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LOL BJP losing delhi

you remember this guy was a certified Congress bootlicker ,now that he's realised congi's are out of game with no chance of return whatsoever he's jumped ships to back bhagoda :omghaha:
Incorrect. Don't confuse anti Hindus with anything else. There are people who hate Hindus/Hinduism. Congress is ineffective. It makes sense to ally with Islamist parties like AAP for now. The objective remains the same.
 
. .
if bjp manages to lose Delhi,,,dont forget to thank sadhus,sadhvis,vhp,hindu mahasabha etc.....they seem to have worked overtime
Not really. We should thank the Hindus. Even after being kicked out of Lahore, the Hindus just cried and said, 'We should have loved them more, to aise din nahi dekhna padta'. The Sikhs responded differently though.

yes the Sanghis have worked overtime to piss people off. Sanghis are BJPs Rahul Gandhi.
BJP itself is Sanghi. BJP is a part of the Sangh. If you oppose the Sangh, you MUST oppose Hindus and the BJP.
 
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almost all opinion poll showing massive gain for AAP @Guynextdoor2 @SarthakGanguly & others


Real reason behind fake opinion polls of 2015 Delhi Elections | Guruprasad's Portal

Real reason behind fake opinion polls of 2015 Delhi Elections

Over the last 2 weeks, Delhi Election 2015 has caught the imagination of people. What was till recently considered as just another assembly election has now turned into a major political storm eagerly watched by viewers across the nation and the media channels making a merry out of it through TRPs. One of the main reasons for the TRPs being the startling opinion polls conducted by media channels which predict majority seats for AAP, a party which was believed to be obscured after the 49 day anarchy followed by resignation drama and the Lok Sabha debacle.

The following shocking video clip which has become viral in social media depicts the kind of anarchy & chaos which prevailed during the 49 day rule:

Another shocking video which depicts anarchy & insult to sovereignty:

All the opinion polls till recently had indicated clear victory to BJP in Delhi assembly election but the latest opinion polls have taken political pundits also by surprise.

For example, the ABP-Nielsen opinion poll on 2nd Feb 2015 predicts that AAP will get 48% vote share and majority seats.

feb_2_abp.jpg


News Link:
http://www.abplive.in/india/2015/02/02/article491650.ece/AAP-gains-strength-likely-to-win-majority–BJP-drops-behind

This is indeed very interesting and evokes curiosity because the same news channel’s opinion polls, throughout 2014 had been predicting 25-30% vote share to AAP.
On 12th Dec 2014, it had predicted 27% vote share to AAP.

News Link:BJP to get majority with 45 seats, Kejriwal most popular CM candidate in Delhi: ABP News- Nielsen opinion poll predicts

So, what happened between 12th Dec 2014 & 2nd Feb 2015? The best way to find out is by analyzing at a granular level within this time-frame to pinpoint the approximate timeframe in which the the numbers changed and then determine the reason for it.

Let’s find out when the news channel had conducted its previous opinion poll. It was on 19th January 2015 in which it had predicted similar numbers to that of the 2nd Feb opinion polls.

On 19th January 2015, it had predicted 47% vote share (similar to the 48% vote share predicted on 2nd Feb) for AAP.

jan_19_abp.jpg


News Link:
Kejriwal first choice for CM in Delhi: ABP News-Nielsen Snap Poll

Since the 19th Jan & 2nd Feb opinion polls have similar results, it means nothing significant happened in that interval and hence some significant political event must have taken place between 12th Dec 2014 & 19th Jan 2015. There was only 1 opinion poll within this timeframe and it was on 16th Jan (just 3 days before the 19th Jan poll). This was the opinion poll which showed a drastic change in numbers. Let’s analyze it further.

On 16th Jan, it had predicted 31% vote share to AAP.

jan_16_abp.jpg


News Link:ABP News Nielsen-Opinion poll: BJP unlikely to reach majority mark in Delhi poll, AAP to get 28 seats

So, lets consolidate the above facts now.
On 16th Jan, this news channel had predicted 31% to AAP and in just 3 days, the same channel predicted 47% to AAP. In just 3 days, there was a swing of whopping 16% !! Never before in the history of India has any election witnessed such a drastic swing in the mood of voters in such a short time (of just 3 days). The most eventful election in the history of India is that of the 1984 General Election which witnessed a huge sympathy wave due to the assassination of Indira Gandhi which caused massive swing. But even that “massive” swing was just around 6%.
In 1980, Congress had a voteshare of around 43% and in the next election also, it was expected to hold its voteshare at same level but the sympathy wave had resulted in 49% in 1984. i.e Swing of 6%.
References to details of voteshare for 1980 & 1984 elections:
Indian general election, 1980 - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Indian general election, 1984 - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Coming back to the topic of Delhi Election, what might have happened between 16th & 19th January? There was no scam unearthed, neither was there any riot, nor any other significant political event. In fact, PM Modi’s soaring reputation & his preparations to receive Obama on Republic Day (the very next week itself) had actually favored BJP. Even critics who were skeptical of BJP Govt were impressed when Modi managed to make India proud internationally by persuading the President of USA to attend the Republic Day of India and even managed to sign the nuclear deal which was not possible by the previous Govt. Then what explains the 16% swing in favor of AAP by opinion polls in just a matter of 3 days?

On 17th January 2015, BJP’s CM candidate Kiran Bedi had spelled out her promises which were presented as “6 Ps”.
“The six “Ps” she mentioned were Prisons, Prosecution, outreach to People, Parents, improving Policing, including community policing, and finally, the Press, which includes media.

News Link:
Kiran Bedi's 6 'P' Formula For Solving Delhi's Problems

On the looks of it, it seems fine but notice the last “P” i.e Press. She had said that she will reform the press & news media. This had actually sent shivers down the spine of media channels because in today’s format of media consumption, news channels have been making a livelihood just based on sensational, insensitive news for TRPs. Also, Delhi being the epicentre of Indian media, is a vital source for political news & TRPs and hence keeping that in control will suppress the media. Rajdeep Sardesai, in his book “2014: The elections that changed India” explains the importance of Delhi in Indian media and the need for controversial figures for TRPs by taking up the example of Kejriwal.


Reference:http://www.amazon.in/Election-That-Changed-India-2014/dp/0670087904

Indian media was already frustrated with Modi’s stance of avoiding news channels and a lot has already been analyzed & written about this.

References: [1], [2], [3], [4], [5]

With this understanding, it is pretty evident that Kiran Bedi’s plan to reform press & media at Delhi will be like cutting the oxygen supply in the TRP news industry which is already being suffocated due to PM Modi, and has not gone down well with the media fraternity which will be facing obscurity if she comes to power.

What does the media do now? Simple. They fight for their survival and one way is to use all their resources to oppose Kiran Bedi and promote AAP by uniting together and coming up with fake opinion polls, thinking that the Indian viewers would be foolish enough to gulp down their results showing 16% voteshare swings within just 3 day span, which had not happened even during sympathy waves due to assassinations in the past. One can verify this claim by digging out all the opinion polls presented by different media channels over the last few weeks and it can be found that 17th January 2015 was the turning point. i.e All opinion polls presented before 17th January were predicting major victory for BJP but those which were presented after 17th January have been predicting major victory for AAP. The media will try every trick till the Delhi Election to fight tooth and nail using AAP as their proxy because it is a matter of media’s survival now.

Those who have their ears firmly on the ground seem to have a different picture altogether. For example, consider the bookies who are usually the real indicators of the trend. Despite all such opinion polls going on since 19th Jan, the bookies who are placing big bets seem to suggest that BJP will win with a clear majority as reported in the recent news on 1st Feb.

News Link:
Delhi elections 2015: BJP favourite and AAP the dark horse among bookies - The Times of India

Which party is going to win with a majority and form the Govt is for the voters to decide, but by taking viewers for a ride with their hasty & manipulated opinion polls, the media seems to have put its conscience & journalism ethics out of the window.

Don’t forget to read the analysis of “Why Kejriwal resigned in 49 days” here:
The real reason why Kejriwal resigned in 49 days | Guruprasad's Portal

Did Reliance acquire CNN-IBN to blackout Kejriwal?
Shocking: Did Reliance acquire CNN-IBN to blackout Kejriwal? | Guruprasad's Portal

To receive updates and notifications of future articles, consider subscribing by entering your email address and confirming it from your mailbox.



 
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Real reason behind fake opinion polls of 2015 Delhi Elections | Guruprasad's Portal

Real reason behind fake opinion polls of 2015 Delhi Elections

Over the last 2 weeks, Delhi Election 2015 has caught the imagination of people. What was till recently considered as just another assembly election has now turned into a major political storm eagerly watched by viewers across the nation and the media channels making a merry out of it through TRPs. One of the main reasons for the TRPs being the startling opinion polls conducted by media channels which predict majority seats for AAP, a party which was believed to be obscured after the 49 day anarchy followed by resignation drama and the Lok Sabha debacle.

The following shocking video clip which has become viral in social media depicts the kind of anarchy & chaos which prevailed during the 49 day rule:

Another shocking video which depicts anarchy & insult to sovereignty:

All the opinion polls till recently had indicated clear victory to BJP in Delhi assembly election but the latest opinion polls have taken political pundits also by surprise.

For example, the ABP-Nielsen opinion poll on 2nd Feb 2015 predicts that AAP will get 48% vote share and majority seats.

feb_2_abp.jpg


News Link:
http://www.abplive.in/india/2015/02/02/article491650.ece/AAP-gains-strength-likely-to-win-majority–BJP-drops-behind

This is indeed very interesting and evokes curiosity because the same news channel’s opinion polls, throughout 2014 had been predicting 25-30% vote share to AAP.
On 12th Dec 2014, it had predicted 27% vote share to AAP.

News Link:BJP to get majority with 45 seats, Kejriwal most popular CM candidate in Delhi: ABP News- Nielsen opinion poll predicts

So, what happened between 12th Dec 2014 & 2nd Feb 2015? The best way to find out is by analyzing at a granular level within this time-frame to pinpoint the approximate timeframe in which the the numbers changed and then determine the reason for it.

Let’s find out when the news channel had conducted its previous opinion poll. It was on 19th January 2015 in which it had predicted similar numbers to that of the 2nd Feb opinion polls.

On 19th January 2015, it had predicted 47% vote share (similar to the 48% vote share predicted on 2nd Feb) for AAP.

jan_19_abp.jpg


News Link:
Kejriwal first choice for CM in Delhi: ABP News-Nielsen Snap Poll

Since the 19th Jan & 2nd Feb opinion polls have similar results, it means nothing significant happened in that interval and hence some significant political event must have taken place between 12th Dec 2014 & 19th Jan 2015. There was only 1 opinion poll within this timeframe and it was on 16th Jan (just 3 days before the 19th Jan poll). This was the opinion poll which showed a drastic change in numbers. Let’s analyze it further.

On 16th Jan, it had predicted 31% vote share to AAP.

jan_16_abp.jpg


News Link:ABP News Nielsen-Opinion poll: BJP unlikely to reach majority mark in Delhi poll, AAP to get 28 seats

So, lets consolidate the above facts now.
On 16th Jan, this news channel had predicted 31% to AAP and in just 3 days, the same channel predicted 47% to AAP. In just 3 days, there was a swing of whopping 16% !! Never before in the history of India has any election witnessed such a drastic swing in the mood of voters in such a short time (of just 3 days). The most eventful election in the history of India is that of the 1984 General Election which witnessed a huge sympathy wave due to the assassination of Indira Gandhi which caused massive swing. But even that “massive” swing was just around 6%.
In 1980, Congress had a voteshare of around 43% and in the next election also, it was expected to hold its voteshare at same level but the sympathy wave had resulted in 49% in 1984. i.e Swing of 6%.
References to details of voteshare for 1980 & 1984 elections:
Indian general election, 1980 - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Indian general election, 1984 - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Coming back to the topic of Delhi Election, what might have happened between 16th & 19th January? There was no scam unearthed, neither was there any riot, nor any other significant political event. In fact, PM Modi’s soaring reputation & his preparations to receive Obama on Republic Day (the very next week itself) had actually favored BJP. Even critics who were skeptical of BJP Govt were impressed when Modi managed to make India proud internationally by persuading the President of USA to attend the Republic Day of India and even managed to sign the nuclear deal which was not possible by the previous Govt. Then what explains the 16% swing in favor of AAP by opinion polls in just a matter of 3 days?

On 17th January 2015, BJP’s CM candidate Kiran Bedi had spelled out her promises which were presented as “6 Ps”.
“The six “Ps” she mentioned were Prisons, Prosecution, outreach to People, Parents, improving Policing, including community policing, and finally, the Press, which includes media.

News Link:
Kiran Bedi's 6 'P' Formula For Solving Delhi's Problems

On the looks of it, it seems fine but notice the last “P” i.e Press. She had said that she will reform the press & news media. This had actually sent shivers down the spine of media channels because in today’s format of media consumption, news channels have been making a livelihood just based on sensational, insensitive news for TRPs. Also, Delhi being the epicentre of Indian media, is a vital source for political news & TRPs and hence keeping that in control will suppress the media. Rajdeep Sardesai, in his book “2014: The elections that changed India” explains the importance of Delhi in Indian media and the need for controversial figures for TRPs by taking up the example of Kejriwal.


Reference:http://www.amazon.in/Election-That-Changed-India-2014/dp/0670087904

Indian media was already frustrated with Modi’s stance of avoiding news channels and a lot has already been analyzed & written about this.

References: [1], [2], [3], [4], [5]

With this understanding, it is pretty evident that Kiran Bedi’s plan to reform press & media at Delhi will be like cutting the oxygen supply in the TRP news industry which is already being suffocated due to PM Modi, and has not gone down well with the media fraternity which will be facing obscurity if she comes to power.

What does the media do now? Simple. They fight for their survival and one way is to use all their resources to oppose Kiran Bedi and promote AAP by uniting together and coming up with fake opinion polls, thinking that the Indian viewers would be foolish enough to gulp down their results showing 16% voteshare swings within just 3 day span, which had not happened even during sympathy waves due to assassinations in the past. One can verify this claim by digging out all the opinion polls presented by different media channels over the last few weeks and it can be found that 17th January 2015 was the turning point. i.e All opinion polls presented before 17th January were predicting major victory for BJP but those which were presented after 17th January have been predicting major victory for AAP. The media will try every trick till the Delhi Election to fight tooth and nail using AAP as their proxy because it is a matter of media’s survival now.

Those who have their ears firmly on the ground seem to have a different picture altogether. For example, consider the bookies who are usually the real indicators of the trend. Despite all such opinion polls going on since 19th Jan, the bookies who are placing big bets seem to suggest that BJP will win with a clear majority as reported in the recent news on 1st Feb.

News Link:
Delhi elections 2015: BJP favourite and AAP the dark horse among bookies - The Times of India

Which party is going to win with a majority and form the Govt is for the voters to decide, but by taking viewers for a ride with their hasty & manipulated opinion polls, the media seems to have put its conscience & journalism ethics out of the window.

Don’t forget to read the analysis of “Why Kejriwal resigned in 49 days” here:
The real reason why Kejriwal resigned in 49 days | Guruprasad's Portal

Did Reliance acquire CNN-IBN to blackout Kejriwal?
Shocking: Did Reliance acquire CNN-IBN to blackout Kejriwal? | Guruprasad's Portal

To receive updates and notifications of future articles, consider subscribing by entering your email address and confirming it from your mailbox.

Yes, my reports state the same.

BJP is going to win.

Then the media should be banned. To a large extent.
 
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BJP will win. :)
Nope! BJP has lost the plot. They are floundering. It's AAP all the way. The shenanigans of turds like yogi Adityanath and Sakshi Maharaj and their ilk have put paid to whatever goodwill the BJP had with the masses.

Also the VIP culture in Delhi has got the goat of the majority of the middle class and the lower rungs. This lal bathi culture and corruption especially in the MCD ruled by the BJP is anathema to the ordinary citizen. They're crying for change and for them the only way out of this quagmire is the AAP.

The party is over. The BJP have shot themselves in the foot. Bedi was another disaster that has put BJP in disarray.

AAP will form the government with a simple majority. I'll shave my head if it doesn't!

It sucks, but is the truth and nothing but the truth!

Cheers! Have a nice day! :-)
 
Last edited:
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Coping mechanism.....

Are you going to disappear again after feb 10nth like you did after May 16nth :lol:

AAP will form the government with a simple majority. I'll shave by head if it doesn't!

Well, get ready to shave off your head of then. Ever after May 16nth you have been ultra pessimistic
 
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Are you going to disappear again after feb 10nth like you did after May 16nth :lol:



Well, get ready to shave off your head of then. Ever after May 16nth you have been ultra pessimistic

I was out of the forum then and I'm out of the forum now too. The only reason why I'm lurking is because my Cable is not working.

Real reason behind fake opinion polls of 2015 Delhi Elections | Guruprasad's Portal

Real reason behind fake opinion polls of 2015 Delhi Elections

Over the last 2 weeks, Delhi Election 2015 has caught the imagination of people. What was till recently considered as just another assembly election has now turned into a major political storm eagerly watched by viewers across the nation and the media channels making a merry out of it through TRPs. One of the main reasons for the TRPs being the startling opinion polls conducted by media channels which predict majority seats for AAP, a party which was believed to be obscured after the 49 day anarchy followed by resignation drama and the Lok Sabha debacle.

The following shocking video clip which has become viral in social media depicts the kind of anarchy & chaos which prevailed during the 49 day rule:

Another shocking video which depicts anarchy & insult to sovereignty:

All the opinion polls till recently had indicated clear victory to BJP in Delhi assembly election but the latest opinion polls have taken political pundits also by surprise.

For example, the ABP-Nielsen opinion poll on 2nd Feb 2015 predicts that AAP will get 48% vote share and majority seats.

feb_2_abp.jpg


News Link:
http://www.abplive.in/india/2015/02/02/article491650.ece/AAP-gains-strength-likely-to-win-majority–BJP-drops-behind

This is indeed very interesting and evokes curiosity because the same news channel’s opinion polls, throughout 2014 had been predicting 25-30% vote share to AAP.
On 12th Dec 2014, it had predicted 27% vote share to AAP.

News Link:BJP to get majority with 45 seats, Kejriwal most popular CM candidate in Delhi: ABP News- Nielsen opinion poll predicts

So, what happened between 12th Dec 2014 & 2nd Feb 2015? The best way to find out is by analyzing at a granular level within this time-frame to pinpoint the approximate timeframe in which the the numbers changed and then determine the reason for it.

Let’s find out when the news channel had conducted its previous opinion poll. It was on 19th January 2015 in which it had predicted similar numbers to that of the 2nd Feb opinion polls.

On 19th January 2015, it had predicted 47% vote share (similar to the 48% vote share predicted on 2nd Feb) for AAP.

jan_19_abp.jpg


News Link:
Kejriwal first choice for CM in Delhi: ABP News-Nielsen Snap Poll

Since the 19th Jan & 2nd Feb opinion polls have similar results, it means nothing significant happened in that interval and hence some significant political event must have taken place between 12th Dec 2014 & 19th Jan 2015. There was only 1 opinion poll within this timeframe and it was on 16th Jan (just 3 days before the 19th Jan poll). This was the opinion poll which showed a drastic change in numbers. Let’s analyze it further.

On 16th Jan, it had predicted 31% vote share to AAP.

jan_16_abp.jpg


News Link:ABP News Nielsen-Opinion poll: BJP unlikely to reach majority mark in Delhi poll, AAP to get 28 seats

So, lets consolidate the above facts now.
On 16th Jan, this news channel had predicted 31% to AAP and in just 3 days, the same channel predicted 47% to AAP. In just 3 days, there was a swing of whopping 16% !! Never before in the history of India has any election witnessed such a drastic swing in the mood of voters in such a short time (of just 3 days). The most eventful election in the history of India is that of the 1984 General Election which witnessed a huge sympathy wave due to the assassination of Indira Gandhi which caused massive swing. But even that “massive” swing was just around 6%.
In 1980, Congress had a voteshare of around 43% and in the next election also, it was expected to hold its voteshare at same level but the sympathy wave had resulted in 49% in 1984. i.e Swing of 6%.
References to details of voteshare for 1980 & 1984 elections:
Indian general election, 1980 - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Indian general election, 1984 - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Coming back to the topic of Delhi Election, what might have happened between 16th & 19th January? There was no scam unearthed, neither was there any riot, nor any other significant political event. In fact, PM Modi’s soaring reputation & his preparations to receive Obama on Republic Day (the very next week itself) had actually favored BJP. Even critics who were skeptical of BJP Govt were impressed when Modi managed to make India proud internationally by persuading the President of USA to attend the Republic Day of India and even managed to sign the nuclear deal which was not possible by the previous Govt. Then what explains the 16% swing in favor of AAP by opinion polls in just a matter of 3 days?

On 17th January 2015, BJP’s CM candidate Kiran Bedi had spelled out her promises which were presented as “6 Ps”.
“The six “Ps” she mentioned were Prisons, Prosecution, outreach to People, Parents, improving Policing, including community policing, and finally, the Press, which includes media.

News Link:
Kiran Bedi's 6 'P' Formula For Solving Delhi's Problems

On the looks of it, it seems fine but notice the last “P” i.e Press. She had said that she will reform the press & news media. This had actually sent shivers down the spine of media channels because in today’s format of media consumption, news channels have been making a livelihood just based on sensational, insensitive news for TRPs. Also, Delhi being the epicentre of Indian media, is a vital source for political news & TRPs and hence keeping that in control will suppress the media. Rajdeep Sardesai, in his book “2014: The elections that changed India” explains the importance of Delhi in Indian media and the need for controversial figures for TRPs by taking up the example of Kejriwal.


Reference:http://www.amazon.in/Election-That-Changed-India-2014/dp/0670087904

Indian media was already frustrated with Modi’s stance of avoiding news channels and a lot has already been analyzed & written about this.

References: [1], [2], [3], [4], [5]

With this understanding, it is pretty evident that Kiran Bedi’s plan to reform press & media at Delhi will be like cutting the oxygen supply in the TRP news industry which is already being suffocated due to PM Modi, and has not gone down well with the media fraternity which will be facing obscurity if she comes to power.

What does the media do now? Simple. They fight for their survival and one way is to use all their resources to oppose Kiran Bedi and promote AAP by uniting together and coming up with fake opinion polls, thinking that the Indian viewers would be foolish enough to gulp down their results showing 16% voteshare swings within just 3 day span, which had not happened even during sympathy waves due to assassinations in the past. One can verify this claim by digging out all the opinion polls presented by different media channels over the last few weeks and it can be found that 17th January 2015 was the turning point. i.e All opinion polls presented before 17th January were predicting major victory for BJP but those which were presented after 17th January have been predicting major victory for AAP. The media will try every trick till the Delhi Election to fight tooth and nail using AAP as their proxy because it is a matter of media’s survival now.

Those who have their ears firmly on the ground seem to have a different picture altogether. For example, consider the bookies who are usually the real indicators of the trend. Despite all such opinion polls going on since 19th Jan, the bookies who are placing big bets seem to suggest that BJP will win with a clear majority as reported in the recent news on 1st Feb.

News Link:
Delhi elections 2015: BJP favourite and AAP the dark horse among bookies - The Times of India

Which party is going to win with a majority and form the Govt is for the voters to decide, but by taking viewers for a ride with their hasty & manipulated opinion polls, the media seems to have put its conscience & journalism ethics out of the window.

Don’t forget to read the analysis of “Why Kejriwal resigned in 49 days” here:
The real reason why Kejriwal resigned in 49 days | Guruprasad's Portal

Did Reliance acquire CNN-IBN to blackout Kejriwal?
Shocking: Did Reliance acquire CNN-IBN to blackout Kejriwal? | Guruprasad's Portal

To receive updates and notifications of future articles, consider subscribing by entering your email address and confirming it from your mailbox.



Lollzzzzz, everyone has heard about the 6P's of Kiran Bedi. You may not want to remind people of that :lol::lol:


delhi gets it power and water from haryana, a bjp ruled state, janta does anything silly you can imagine what the conditions will be prevailing in delhi in times to come:D

I'm fully hoping BJP does something as silly as that.
 
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if bjp manages to lose Delhi,,,dont forget to thank sadhus,sadhvis,vhp,hindu mahasabha etc.....they seem to have worked overtime


They have no impact on this election. They are not even mentioned on corner meetings like the one i saw yesterday while getting a haircut.

Anyone who is voting against BJP due to them, would have voted against BJP anyway.
 
.
Not really. We should thank the Hindus. Even after being kicked out of Lahore, the Hindus just cried and said, 'We should have loved them more, to aise din nahi dekhna padta'. The Sikhs responded differently though.


BJP itself is Sanghi. BJP is a part of the Sangh. If you oppose the Sangh, you MUST oppose Hindus and the BJP.

Sanghis don't represent Hindus.
 
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Whats up with the title? i could see a "LOL" and what was that supposed to mean?
 
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Real reason behind fake opinion polls of 2015 Delhi Elections | Guruprasad's Portal

Real reason behind fake opinion polls of 2015 Delhi Elections

Over the last 2 weeks, Delhi Election 2015 has caught the imagination of people. What was till recently considered as just another assembly election has now turned into a major political storm eagerly watched by viewers across the nation and the media channels making a merry out of it through TRPs. One of the main reasons for the TRPs being the startling opinion polls conducted by media channels which predict majority seats for AAP, a party which was believed to be obscured after the 49 day anarchy followed by resignation drama and the Lok Sabha debacle.

The following shocking video clip which has become viral in social media depicts the kind of anarchy & chaos which prevailed during the 49 day rule:

Another shocking video which depicts anarchy & insult to sovereignty:

All the opinion polls till recently had indicated clear victory to BJP in Delhi assembly election but the latest opinion polls have taken political pundits also by surprise.

For example, the ABP-Nielsen opinion poll on 2nd Feb 2015 predicts that AAP will get 48% vote share and majority seats.

feb_2_abp.jpg


News Link:
http://www.abplive.in/india/2015/02/02/article491650.ece/AAP-gains-strength-likely-to-win-majority–BJP-drops-behind

This is indeed very interesting and evokes curiosity because the same news channel’s opinion polls, throughout 2014 had been predicting 25-30% vote share to AAP.
On 12th Dec 2014, it had predicted 27% vote share to AAP.

News Link:BJP to get majority with 45 seats, Kejriwal most popular CM candidate in Delhi: ABP News- Nielsen opinion poll predicts

So, what happened between 12th Dec 2014 & 2nd Feb 2015? The best way to find out is by analyzing at a granular level within this time-frame to pinpoint the approximate timeframe in which the the numbers changed and then determine the reason for it.

Let’s find out when the news channel had conducted its previous opinion poll. It was on 19th January 2015 in which it had predicted similar numbers to that of the 2nd Feb opinion polls.

On 19th January 2015, it had predicted 47% vote share (similar to the 48% vote share predicted on 2nd Feb) for AAP.

jan_19_abp.jpg


News Link:
Kejriwal first choice for CM in Delhi: ABP News-Nielsen Snap Poll

Since the 19th Jan & 2nd Feb opinion polls have similar results, it means nothing significant happened in that interval and hence some significant political event must have taken place between 12th Dec 2014 & 19th Jan 2015. There was only 1 opinion poll within this timeframe and it was on 16th Jan (just 3 days before the 19th Jan poll). This was the opinion poll which showed a drastic change in numbers. Let’s analyze it further.

On 16th Jan, it had predicted 31% vote share to AAP.

jan_16_abp.jpg


News Link:ABP News Nielsen-Opinion poll: BJP unlikely to reach majority mark in Delhi poll, AAP to get 28 seats

So, lets consolidate the above facts now.
On 16th Jan, this news channel had predicted 31% to AAP and in just 3 days, the same channel predicted 47% to AAP. In just 3 days, there was a swing of whopping 16% !! Never before in the history of India has any election witnessed such a drastic swing in the mood of voters in such a short time (of just 3 days). The most eventful election in the history of India is that of the 1984 General Election which witnessed a huge sympathy wave due to the assassination of Indira Gandhi which caused massive swing. But even that “massive” swing was just around 6%.
In 1980, Congress had a voteshare of around 43% and in the next election also, it was expected to hold its voteshare at same level but the sympathy wave had resulted in 49% in 1984. i.e Swing of 6%.
References to details of voteshare for 1980 & 1984 elections:
Indian general election, 1980 - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Indian general election, 1984 - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Coming back to the topic of Delhi Election, what might have happened between 16th & 19th January? There was no scam unearthed, neither was there any riot, nor any other significant political event. In fact, PM Modi’s soaring reputation & his preparations to receive Obama on Republic Day (the very next week itself) had actually favored BJP. Even critics who were skeptical of BJP Govt were impressed when Modi managed to make India proud internationally by persuading the President of USA to attend the Republic Day of India and even managed to sign the nuclear deal which was not possible by the previous Govt. Then what explains the 16% swing in favor of AAP by opinion polls in just a matter of 3 days?

On 17th January 2015, BJP’s CM candidate Kiran Bedi had spelled out her promises which were presented as “6 Ps”.
“The six “Ps” she mentioned were Prisons, Prosecution, outreach to People, Parents, improving Policing, including community policing, and finally, the Press, which includes media.

News Link:
Kiran Bedi's 6 'P' Formula For Solving Delhi's Problems

On the looks of it, it seems fine but notice the last “P” i.e Press. She had said that she will reform the press & news media. This had actually sent shivers down the spine of media channels because in today’s format of media consumption, news channels have been making a livelihood just based on sensational, insensitive news for TRPs. Also, Delhi being the epicentre of Indian media, is a vital source for political news & TRPs and hence keeping that in control will suppress the media. Rajdeep Sardesai, in his book “2014: The elections that changed India” explains the importance of Delhi in Indian media and the need for controversial figures for TRPs by taking up the example of Kejriwal.


Reference:http://www.amazon.in/Election-That-Changed-India-2014/dp/0670087904

Indian media was already frustrated with Modi’s stance of avoiding news channels and a lot has already been analyzed & written about this.

References: [1], [2], [3], [4], [5]

With this understanding, it is pretty evident that Kiran Bedi’s plan to reform press & media at Delhi will be like cutting the oxygen supply in the TRP news industry which is already being suffocated due to PM Modi, and has not gone down well with the media fraternity which will be facing obscurity if she comes to power.

What does the media do now? Simple. They fight for their survival and one way is to use all their resources to oppose Kiran Bedi and promote AAP by uniting together and coming up with fake opinion polls, thinking that the Indian viewers would be foolish enough to gulp down their results showing 16% voteshare swings within just 3 day span, which had not happened even during sympathy waves due to assassinations in the past. One can verify this claim by digging out all the opinion polls presented by different media channels over the last few weeks and it can be found that 17th January 2015 was the turning point. i.e All opinion polls presented before 17th January were predicting major victory for BJP but those which were presented after 17th January have been predicting major victory for AAP. The media will try every trick till the Delhi Election to fight tooth and nail using AAP as their proxy because it is a matter of media’s survival now.

Those who have their ears firmly on the ground seem to have a different picture altogether. For example, consider the bookies who are usually the real indicators of the trend. Despite all such opinion polls going on since 19th Jan, the bookies who are placing big bets seem to suggest that BJP will win with a clear majority as reported in the recent news on 1st Feb.

News Link:
Delhi elections 2015: BJP favourite and AAP the dark horse among bookies - The Times of India

Which party is going to win with a majority and form the Govt is for the voters to decide, but by taking viewers for a ride with their hasty & manipulated opinion polls, the media seems to have put its conscience & journalism ethics out of the window.

Don’t forget to read the analysis of “Why Kejriwal resigned in 49 days” here:
The real reason why Kejriwal resigned in 49 days | Guruprasad's Portal

Did Reliance acquire CNN-IBN to blackout Kejriwal?
Shocking: Did Reliance acquire CNN-IBN to blackout Kejriwal? | Guruprasad's Portal

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That makes a lot of sense. Thanks.. Can you make this into a new thread. I think the 6th Pof Bedi needs some discussion lol

Whats up with the title? i could see a "LOL" and what was that supposed to mean?

LOL similar to "Naaa na na naaa naa, your going to loose" :lol:
 
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and what will khujliwal do if bjp does that? dharna? lol........:omghaha::rofl:

Oh trust me, BJP trying to 'punish' the people of Delhi for not voting them is just the sort of stuff we want. BJP Bhakts are morons.

That makes a lot of sense. Thanks.. Can you make this into a new thread. I think the 6th Pof Bedi needs some discussion lol



LOL similar to "Naaa na na naaa naa, your going to loose" :lol:

I recommend you keep a stock of this buddy- the numbers predicted are increasing by the day for AAP- today they're saying it might be 50+ (out of 70) for AAP.

Buy-Valium-10mg-online.jpg


To an extent. Hindus have a deathwish and they shall have it.

Yeah, coping mechanism now in the open :enjoy:
 
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