Moving all of their production lines to some south east asian countries, like indonesia or vietnam will be a suicide for those japanese companies. And they know that
No body here said they will relocate all of their current production lines from China into South East Asian countries instantly. If they ever want to do it, they will do it gradually, and it is why they only provide 2.2 billion dollar as compensation for a start. Japanese strategies also has calculated every thing, so of course they also dont want their private companies to suffer in the future. This decision show that relocation to South East Asian countries are viewed by their strategic planner as feasible action economically. While in term of national security and geopolitical perspective, ASEAN countries are already highly favored by Japanese.
Indonesia nor vietnam doesn't have many high skilled labour to produce High tech products, and also doesn't have MARKET Big enough to generate profit like 1,4 Billion people Market who have more than USD 10,000 Nominal GDP for each person (China)
Baseless statement from you. Japan has already produced many high tech product in Indonesia for domestic and export market. Toyota for instant produces cars, including its steel and aluminium engine, from scratch in Indonesia. They exported engine from Indonesia to around 70 destination countries. There are also many companies producing car and motorcycle parts in here that support automotive industry in Indonesia.
Indonesia is on the radar of high quality investment from multinational companies already. For example, one IT company from Netherland that I know also has put their entire software development division in Indonesia (Bandung) while maintaining other division in Netherland.
Indonesia biggest problem in attracting foreign direct investment is mostly due to its labor law that is very pro labor like its severance pay that is ridiculous (32 months salary). This is why after embracing democracy we dont grow more than 6 percent for the last 2 decades. Not only foreign business that get the pain from that law but also our own businesses, particularly small and medium size company. Jokowi try to change the labor law this year using his power in parliament and I have high hope that if the process in parliament is finished, Indonesia will be very attractive to both domestic and foreign investment, and also many start ups and entrepreneurship will likely to flourish inshaAllah.
Exporting finished products from indonesia to China's market will add another Logistic Cost and Taxes to their products. And they will lose Competitive edge over their rivals who choose to keep their production lines in China.
Nope, Indonesia have many raw material sources and recent regulation have also force many companies to produce intermediary product in here like nickle and aluminium smelter so that logistically Indonesia will be more competitive for some industries. It is logistically reasonable to set up factories where the raw materials are abundant and also supported by huge market demand.
Indonesia for example has effectively banned nickle export this year that is mostly exported to Chinese market.
It make Chinese stainless steel company relocate their factory here and have flooded Chinese market from their factory in Indonesia since 2017. Other raw material like thin and others will be banned as well for exporting gradually until 2024.
Another example, Indonesian aluminium and steel producers have supplied automotive industry in Indonesia, so the whole value chain process has already been conducted in Indonesia that make Indonesia is quite competitive for automotive production base logistically.
ASEAN-China FTA agreement will also prevent any additional import tax from China to any product produced in ASEAN countries that target Chinese market.
And they KNOW that.
That's why many companies choose China and not indonesia or vietnam to build their High Tech Production lines.
Toyota also has similar 2 billion dollar plan investment in Indonesia to make hybrid car. This investment plan will triple Indonesian automotive export if comes true inshaAllah.
Toyota’s $2 Billion Pledge Revs Up Indonesia’s Electric Car Push
July 19, 2019,
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/arti...-pledge-revs-up-indonesia-s-electric-car-push
Another big automotive investment
Hyundai Motor to invest $1.55 billion in first Indonesia car plant
November 26, 2019
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-...on-in-first-indonesia-car-plant-idUSKBN1Y00TP
For electronics sector investment
Pegatron to Invest up to $1 Billion in Indonesian iPhone Chip Factory
May 28, 2019
Apple supplier Pegatron plans to invest up to $1 billion in an Indonesian factory to produce chips for Apple smartphones, an Indonesian ministry official said on Tuesday
The Taiwan manufacturer made the pledge in a signed letter to the Indonesian government, in which it said the chips would be produced in partnership with Indonesian electronics company PT Sat Nusapersada, according to Deputy Minister Warsito Ignatius.
Pegatron expects the investment to come somewhere between $695 million and $1 billion, although the variables influencing the exact amount have not been disclosed.
https://www.macrumors.com/2019/05/28/pegatron-invest-in-indonesian-iphone-factory/