CIAs Envy Against ISI Has Turned Into Aversion
The US is deeply concerned that the Haqqani network based in North Waziristan (NW) is killing American soldiers in Afghanistan. It complains that the militants have safe havens in FATA, which seriously jeopardizes US efforts to defeat militancy. The issue is not whether the militants take off from Pakistans tribal belt or not, the reality is that the battleground for US military is Afghanistan where the militants launch guerrilla attacks. Why are they allowed to cross over when they make a material difference upon the outcome of the Afghan war? Why are they not nabbed or killed in the process of crossing the border, or when the group is received across the border, taken forward to base camp well in depth, sheltered for a few nights, and then assembled to attack the chosen target? Why were repeated suggestions of Pakistan to fence or mine the border, or at least selected portions of it, overruled?
If NW is now the main bastion of militants, who are crossing from there into two neighboring provinces, why cant that small portion with three crossing points be effectively sealed? If infiltration from Pakistani side is such a big threat, why only 250 border posts were established, against Pakistan s 1150 posts, and even those 250 posts were withdrawn in October last during Operation Rah-e-Nejat when the strategy of anvil and hammer was direly needed? The hard fact is that the Taliban after being pushed out in December 2001, had taken refuge in FATA, and for about two years stayed within Pak-Afghan border belt to regroup. Once Pak troops entered FATA and started arresting Taliban and Al-Qaeda operatives, the Taliban slipped back into Afghanistan. Today, their bases of operations are in southern and eastern Afghanistan where foreign troops have no control, not this side of the border which is under effective control of Pak security forces. US-NATO should worry about those forward bases rather than fretting over bases in depth in Waziristan.
If the USA with all the resources at its disposal, cannot prevent cross border movement or at least present video proofs of it, why should it expect Pakistan, with its minimal resources to do the same? If the US doesnt have the will and courage to seal the border at its side, why does it not provide the requisite counter terrorism equipment, intelligence and surveillance means to Pakistan to further improve its capabilities? Pakistani security forces have been in the business of counter-terrorism since 2002, and have since then launched hundreds of operations, arrested hundreds of Taliban and Al-Qaeda operatives including high profile leaders and handed them over to the USA. Why so many intelligence units based in Kabul with the most sophisticated wherewithal in abundance to carry out covert and intelligence operations have not been able to trace any known militant leader at their end?
As per Hillary Clintons skewed assessment, the entire Al-Qaeda leadership including Osama bin Laden had shifted from Afghanistan to FATA in 2002 and was still there and very much within the knowledge of the Pakistani government. If so, what stopped CIA and FBI from hunting them down, particularly when 100,000 security personnel were operating against militants in Waziristan and dependent upon CIA/FBI inputs? FATA had been virtually in control of CIA and FBI, and ISI and MI were withdrawn in 2003. Why couldnt the top-most spy agencies get hold of wanted militants and dismantle al-Qaeda sanctuaries, bases and network when they had full liberty and authority to do so? With a CIA base active in Miranshah till 2009, why couldnt the Haqqani network in NW be dismantled? Why couldnt CIA/FBI pinpoint a single training base in SW or arrest a single TTP leader? If the Army and ISI were in cahoots with Afghan Taliban and Al-Qaeda, TTP would never have cropped up to fight the allies of Taliban who are a source of inspiration for the TTP. Any linkage should have been severed after the Pak Army dismantled TTPs main base. If dismantlement of TTP was a loss for Afghan Taliban, it was an equal loss for USA , India and Israel. Is the US senior leadership forgetful, or do they think everyone in Pakistan suffers from loss of memory and is naïve?
After airing several fabricated allegations and mixing it with threats of physical attack, the latest bizarre allegation has been floated by CIA itself, stating that the ISI is playing a double game and is supporting Taliban. It proves the point that the US has lost its nerves and sense of balance and doesnt know what it is saying. It implies that CIAs jealousy against ISI has now turned into aversion. Has the CIA forgotten that ISI in good faith had introduced its agents to CIA in 2001/02 but the latter cultivated most of them and turned them into its own agents and some as double agents by doling out sacks of dollars? Can CIA deny that TTP is not its creation? Is it not true that when the ISI to its horror found out in 2007 that its partner CIA was playing a double game and was fomenting terrorism in FATA and Balochistan, it became cautious and started recovering lost space in troubled areas? What went so wrong that the ISI started using its tentacles on home ground to find out shady activities of CIA and other foreign agencies and take preventive measures? Did the CIA expect the ISI to sit on its haunches and refuse to perform its duties as the first line defence for which it is paid?
As long as the ISI remained inactive and paid no attention to the activities of the CIA, everything was alright. Isnt it a fact that the day the ISI started blocking CIAs covert moves; CIA got irritated and started a venomous campaign against ISI? Lt Gen Shuja Pasha would be doing a disservice to the nation if he fails to run a counter intelligence program in the face of subversive activities of hostile intelligence agencies that have bathed Pakistan in blood. Hats off to ISI that its has battled six agencies single handedly for nine years and managed to safeguard Pakistans prime interests and kept hostile hands away from Pakistans strategic assets. It is another feather in the cap of ISI of which it should be rightly proud.
The fact of the matter is that the US has lost the war in Afghanistan for all practical purposes, but it doesnt want to admit that and is still optimistic that some divine help might convert its defeat into victory. Divine help comes to those who are right and have a virtuous cause, not to barbarians devoid of morals. Not knowing how to cover up its blunders, USA finds Pakistan as the convenient scapegoat to lay the blame on, and to give vent to its frustration. Instead of fighting its own battle in Afghanistan, it keeps accusing as well as prodding Pakistan to launch another operation in NW, which in its myopic view would help US-NATO in undertaking Kandahar operation. The ones advocating NW operation must appreciate that NW is under the control of over one division force and clashes with militants take place routinely in which both sides are suffering casualties. This force is almost equivalent to force level in SW.
The only difference is that an all out offensive necessitating displacement of local population in NW hasnt been launched. The displaced population of SW has yet to return to their homes. Neither has the civil administration taken over, nor any reconstruction commenced, promised ROZs established or funds made available to undertake development works. Moreover, as a consequence of displacement from SW, Mohmand, Bajaur and Swat, many militants have shifted to major cities of Punjab and have intensified terrorist attacks. As such, opening up of a new front in haste will be least desirable. In Afghanistan, the US military and ISAF have sufficient troops and resources and are not over stretched or over committed and have not achieved any victory equivalent to Swat and SW.
Even after having ascertained that Kandahar is the nerve centre of terrorism in Afghanistan, the US is not gathering the courage to wage an offensive in Kandahar but has the cheek to press Pakistan to leap into the cauldron of NW. USA obsessed with NW maintains that all routes of terrorism lead to NW. In its bid to incite Pakistan, it alleges that since Pak Army and ISI are in cahoots with Afghan Taliban, Pakistan is unwilling to launch an operation in NW.
It callously forgets that Pakistan has lost more troops than the losses suffered by foreign troops in Iraq and Afghanistan combined, and its civilian losses are five times more than those of 9/11. Economically, Pakistan has lost five times more than what it has received from USA. On the social, religious and moral platforms, the losses are incalculable since the society has become impoverished, divided and insecure.
So, on what moral grounds does Sen. Clinton threaten Pakistan of serious consequences, particularly when Pakistan is up in flames and CIA-operated drones are violating Pakistan s sovereignty almost daily? She knows that the US is in no position to open another front when its two fronts are collapsing. What she implies is that US air force or drones can strike Pakistan s nuclear sites, or its Special Forces can grab nukes, or it can suffocate Pakistan economically through sanctions, or it can incite India to attack Pakistan. As a last resort, the US can repeat the failed Cambodian model on Pakistan. If so, is the USA a friend or a foe?
After using the media to portray NW as the most dangerous place, South Punjab has been ripened to be turned into the next battleground where so-called Punjabi Taliban have been hoisted. Attacks on Ahmadi worship places and on Data Durbar in Lahore are links of the same chain. The hand of Blackwater in the two attacks is discernible. Punjabi Taliban have not only disowned their involvement but also offered their services to eliminate Blackwater. Punjab police is currently arresting members of banned religious groups, particularly Sipah Sahaba Pakistan, but there is no move to launch an operation against Blackwater and RAW sponsored agents.
Terrorists including high profile leaders arrested by the military in hundreds from FATA are being freed by courts because of serious flaws in the judicial system, non-availability of evidence and witnesses and threats received by judges. Dr. Usman involved in the Marriot bombing and GHQ attack has been let off. Over 2000 captured terrorists including the dreaded Muslim Khan and Ibne Amin from Operation Rah-e-Rast in Malakand Division are still to be put on trial due to lack of courage of judges and witnesses. Freed terrorists laughing under their sleeves and making victory signs are resorting to terrorism with greater vengeance while the government has adopted a lackadaisical approach. Areas freed from the hold of extremists are yet to be reconstructed because of which the troops in holding phase are getting no respite. All the hard work done and sacrifices rendered by the Army seem to be going to waste due to non-availability of backup socio-politico-economic and judicial plan of rehabilitation. The Army is being pushed to jump into new battlegrounds without fully consolidating the gains made.
Having dilated upon various aspects, the big questions are whether the US would bring any change in its attitude towards Pakistan, or keep distrusting Pakistan to keep it in the dock under one pretext or the other; whether the US leaders suffering from paranoia will continue complaining like a jilted woman; whether the US has become wiser and is now sincere to find a political settlement of the Afghan imbroglio, or would it continue with its deceitful policy of divide-and-rule; whether it would keep relying wholly on India and Israel and letting India play the role of villain to disrupt peace; whether the US would forgive Al-Qaeda or continue its futile chase; for how long the US can sustain war on terror; will Gen Petraeus succeed where Gen McChrystal failed; will foreign troops pullout in next two years or would take their time; whether USA would accept its defeat gracefully or, like a bad loser repeat Cambodian experience in Pakistan and get trapped; whether Afghanistan will achieve stability with US presence or without it; will stakeholders achieve harmony and collectively make an effort for regional peace or their interests would remain in conflict; will CIA reconcile with ISI or remain hostile; will USA abandon its objective of denuclearizing Pakistan and develop mutually sustaining long term friendly relations; lastly whether our leaders will put an end to self-destructive policies and start taking corrective measures to safeguard the sovereignty and integrity of Pakistan?
The writer is a retired Brig, a defence analyst and author of several books; he writes for Asian Tribune, New Nation, Veterans Today, Opinion Maker, Thinkers Forum Pakistan and numerous national and international newspapers/ websites. Email: asifharoon7751@yahoo.com