Indus Pakistan
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I have always been fascinated in how economists measure performance and how accurate those figures are. There is being 'paper prosperous' and 'real life prosperous'. How accurate are the figures we hear being touted everyday in reflecting the real situation on the ground? If I have a job as electrician and I am earning good money but the taxman has no record of me, for that matter no statistician in the world will be aware of my income. But in real life my family will be living a decent life.
I mention 'electrician' because I know one from my ancestral village who makes good money, has newly built house, a car and sends his kids to private school. He has even done work in UK by coming here as on 'holiday' but then putting in 12 hour shifts, 7 days a week in factories redoing their electrical wiring until his 'holiday' ran out and he went back.
As everybody here loves chucking about GDP figures I thought I would look into this. Remember the real stock here is the real income not what is being detected in formal records. What matters is reality not what any particular number says. To measure reality requires nuanced approach rather than relying on one crude measure.
What got me thinking was according to World Bank the percentage of people living on $1.90 for 2011 was
India - 21%
Pak - 7%
Link > http://povertydata.worldbank.org/poverty/country/IND
Link > http://povertydata.worldbank.org/poverty/country/PAK
Now think about this? There are about three times more absolute poor in India then Pakistan. How is this possible? Either wealth is far more unfairly divided in India then or there is more wealth to share out in Pakistan thus less absolute poor. The GDP figures make India look shining.
Although not scientific and anecdotal most observors notice more visible poverty, beggers and general shambolic conditions prevailing in India (we all know the sanitation) compared to Pakistan. This while Pakistan is wracked by insurgency, war and terrorism. So what is going on here?
Well large part of of the explaination is the informal economy. The electrician I mentioned does not figure in the Pakistan GDP but he has a car, a house and for sure he has proper sanitation. This is not a exception but quite prevalent in Pakistan. Meaning despite what the numbers say the reality in Pakistan is far better as reflected in simple things like sanitation. His equivalent in India will be pulling a rickshaw in Kokatta or Delhi barely able to place bowl of rice on his table.
All this is missed in official GDP figures. The informal economy and don't forget it may not show up fancy reports or GDP but it is real, it provides jobs and has tangibile reality on the ground like that electrician I mentioned. So is there any study done to look at informal economies? Yes there have been many. It appears that all countries have informal economies but the scale varies vastly from one to another. The average for India and Pakistan are:-
India - 22%
Pak - 37%
This means the real size of Pakistan economy or the real economy is far larger then the numbers you hear everyday. Don't forget it is the real economy that feeds real people. This might explain why Pakistan does not have 2 million pulling rickshaws to fill their emaciated bellies.
India No. 39 ~ 22.2%
Pakistan - No.94 ~ 35.7%
Primary Source Shadow Economies > http://www.gfintegrity.org/storage/..._bank_shadow_economies_all_over_the_world.pdf
@django @Sinopakfriend @AndrewJin @Chinese-Dragon @Nilgiri @WAJsal @PAKISTANFOREVER @lastofthepatriots @Syed.Ali.Haider @Solomon2 @Providence @A-Team @RiazHaq
*The purpose of this is not to gloat but to stop that incessant, irritating Indian claim of rich India versus poor Pakistan. Perception often is not reality and most defintely not in this case.
I mention 'electrician' because I know one from my ancestral village who makes good money, has newly built house, a car and sends his kids to private school. He has even done work in UK by coming here as on 'holiday' but then putting in 12 hour shifts, 7 days a week in factories redoing their electrical wiring until his 'holiday' ran out and he went back.
As everybody here loves chucking about GDP figures I thought I would look into this. Remember the real stock here is the real income not what is being detected in formal records. What matters is reality not what any particular number says. To measure reality requires nuanced approach rather than relying on one crude measure.
What got me thinking was according to World Bank the percentage of people living on $1.90 for 2011 was
India - 21%
Pak - 7%
Link > http://povertydata.worldbank.org/poverty/country/IND
Link > http://povertydata.worldbank.org/poverty/country/PAK
Now think about this? There are about three times more absolute poor in India then Pakistan. How is this possible? Either wealth is far more unfairly divided in India then or there is more wealth to share out in Pakistan thus less absolute poor. The GDP figures make India look shining.
Although not scientific and anecdotal most observors notice more visible poverty, beggers and general shambolic conditions prevailing in India (we all know the sanitation) compared to Pakistan. This while Pakistan is wracked by insurgency, war and terrorism. So what is going on here?
Well large part of of the explaination is the informal economy. The electrician I mentioned does not figure in the Pakistan GDP but he has a car, a house and for sure he has proper sanitation. This is not a exception but quite prevalent in Pakistan. Meaning despite what the numbers say the reality in Pakistan is far better as reflected in simple things like sanitation. His equivalent in India will be pulling a rickshaw in Kokatta or Delhi barely able to place bowl of rice on his table.
All this is missed in official GDP figures. The informal economy and don't forget it may not show up fancy reports or GDP but it is real, it provides jobs and has tangibile reality on the ground like that electrician I mentioned. So is there any study done to look at informal economies? Yes there have been many. It appears that all countries have informal economies but the scale varies vastly from one to another. The average for India and Pakistan are:-
India - 22%
Pak - 37%
This means the real size of Pakistan economy or the real economy is far larger then the numbers you hear everyday. Don't forget it is the real economy that feeds real people. This might explain why Pakistan does not have 2 million pulling rickshaws to fill their emaciated bellies.
India No. 39 ~ 22.2%
Pakistan - No.94 ~ 35.7%
Primary Source Shadow Economies > http://www.gfintegrity.org/storage/..._bank_shadow_economies_all_over_the_world.pdf
@django @Sinopakfriend @AndrewJin @Chinese-Dragon @Nilgiri @WAJsal @PAKISTANFOREVER @lastofthepatriots @Syed.Ali.Haider @Solomon2 @Providence @A-Team @RiazHaq
*The purpose of this is not to gloat but to stop that incessant, irritating Indian claim of rich India versus poor Pakistan. Perception often is not reality and most defintely not in this case.
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