Kasparov: Putin can start aggressive actions in Azerbaijan

[usernameless]

unlikely, at least should be. Russia is already under pressure, and according to the article Putin thinks it can start messing with another country, only to get another spanking from the international community plus nullifying the recent development and relationship with Turkey too? non-sense, at least for the time being IF putin really has such ideas.

 

[LeveragedBuyout]

It seems that we, Azerbaijan and Georgia, are the next ones in the attack list of Sauron(Putin) and Mordor(Russia)

Is there any significant Russian population in Azerbaijan that Putin would use as an excuse, as he did in Ukraine?

 

[Azeri440]

Is there any significant Russian population in Azerbaijan that Putin would use as an excuse, as he did in Ukraine?

No.

 

[rmi5]

Is there any significant Russian population in Azerbaijan that Putin would use as an excuse, as he did in Ukraine?

Azerbaijan has passed a law in which a person cannot hold multi nationalities, which this law is exactly regulated to block Russian claims. It means that a person cannot have Russian and Azerbaijani nationalities at the same time, unlike crimea. Also, the Russian population is very limited and they are not majority in any area. opposite is true, though, in which the border region of Russia with Azerbaijan(city of Derbent in Daghestan of Russia) is Azerbaijani populated.
@monaspa can explain about Georgia.

 

[atatwolf]

Kasparov: Putin can start aggressive actions in Azerbaijan
Thu 04 December 2014

"Afghan Syndrome with coffins that came from there, is still in the memory...".
Russian President Vladimir Putin will not go to the direct invasion of the Ukraine, but may start aggressive actions in Azerbaijan and Georgia.

This was announced today at a press conference in Kiev by the Russian oppositionist, world chess champion Garry Kasparov, Oxu.Az reports with reference to the Ukrainian media.

"I think that Putin, by the logic of his own survival, can begin to move along the perimeter of the former Soviet ... Today, full-scale invasion in Ukraine is hardly possible, because the price is too high ... Afghan Syndrome with coffins that came from there, is still in the memory ... it is obvious that those victims which the Russian army suffered - I'm not talking about the militias, I'm talking about real coffins, which came to Kostroma, Ryazan, Pskov... Even these 400-500 real military already had a quite serious impact. And I think it's impossible to increase it. So at this point it seems to me much more likely Putin's aggressive actions in other areas," he said.

According to Kasparov, Putin has plenty of reasons to start aggressive actions in the area of Azerbaijan and Georgia:in the first place - a land corridor to Armenia, to the Russian military base.

News.Az

@monaspa @Kamil_baku @F-15I @ASQ-1918 @Azeri440
It seems that we, Azerbaijan and Georgia, are the next ones in the attack list of Sauron(Putin) and Mordor(Russia)

Although I always said it would come down to a duel in the Caucasus, I don't think we will see Russian aggression that soon. The recent pipeline agreement and the investment of Russians in other energy projects in Turkey contradicts that. But I say never say never. It could be another game of Putin. If he starts such a conflict he has more to loose than to gain. From a Russian perspective, keeping the Turks as friends would beneficial since we are neutral. Why create an extra enemy?

 

[rmi5]

Although I always said it would come down to a duel in the Caucasus, I don't think we will see Russian aggression that soon. The recent pipeline agreement and the investment of Russians in other energy projects in Turkey contradicts that. But I say never say never. It could be another game of Putin. If he starts such a conflict he has more to loose than to gain. From a Russian perspective, keeping the Turks as friends would beneficial since we are neutral. Why create an extra enemy?

I don't know, but it is maybe a distraction to attack Kazakhstan? The case for Kazakhstan is very different. Kazakhstan is literally a big plain with low population which a big portion of it is kinda considered as russkie lands.
I doubt if Putin does anything like that, but we need to be vigilant.

 

[atatwolf]

Having said that, we are seeing an expansion of Russian influence in the region. Ukraine is a recent example but Russia also wants to have influence in Moldova, Georgia and Armenia. This will threaten Azerbaijan and Turkey a lot and I think it will come down to a full scale war sooner or later. If Russia looses this war they will be totally kicked out of Caucasus.

I don't know, but it is maybe a distraction to attack Kazakhstan? The case for Kazakhstan is very different. Kazakhstan is literally a big plain with low population which a big portion of it is kinda considered as russkie lands.
I doubt if Putin does anything like that, but we need to be vigilant.

It wouldn't surprise me at all. The olympics were held in Russia, couple of weeks later he invaded Crimea. He could play another game. The thing is, Putin's economy gets hurt too much, he will feel like he has nothing to loose and we could see a serious escalation.

unlikely, at least should be. Russia is already under pressure, and according to the article Putin thinks it can start messing with another country, only to get another spanking from the international community plus nullifying the recent development and relationship with Turkey too? non-sense, at least for the time being IF putin really has such ideas.

This is true but have you seen the Russian currency recently? If Russian economy gets a heavy pounding combined with seeing their energy revenues go down thanks to the market. Putin could feel like he has nothing to loose and would make serious escalations. If you read his recent remarks he said if he doesn't act there is the posiblity of disintegration of Russia. This gives you his mindset. He will act before the federation disintegrates as a desperate attempt to save it but I'm afraid it will disintegrate like the soviet union anyhow.

 

[rmi5]

Having said that, we are seeing an expansion of Russian influence in the region. Ukraine is a recent example but Russia also wants to have influence in Moldova, Georgia and Armenia. This will threaten Azerbaijan and Turkey a lot and I think it will come down to a full scale war sooner or later. If Russia looses this war they will be totally kicked out of Caucasus.

Russia won't declare war against Azerbaijan, Georgia, and Turkey at the same time. It's just stupid. But, they may want to do Ossetia scenario for one of the caucasus countries for another time, or order to their mercenaries in Yerevan to do some attack?

It wouldn't surprise me at all. The olympics were held in Russia, couple of weeks later he invaded Crimea. He could play another game. The thing is, Putin's economy gets hurt too much, he will feel like he has nothing to loose and we could see a serious escalation.

Well, as I told you before, Russians get more aggressive when they are weaker, to cover their other issues.

 

[atatwolf]

Russia won't declare war against Azerbaijan, Georgia, and Turkey at the same time. It's just stupid. But, they may want to do Ossetia scenario for one of the caucasus countries for another time, or order to their mercenaries in Yerevan to do some attack?

Well, as I told you before, Russians get more aggressive when they are weaker, to cover their other issues.

True, what I'm wondering is how would Turkey and Azerbaijan react if Russia takes (our ally) Georgia completely, that would practically connect Armenia to Russia through land mass and divide the two Turkic powers in the Caucasus. Russia already has some bases in Armenia. It is a real danger.

 

[Bratva]

lets hear out @ptldM3 what he has to say

 

[Hakan]

Keep buying Mi 35 and T-90's. Nice platforms for the cost but not strategically smart imo. Idk maybe the azeri government knows better than me.

 

[rmi5]

Keep buying Mi 35 and T-90's. Nice platforms for the cost but not strategically smart imo. Idk maybe the azeri government knows better than me.

We have no other options. Our main source of buying advanced military equipments are either Israel, or ex-soviets, Russia. Also, remember that we are an ex-soviet country, and our engineers are already familiar with Russia/Soviet Technology, and can maintain them easily on our own. other stuff can also be easily found in the other ex-soviets and we can buy from them if Russians refuse to do so, like the jets that we bought from Ukraine and Belarus. Many of these technologies, or big part of them are developed by Soviet engineers, in which Azerbaijanis were part of them as well.

 

[zzzz]

Paranoid delusions of well-known freak and retard Kasparov future enhanced by paranoid delusions of usual suspects. All in one thread.

Having said that, we are seeing an expansion of Russian influence in the region. Ukraine is a recent example but Russia also wants to have influence in Moldova, Georgia and Armenia. This will threaten Azerbaijan and Turkey a lot and I think it will come down to a full scale war sooner or later. If Russia looses this war they will be totally kicked out of Caucasus.

What war? Azerbaijan and Turkey will be controlled by Russia without any war. In small steps one by one sooner or later we will get to this stage.

 

[rmi5]

Paranoid delusions of well-known freak and retard Kasparov future enhanced by paranoid delusions of usual suspects. All in one thread.

So, it's delusions?

What war? Azerbaijan and Turkey will be controlled by Russia without any war. In small steps one by one sooner or later we will get to this stage.

So, it's not delusions?!!!

You contradict yourself. BTW, remember how Russian army went to a big swamp when they encountered Chechens, who had just a few Kalashnikovs. BTW, as far as Caucasus is concerned, the oil is concerned, and world powers will not let you to mess with their oil interests

 

[zzzz]

So, it's delusions?

So, it's not delusions?!!!

You contradict yourself. BTW, remember how Russian army went to a big swamp when they encountered Chechens, who had just a few Kalashnikovs. BTW, as far as Caucasus is concerned, the oil is concerned, and world powers will not let you to mess with their oil interests

Where is contradiction? I said there will be no any war. Just political and economical control.