BetterPakistan
SENIOR MEMBER
- Joined
- Oct 30, 2014
- Messages
- 2,907
- Reaction score
- -2
- Country
- Location
IMO I'm unconvinced about the high price-tag. We got the $4-5 billion figure from an analyst who gave his estimation to the Financial Times, it isn't official. KSEW had also shown mock-ups of the Hangor at IDEAS and it's basically the S26.
The Thai S26T order sits at $1.02 bn for 3 submarines (the first being $383 m but the latter two cheaper as the first will absorb support costs). So the average is $333 m per submarine. IMO we are probably looking at customized S26Ps (with LACM-integration and possibly subsystem changes), which would put the tag at a reasonable $3 bn.
Moreover, the induction cycle is relatively quick, i.e. on average of 1.5 years between each submarine. I can't see how they'll produce, test and validate new technology within that time-frame.
That said, I do think the PN will keep an eye on these new technologies, but with the aim of eventually replacing the Agosta 90Bs post-2040. In that sense, they'll need to place orders for a new ship sometime in the late 2020s, and at that time a lot of the new Chinese technology will be in full-scale production - and mature.
This price tag triggers my mind also and makes me think that this deal also include frigates. Do you remember when we received the last f-22p there was news of 4 more f-22??