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ICG considers possibility of military coup in Bangladesh increasingly high

Officers get dismissed if they are found to be connected with any opposing political party,no matter how distantly.For the same reason they are sometimes forced to retire like mentioned.But having links with the party in power results in a larger chance of promotion.This has caused divisions in the military,with sections supporting AL,BNP,Jamat respectively.People who try to stay neutral are mistreated as well.
And recently there have been abductions and killings of officers as well.Few have been reported.

And the countries in a very bad position economically and politically,so a Coup seems very realistic to me.

All unfortunately valid.
 
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With big casualities, with big losses, with big damages, with big consequences. All these big things sets a civil wars apart from a riot. So i am saying it again the possibility of civil war is very low in bangladesh as bangladeshis do not want to fight(a civil war) unless its a matter of national security.

In reference to the violence in Myanmar Dipu Moni has stated that preventing the Rohingyas is a matter of our national security. So my question to you is if the government does or does not allow the Rohingyas to enter on grounds of national security could this spark a civil war? The implication of Jamaat in the Myanmar violence makes this an extremely serious issue that also involves national security so could this situation escalate to create civil war conditions?

Myanmar claims 'Jamaat link'

Dipu Moni tells JS

Staff Correspondent

The Myanmar government has conveyed its anxiety to the Bangladesh mission there that the Jamaat-e-Islami had been helping the Rohingya groups in Bangladesh with arms to incite sectarian clashes in Myanmar.

Foreign Minister Dipu Moni said this in a statement in parliament yesterday.

“For the sake of its national security, Bangladesh will not allow any more Rohingya in,” she said.

Referring to appeals from different human rights bodies and non-government organisations to allow the Rohingyas to enter Bangladesh, Dipu Moni said Dhaka was not a party to the 1951 Refugee Convention or its 1967 Protocol.

“Therefore, under no convention or protocol are we obliged to shelter the Rohingyas.

“Although we are not bound by any international laws, considering our experience of the 1971 [Liberation War], we have been sheltering the Rohingyas on humanitarian grounds," she told the House.

Remembering Bangladesh refugees taking shelter in India during the Liberation War, she said, “We have never forgotten it and that's why Bangladesh always extends its helping hands when such incidents take place.”

“In 1971, there was a war going on in Bangladesh. There was mass killing, looting and rape taking place…. We are grateful that the Indira Gandhi government and the people of India stood beside the Bangladesh refugees.”

But Myanmar's situation is not similar to that of Bangladesh in 1971, she added.

“The situation is not as if the Rohingya people have no place to go. We ourselves face many problems. We have allowed many Rohingyas to live in our country and we do not want to add to our problems by allowing more of them in.

“The country [Myanmar] is not forcing its citizens to leave the country. This is a sectarian clash in which the state is not involved. The Myanmar government is rather working to resolve the problem,” she added.

http://www.thedailystar.net/newDesign/news-details.php?nid=238432
 
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BNP should start a gono andolon to allow Rohingya refugee's in. These people would not flee and come to Bangladesh if their lives were not in danger.
 
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In reference to the violence in Myanmar Dipu Moni has stated that preventing the Rohingyas is a matter of our national security. So my question to you is if the government does or does not allow the Rohingyas to enter on grounds of national security could this spark a civil war? The implication of Jamaat in the Myanmar violence makes this an extremely serious issue that also involves national security so could this situation escalate to create civil war conditions?

Myanmar claims 'Jamaat link'

Dipu Moni tells JS

Staff Correspondent

The Myanmar government has conveyed its anxiety to the Bangladesh mission there that the Jamaat-e-Islami had been helping the Rohingya groups in Bangladesh with arms to incite sectarian clashes in Myanmar.

Foreign Minister Dipu Moni said this in a statement in parliament yesterday.

“For the sake of its national security, Bangladesh will not allow any more Rohingya in,” she said.

Referring to appeals from different human rights bodies and non-government organisations to allow the Rohingyas to enter Bangladesh, Dipu Moni said Dhaka was not a party to the 1951 Refugee Convention or its 1967 Protocol.

“Therefore, under no convention or protocol are we obliged to shelter the Rohingyas.

“Although we are not bound by any international laws, considering our experience of the 1971 [Liberation War], we have been sheltering the Rohingyas on humanitarian grounds," she told the House.

Remembering Bangladesh refugees taking shelter in India during the Liberation War, she said, “We have never forgotten it and that's why Bangladesh always extends its helping hands when such incidents take place.”

“In 1971, there was a war going on in Bangladesh. There was mass killing, looting and rape taking place…. We are grateful that the Indira Gandhi government and the people of India stood beside the Bangladesh refugees.”

But Myanmar's situation is not similar to that of Bangladesh in 1971, she added.

“The situation is not as if the Rohingya people have no place to go. We ourselves face many problems. We have allowed many Rohingyas to live in our country and we do not want to add to our problems by allowing more of them in.

“The country [Myanmar] is not forcing its citizens to leave the country. This is a sectarian clash in which the state is not involved. The Myanmar government is rather working to resolve the problem,” she added.

http://www.thedailystar.net/newDesign/news-details.php?nid=238432

No it cant spark a civil war. Preventing them from entering our country solve the problem of national security already. Furthermore myanmar claimed many things, and claiming jamat being involved in this is only trying to justify their killing o rohinyas
 
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Officers get dismissed if they are found to be connected with any opposing political party,no matter how distantly.For the same reason they are sometimes forced to retire like mentioned.But having links with the party in power results in a larger chance of promotion.This has caused divisions in the military,with sections supporting AL,BNP,Jamat respectively.People who try to stay neutral are mistreated as well.
And recently there have been abductions and killings of officers as well.Few have been reported.

And the countries in a very bad position economically and politically,so a Coup seems very realistic to me.

This is the striking part no coup is possible as things are being handled ruthlessly. It's good to know you (or some people) know about the abductions and killings of officers, there are something very bad happening not to be discussed on a forum.

BTW, there's another reason coup is unlikely, that is SSF one very organized professional elite troop. After the initiation of SSF no coup has taken place yet. Any coup plotting to have success will have to face them first, to my knowledge most members of it are honest and brave heart (not aware of current state though).

BNP should start a gono andolon to allow Rohingya refugee's in. These people would not flee and come to Bangladesh if their lives were not in danger.
bal/bnp do party politics for the sake of one or some party people, they organize gono andolon only to ascend on throne.
 
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In reference to the violence in Myanmar Dipu Moni has stated that preventing the Rohingyas is a matter of our national security. So my question to you is if the government does or does not allow the Rohingyas to enter on grounds of national security could this spark a civil war? The implication of Jamaat in the Myanmar violence makes this an extremely serious issue that also involves national security so could this situation escalate to create civil war conditions?

She's just using it as a political tool. That woman has absolutely no principles.

And it doesn't at all help explain a possible civil war. If there'd be any, it'll be with sticks and stones.
 
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She's just using it as a political tool. That woman has absolutely no principles.

And it doesn't at all help explain a possible civil war. If there'd be any, it'll be with sticks and stones.

Civil war will come if there is no CTG I think, but the Rohingya issue will not be the cause of it.
 
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BTW, there's another reason coup is unlikely, that is SSF one very organized professional elite troop. After the initiation of SSF no coup has taken place yet. Any coup plotting to have success will have to face them first, to my knowledge most members of it are honest and brave heart (not aware of current state though).

As far as ive heard SSF is a very loyal force.And yes the ones recruited are very honest and brave.But they are also blind to whats going on.
If a coup is attempted any time soon,not by divided groups with stupid aims like the last one(the extremist Islamic group),but by a more united group from the army,id say the SSF wont be able to do much,and they wont get the best of treatment either for their blind loyalty.

And to be honest id actually support a coup.

In reference to the violence in Myanmar Dipu Moni has stated that preventing the Rohingyas is a matter of our national security. So my question to you is if the government does or does not allow the Rohingyas to enter on grounds of national security could this spark a civil war? The implication of Jamaat in the Myanmar violence makes this an extremely serious issue that also involves national security so could this situation escalate to create civil war conditions?

I dont see why Bangladesh would descend into civil war if the govt. doesnt allow the Rohingyas in.And if they let them in i dont think that would make a difference either.If there is a chance of civil war,id say it would be because of political reasons.
 
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I dont see why Bangladesh would descend into civil war if the govt. doesnt allow the Rohingyas in.And if they let them in i dont think that would make a difference either.If there is a chance of civil war,id say it would be because of political reasons.

I don't think the Rohingya issue will spark a civil war either but since Avishek suggested national security could ignite an internal conflict I raised the point.

What is missing for a civil war is the ideological motivation.
 
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Bangladeshis really want a civil war it seems.
 
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