Japan Has A New Air-Defense Plan—Ignore Chinese Planes

[shanlung]

The UN troops knows your buildup in the Yalu river through reconnaissance and intel reports, it's just their commanders believed that attack is not your intentions, too bad they were given a lesson just how tricky u are.

They show discipline and ability to recover even after the shock of a cowardly surprise attack. Not only that they hold the line they inflicted massive casualties on the "volunteer" army.

Muricans and their 5eyes and running dogs shit in their pants and cried MAMA MAMA MAMA as they ran and ran.


Do remember how proud Murica was of Dugout Doug and Murica mighty brilliant occifers and their Ma Deuces and battleships with 16 inch guns and planes and carriers and arty with unlimited ammo and that Muricans will all be home by Christmas as what can China do with single shot bolt action rifles against Murica and the rest of the world including the best from 5Eyes.

Murica prouderer now than back in 1950.

They all ran shitting in their pants and screaming MAMA MAMA south of Parallel in less than 3 weeks

Look on the front line at 24 Nov 1950 and the front line of 16 Dec 1950.

It took China only twenty days and less to do that push down to 38 parallel fighting USA and the UN combined who had 100 times and more of the firepower of China and China economical might less than sub Sahara Africa.


So let the Muricans turn pushing into shoving with phony FONOPs in the beliefs that Muricans invincible and can bully left and right and kick sand into the face of China

CHINA WILL END WHAT MURICA STARTED

 

[Suika]

Japan Has A New Air-Defense Plan—Ignore Chinese Planes
Mar 5, 2021,08:00am EST

With around 3,300 fighters, bombers and other aircraft, the Chinese air force has more than twice as many planes as the Japanese air force does.

Beijing has seized on that advantage—deploying fighters and other warplanes to probe Japanese air space at such a high rate that China literally has been wearing out Japan’s own fighters.

After years of ceaseless Chinese pressure, Japan finally is doing something about it. It’s now official policy for Japanese forces simply to ... ignore Chinese planes.

Well, sort of ignore some of them.

Where before Japanese fighters intercepted all Chinese warplanes entering Japan’s air-defense identification zones—which largely straddle international air space—now Tokyo’s planes will intercept only the most provocative Chinese formations.

Defense officials briefed Japanese media on the new policy this week, but it’s evident that the defense ministry began restricting interceptions at least a year ago.

Japanese interceptions of Chinese planes peaked at 851 in 2016 then dropped to 675 in 2019 and fell further to just 331 in 2020—and not necessarily because the Chinese are flying less often.

For comparison, the entire NATO alliance performed just 430 interceptions of Russian planes in 2019.

The high sortie rate has been a problem for the Japanese air force’s F-15J squadrons, which are first in line to enforce Japan’s air-defense zones. The JASDF operates 200 F-15s.

Many of the F-15s are assigned to training flights or are stuck in deep maintenance. In practice, just a hundred of so F-15s have handled up to a thousand interceptions a year.

And bear in mind—fighters rarely fly alone.

Realistically, the JASDF can count on just 25 flights of four planes each to keep Chinese planes at bay across air-defense zones covering hundreds of thousands of square miles.

All that short-notice flying has taken a toll. "I think China wants to keep the JASDF off-balance and reactive, wear out its aircraft and air crew, gain training and keep the pressure up daily," Peter Layton, an analyst with the Griffith Asia Institute in Australia, told CNN last year.

“The in-service life of Japan's F-15J fleet is now almost a decision that lies with China,” Layton added.

The F-15 fleet’s material health isn’t the only factor in Tokyo’s new interception policy. The JASDF is in the process of replacing many of its older fighter—including half of the F-15s—with 157 new F-35 stealth fighters that the military concedes aren’t exactly ideal for ADIZ patrols.

A fighter needs to be reliable, easy to launch and fast in order to catch Chinese planes in the act. The F-35 is none of those things. As F-35s account for a greater proportion of the JASDF fighter fleet, the number of planes Tokyo can count on for ADIZ patrols could drop by half.

"The F-35 is not suitable for emergency lift-off, and it will become difficult to maintain the same system as before,” the Japanese defense ministry told Kyodo News.

The new policy of not intercepting all Chinese planes doesn’t mean that Beijing suddenly is free to do as it pleases in the air space around Japan.

According to the new policy, ground-based air-defense systems and the JASDF’s 21 E-767 and E-2 radar planes will monitor the Chinese formations that the fighter force doesn’t intercept.

Japan Has A New Air-Defense Plan—Ignore Chinese Planes

It’s now official policy for Japanese forces simply to ... ignore some Chinese planes.

www.forbes.com

The article is a bit sensationalists. Three points to make..

The first is an error in presentation on the number of scrambles by year. The article says Japan scrambled a high in 2016 with 851 but dropped to 675 in 2019. That sort of suggest a gradual decline. But actually, if looking at 2017 and 2018, a different trend would be illustrated.. in 2017, there was 500 scrambles. In 2018, there was 638 scrambles. So if presenting the other years, then the conclusion would have to be that there was a big drop in scrambles from 2016 to 2017 but the number of scrambles started increasing again for 2018 and again for 2019. There's also a problem with the 2020 number of 331 scrambles. In the source the article provided, the graph clearly shows that the 2020 number is for up until the 3rd quarter fiscal year. Fiscal years run from April 1st and end on the last day of March. So the final 4th quarter scrambles have yet to be tallied up. It is on a trend to be low then the previous years, possibly even lower than 2017's 500 scrambles, but assuming about another 110 scrambles, maybe 2020 will finish with about 440 scrambles total.

Well that's one point.

The second point to make is that the JASDF adopted a scramble policy of sending off 4 jets for each event. In that way, scrambled fighters are well in force. It used to be a scrambling of just 2 jets in 2015 and earlier, but they increased the number of jets to scramble per even from 2 to 4. Obviously this becomes wasteful for times when the PRC sends over a single Y-9 into the ADIZ well west of Okinawa. With better radar surveillance, then mundane scrambling doesn't need to scramble four F-15Js. If radar can see that the one lone plane flying a pattern like a typical Y-9 as has so often happened with no other bleeps of fighter signiture sort of bleeps near it, why send up four F-15Js? So the change makes sense. And better to get the F-35As at Misawa good training and up to speed in readiness.

A third point is the type of flight paths by PLA AF aircraft. 2020 has actually seen fewer flight paths that would raise a concern. One can compare the flight paths of previous years with 2020 (up to 3rd quarter).
2020 https://www.mod.go.jp/js/Press/press2021/press_pdf/p20210122_01.pdf
2019 https://www.mod.go.jp/js/Press/press2020/press_pdf/p20200409_01.pdf
2018 https://www.mod.go.jp/js/Press/press2019/press_pdf/p20190412_01.pdf
2017 https://www.mod.go.jp/js/Press/press2018/press_pdf/p20180413_05.pdf

A fourth point that could be added. PLA AF aircraft have been sent up more often it seems towards Taiwan in 2020 than in previous years. The increase of aircraft crossing over to Taiwan's ADIZ might be reflected with the somewhat fewer amount of concerning flights paths in Japan's ADIZ. In this way, really if the PRC wants to raise the stakes on both Japan and Taiwan, then it has to send out aircraft to both at the same time. In which case, then measuring the resistance potential would have to incorporate both Japan and Taiwan fighter numbers.