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Iran's economy bustling, IMF says

Arminkh

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Iran's economy bustling, IMF says
Higher oil production and the lifting of sanctions equates to economic growth for Islamic republic.

By Daniel J. Graeber
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| April 18, 2016 at 7:59 AM

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International Monetary Fund Director of Middle East and Central Asia programs Masood Ahmed said Iran's economy is outperforming its peers. File photo by Kevin Dietsch/UPI
| License Photo

WASHINGTON, April 18 (UPI) -- The Iranian economy is outperforming the region as a whole mainly because of higher oil production and the lifting of sanctions, the IMF said.

In transcripts published Sunday, Masood Ahmed, the director of Middle East and Central Asia programs at the International Monetary Fund, said the Iranian economy is expected to grow by about 4 percent this year. That expansion should help lift the net growth for oil exporting nations by about 2 to 3 percent, he said from Washington.

"This is mainly due to the increased growth in Iran, because of the effect of lifting sanctions and the higher oil production that comes from it," he said in his remarks. "In Iran this year, we are expecting an extra 600,000 barrels or so per year of oil production."

Sanctions pressures eased in early 2016 following a nuclear deal signed in July between Iran, the five permanent members of the U.N. Security Council, plus Germany. Full trade in Iranian crude oil remains restricted because some financial maneuvers are still blocked by U.S. sanctions.

A tanker of crude oil, the first to leave Iran since mid-2012, left for the European market last month.

Though sanctions relief means more Iranian oil on the market, the Iranian government has tried to make its economy less dependent on oil for revenue. Ali Larijani, the speaker of the Iranian parliament, said the economy exports around $50 billion worth of non-petroleum products, "which is not sufficient."

Iran is outperforming its peer economies. The IMF said members of the Gulf Cooperation Council, a group that includes members of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries like Saudi Arabia and Kuwait, should see economic growth slow from 3.75 percent last year.

"Economic growth in the GCC countries this year is expected to be below 2 percent in part as these countries are tightening their public spending in response to the oil price drop," Ahmed said.

Iranian representatives were not on hand for a weekend meeting in Doha to consider oil production levels. Saudi Arabia said no deal to keep output steady was possible without Iran's participation.
 
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Of course it is, with sanctions lifted, it's previous trade partners are coming back, which means it's trade is going back to normal levels.

On the other hand, it will take a few years before Iranian citizens actually feel the effects.
 
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All Iran has to do now is pour some money into non-oil industries & it's primacy is assured.
I.T in particular I think would be a good way for Iran to go (and maybe focus the auto industry into more eastern European markets)
three cheers for trade :cheers::cheers::cheers: :victory:
 
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Well I wouldn't suggest IT for Iran as it is not stable , But a Balance between IT , Manufacturing and Oil will definitely be a boon
 
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iran-gdp.png

2015: 387,611 USD (!)
(Source: IMF)

An incredible and heavy economic decline. Mr. Ruhanis economic policies have failed so far.
 
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iran-gdp.png

2015: 387,611 USD (!)
(Source: IMF)

An incredible and heavy economic decline. Mr. Ruhanis economic policies have failed so far.
I wouldn't make that conclusion.

There is always a lag between cause and effect in social and economic systems. Mr. Rouhani's policy results will only start to show itself after a couple of years.Let's not forget the sanctions has not been totally lifted yet. And also don't forger the oil price. Regardless of different sectors of Iran economy, Petroleum income is still the most significant part of the economy. You can see the fall in Iran's GDP and oil price kind of coincide.

upload_2016-4-20_11-14-48.png
 
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Those are actually average numbers. I expected a real boom in the Iranian economy, something around 6-7% growth but instead its rather average. Maybe it just needs time to pick up.
 
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Those are actually average numbers. I expected a real boom in the Iranian economy, something around 6-7% growth but instead its rather average. Maybe it just needs time to pick up.
The ink on the signed contracts hasnt even dried yet, give it some time.
 
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