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Indian rupee hits new low despite central bank moves

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Indian rupee hits new low despite central bank moves

MUMBAI—India’s rupee plunged to a new record low of 64.60 to the dollar on Wednesday despite suspected central bank attempts to prop up Asia’s worst-performing major currency this year.

The rupee declined from its previous low of 64.13 reached on Tuesday.

The slide was so sharp that dealers said the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is thought to have intervened in late afternoon. But the currency still finished at a new record closing low of 64.11.

“The RBI is suspected to have intervened at around 64.45 levels, selling dollars to aid the rupee,” a dealer said, declining to be named.

The RBI late Tuesday announced it would inject 80 billion rupees ($1.26 billion) into the banking system by buying back long-term government bonds, in a bid to make more credit available to boost slowing economic growth.

The move appears to be a partial reversal of a string of measures it has taken since mid-July to tighten liquidity.

These have failed to stop the rupee plummeting and instead sent bond yields surging.

Further depreciation seen

Deutsche Bank, in a note to clients on Wednesday, warned that the rupee could depreciate further in coming weeks to as much as 70 to the dollar.

“In a scenario of deep pessimism, currencies can overshoot substantially and remain so for a long time. India, we fear, is entering such a zone,” the report said.

The rupee’s fall on Wednesday also comes amid concern in the markets over the upcoming release of minutes from the US Federal Reserve’s July policy meeting.

The minutes to be released later Wednesday were expected to give indications about a possible rollback of the Fed’s massive stimulus program, which would cause funds to flow back to the United States—and away from emerging economies—as its economy recovers.

“There is a bit of nervousness before the Fed (release),” Shubhada Rao, chief economist with Yes Bank said.

Stocks closed down 1.86 percent after jumping in early trade on news of the RBI’s planned cash injection. Indian stocks have fallen nearly six percent in the past three days on concerns over the rupee and a faltering economy.

Late on Tuesday, the RBI announced its new measures to purchase long-term government bonds, along with other measures to ease pressure on banks, in a bid to make more credit available and bring down borrowing costs for the government.

But the measures sparked accusations from analysts of policy flip-flops.

“The latest moves by the RBI are aimed at cleaning up the unintended mess in the bond market from their convoluted and ineffective currency defence,” Rajeev Malik, senior economist with CLSA, said in an email to AFP.

Yields eased on 10-year benchmark bonds to as much as 8.27 percent on Wednesday, after hitting a five-year-high of more than nine percent the day before.—Salil Panchal

Indian rupee hits new low despite central bank moves | Inquirer Business
 
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But the measures sparked accusations from analysts of policy flip-flops.

“The latest moves by the RBI are aimed at cleaning up the unintended mess in the bond market from their convoluted and ineffective currency defence,” Rajeev Malik, senior economist with CLSA, said in an email to AFP.

Why are they flip-flopping so much?

First they try to tighten liquidity, now they are injecting in more liquidity?

What the....
 
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No point measures and all. This gunga sardaar has sold us off to the words of a waitress. bloody economist. :D
 
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were will it stop ? :)

With the change of government and their policies. You see, all the industries in India has stalled. they are down to zero profit or loss. Its not like the market dont have customers due to Euro Crisis, etc. Its just, no one in India and outside wants to invest money here due to policy paralysis. Everyone is waiting for the next elections and if you know what clout Modi carries withing the Corporate world, they are just waiting for Modi to become PM. Anyone else wud just be a nail in coffin for India for next 5 yrs.

Its all bout market sentiment. Once its there, I bet the Rupee will get back to 45 mark. Its a purposeful depriciation of money before the election especially when the ruling party knows they r gonna lose big tym. U can get into the history of Indian election vis a vis Rupee value. :)
 
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damn ! ! @scorpionx bro seriously, rupee is falling very rapidly :undecided:
 
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damn ! ! @scorpionx bro seriously, rupee is falling very rapidly :undecided:

Dont worry dude, This fall is not due to weak Indian fundamentals. Its just a pre Election situation. In India, govt is chosen by the Corporates(indirectly). Its their message, tym for a govt change. :)
 
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Dont worry dude, This fall is not due to weak Indian fundamentals. Its just a pre Election situation. In India, govt is chosen by the Corporates(indirectly). Its their message, tym for a govt change. :)

then why on earth BD taka becomes strong USD in pre election situation :blink: as you know BD's politics is not in good shape right now.
 
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Anytym soon. Ideally its start of 2014. but the way things r going, I am sure it wud be early elections. :)
 
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With the change of government and their policies. You see, all the industries in India has stalled. they are down to zero profit or loss. Its not like the market dont have customers due to Euro Crisis, etc. Its just, no one in India and outside wants to invest money here due to policy paralysis. Everyone is waiting for the next elections and if you know what clout Modi carries withing the Corporate world, they are just waiting for Modi to become PM. Anyone else wud just be a nail in coffin for India for next 5 yrs.

What if Congress wins a third term, with an even weaker mandate than before?
 
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I really hope for a massive economical reform in the present structure.Unfortunately nothing substantial is going to happen before 2014.

as i told you before, Asian countries need to increase trades between them as well as need to target Latin america ans africa, it will bring stable economy, this is what Thai PM is trying to do right now.
 
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Anytym soon. Ideally its start of 2014. but the way things r going, I am sure it wud be early elections. :)

why early ? i think india is a fully democratic country and current gov will complete its days
 
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