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On a road to nowhere: Indian foreign policy seems to have lost its way in the neighbourhood

Albatross

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At a meeting with the president of the Bharatiya Janata Party at his residence in New Delhi on Friday, the functionaries of the Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh in charge of India’s foreign policy have reportedly expressed “grave concern” over the government’s mishandling of the relations with Nepal. They seemed to blame the political leadership for taking the eyes off the ball, so to speak, in the hurly-burly of the Bihar election. The foreign-policy experts of the RSS censured the government for the current India-Nepal standoff, blaming the leadership for causing “an unnecessary escalation of the situation because of a lack of communication between the two governments”.

In a separate development recently, according to Delhi grapevine, a high-flying erstwhile RSS functionary seconded to the BJP, who doubles up as a virtual "shadow foreign minister", was pulled up recently for financial irregularities while organising the cheerleading parties for Prime Minister Narendra Modi during his visits abroad, including the spectacle at Madison Square Garden in New York last year.

Whether or – how far – the above two developments could be inter-related is a moot point. Suffice it to say, it is in bits and pieces that the public gets a peep into the strange ways in which the Modi government conducts its foreign policy.

Hawks reign

The Modi government has a full-fledged foreign minister and a junior foreign minister but they do not figure as consequential. The diplomatic missions in Delhi openly admit that they take the shadow foreign minister more seriously than the real foreign minister.

When the shadow becomes more important than the real thing, it is apparent that something has gone very seriously wrong – quite obviously, the falcon is no longer hearing the falconer. This is most evident in India’s neighbourhood policies with regard to China, Pakistan and Nepal. India has never before, perhaps, projected itself as a "national security state" in such a brazen fashion in its neighbourhood.

Unsurprisingly, the bureaucrats in the foreign and security policy establishment have figured out the "wind factor" and decided to bend low toward Keshav Kunj in Jhandewalan. They are of course savvy enough to fathom that in the present political dispensation, it pays to be a "hawk" and hang tough like hell when it comes to conducting India’s diplomacy toward China or Pakistan – and, of late, little Nepal too. The safest thing for a bureaucrat today is to be a hawkish "nationalist". Under the roof of the "national security state", you cannot go wrong if you are a "hawk".

Benign Neglect

The result is plain to see. India’s relations with China and Pakistan have taken a turn for the worse through the past one-year period for no obvious reason one can discern. There are no Chinese incursions being reported from the disputed border; in fact, the media leaks from establishment have altogether dried up.

China is largely leaving India to itself and all that we can complain about is, arguably, that Beijing is subjecting us to "benign neglect", which indeed hurts our vanity. But then, Beijing has its hands full in terms of its reforms and the acute rivalry with the United States.

No Chinese submarine has lately appeared in Sri Lanka or Pakistan. China is not fuelling the insurgencies tearing our northeast region apart. All in all, if there is an opportune moment to rev up diplomacy to normalise relations with China, this is it.

Yet, our national security state is not interested. When Taiwan can do business with China, what prevents India from doing so boggles the mind. But what is astounding is the deliberate manner in which India is going about vitiating the climate or trust in the relationship that had steadily accrued during the United Progressive Alliance rule.

In sum, the national security state will deal with China only on its terms at its own pace and time of choosing. The government’s policies towards Pakistan are almost ditto. India is not even prepared to talk with Pakistan except on its terms.

Akhand Bharat delusions

In a calibrated move to add more irritants to the relationship, India has lately staked its territorial claims to the Northern Areas and Azad Kashmir and the RSS has conjured up irredentist visions ofAkhand Bharat. The whole world seems to believe that our national security state is fighting a proxy war with Pakistan on the Afghan soil. And all one can say is that the ministers in Modi’s cabinet and other top officials have adopted a belligerent posturing that has no relation to ground realities or actual Indian military capability – even threatening to kidnap or murder Dawood Ibrahim or to teach Pakistan a "Myanmar lesson".

Yet, the Valley in Jammu and Kashmir has been so very tranquil and free from cross-border terrorism – although the alienation of the people remains deep and almost unbridgeable and all that Prime Minister Modi can think of doing is to throw even more money at the Kashmir problem, which of course is not going to go away.

Meanwhile, Pakistan too has its plate full with problems of various kinds, including existential issues, and lacks any desire or capacity to provoke India. At one time in July-August, till the national security state summarily pulled down the shutters on talks, Pakistan seemed to signal willingness to discuss a moratorium on terrorism that addresses mutual concerns. However, like in the case with China, the national security state is simply not interested in normalising relations with Pakistan.

The road to nowhere

As regards Nepal, it seems more and more like a tragi-comedy. The clumsiness with which India has handled Nepal’s transition to constitutional rule has been simply appalling. It all started with the misguided push by the RSS to have the neighbouring country adopt a constitution declaring Nepal as a "Hindu Rashtra". It was a road to nowhere and has only led to a series of blunders by the national security state in the downstream.

The South Block "hawks" have become so myopic that they don’t even comprehend that India will have a tough time to defend its own horrific atrocities – unmarked graves, war crimes explained away as "encounters", military occupation, denial of civil rights and so on – in the northeast region if ever the yardsticks it paraded cavalierly in Geneva to berate Nepal at the United Nations Human Rights Council were to be applied to it fairly and squarely by the international community.

Indeed, what are we trying to prove in Nepal? That Nepal is a tiny impoverished country, which is highly vulnerable to pressure from our national security state? It is difficult to quarrel with the Nepali Prime Minister KP Sharma Oli’s remark that India’s blockade of his country is more inhuman than war.

The sympathy of the world community will only lie with Nepal as the humanitarian crisis building up in that country right in front of our eyes begins to snowball in the harsh winter months ahead and the western aid agencies and the UN relief organisations start expressing their anguish and despair about India’s stony heart.

The RSS seems to anticipate what lies ahead and understands that the law of diminishing returns is at work already. Whereas, it should have been the bureaucrats in South Block in the first instance to warn the government and its mentors that the national security state is about to land in a cesspool.

At any rate, now that the RSS has given the green signal for the national security state to patch up with Oli’s government, our hawkish bureaucrats should move – and move fast. Time is running out.
On a road to nowhere: Indian foreign policy seems to have lost its way in the neighbourhood


Some Pakistanis mistakenly abuse Modi when he infact is a blessing for us in disguise and I hope he gets another term in office to make sure Indian state is divided into dozens of smaller states that's what happens when your Godfathers are from a illiterate , sick and terrorist organization named RSS.

Ghar wapsi will only lead to loss of their own homes .
 
Pakistanis are criticizing modi only because he is showing their true value which is nothing. India's policy of making war unaffordable for pakistan is working very nice.

Let pakistanis live in illusion of breaking India, while India progresses leaps and bounds, even by ignoring trade with the terrorist state.
 
Pakistanis are criticizing modi only because he is showing their true value which is nothing. India's policy of making war unaffordable for pakistan is working very nice.

Let pakistanis live in illusion of breaking India, while India progresses leaps and bounds, even by ignoring trade with the terrorist state.

he is making us look better...all hail to Modi, I wish he wins all the election for next 10 years
 
he is making us look better...all hail to Modi, I wish he wins all the election for next 10 years
Exactly these are my feelings too

Pakistanis are criticizing modi only because he is showing their true value which is nothing. India's policy of making war unaffordable for pakistan is working very nice.

Let pakistanis live in illusion of breaking India, while India progresses leaps and bounds, even by ignoring trade with the terrorist state.
This is an indian news piece and even in my comments I said its good if Modi remains in office for a long time as he will serve us all our objectives with out any fight.
 
Pakistanis are criticizing modi only because he is showing their true value which is nothing. India's policy of making war unaffordable for pakistan is working very nice.

Let pakistanis live in illusion of breaking India, while India progresses leaps and bounds, even by ignoring trade with the terrorist state.
Dear Sir, war had never been affordable for Pakistan, especially after the 71. We are 6-7 times smaller than you, how can we afford a war with India. On the contrary it is Pakistan who has been working on making the war un affordable for India, and with our nuclear deterrence in place we have been successful in achieving that.

As for Modi, believe me when I say it, he is the best thing that could have happened to us. You are losing your soft power quite quickly. When was the last time an Indian prime minister was asked by foreign press about the increasing intolerance in Indian society. When was the last time there were thousands of protesters, including some Indians, protesting against Indian prime minister's visit to that country.

With our current efforts against terrorism we are slowly but surely are improving our image in the world, on the other hand BJP's Hindutva policies is tainting the peaceful and secular image of India in the eyes of the world. If BJP and Modi stays in power for a decade or so, you will see how the world's perception of both Pakistan and India will change dramatically. And it won't be in your favor.

World will start seeing that it is not Pakistan but India who is dangerous to the peace of the region and the world. Your own people have started saying that this government is wrong in turning down Pakistan's peace efforts.
Former Indian minister criticises BJP for declining Pakistan’s peace overtures - Pakistan - DAWN.COM
Yes Salman Khurshid is a congress guy, and you may think of them as traitors and corrupt and what not, but the world knows him as ex Foreign Minister of your nation, so when he says something it has some value.

Modi and his foreign policy is awesome for us so all hail to Modi Sarkar.
 
:what:
the author is insane. When did modi neglect china? There were back 2 back meetings b/w Xi and him.
We are also doing business with taiwan .... Foxconn and it's vendors didn't drop from mars.
Troll.in delusions:disagree:
 
Dear Sir, war had never been affordable for Pakistan, especially after the 71. We are 6-7 times smaller than you, how can we afford a war with India. On the contrary it is Pakistan who has been working on making the war un affordable for India, and with our nuclear deterrence in place we have been successful in achieving that.
Lol you just gave me a crack. If you really want to see your deference then you have to just have to follow your heart which shouts in favour of Kashmir and want to capture it. Just do that and you will be given your answer.
As for Modi, believe me when I say it, he is the best thing that could have happened to us. You are losing your soft power quite quickly. When was the last time an Indian prime minister was asked by foreign press about the increasing intolerance in Indian society. When was the last time there were thousands of protesters, including some Indians, protesting against Indian prime minister's visit to that country.
Lol don't worry he will remain the prime minister for coming ten years actually. How can we let go of such a wonderful prime minister who has traveled 30+ countries, a man on a mission to set India on the world map of powerful economies, whose magic has started and we are said to become 3rd largest economy in a decade.currently growing at a rate of 7.5%.
Talking about soft power, well you are ignorant as hell. If you would have researched then you would have known that Indian tourism sector or visitors to India have increased 45% in one year.
Also India remains soft power just next to america.
Also for your knowledge my friend I suggest you to see today's wembley stadium speech a and our soft power with dance music and everything.
The demonstrators were largely Pakistani paid kashmiri protesters who were paid a biryani along with a bottle of kingfisher(a great indian beer). So their goes your devour logic.
With our current efforts against terrorism we are slowly but surely are improving our image in the world, on the other hand BJP's Hindutva policies is tainting the peaceful and secular image of India in the eyes of the world. If BJP and Modi stays in power for a decade or so, you will see how the world's perception of both Pakistan and India will change dramatically. And it won't be in your favor.
Lol so you mean if secular image of India will change then it will be positive for Pakistan?
Lol lol lol:lol::rofl::rofl:.
You know, just at start of this month a US think tank and well renowned organization termed Pakistan as biggest offenders of human rights violations and religious extremism.
Hindus, Sikhs, Christians, are leaving your country because of horror they go through everyday in your land of pure.
They are crying for India citizenship. They have taken refuge in India. So this tells you how the whole world sees Pakistan as.
On terrorism- just now American diplomats told you to do more as always they convey their message. They take you for granted and also let's not talk about the reports of US think tanks worrying about your nuclear weapons and OBL. Actually your bond has become thin like decaying rope with USA day by day and they are cozing up to India, let me tell you if you have missed the reports. If you are not aware then let me tell you Americans are critical of Pakistan after OBL and well they are hurting you were it hurts the most by paryenering India.
Don't worry about India because secular image is in our constitution it is going no where. But its good to have dreams.
World will start seeing that it is not Pakistan but India who is dangerous to the peace of the region and the world. Your own people have started saying that this government is wrong in turning down Pakistan's peace efforts.
Sigh..... Now I am convinced that Modi is doing good at kicking some balls of opposition.
Let's see how congress will survive in India.
 
At a meeting with the president of the Bharatiya Janata Party at his residence in New Delhi on Friday, the functionaries of the Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh in charge of India’s foreign policy have reportedly expressed “grave concern” over the government’s mishandling of the relations with Nepal. They seemed to blame the political leadership for taking the eyes off the ball, so to speak, in the hurly-burly of the Bihar election. The foreign-policy experts of the RSS censured the government for the current India-Nepal standoff, blaming the leadership for causing “an unnecessary escalation of the situation because of a lack of communication between the two governments”.

In a separate development recently, according to Delhi grapevine, a high-flying erstwhile RSS functionary seconded to the BJP, who doubles up as a virtual "shadow foreign minister", was pulled up recently for financial irregularities while organising the cheerleading parties for Prime Minister Narendra Modi during his visits abroad, including the spectacle at Madison Square Garden in New York last year.

Whether or – how far – the above two developments could be inter-related is a moot point. Suffice it to say, it is in bits and pieces that the public gets a peep into the strange ways in which the Modi government conducts its foreign policy.

Hawks reign

The Modi government has a full-fledged foreign minister and a junior foreign minister but they do not figure as consequential. The diplomatic missions in Delhi openly admit that they take the shadow foreign minister more seriously than the real foreign minister.

When the shadow becomes more important than the real thing, it is apparent that something has gone very seriously wrong – quite obviously, the falcon is no longer hearing the falconer. This is most evident in India’s neighbourhood policies with regard to China, Pakistan and Nepal. India has never before, perhaps, projected itself as a "national security state" in such a brazen fashion in its neighbourhood.

Unsurprisingly, the bureaucrats in the foreign and security policy establishment have figured out the "wind factor" and decided to bend low toward Keshav Kunj in Jhandewalan. They are of course savvy enough to fathom that in the present political dispensation, it pays to be a "hawk" and hang tough like hell when it comes to conducting India’s diplomacy toward China or Pakistan – and, of late, little Nepal too. The safest thing for a bureaucrat today is to be a hawkish "nationalist". Under the roof of the "national security state", you cannot go wrong if you are a "hawk".

Benign Neglect

The result is plain to see. India’s relations with China and Pakistan have taken a turn for the worse through the past one-year period for no obvious reason one can discern. There are no Chinese incursions being reported from the disputed border; in fact, the media leaks from establishment have altogether dried up.

China is largely leaving India to itself and all that we can complain about is, arguably, that Beijing is subjecting us to "benign neglect", which indeed hurts our vanity. But then, Beijing has its hands full in terms of its reforms and the acute rivalry with the United States.

No Chinese submarine has lately appeared in Sri Lanka or Pakistan. China is not fuelling the insurgencies tearing our northeast region apart. All in all, if there is an opportune moment to rev up diplomacy to normalise relations with China, this is it.

Yet, our national security state is not interested. When Taiwan can do business with China, what prevents India from doing so boggles the mind. But what is astounding is the deliberate manner in which India is going about vitiating the climate or trust in the relationship that had steadily accrued during the United Progressive Alliance rule.

In sum, the national security state will deal with China only on its terms at its own pace and time of choosing. The government’s policies towards Pakistan are almost ditto. India is not even prepared to talk with Pakistan except on its terms.

Akhand Bharat delusions

In a calibrated move to add more irritants to the relationship, India has lately staked its territorial claims to the Northern Areas and Azad Kashmir and the RSS has conjured up irredentist visions ofAkhand Bharat. The whole world seems to believe that our national security state is fighting a proxy war with Pakistan on the Afghan soil. And all one can say is that the ministers in Modi’s cabinet and other top officials have adopted a belligerent posturing that has no relation to ground realities or actual Indian military capability – even threatening to kidnap or murder Dawood Ibrahim or to teach Pakistan a "Myanmar lesson".

Yet, the Valley in Jammu and Kashmir has been so very tranquil and free from cross-border terrorism – although the alienation of the people remains deep and almost unbridgeable and all that Prime Minister Modi can think of doing is to throw even more money at the Kashmir problem, which of course is not going to go away.

Meanwhile, Pakistan too has its plate full with problems of various kinds, including existential issues, and lacks any desire or capacity to provoke India. At one time in July-August, till the national security state summarily pulled down the shutters on talks, Pakistan seemed to signal willingness to discuss a moratorium on terrorism that addresses mutual concerns. However, like in the case with China, the national security state is simply not interested in normalising relations with Pakistan.

The road to nowhere

As regards Nepal, it seems more and more like a tragi-comedy. The clumsiness with which India has handled Nepal’s transition to constitutional rule has been simply appalling. It all started with the misguided push by the RSS to have the neighbouring country adopt a constitution declaring Nepal as a "Hindu Rashtra". It was a road to nowhere and has only led to a series of blunders by the national security state in the downstream.

The South Block "hawks" have become so myopic that they don’t even comprehend that India will have a tough time to defend its own horrific atrocities – unmarked graves, war crimes explained away as "encounters", military occupation, denial of civil rights and so on – in the northeast region if ever the yardsticks it paraded cavalierly in Geneva to berate Nepal at the United Nations Human Rights Council were to be applied to it fairly and squarely by the international community.

Indeed, what are we trying to prove in Nepal? That Nepal is a tiny impoverished country, which is highly vulnerable to pressure from our national security state? It is difficult to quarrel with the Nepali Prime Minister KP Sharma Oli’s remark that India’s blockade of his country is more inhuman than war.

The sympathy of the world community will only lie with Nepal as the humanitarian crisis building up in that country right in front of our eyes begins to snowball in the harsh winter months ahead and the western aid agencies and the UN relief organisations start expressing their anguish and despair about India’s stony heart.

The RSS seems to anticipate what lies ahead and understands that the law of diminishing returns is at work already. Whereas, it should have been the bureaucrats in South Block in the first instance to warn the government and its mentors that the national security state is about to land in a cesspool.

At any rate, now that the RSS has given the green signal for the national security state to patch up with Oli’s government, our hawkish bureaucrats should move – and move fast. Time is running out.
On a road to nowhere: Indian foreign policy seems to have lost its way in the neighbourhood


Some Pakistanis mistakenly abuse Modi when he infact is a blessing for us in disguise and I hope he gets another term in office to make sure Indian state is divided into dozens of smaller states that's what happens when your Godfathers are from a illiterate , sick and terrorist organization named RSS.

Ghar wapsi will only lead to loss of their own homes .

modi has little control over foreign policy
picking a fight with nepal can cause heart burn for the RSS crowd
 
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