Joe Shearer
PROFESSIONAL
- Joined
- Apr 19, 2009
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Well..never mind. i wouldn't wanna play with your feelings just because of my theory without any evidence. : )
No, that's all right, you have a right to ask.
There are direct sources and there are indirect sources for corroboration of this statement.
As far as direct sources, it is in the parliamentary record already that all R&W operations were withdrawn or stopped; it is also on record that no further operations have been sanctioned.
How valuable is this? Very valuable; R&W does not operate in a semi-independent manner, it is under the direct supervision of a very high-level bureau itself, and there are no intermediaries to give it a different mission within a mission. Once these orders go out, budgets - even secret budgets - are set accordingly. There is obviously little or no scope for transferring tightly-controlled funds out of a given operation into another which does not officially exist, without a great deal of damage being done to the first, and showing up on scrutiny (there is no audit for such expenditure, only senior level, parallel body scrutiny).
Other direct sources cannot be placed on record and I am deliberately avoiding making any statements which depend wholly on such evidence.
Indirect sources abound: the inventory of officers assigned and their present assignments, within and without the country (the vast bulk of officers is from one service and one only); the increasing dependence on aerial reconnaissance and survey; the increasing dependence on electronic surveillance.
Over the last five years, leads to MHA have been more than in the very high nineties as a percentage from electronic surveillance. The balance has been from disaffected or defecting individuals, mostly individuals in some trouble of their own.
One last and very major source of information for possible enemy activity in specified areas within India is from interrogation of criminals.
An explanation may be useful here; it is seemingly the policy of the present government that the primary purpose of intelligence and covert operations is the securing of Indian citizens and urban centres, strategic locations and defence establishments from external terrorist or intelligence operations. I have no proof of this, but it is my surmise, unlike other information presented.
There is considerable concern about the instructions and the mandate, and other sections of opinion abound, both within the government and in political circles without. Political pressure, in particular, is reported to be very, very intense at the moment. While this pressure has been reported by insiders, there is no way of gauging the nature and the extent of this, from outside.
As of now, this is the writ that prevails, to the extent that an informed outsider can track it. And it is due to these reasons that I have so confidently asserted what I have, within the very, very specific scope of what I have defined and asserted.