India has 2600 Nuclear warheads- Harvard university

[Nilgiri]

For thermonuclear design, I doubt we have a working bomb. We certainly have a boosted bomb which will be three to four times heavier than a thermo nuclear bomb for identical yield.

Can make the Li-6 secondary as big or as small as you want during testing. The key thing tested in Pokhran II would be the energy transfer part between primary and secondary (so called interstage). For the claimed yield (45 - 60kt compared to assumed 20kt - 30kt primary), we have little idea if it was the result of a faulty interstage and/or secondary being reduced in size to begin with. Li-6 production has happened in India since the 80s:

https://books.google.ca/books?id=UDA9dUryS8EC&pg=PA427&lpg=PA427&dq=lithium+6+india&source=bl&ots=bOwjUdk3BJ&sig=mHYnscCKMI0hjqnFixS4NmQe_9U&hl=en&sa=X&ved=0ahUKEwjt0t2_ks7UAhVG7YMKHWEECFQQ6AEIKTAB#v=onepage&q=lithium 6 india&f=false

Worth reading that book in its entirety if you have the chance.

 

[ito]

You don't need Harvard or Stanford to tell what is the weapon grade fissile material that Indian has.

Take the nuclear reactors that India has and take Plutonium and Uranium reserves and imports, you can estimate the weapon grade fissile material in India's hand. I guess that is what Harvard has done.

 

[RoyalTigerHunter]

You don't need Harvard or Stanford to tell what is the weapon grade fissile material that Indian has.

Take the nuclear reactors that India has and take Plutonium and Uranium reserves and imports, you can estimate the weapon grade fissile material in India's hand. I guess that is what Harvard has done.

Oh well i have these nice tables with me which -- given the reactor type, power -- can predict how much Plutonium will be produced. Second step is reprocessing, which can also be bounded by the number of reprocessing plants and the technology used. So, yes even with these basic facts and tables anyone can come up with an estimate of fissile material India will have at her disposal.

 

[Nilgiri]

You don't need Harvard or Stanford to tell what is the weapon grade fissile material that Indian has.

Take the nuclear reactors that India has and take Plutonium and Uranium reserves and imports, you can estimate the weapon grade fissile material in India's hand. I guess that is what Harvard has done.

Harvard didn't even do that part lol. They have referenced the sources they have used. All this report did was add a "non separated RG Pu" component to try ruffle feathers concerning NSG (can look at the author background)....to get the accepted "push for numbers" potential from about 500 - 1000 warheads (listed in references and previous sources) to about 2500 warheads....because that number is of course X times scarier.

Their actual references have done these calculations for India since Pokhran II and even before that.

 

[HAIDER]

Oh my god!!! Do we really have so much. ???

yes you can add another zero ,,,,, lol.

 

[ito]

Harvard didn't even do that part lol. They have referenced the sources they have used. All this report did was add a "non separated RG Pu" component to try ruffle feathers concerning NSG (can look at the author background)....to get the accepted "push for numbers" potential from about 500 - 1000 warheads (listed in references and previous sources) to about 2500 warheads....because that number is of course X times scarier.

Their actual references have done these calculations for India since Pokhran II and even before that.

I was just saying it is not very hard to estimate weapon fissile material a country has. Most Pakistanis on this thread think that the numbers have been manipulated by India to create a fear among them regarding India's nuke capability.

 

[RoyalTigerHunter]

Can make the Li-6 secondary as big or as small as you want during testing. The key thing tested in Pokhran II would be the energy transfer part between primary and secondary (so called interstage). For the claimed yield (45 - 60kt compared to assumed 20kt - 30kt primary), we have little idea if it was the result of a faulty interstage and/or secondary being reduced in size to begin with. Li-6 production has happened in India since the 80s:


Worth reading that book in its entirety if you have the chance.

Well, leaving BARC and DRDO no one has radiological data from the test sites. All the monitoring stations have is the shockwave energy measure. Obviously, BARC or DRDO is not going to release radiological data to confirm the success or failure of device. That said, in the past no one has attempted to test a TN design which was this small so it increases the burden of proof even more.

I was just saying it is not very hard to estimate weapon fissile material a country has. Most Pakistanis on this thread think that the numbers have been manipulated by India to create a fear among them regarding India's nuke capability.

Problem is it is very hard to manipulate a 30 acre reactor complex visible from the space. Count them and you have a very basic estimate of reprocessable Pu-239 a country may have at its disposal.

 

[Tolkien]

Certainly nothing compared to the US government estimates

US government does not publicly release any estimates on nuke numbers.
And Harvard is just as credible as private think tank IISS if not more.

 

[t_for_talli]

China and Pakistan has a very big reason to worry. It is not because India is inching close to enter the NSG but because of its nuclear power. The report of Project Alpha released by King’s College London said that India’s present strategic trade will help it in increasing its power in nuclear weapons. They also said that India has secretly moved ahead of United Kingdom and France in the possession of arms and soon may dominate them in major international border issues.
A report named ‘Indian Nuclear Exceptionalism’ by the Harvard University Belfer Centre mentions that India has a fissile stock worth 2600 nuclear warheads. They also added that presently India is in the third position; Russia and United States are ahead of India. Previous year 4 Pakistani scholars had predicted India of having around 500 warheads.
http://postcard.news/india-2600-nuc...ard-university-china-pakistan-shocked-report/

Postcard news ...Ignored

 

[DJ_Viper]

US government does not publicly release any estimates on nuke numbers.
And Harvard is just as credible as private think tank IISS if not more.

US government often gives their estimates out. You can find them on cia.gov and various defense related sites. If this isn't the US government, I don't know who is

And Harvard has no credentials in nuke research. Your Indian lobbyists gave a bigger check to the wrong person. He should've done it to a proper institute that would've been credible. Unless these 2400 additional weapons came from the Vedic times, they don't exist as you don't have that much raw material and capability to make these many weapons in a few years!

 

[patman]

if India wanted a nuclear arms race it would be easily over 1000 , we had nuclear weapons since the 70 unlike pakistan who imported the tech in the late 90s .
India has enough nukes as it is, no need for unwanted attention

 

[El Sidd]

2600 from a foreign source would mean at least two times in reality.
A potential extremist society and a definite extremist govt. has so many nukes and Harvard chose to highlight that.
That is pretty interesting

 

[patman]

2600 from a foreign source would mean at least two times in reality.
A potential extremist society and a definite extremist govt. has so many nukes and Harvard chose to highlight that.
That is pretty interesting

which extremist government/society?

 

[El Sidd]

which extremist government/society?

Ask Harvard not me

 

[patman]

Ask Harvard not me

why are you putting words into harverds mouth?