US begins maximum pressure strategy to get Iran to surrender Nuclear program.
If the talks fail, which they probably will, their is at this point no logical reason short of a potential attack by the United States that would warrant Iran not to actually construct nuclear warheads.
The country will still be under max pressure sanctions anyways, so might as well. In either result, either building or not building, you are under max sanctions regardless.
Not building one really is probably decided by a few cowards at the top that are more interested in preserving their wealth and power, then to risk the status quo by building one. In my opinion the IRGC is all for building warheads as I think Mohsen Rezaei stated, but some of the civilian leadership is not.
No offense, but this statement is of a self-contradicting nature.
Correct me if I'm wrong but on the one hand, you're saying the acquisition of nuclear weapons would not result in additional pressure on Iran. On the other, you're suggesting that doing so would jeopardize the "wealth and power" of "a few cowards at the top"... which begs the question how exactly such a thing is supposed to happen precisely absent greater pressure from hostile external powers resulting in a toppling of the Islamic Republic!
Also, if nuclear weapons won't make the leadership and the state more secure, as you seem to suggest, then what's the point in possessing them?
Last but not least, I'd suggest to constantly bear in mind the fact that the survival of Iran and the survival of the Islamic Republic are inextricably tied to and dependent upon each other. If the IR falls, Iran will be gone into the trash can of history for good. Any semblance of a loss of control by the Iranian central state this time around will be mercilessly, brutally, methodically and cold-heartedly exploited to the hilt by Iran's powerful existential enemies. Endless civil strife and dismantling of the country into ethno-linguistic entities will be guaranteed to follow in any such eventuality.
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I wrote many times regarding this issue in the past but will gladly repeat it again to make our people aware. IRGC top leadership figures such as Sardar Hajizadeh or Rezaei are all for building a vast nuclear weapons arsenal as an aggressive deterrent in preserving Irans territorial integrity. The only figures that create obstacles are the clerics (mullahs). Khamenei is the nr.1 obstacle in the path of building nuclear weapons, his statements are available on this issue (fatwa etc). US and Israel are kind of satisfied with the cucks at the top and the moment they cross this red line they will risk elimination. So the cucks at the top will do anything to preserve their standings and influence without risking the program for political gambling.
To sum it up : IRGC wants nuclear weapons, Mullahs block it (same way how Khomeini blocked chemical weapon production as a deterrent- using religion as an excuse). The only way for Iran to create multiple nuclear warheads with a clear strategy is if the IRGC takes over the power from the incompetent cuckold clerics completely. Considering the vast majority of influential mullahs being over the age of 70 and 80 it is just a matter of time before their generation dies out and some room gets created for the military men.
Sorry to say, but these sorts of assessments are inaccurate for a several reasons.
1) The clergy in Iran is not a monolithic political actor. To begin with, most of the clergy is apolitical. Secondly, those amongst it who do get involved in political affairs pertain to a variety of different currents with a multitude of leanings and viewpoints.
2) Iranian leaders do not risk "elimination" for acquiring nuclear weapons. They have been risking and putting their lives on the line the very moment they chose to confront the US and zionist regimes in 1979. Zio-American imperialists aren't "satisfied" in the least with the leaders of the Islamic Republic, but want them all dead, much more so than Saddam and Gaddafi. Which is precisely what they've been directing all their efforts towards for the past 42 years.
Case in point, may I remind everyone that seyyed Khamenei (hafaza Allah) was already subjected to an assassination attempt once, carried out by the western- and zionist-backed MKO terrorist grouplet. In case someone didn't notice, this is why our Supreme Leader has a prosthetic hand! Not to mention how seyyed Khamenei had no fear of engaging in political activism against the shah regime, which resulted in his eminence spending time in the infamous prison of the SAVAK's Komiteye Moshtarake Zedde Kharabkari, where brutal torture methods taught to SAVAK by the zionist Mossad were the order of the day (including with the Apollo torture device, no matter what someone like Omid Dana will claim in this regard).
So the idea that the Supreme Leader is fearing for his life and not ready to embrace martyrdom in the path of Allah swt, is contradicted by hard facts. Quite the opposite of the secular "nationalist" shah, who at the slightest risk, preferred to escape to the west (as in 1953, and then again in 1979). Credit where it's due.
3) If it was the case that anyone deciding to manufacture nuclear bombs in Iran would get assassinated by the enemy, then the very same would hold true of any IRGC generals taking that step after grabbing power. In which case the country would become ungovernable.
4) There is no evidence that sardar Hajizadeh and Rezai advocate a "vast nuclear weapons arsenal". Any statements made by them, which people interpreted to this effect, were matched by similar if not more explicit ones issued by clerics. The most expressive of which was pronounced by none other than former Minister of Intelligence, hojjat ol-Eslam val Moslemin Mahmoud Alavi not too long ago. So here again, there is no perceptible division line between IRGC and clergy.
But more importantly, on matters of such strategic sensitivity and relevance as this particular one, no official in Iran - neither Hajizadeh, nor Rezai, nor Alavi, will be likely to hint at potential revision of policy unless authorized if not asked to do so by the Supreme Leader in person.
5) The Iranian leadership is probably the single most competent in the world. No other group could have directed Iran to stand up to the zio-American empire while not only surviving for this long, but making gain after gain in the geostrategic realm and strengthening the country on practically every level.
6) The notion that there's a serious gap between the Leadership and the IRGC, isn't factual. The IRGC are absolutely beholden and loyal to the Leadership. What is more, the institutional cooperation between the two has been as frictionless, exemplary and constructive as it can possibly get. It was in fact the Supreme Leader's visionary, clear-sighted, genius level approach to military affairs which made the IRGC into the powerful corps it is today, and enabled it to shape its efficient defence doctrine. In fact, the IRGC will be rushing in to volunteer against anyone who even thinks of challenging the authority of Vali-ye Faqih.
Attempts to suggest there is a rift between "clergy" and "military", and that the latter may one day conduct some "nationalist'-inspired "coup" against the former, as well as against the theocratic foundation of the system, has been a pipedream spread for quite some time by the CIA, by the way. Indeed the enemy has actively been attempting to find some generals to recruit in hopes of re-enacting a Reza Khan type of scenario, with a supposedly nationalistic military strongman overthrowing the current order while in fact being completely subservient to western (and now zionist) imperialist interests. But of course, to no avail.
7) Up to this day, nuclear weapons wouldn't have changed the equation in a significant manner for Iran. Iran is guaranteeing her security because the US is largely controlled by zionists and because Iran, thanks to her asymmetric conventional defence doctrine and arsenals, has established effective deterrence against the zionist apartheid entity.
Those people that block our quest for building nuclear weapons should be taken out to the streets and shot for treason. The amount of damage and martyrs we gave for this program without a clear objective should already be a red flag.
Seriously, treason? If the Leadership of the Islamic Republic were "traitors", they'd proceed like the overthrown, secularist and supposedly nationalistic monarchy: they'd bow down to the western imperial powers and to their underlying globalist-masonic oligarchy, instead of resisting them and undermining each and every one of their policies in the region.
Good luck trying to touch the Islamic Iranian leadership, which is in fact what Iran's existential foes are aiming for and working towards around the clock. But that's only going to be possible over the dead bodies of at least 10 million Basijis, Sepahis and other security forces and volunteers (including tens of thousands from allied nations). Those same Sepahis indeed.
There's an obvious twin objective to Iran's nuclear program:
- Endowing Iran with full spectrum civilian application of nuclear power and technology in an ultra-sanctioned environment, ie with a requirement for maximum self-sufficiency in the nuclear fuel cycle etc.
- Providing Iran with a potential and credible nuclear break out capability in case her basic security could no longer be ensured otherwise.
The material and human price of this endeavour has fallen well within cost-effective boundaries.