How to Prevent a War in Asia The Erosion of American Deterrence Raises the Risk of Chinese Miscalculation

[Hamartia Antidote]

Something is going on

yes, worst interpretation of an article.

 

[The Accountant]

Big conventional battles can be over in a span of some days. In fact, a nuclear war can be over in a span of hours.

These battles are different from maintaining occupations through the years.

Gone are the days of long drawn out battles in conventional format of warfare unless the belligerents are lacking in sophisticated weapon systems and strategy.

You are absokutely wrong here. Jist look at afghan war. 19 years and still no result

 

[LeGenD]

You are absokutely wrong here. Jist look at afghan war. 19 years and still no result

Afghanistan = WAR for maintaining occupation and having a say in Afghan Politics for as long as feasible. This kind of WAR can drag on for years and Afghan Taliban conform to asymmetric methods of warfare. This is not a standing army with country-wide expensive infrastructure and supply lines to work with - a clearly identifiable force which can be dealt with in a span of some days.

How can you draw parallels between a hypothetical high-stakes conventional maritime clash and WAR in Afghanistan?

The Battle of Midway - one of the biggest and most significant naval clashes of World War II - lasted 3 days.

PLAN is not like Afghan Taliban who have the luxury to commit to hit-and-run tactics and then melt away to blend among the masses, flee, and/or hide in caves. PLAN is a massive (visible) conventional military force which will be directed to engage USN head on (should the need arise). The outcome of resultant maritime clashes will be decided in a span of some days. This is assuming that both USA and China are willing to fight a WAR on a much wider scale across the Pacific.

WAR = a series of battles shaping its course over a period of time. How long one will last is contingent upon objectives set and types of weapons used.

 

[The Accountant]

Afghanistan = WAR for maintaining occupation and having a say in Afghan Politics for as long as feasible. This kind of WAR can drag on for years and Afghan Taliban conform to asymmetric methods of warfare. This is not a standing army with country-wide expensive infrastructure and supply lines to work with - a clearly identifiable force which can be dealt with in a span of some days.

How can you draw parallels between a hypothetical high-stakes conventional maritime clash and WAR in Afghanistan?

The Battle of Midway - one of the biggest and most significant naval clashes of World War II - lasted 3 days.

PLAN is not like Afghan Taliban who have the luxury to commit to hit-and-run tactics and then melt away to blend among the masses, flee, and/or hide in caves. PLAN is a massive (visible) conventional military force which will be directed to engage USN head on (should the need arise). The outcome of resultant maritime clashes will be decided in a span of some days. This is assuming that both USA and China are willing to fight a WAR on a much wider scale across the Pacific.

WAR = a series of battles shaping its course over a period of time. How long one will last is contingent upon objectives set and types of weapons used.

Brother outcome of a battle can be decided in a few days, I agree but outcome of a war cant be decided in a few days. In a war between countries as powerful as CHina and USA, no one can make decision based on battle. Do you think USA will attack even a single ship without considering the retaliation from China from air, missiles and ground? Furthermore, comparing world war 2 battles with the current battle is not correct.

In world war 2 information exchange was almost impossible from one battle field to others. So in case of even a plan attack from one battle field help will arrive from other theatres within a matter of minutes. Furthermore, you are forgetting that we are discussing south China Sea which means the density of attack aircrafts of allied force will be much lesser than of China and all the possible attack bases (China, south korea, India, Taiwa, CBG and even Europe are already in firing range of Chinese missiles. China has a three layer based air defense systems as well. So it is really difficult to take on against entire Chinese Fleet specially in presence of atleast 60 highly capable submarines as well.