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Asphalt production expected about 299,000 metric tons in Pakistan: World Bank

FAISALABAD (May 03 2008): Asphalt production is expected to remain at around 299,000 metric tons (MT) in Pakistan, while the total asphalt requirement is estimated to be between 395,000 MT during 2005, and expected to increase to 438,000 MT by 2010, said a study of South Asia Sustainable Development Unit (SASSD) of World Bank.

Commenting over the "Possible Shortage of Asphalt", World Bank study mentioned that the total estimated demand, asphalt requirements for infrastructure projects under the federal and provincial governments over the next five years are estimated to vary from approximately 246,000 MT during 2005-06, to approximately 277,000 MT during 2009-10. In addition, other stakeholders such as city district governments, the housing sectors, township developers and others are estimated to require between 150,000 to 160,000 MT during the 2005 and 2010 period.

Study statistics revealed that the demand supply gap is estimated to be between 96,000 to 140,000 MT per year over the next five years. The shortage of bitumen is reported to have already become a foremost issue with several on-going projects suffering delays because of the non-availability of bitumen for road works in the country.

All Pakistan Contractors Association (APCA) is reported to be engaged in formal talks with the Federal Minister for Communications, FBR and other concerned departments to address the crisis situation in bitumen supplies. A proposal has been submitted to allow import of bitumen from all countries including India, and to reduce the duties and tariffs to control the price.

Cost of local bitumen is Rs 23,000/MT while imported is Rs 30,760/MT during 2006-07. Availability of asphalt could be further affected as exports to Afghanistan increase during the coming years. Study mentioned, "Cement Availability Doubtful unless Capacity Expansion Programs Materialise".

The country produces about 23 million MT of cement of which about 10 percent is exported. According to industry estimates, out of the remaining amount, 50 percent is consumed by the housing sector, 20 percent by the industrial sector, and the rest is available for public sector projects.

Cement demand for the major infrastructure projects under the MTDF is expected to range between 3.3 million MT to 6.7 million MT per year over the next five years, with the highest demand during 2006-07. Local availability of cement for the projects has been estimated at about 3.4 to 4.0 million MT per year.

This projected availability does not account for the increase in demand over the years from other competing sectors such as housing, which are likely to experience enhanced growth rates and any increased demands from projects in Afghanistan.

Though capacity enhancement has been planned over the next few years in the industry (42 million MT installed capacity by 2009), nevertheless, the import of cement is likely in the short term of around 2 to 3 million MT to meet the increase in demand.

Supply of Quality Billets and Overall Steel Shortage is also a Serious Concern, WB mentioned and added that the gap between domestic production and demand, and the availability of quality billets for producing reinforcement bars appears to be of concern.

Total consumption in Pakistan was estimated at 4.7 million MT during 2004-05, with Pakistan Steel Mills (PSM) producing about 1 million MT of quality steel, while the other local re-rolling and smelting mills (which use imported scrap) produce about 2.3 million MT of steel.

The balance requirement of 1.4 million MT is met through imports. The estimated import requirement for steel over the MTDF period varies between 2 million MT during 2006-07 to 3.0 million MT during 2009-10.

Statistics shows the projected shortfall in overall steel production, which may have to be met through imports. Besides, the overall shortage of locally produced steel products, the main concern for the construction industry is with respect to the production of quality rolled billets and long products. The PSM produces about 0.3 million MT of steel billets while the demand for long products was about 2.5 million MT in 2004-05.

Business Recorder [Pakistan's First Financial Daily]
 
Microsoft signs agreement with SSC

LAHORE (May 03 2008): Microsoft signed an agreement with Service Sales Corporation (SSC), Pakistan's largest footwear company and a part of the Servis Group, at Service Sales Corporations' office in Lahore. "Microsoft has always been committed to business solutions that empower employees, by investing more than seven billion dollars annually in research.

Microsoft has and will further increase its commitment to the business houses of Pakistan to keep providing easy to use, cost effective business solutions at par or better with what is available in the market," said Kamal Ahmed, Country Manager, Microsoft Pakistan.

"Service Sales Corporation has chosen Microsoft Dynamics due to its reliability, ease of use and seamless integration with the existing Microsoft products," said Aamer Mohsin, Country Head Retail Operations, Service Sales Corporation (SSC).

Hashim Ali, CEO Mantaq Systems said, "SSC's addition to our rapidly growing customer base strengthens our belief that the rapidly growing organised retailing industry in Pakistan needs solutions, based on reliable and easy to use world class software like RMS and MS Dynamics."

Business Recorder [Pakistan's First Financial Daily]
 
TeleCON'2008 concludes: roadmap for integrated approach promised

KARACHI (May 03 2008): Pakistan's first global telecommunication congress, TeleCON'2008, concluded here with industry leaders resolving clearly and defining the future roadmap for an integrated, consolidated and vision-sharing approach to future challenges confronting the industry in the immediate future.

Barrister Shahida Jamil, a former Federal Law minister, while speaking as chief guest emphasised the importance of telecommunication in future development of the country. "Globally, the world is geared towards convergence of technologies and good governance and I don't find any reason why Pakistan should not follow the same success model", she said.

The recommendations of the congress stressed that Regulatory Body PTA should take into confidence all players in the industry for an integrated, consolidated and vision-sharing approach to address issues and opportunities that drive the telecommunication industry.

It is the opportune time, since deregulation came into effect, that all stakeholders should walk the extra mile in consolidating each other's domains and work toward the next frontiers of the telecommunication challenges in Pakistan.

It said that a focused customer-centred and socially conscious commitment was an absolute necessity. As the world moves forward, Pakistan stands at the threshold of an unprecedented challenge - the challenge to accept or reject the versatility of technology to human development.

An eminent panel of 21 speakers addressed delegates in the seven tracks spread over two-day meeting stressed the need for a committed approach. Delegates from all over the country including diplomatic representations from US and Russia also attended the congress.

Business Recorder [Pakistan's First Financial Daily]
 
Total exports of Pakistan: Textile’s share drops to 58% in July-March ’07-08

KARACHI: The textile sector lost considerable share in overall export of the country as it dropped to below 58 percent in July-March of current fiscal year, which used to be around 65 percent in the past.

According to official statistics, textile exports fetched $7.805 billion of total export of $13.476 billion during the first nine-month.

The deteriorating export figures of textile products were also reflective of the disappointing situation in the sector as it fell by over three percent over the export figures of the corresponding period of last year as well as missing the target for the period under review with a huge margin of $979 million or 11 percent.

A high government official commenting on the situation pointed out that along with host of other factors, the low-value added textile products are a major reason for bringing less unit price compared to its competitors, which went for high value addition and earning more foreign exchange compared to our country.

Out of thirteen items, that constitute textile group, only few managed to post some growth during the July-March of this fiscal whereas other items export posted negative growth.

”Until we go for high valued added products, the issues related to textile exports will persisted to block sizeable growth in its export”, official of Federal Textile Ministry felt.

He said that since the dismantling of quota regime, the growth in our textile exports was less compared to gains made by China and India and added that even Pakistan was behind to some other countries of the region as far as the post quota regime opportunities were concerned.

Official also cited high cotton prices during the current financial year a major blow to growth prospects because cotton cost coupled with cost of other inputs proved disaster for the export.

He, however said that some growth was seen in the export of textile products in February and March, which if continued would be helpful in recovery of textile products to some extent.

About the falling share of textile goods, he pointed out that as price of commodities in international market rose in the recent months, Pakistan commodity based export also fetched good amount of foreign exchange, which rose their share in overall export, resultantly pushing down the export of textile.

People in textile industry were of view that it is the cost factor, which is main obstacle in the export growth as skyrocketting prices of inputs used in the textile manufacturing in recent months dealt a big blow to textile exports.

Textile sector has been given billions of rupees cash incentives and subsidies in the last few years to compete with its regional competitors in the international market, however industry people said despite this the intense competition is depriving the country of its share in various markets because of uncompetitiveness of local products due to high cost of production.

However, questions have been raised over the quality of local products by different international organisations, which also stressed on improvement in the quality of products along with cutting down the cost of production.

Daily Times - Leading News Resource of Pakistan
 
Pakistan, Japan sign accord for soft loan of Rs 29bn

ISLAMABAD: Japan will provide soft loan of $478 million (Rs 29 billion) to Pakistan for different projects of roads, basic needs of life and grid station. The agreement for the soft loan was signed here at Foreign Office on Saturday by Foreign Minister Shah Mahmood Qureshi and his Japanese counterpart Masahiko Koumura after their formal talks. The soft loan being provided under Official Development Assistance (ODA) will be utilised for Punjab Transmission Lines and Grid Stations Project (Phase I), Punjab Irrigation System Improvement Project, Rural Road Construction Project (Phase II), (Sindh), and the East-West Road Improvement Project (N70)(Phase I).

Daily Times - Leading News Resource of Pakistan
 
Govt plans 500MW power generation at Dadu

ISLAMABAD: To serve the long-standing purpose of meeting power demand through the utilisation of indigenous resources, the government plans to initiate 500MW Combined Cycle Power Plant at Dadu, Sindh.

The project will cost Rs 29.260 billion including Rs 18.687 billion as foreign exchange component. At present the country is facing 3,000MW shortage of power and the power demand is increasing at the average rate of 8 percent, the proposed project will help the government to meet power demand up to some extent. The propose project will complete within two years duration it may be funded from Public Sector Development Programme.

The project envisages installation of 500MW Combined Cycle Power Plant at Dadu comprising of three gas turbines (126MW) each and one steam turbine (148MW).

The plant will be connected with the National Grid by laying one-kilometre KV double circuit transmission lines including necessary transformation and protection equipments.

Natural gas will be used as primary fuel and furnace oil will be used as back up fuel during the period of non-availability of natural gas.

The existing power generation capacity is not sufficient to meet the ever-increasing demand of the country. In the recent years, as economic activity picked up, there has been a sudden rise in the power demand, as a result of which there is a supply and demand gap in the existing system. 3,154MW power deficit recorded in March 2008.

The power demand projection based on growth rate shows that power demand will increase from 15,138MW in 2007-08 to about 20,874MW in 2010-11 in the PEPCO/WAPDA system and severe shortage of power is expected in the next 2 to three years.

In order to meet the every increasing power demand, emphasis is laid on the development of indigenous resources i.e. hydro, renewable, coal, natural gas and nuclear. The power sector is one of the fundamental infrastructure sectors in Pakistan, which requires immediate enhancement in capacity to meet the economic growth targets.

The government planned to add about 1260MW hydro, 700MW on renewable, 900MW on coal, 4860MW on gas, 160MW on oil and 325MW nuclear capacities in to the system by the year 2010.

The proposed project will meet the future requirement of power and will cover the power demand-supply gap in the PEPCO/WAPDA system beyond the year 2008-09, thus reducing extend of load shedding in the country in future years.

Daily Times - Leading News Resource of Pakistan
 
Gas shortage in Pakistan is likely to be 26 MMSCMD in 2011-12

ISLAMABAD: Growing acute energy shortfall of 101.55 MMSCMD by 2011-12 forced India to join Iran, Pakistan and India (IPI) as well as Turkmenistan, Afghanistan, Pakistan and India (TAPI) gas pipeline projects, reveals official meeting protocol paper available with Daily Times on Thursday.

Pakistan’s energy demand supply gap has been estimated at 26 MMSCMD by 2011, 77 MMSCMD by 2015 and 293 MMSCMD by 2025 due to the domestic gas sources are depleting and demand for gas grows in line with economic expansion, the paper stated.

Pakistan: Meeting Protocol paper, which was presented during the Tenth Steering Committee Meeting of the Turkmenistan Afghanistan, Pakistan and India (TAPI) held here recently, states that the energy supply mix for Pakistan was 48.6 percent gas and 30 percent oil in 2006-07.

Power sector of Pakistan consumes the largest portion of gas at 35.5 percent. As the domestic sources are depleted and the demand for gas grows in line with economic expansion, the supply-demand of gas in Pakistan is expected to be 26 MMSCMD in 2011-12, 77 MMSCMD in 2015 and 293 MMSCMD in 2025.

India: India’s supply-demand scenario explained in the paper reveals that India is the 5th largest consumer of energy with 30 percent dependence on oil of which 73 percent is imported. There is need to triple its power generation by 2025 to feed the fast-growing technology and manufacturing industries. Currently, natural gas makes up to 8.5% of India’s energy mix. This is expected to be increased to 20% by 2025.

The existing demand for natural gas is 179.17 MMSCMD. Demand expected to double by 321.77 MMSCMD in 2011-12 and 920 MMSCMD by 2013-32. Power would remain key sector consuming around 44-45% and fertiliser sector would account for 27% of demand. Efforts to augment supply are ongoing.

Recent gas discoveries have been made recently in KG Basin on east coast, commercial production likely to start in couple of years. Around 12.5 MMT capacity is likely to be added at Dahej, Dhabhol and Kochi terminals during XI plan to bring imported LNG to the country. Transnational pipelines are being considered. The supply available was 106 MMSCMD in 2006-07 (Domestic 83.8 MMSCMD, LNG 22.3 MMSCMD) and conservation estimated to be 220.22 MMSCMD in 2011-12 (domestic 164.23 MMSCMD), LNG 56 MMSCMD. In 2011-12, the estimated demand supply gap is 101.55 MMSCMD.

Turkmenistan: The Turkmen-istan delegation made a presentation on the status of current national gas reserves. It was informed to the meeting that Turkmenistan’s natural gas reserves estimates have been updated to 8 trillion cubic meters (TCM). The current production in the country remains at 80 billion cubic meters per year, of which 20 billion cubic meters is used for domestic consumption and 60 billion cubic meters is exported. The meeting was assured by the Turkmenistan side that at least 30 billion cubic meters would be available for the TAPI project annually for the lifetime of the project.

The independent third party audit of the gas reserves for Dauletabad filed and two other fields are undergoing, in this regard, Turkman Geology has signed the contract with the firm in April 2008. The audit would be completed by July 2008. Subsequently the Turkman side would provide required gas certification to all relevant parties of TAPI.

Afghanistan: Afghan delegation present in TAPI meeting informed that there would be many new factories, government agencies, entrepreneurs and residents on the project route. It was proposed that off-take for Afghanistan be revised to 2 billion cubic meter annually in first two years and 5 billion cubic meters from the start of the third year.

The TAPI Gas Pipeline, under the routing discussed by the consultant, would pass through the west and south east of Afghanistan through five provinces i.e. Heart, Farah, Nimroz, Helmand and Kandahar. There is highly possibility of deposits of gas and oil in these areas.

Daily Times - Leading News Resource of Pakistan
 
Powerless Pakistan

Sunday, May 04, 2008

Coal has always been a dirty four-letter word in our power vocabulary. Reluctantly and only recently, have the policymakers been forced to look at indigenous coal as a serious power generation option. Contrary to popular perception, coal not oil is the single largest source of global energy.

Of late gas-fired power generation is also being promoted in tandem with oil. Ironically, the same was not done when we had plentiful gas reserves. Now that we might have to import it, the policymakers have suddenly woken up anew to its benefits. Share of gas in the IPP’s energy generation has actually fallen since 2004 from 75 per cent to 56 per cent due to shortages.

Pakistan’s rivers have (or had) the potential to generate 40,0000MW of cheap hydel power. At present we are facing a severe water shortage due to the effects of global warming and the construction of upstream dams like Baghliar and Kishan Ganga by India in violation of the Indus Water Treaty. It is ironically now that we hear the aggressive hyperbole advocating construction of mega dams for hydel power generation. Apart from being rife with political connotations does our recent telemetry of the Indus River System support these grandiose schemes? Likewise with the ever-spiraling oil prices, relying on indigenous coal is the only medium-to-long-term solution to our energy and economic woes.

The world generates 38 per cent of its power from coal. Germany, the USA, the UK, India and China generate more than 50 per cent of their electric power from coal. Australia, Poland and South Africa are dependent upon coal for more than 80 per cent of their energy needs. Indonesia generates 93 per cent of its electricity from coal. Pakistan with coal deposits of 185 billion tons, astoundingly, does not generate even 1 per cent of its electricity from coal.

The only coal based power generation plant of any significance in the country (with an installed capacity of 150MW) is Lakhra Power. For most of its long chequered history, the plant has either been closed or has operated at less than 50 per cent capacity utilisation.

Thar Coal Field in Sindh, with LigniteñB (Brown Coal) deposits of 175 billion tones makes up for 94 per cent of our total coal reserves. It is spread over an area of 9,100 square kilometers in Tharparkar. Only 350 square kilometers, 3.8 per cent of this vast coal field has been geologically investigated which verified deposits of 12 billion tons. This itself is sufficient to generate more than 40,000MW electricity for decades to come. Lignite-B is hazardous to stack and does not lend itself to easy transportation. Such deposits, worldwide, are considered ideal for mine mouth power generation.

It was in 2001 that the Thar Coal Task Force was formed, headed by President Musharraf himself. Rheinbraun of Germany, specialising in Brown Coal mining to support mine mouth power generation was engaged. They were supposed to carry out a Thar mining bankable feasibility to support a power plant of 1,000MW capacity. The fate of this report on which upfront tariff for coal-based power generation was to be based, remains a mystery. Without a credible Bankable Feasibility no international investor of merit will show interest in Thar coal.

In the absence of a credible power policy and the aftermath of the Hubco tariff fiasco, international power generation companies were wary of doing business with Pakistan. The only country willing to help was China. Lt-Gen Ghulam Ahmed (may his soul rest in peace), the then COS to President Musharraf, was instrumental in spearheading (behind the scene) the Thar initiative and engaging the Chinese at the highest level.

With a request to the Chinese prime minister himself, the response was immediate. Within no time, the head of the Shenhua Energy Group, the largest coal mining state-owned enterprise in Mainland China and the second largest in the world, arrived in Pakistan. He was personally heading a team to evaluate Thar Coal Field’s potential for power generation.

Shenhua owns and operates coal-based mine mouth power generation assets of over 10,000MW in Mainland China. The group chairman enjoys the status of a vice minister and had been personally instructed by the Chinese premier to do everything possible to help Pakistan’s coal power generation. This visit commenced with signing of a letter of intent.

Within months an MoU was signed between Shenhua and the Sindh government whereby the former agreed to incrementally set up a 900MW mine mouth coal-fired power plant initially on a build, own & operate (BOO) basis. The Chinese also undertook, at their own expense, to first establish a Thar mining feasibility by carrying out a detailed geological investigation of a coal block allotted to them. This would then form the basis of an integrated mining and power generation feasibility and viable tariff negotiations. The entire project was to be financed by the Chinese themselves; all they wanted was a fair and viable tariff.

It was then that the usual detractors came into play. WAPDA insisted that the Chinese build the Thar/national grid power transmission at their own expense. The Ministry of Water and Power balked at providing adequate water supply at site. To complicate matters further the Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Resources started lobbying for federal control of the Thar Coal Resource itself. The Pakistan Mineral Development Corporation started putting down strip mining and came up with alternative suggestions like In-Situ Gasification of Thar Coal; at best a commercially unproven nascent technology. These were some of the many convenient impediments that started cropping up ever so aggressively to sabotage this initiative of national import.

Immediately after signing the MoU, more than 150 Chinese arrived to carry out detailed geological investigations. Their coal drilling rigs, sampling equipment and machinery arrived at Karachi Port as temporary imports (exempt from taxes as they would be re-exported after completion of the project).

Despite earlier assurances, the Pakistan Customs refused clearance till import duties and taxes were paid. Shaukat Aziz, our ‘economic czar’ and then finance minister, was not exactly helpful in the situation. General Musharraf personally heading the Thar Task Force seemed powerless as ultimately the Shenhua fiasco proved. The clearance issue was only resolved when the Chinese displeasure was conveyed to the very top through our then ambassador to Beijing Riaz Khokhar.

Working round the clock, the Chinese carried out the technical and commercial evaluation in record time. Shenhua was ready and more than eager to build the integrated mining and power generation complex at a guaranteed power tariff of 5.75cents/kWH. Negotiations started between Shenhua and the Private Power Infrastructure Board (PPIB) and later with NEPRA ended in a stalemate as NEPRA in its own wisdom refused to go above 5.34 cents.

In the mean time, a newly-elected government took over in Sindh. The Thar Task Force was no longer in charge. The new Sindh government having other priorities, the Thar Coal Initiative literally came to a grinding halt.

For more than two years Shenhua desperately tried to negotiate a reasonable tariff with the ‘power barons’ but in vain. Negotiations were deliberately sabotaged by interest groups who viewed coal generation as an infringement on their exclusive domain.

A new but highly flawed power policy called Power Policy 2002 was implemented by the incumbent government in 2003. An utter failure, not a single megawatt was added to the national grid under this policy in the last about nine years. The corner stone of this policy was stripping WAPDA of its self-power generation mandate. The flawed privatisation of the KESC too was a fallout of this policy. The list of failure and anomalies is too long to pen here.

It also put paid to all hopes that Shenhua might have had to set up the Thar Coal Power Plant. In terms of this policy the special dispensation allowed to Shenhua in that they were specially invited and given 52 square miles in the Thar Coal Field to set up mine mouth generation became invalid. PM Shaukat Aziz had the effrontery to point this out to the Chinese in a televised press conference. Shenhua Group was told to stand in line like everyone else and take part in competitive bidding for setting up a coal-based power plant in Thar as and when the government got around inviting such bids.

The Shenhua Group packed up and left. With them went all hopes of Thar coal based power generation. Nine years later the federal government has yet to come up with an upfront acceptable power tariff for coal. Meanwhile, the costs have escalated and even 9 cents is no longer viable. The minimum upfront coal tariff recently demanded by the Sindh government is 11 cents.

In its profound wisdom the federal government has recently decided to delink Thar Coal Mining and Power Generation and has formed the Thar Coal Mining Company. God help us all! Instead of starting from scratch Shenhua should be persuaded to come back with a workable tariff offered to them.

As for their going back in the first place, needless to say, no heads will roll in a power-less Pakistan.

Powerless Pakistan
 
Pakistan to focus on economic ties: Salman Bashir

Sunday, May 04, 2008

ISLAMABAD: Pakistan’s Foreign missions abroad need to concentrate more on ‘economic diplomacy’ developing country-to-country relationship, said Foreign Secretary Salman Bashir.

Salman Bashir who assumed office on Saturday, said that Pakistan, being a developing country has to work more aggressively deepening its economic ties with friendly nations.

“The present government has already set up a task force to suggest ways and means; strengthening ‘economic diplomacy’, aimed at making foreign policy different from the past; where foreign policy focused on geo-politics alone.

Talking to APP on his arrival from Beijing after serving as the country’s ambassador, he said, Pakistan’s foreign policy should be geared more towards the economy for improving socio-economic conditions of the people.

He said, “I truly feel that the foreign service and foreign missions abroad are great national assets that could be geared up to meet national aspirations.”

He expressed the resolve to match the expectations of the new government and the people, and fulfil the confidence reposed in him to serve national interests and to build a better national image abroad.

Pakistan to focus on economic ties: Salman Bashir
 
Indus Motor committed to enhancing production

Sunday, May 04, 2008

KARACHI: NED University Vice Chancellor Engr Abul Kalam has said Toyota and Indus are committed to further enhancing local production and developing human capital for the engineering industry.

He said this while speaking at the annual suppliers’ convention organised by Indus Motor Company (IMC) under the theme ‘Bridge to the Future’, said a press release. He appreciated IMC’s role in the transfer of technology, particularly in the development and localisation of parts for the automobile industry. He welcomed IMC’s initiatives for enhancing collaboration with engineering institutions and for providing training and employment opportunities to engineering graduates.

IMC Chairman Ali S Habib highlighted the significant role of the auto industry in the country’s development and its contribution to the GDP. He pointed out that there was a slowdown in sales of passenger cars and light commercial vehicles owing to the application of 2.5 per cent withholding tax, decrease in auto financing and an uncertain environment. He praised the government’s decision to suspend the withholding tax till June 30 and hoped that it would be permanently withdrawn. He said the country bristles with tremendous motorization potential and with political stability and economic growth, there should be resurgence in automobile demand.

IMC CEO Parvez Ghias mentioned the company is continuously increasing production to meet demand. He requested the vendors and suppliers to continue to work together as one team and to focus on meeting the growing expectations of the customers.

Emphasising the need for promoting safety, protecting environment and becoming good corporate citizens, he requested the vendors to join hands with IMC in its corporate social responsibility (CSR) initiatives.

IMC Product Development General Manager Hamid Rasul reviewed the previous year’s vendor performance, based on quality, cost, delivery and product development. He urged the suppliers to gear up for the challenges ahead and to comply with global standards in order to make the country an international auto parts exporter. Suppliers were recognized for their achievements and received awards in various categories.

The convention was attended by senior management of Toyota Motor Corporation, Daihatsu Motor Corporation, House of Habib, IMC’s vendors and suppliers, Dealers, business partners, representatives from the automobile industry, educational institutions and the management of IMC.

Indus Motor committed to enhancing production
 
Japan to give $480 million loan for various schemes

ISLAMABAD (May 04 2008): The government of Japan will extend about $480 million (48 billion yen) loan on 1.2 percent rate of interest, double the amount of previous year's loan to promote economic stability and development efforts. Agreement to this effect was signed by Japanese Foreign Minister Masahiko Koumura and Foreign Minister Makhdoom Shah Mahmood Qureshi here on Saturday.

Qureshi said that the loan will be used for Punjab Power Transmission Lines and Grid Stations Project, Punjab Irrigation System Improvement Project; Rural Roads Construction Project (Sindh) and East-West Road Improvement Project (N-70).

Commenting on trade and investment between the two counties, Qureshi said that bilateral trade stands at $2 million at present and there is further room for investment and expansion of trade, adding that a task force to be constituted on economic diplomacy soon will invite Japanese businessmen to understand the potential of economic growth in Pakistan.

Assistance for tribal areas especially in education and health was also discussed and Japan showed the desire to set up schools and improve medical facilities in these areas, the minister added. Qureshi said that as chair of G-8, Japan may lobby for Pakistan to improve conditions in tribal belt on both sides of Pak-Afghan border.

The multi-faceted strategy of the present government to counter terrorism was also discussed at length. Japan is also providing fuel and water to Pakistan Navy for free. Pakistan also sought assistance for developing a modern science and technology university.

Reciprocating, the Japanese Foreign Minister said: "Stability and development in Pakistan is linked with global peace." To help Pakistan eradicate terrorism and strengthen democracy, Japan would convince other G-8 members to assist the country for achieving these objectives.

Responding to a question about new government policy against terrorism, Qureshi said: "The new government is aware of peace and security in the region. However a small number of terrorists in tribal belt are threatening peace. The tribal people want socio-economic development in the area. We will root out terrorism to materialise this objective, he asserted.

Japanese FM said: "In my understanding Pakistan must be helped in fight against terrorism and we will facilitate democracy and stability in Pakistan". Replying to a question about multi-pronged strategy on terrorism, Japanese FM said he discussed these issues in meetings with Prime Minister Yusuf Raza Gilani and President Pervez Musharraf.

Business Recorder [Pakistan's First Financial Daily]
 
Plan to produce 2,379,000 tonnes of maize in fiscal year 2009 prepared

FAISALABAD (May 04 2008): The Ministry of Food, Agriculture and Livestock (Minfal) is chalking out a plan to cultivate maize crop over 1001,000 hectare to produce 2,379,000 tonnes of maize to fulfil the domestic maize consumption during 2008-09.

According to official sources, the maize crop is an essential food crop, which is being used in different food items as well as to prepare animal, poultry feed and edible oil. According to agri scientists, this crop is grown twice in a year. They said that in some areas it is a substitute of wheat. Moreover, the farmers use its stems as animal fodder, they added.

They mentioned that to achieve the target, special focus is being given on creating awareness among the farmers to improve productivity of spring maize, by sowing of hybrid maize varieties. Sources said the provincial research and extension institutes are also concentrating on introducing hybrid crop production technology through awareness programme and efforts are also being made to produce hybrid maize at the local level.

Presenting the province-wise details, the official informed that in Punjab, the maize crop will be cultivated over 530,000 hectare to get 2,593,000 tonnes of maize. In Sindh, Balochistan, and NWFP more land area has been brought to cultivate the maize to obtain 533, 1,583 and 1,000 tonnes of maize crop respectively, official plan said.

Business Recorder [Pakistan's First Financial Daily]
 
ADB to spend $300 million on Sindh cities' improvement programme

KARACHI (May 04 2008): Sindh Government is carrying out planning for $300 million Sindh Cities Improvement Program with the co-operation of Asian Development Bank (ADB). This was informed by Additional Chief Secretary Planning and Development, Nazar Hussain Maher, in a briefing on ADB-funded projects given to Sindh Chief Minister Syed Qaim Ali Shah here on Saturday.

The objective of the program is to improve the standard of life in Sindh's cities with reforms in the basic structure of cities as per modern day requirements. ACS said the program will be launched under Taluka Municipal Administration and Sukkur, New Sukkur, Rohri, Shikarpur, Larkana and Khairpur will be taken up under Phase-I.

In order to raise the living standard in these cities, modern civic facilities would be provided through implementation of water and sewerage schemes and steps taken for solid waste management, Chief Minister was informed. ACS said that improvement does not mean spending billion rupees on construction of buildings because this cannot lead to attainment of stable development targets. He described the performance of Public Health Engineering department as disappointed.

He said the reason thereof is that the department does complete the scheme, but takes up no responsibility to operate it and, therefore, this department was not held responsible for failure of any scheme. He informed that in Sindh there are some 1700 water supply and drainage schemes out of which 700 are non-functional.

Nazar Hussain Maher said a Public Utility Service Corporation, to be named as Sindh Urban Services Corporation, will be setup to provide better basic facilities to cities under Sindh Cities Improvement project.

Briefing the meeting about present situation in Sindh regarding water supply and drainage, waste management, problems of existing infrastructure and other related issues, Ms Cathey Julian, leader of the ADB Cities Projects team, informed that objective of Sindh Cities program is to focus on the problems of water supply, drainage and solid waste management.

The Phase-I of 300 million dollar project would be completed with an investment of 30 million dollars whereby North Sindh Urban Services Corporation will be setup with Headquarter at Sukkur, she told the meeting.

The Chief Minister welcomed the ADB team and appreciated its Cities Improvement Program. He said previous government failed to produce results and people of Pakistan have suffered a lot and now wants development and people-friendly projects so that poverty is alleviated on one hand and they gets access to basic facilities of life on the other. Approving the project, Syed Qaim Ali Shah issued directive for the establishment of Sindh Urban Services Corporation under Companies Ordinance 1984.

He said that other cities of Sindh, including central Sindh and cities in the South should also be studied. He directed that timeframe for the project be reduced so that it is completed at the earliest and people are provided better and modern facilities of life. Sindh Local Government Minister Agha Siraj Durrani, Chief Secretary Fazlur Rehman, Secretary Local Government Aftab Memon and other officials were also present in the meeting.

Business Recorder [Pakistan's First Financial Daily]
 
Making retail businesses competitive

Grocery shopping is entering a new age with the advent of global retailers like Makro and Metro. The French retailer Carrefour is also expected to open up a hypermarket in Lahore, making its own mark on the retail landscape. But while a blessing for thousands of shopaholics, they are also ringing an alarm for thousands of small to medium-sized retailers, who are competing in the same market place.

While these local businesses may not be adversely affected in the short run, they are likely to see a decline in their sales and profitability over the next few years, owing to opening up of these mega retailers all over the major cosmopolitans, their competitive prices and wide product variety and the consequent change in consumer shopping patterns, who are increasingly shifting to these new stores.

The phenomenon of wiping off small businesses due to opening of mega-retailers is not new and has been witnessed in the West. In US, specifically, it is also sometimes termed as the Wal-Mart phenomenon, named after the world’s biggest discount retailer, which revolutionised the shopping landscape over the last 46 years. The news of opening up of a mega retailer like Wal-Mart is the worst nightmare for a small retailer in the United States, as it does not have the muscle to compete with these enormous corporations due to their massive marketing budgets, low prices and variety of products. This is exactly what is likely to happen in Pakistani retail market.

With increasing competition and introduction of global retailers, the industry is likely to witness a wave of consolidation, eliminating several small to mid-sized retailers in this race of competition. Moreover, these trends are just the beginning, with the likelihood of more and more global retail chains eyeing the Pakistani consumer market. In 2005, Pakistan’s foray for the first time into the A. T. Kearney’s Global Retail Development Index, an index of 30 emerging retail markets that are attractive for investment, was a clear indicator that Pakistan is very well on its path to becoming an attractive destination for global retail chains.

Such a scenario may be very beneficial to the overall market, as it makes the industry more competitive, offering consumers variety of choice at competitive prices, this may at the same time serve as the death warrant to a number of small-to-medium businesses in the long run, who will find themselves helpless in this competition, based on their limited capacity to compete. Not only would their size be a disadvantage for them to compete with their giant counterparts in terms of costs, but their traditional approach of doing business can also prove to be a drag for them in adopting new business practices.

These retailers however, can put their act together right now and come up with appropriate measures to counter this upcoming threat. The sooner they realise this threat the better they’ll be able to counter it. The only answer to this threat lies in enhancing the business competitiveness of these retail business enterprises.

Competitiveness at the firm level can be broadly defined as the ability to compete effectively with its competitors in the market place. Enhancing competitiveness for these SMEs however is easier said than done. Not only does it require awareness of this threat and a change in general mindset but also necessitate a few concrete steps by these enterprises as well as by the government.

Industry collaboration, for instance, can serve as a highly effective tool to counter competition from the big retailers. This collaboration can be geared towards forming buying groups or consortia for collective purchasing and bulk-buying. Such an association will allow these small retailers to enjoy almost the same margins as enjoyed by their big brothers. The idea of forming buying consortia is not new and has been tried and tested in various countries and across several industries. Such a step however, is hindered by the traditional competitive mentality of our retailers, and must be preceded by some confidence-building measures.

A good first step can be to strengthen the existing market associations, which can then be used to develop these cartels. At a later stage, these cartels can also be used to launch private brands offering greater value to the consumers in terms of low prices, while offering healthier margins to the retailers.

Retail promotions come next, which is an area that has traditionally been ignored by our retailers. While the trade promotions, offered by consumer good companies to retailers, as well as consumer promotions, offered by these companies to consumers through the retailers, are common in the marketplace, any retail promotion from the retailer’s end is a rare phenomenon.Such promotions coupled with limited local advertising, however, have the potential to do wonders for any retailer.

Due to the similarity in product offerings, most of these retailers are either competing on prices or sometimes due to personalised relationship with the clients. However, through well-designed promotions, such as off-shelf price discounts, product bundling, loyalty programmes, coupons, etc., these retailers can compete well in the market place and even snatch the consumers from other retailers.

Several strategies have been developed in the West to design excellent promotions, providing value to the customers but at the same time increasing the customer’s basket size. These promotions can also help the retailers in getting rid of the unwanted inventory, which causes a drag on their working capital.

Operational excellence is another area, which can greatly help an enterprise in squeezing hefty margins from the existing business. This excellence can be achieved through better inventory management solutions, POS (point-of-sales) software, restricting shop-lifting and wastages, etc. A heavy focus on customer relations is also a critical factor to make the small retailers more competitive.

Although most of these small retail store owners have personalised relationship with some of their clients, very often they are resistant to go out of the way to serve their clients. Some of the problems faced by the customers are in the area of product returns, which is a normal practice in the West but has been severely resisted in the local retail market. Introduction of such practices, however, is likely to go a long way in enhancing customer loyalty.

Considering that 14.67 per cent of our labour force is employed by the retail and wholesale trade segment (including hotels and restaurants) and it contributes substantially to our GDP, this must be a high priority area for the government.

Some of the immediate steps, which can be taken by the government, are to sensitise the SME sector about this upcoming threat, through awareness campaigns and educational seminars, launching capacity-building initiatives for industry associations as well as for individual business enterprises and offering financial incentives.

Government organisations like SMEDA can forge partnership with educational institutions to offer retail management training for these retailers and these programmes can be offered through trade and market associations. Providing financial support for selected areas is another area, which can motivate these SMEs to adopt state-of-the-art business practices. Business Support Fund, a project established by ministry of finance and SMEDA and funded by Asian Development Bank, is already providing financial assistance to SMEs for procurement of business development service on a matching grant basis.

While the modalities of this model might raise a few questions, the initiative is helping a number of SMEs in addressing their business needs. Such projects can also focus on targeted interventions, ranging from simple cookie cutter solutions like developing and implementing ERP solutions for these small-to-medium retailers to more innovative initiatives, such as enabling the retailers to transform their businesses into multi-outlet enterprises, through better monitoring and control systems.

The government should also encourage other international donor organisations to focus on the retail sector and dedicate some of their technical assistance funding within their economic growth portfolio and enterprise development programmes on enhancing the retail competitiveness, especially within the SME segment.

While the government should encourage the FDI flow through these global retail chains, it must also consider strengthening the SME segment within the industry, providing employment to millions of people.

Making retail businesses competitive -DAWN - Business; May 05, 2008
 
Unemployment in rural Sindh

Unemployment in rural areas is the most daunting challenge being faced by the new Sindh government. The rural areas are fast losing their agriculture-based employment potential due to persistent shortage of water and land degradation. Almost 14 million people in rural Sindh directly depend on agriculture as their major source of livelihood.

However, this source of livelihood and employment is under severe pressure due to variety of reasons. Drought, faulty water distribution mechanism, poor management of water resources, land degradation, lack of research and inept market policies are the few among the long list of reasons taking toll of agriculture economy.

The situation can be gauged from the following table showing the the decline in area under cultivation. The table shows the decline in area sown under important crops from 1995-96 to 2004-05

Declining produce has a direct bearing on rural poverty and employment. A World Bank report, “Securing Sindh’s Future-The Prospects and Challenges Ahead” paints a very grim picture of unemployment in Sindh. It reveals that due to growing population, rise in literacy and migration, nearly 600,000 additional people would be entering in job market each year in Sindh. This is in contrast with the long-term annual job creation rate of 350,000 in the province.

Over the recent decade, Sindh has been frequently denied its due share in water distribution. Growers have been complaining that water shortage in canals and distributaries of Sindh has become a perennial problem. The new government would have to tackle this issue through effective representation in IRSA and Wapda . Only judicious share and efficient use of water can improve agriculture-related employment in rural Sindh.

However, climate change effect is likely to increase in the coming years and availability of water in river system would continue to be a question mark. To manage this risk, there is a need to diversify employment opportunities both in rural as well as urban areas of the province. The Sindh government needs to explore non-conventional avenues to create employment opportunities apart from revitalising its agriculture sector.

Agro-based industry could provide some relief but incentives are required to attract investment in rural areas. Poor law and order conditions and weak infrastructure have also been a barrier to growth of agro-based industry. The industry in Sindh is mainly concentrated in Karachi except handful of units in Hyderabad, Kotri and Sukkur. Presently, about 11,500 small and large industrial units are located in four major industrial areas of Karachi, providing employment to over 2.5 million people.

Since rural Sindh has predominantly agriculture based economy, human resource required for industrial sector has not been developed there. No significant investment was made in infrastructure required for promoting rural industry. Due to lack of demand and poor administration, institutes of vocational training and job skills are also in bad shape in rural areas.

Presently, 45 polytechnic and mono-technical institutes are operating in Sindh having about 18,000 registered students. However only 8,000 of them studied in institutions located outside Karachi. Likewise, the Directorate of Manpower and Training is operating about 33 training centres including technical, apprenticeship and youth vocational training centres. Most of such centres in rural areas are dysfunctional due to various reasons. Proper training through revamped institutions could open doors of urban- based employment for rural youth.

Quality education institutes in the rural areas also deserve attention for creating human resource with advanced degrees. Public sector universities in rural Sindh are victims of lack of resources, quality faculty and infrastructure. Graduates from these universities cannot compete with graduates from urban-based private sector institutions. This is resulting in frustration among qualified rural youth.

Quality education institutions are mostly centred in Karachi, which are too expensive for lower and middle class families of rural areas. Presently, there are 25 HEC recognised degree awarding private sector institutes in Sindh; 23 of them are located in Karachi and remaining two in Hyderabad. From 2001/02 to 2005/06 these institutions produced over 36,000 graduates, all from Karachi except 900 from Hyderabad.

Information technology is a promising sector offering wide spectrum of jobs nationally and internationally. However, rural areas are deprived from any significant benefit from this sector. According to a research report of Pakistan Software Export Board (PSEB), this sector is providing jobs to about 138,000 employees and the number of job opportunities is expected to be around 235,000 in 2009-10. Rural areas are far from the scene. PESB website shows 1,161 registered IT companies in the country. This includes 412 in Karachi, 331 in Islamabad, 418 in Lahore and remaining in other cities/towns.

In Sindh, some 25 institutions offer degree courses in IT sector; 23 of which are in Karachi alone and one each in Hyderabad and Tando Allahyar. Due to such gap of access to IT education, rural youth have very limited opportunities to benefit from this fast growing job market. It is time that quality education centres in IT should be established in all district headquarters to create more job opportunities for educated youth from rural areas.

The Sindh government should devise a comprehensive strategy to tackle the challenge of unemployment specially in rural areas. It would be advisable set up a ‘human resource development and employment authority’ to execute long-term strategies for creating job opportunities for rural and urban youth to reach out to national and international job markets.

To create a socio-economic balance in urban and urban areas, there is a dire need to provide basic educational training facilities and employment opportunities across the province.

Unemployment in rural Sindh -DAWN - Business; May 05, 2008
 
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