TheImmortal
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3) Iran has limited ability to produce plutonium in 2023. However by 2030 there will be Bushehr-1, Bushehr-2, Bushehr-3 and Darkhovin nuclear powerplants that can produce large amount of plutonium in short period of time. German BND estimates that if operated differently Bushehr nuclear powerplant can produce enough plutonium for 30 nuclear warheads. So by 2030 nuclear powerplants of Iran will be able to produce enough plutonium for 100 nuclear warheads each year. You don't have such capability in 2023
Come on, Citing a biased source (German BND) to make an even more unsubstantiated claim.
First of all: Bushehr are all uranium fuel reactors vs the Plutonium reactor (Israel, Syria, Iraq, North Korea). So any plutonium production from Iranian nuclear power plants, I would need to see cities scientific data on and not fear mongering by German spy agency.
Second of all: Iran is contract by Russia to remove spent fuel rods out of country.
Third of all: While it is theoretically possible to extract nuclear material from spent fuel rods it’s is not a efficient route and would require Iran to set up a facility that simply does not exist (reprocessing and extracting spent fuel roads) as well as develop such tech.
The plutonium route is most efficient thru plutonium fueled reactors or heavy water reactors that produce substantial plutonium by product. Both of which don’t exist in Iran.