They are certainly in a position to attack us.. All the following factors are true:
1 - Modi's decreasing popularity requires some extra measures
2 - Indian economy is not doing well recently and they require a push start
3 - ISIS have started attacks on our western border and we can't move our forces from there
4 - CPEC is in crucial stages of getting worlds attention and partnership.. which may end their claim on GB effectively
5 - Pakistan is in a very bad economical situation, and the new government is trying to set its foot which they don't want
6 - US is on their side, and Russia is not fully with Pakistan.. US will provide all intelligence based support
A limited scale war (in AK region) will achieve the following (according to them):
1 - A very limited/ short incursion into Pakistani side of Kashmir, and GB..
2 - Destroying infrastructure of CPEC in GB to remind the world that the partnership of any other country will end up in losses..
3 - Coercing Pakistan to move its forces from western side to eastern international border, so that insurgents (1000s of ISIS waiting to enter from Afghanistan) may create mess in KP and Baluchistan
4 - Modi's popularity will reach new heights
5 - Economy always gets better after a successful war as the investor confidence on the side that achieves its objectives increases
They have assessed that:
1 - Pakistan is not in a position to retaliate on the international border
2 - Pakistan is not in a position to use low yield neutron bombs when short incursions are made into AK and GB (through Indian AirForce mostly)
3 - Pakistan will not be able to sustain the aftermath, and may not maintain control on Baluchistan, eventually failing on CPEC, leading to US achieving its objectives against China of not letting it becoming cost effective in its trade with Africa.
Iss se acha waqt mil nahi sakta tareekh main.. aur CPEC ke mazeed partners aanay ke baad India ko bhool jana chahiey.. This is the only and the last chance.