of putting the interest of the country ahead of the few.. *
 
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The PDM govt has failed in a month and a half. They are idiots. Why the f**k would anyone give Pakistan an extra 20 bn$ to add to liabilities when servicing is 12-15 bn$?

Someone needs to tell them to cut subsidies and swallow your own bullshit
 
Biggest problem was shock of instability

Then simulatneously china refused to roll over 3b$.. This was unexpected


This coupld with sudden withdraw of capital due to panic caused the problem

Because if you look at monthly deficit it was pretty good in april just 600m$

Sure it was bad first half of year but there was no ukrain war then.. We quickly adjusted to ukrain war(by scrambling to breaks)

Issue pakistan has isnt the CAD Ccurrently..7-8b$ or 2% of gdp is good

The issue is political instability causing us to have problems with rolling 3b$ of china &3b$ of saudis loan

One thing PTI did wrong wasnt booking all the offers they got on their bonds late last year..

I.e they were less agressive on building reserves due to polciy of not getting too many loans
 
If the IMF loan is approved, most of the other loans will be deferred by creditors. For obvious reasons, creditors will not want Pakistan to default.

Greece got a maximum of 28 billion and they are an EU country with a far more developed economy and nation.

Pakistan has a much higher risk of defaulting and will not be able to structure repayments in a satisfactory way for the IMF. Even getting half that amount is a pipe dream.

You can cheerlead these baboons all you want, that is the reality.
 
Fake Stories to prop up PML , disabled 1 legged government
Trying to convince people due to Dire economic situation let them run Government for 1 years
and then they will make up another excuse to keep going one extra year

Doing Buffet parties in CHERRY blossom inauguration telling public they have no money

Distraction ...from real issue

Call for Election and Civil Disobedience Movement
 
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Greece got a maximum of 28 billion and they are an EU country with a far more developed economy and nation.

Pakistan has a much higher risk of defaulting and will not be able to structure repayments in a satisfactory way for the IMF. Even getting half that amount is a pipe dream.

You can cheerlead these baboons all you want, that is the reality.
Pakistan only wants $3 billion from IMF. Other loans will be rolled over by bilateral creditors just because they know that Pakistan is in the IMF program. :cheers:
 
Pakistan only wants $3 billion from IMF. Other loans will be rolled over by bilateral creditors just because they know that Pakistan is in the IMF program. :cheers:

The article literally said they are requesting the IMF for 36 billion

Not sure what you are talking about
 
Biggest problem was shock of instability

Then simulatneously china refused to roll over 3b$.. This was unexpected


This coupld with sudden withdraw of capital due to panic caused the problem

Because if you look at monthly deficit it was pretty good in april just 600m$

Sure it was bad first half of year but there was no ukrain war then.. We quickly adjusted to ukrain war(by scrambling to breaks)

Issue pakistan has isnt the CAD Ccurrently..7-8b$ or 2% of gdp is good

The issue is political instability causing us to have problems with rolling 3b$ of china &3b$ of saudis loan

One thing PTI did wrong wasnt booking all the offers they got on their bonds late last year..

I.e they were less agressive on building reserves due to polciy of not getting too many loans
“We (Fitch) now forecast a current account deficit of around five percent of GDP (around $18.5 billion) for the fiscal year ending June 2022 (FY22), up from four percent in our February review. We expect this to moderate to around four percent in FY23, as oil prices ease.”


Why does your projection for CAD under PTI stay at 2%? You know that Fitch had a big miscalculation in their CAD projection?

The article literally said they are requesting the IMF for 36 billion

Not sure what you are talking about
It claims that Nation 'needs' $36 billion. This is a questionable figure as pointed by other PTI supporters here. Even if true, this money need not come from IMF. The article does not directly say that IMF should have this entire amount. That is bonkers
 
Not only Musharraf but every military ruler's reign in Pakistan has been underlined by Western financial support. Imperial powers fancy one window operations just like foreign investors looking to make a quick buck in a frontier market.
It also helps that the military has over 250 years of proud sepoy service to imperial powers going all the way back to Mir Jaffer's units that betrayed Sirajudullah
 
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