Good for india
bt MIRV capable missiles cannot be shot down by Anti ballistic missiles.
Not true , MIRV missile can be shot down just the same as any other missile.
The problem occurs that now instead of just one war head to intercept , there are are now multiple war heads that need to be intercepted.
This in turn mean for every missile launched there need to be multiple interceptor missiles.
BMD system itself , works just as well . and the only for it to be defeated is by overwhelming the systems with pure numbers and exhausting all interceptor missiles.
MIRV warheads make this possible.
But the way i see it Pakistan at best will launch maybe 200 missiles ,
each may carry between 3-6 warheads . So worst case we need to intercept 1200 warheads.
Most of them wont even be nukes. with only some 100 being the real deal . Most will just be decoy's with conventional warheads
Given the multi-layered nature of the BMD , with even SAM's having intercept capability.
I think the odd's are that major centres can be protected or at the very least damage to India as whole reduced by a very large margin.
IF you consider China , then the situation is much less optimistic.
But the BMD system itself still functions to the best of its capacity.
But in all likely hood , it will be overwhelmed.
That is why The phase two of the BMD systems call for ew faster interceptors and more long range radars
Phase 2
Two new anti ballistic missiles that can intercept IRBM/ICBMs are being developed. These high speed missiles (AD-1 and AD-2) are being developed to intercept ballistic missiles with the range of 5000 km.The test trials of these two systems is expected to take place in 2011. The new missile will be similar to the THAAD missile deployed by the U.S.A. These missiles will have to travel at hypersonic speeds and will require radars with scan capability of over 1500 kilometers to successfully intercept the target.
Shaheen II MIRV capable
and Shaheen III which we wil test by 2010-11 will also hav MIRV
We shall have to see , i suppose.
Shaheen II does not have MIRV yet ,
Since deployment of the 2,500 km range Shaheen-II, a multiple independently targeted re-entry vehicle (MIRV) warhead system (which may be first fielded on the Shaheen-II) and the Shaheen-III missile with a range of 4,000-4,500 km are under development