Jungibaaz
RETIRED MOD
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- Jul 4, 2010
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I agree that PTI need a larger percentage to win seats due to FPTP vs. the equivalent requirement for parties like PPP and PML, but it's still a large lead in that poll. And please don't take that 29% at face value, lots of the shortfall is due to higher DK/Undecided category. It's still a 4% lead over the others, he could have a decent chance if the right cards fall into place ahead of the next election -- whenever that may be.PTI lead is spread all over four provinces. They have a better presence in KPK, Karachi and some pockets of Baluchistan as compared to PMLN. The battleground is Punjab where PMLN has gained its lost grounds in the martial belt of Potohar and the feudal belt of South Punjab.
They seem comfortable in forming the next govt with allies from PDM and PPP in the next elections.
PTI support range varied from 17% to 34 % and currently stands at 29% as per IPOR, not good enough to form the next Govt.
PTI is currently fighting for its life, with threats to its existence lurking around all corners. The month of JULY will be a very interesting one for the political history of Pakistan.