How Sanctions can make Iran stronger !!!!

[SubWater]

First of all I suggest everybody read bellow BOOK
http://www.***.com/file/hk27799bxo135jp/The_Art_of_Sanctions-irpublicpolicy.pdf/file

Above book written by Richard Nephew, influential guy in Iran sanctions.

First, big part of sanctions are psychological, So both of Iran policy makers and people must be ready to not affect from American psychological wars and if sanctions become habit for Iranian the effect of sanction would fail.

I bring one example from book(p103) to show how American policy makers failed to achieve their goals and how sanctions can help Iran to be more independent from world.

Iran offers another real-life illustration of this hypothetical. In 2009–2010, the conventional wisdom in Washington was that the imposition of sanctions on Iran’s import of gasoline and other petroleum products would bring the Iranian government to its knees. Then-representative of Illinois Mark Kirk (a vocal proponent of sanctions against Iran) argued in 2010 that a gasoline quarantine would have such dire consequences that it would force Iran to concede on its nuclear program and other illicit activities.2 A sanction on Iran’s import of gasoline was duly included in CISADA, which—as outlined in the preceding chapter—became law in July 2010. What happened? Rather than Iran collapsing or immediately conceding on any of these various illicit activities, the country instead applied itself to a combination of smuggling and transformation of its existing petrochemical plants for gasoline production to meet its domestic needs. The result has been gasoline that observers have blamed for the increase in environmental pollution in Iran. Still, Iran has managed to keep cars on the road. The failure in this example was not that of sanctions enforcement per se: Iranian importation of gasoline duly dropped from an annual average of 132,100 barrels per day in 2009 to 39,600 barrels per day in 2011.3 Rather, the failure was in not appreciating the importance that Iran would place on keeping cars on the road and its ability to undertake unconventional means to solve the problems created by sanctions. In other words, Iran felt the pain being inflicted via a gasoline ban as manageable rather than a knock-out blow. For the ban’s proponents, the failure of this strategy was taken as a sign of Iranian stubbornness (which, to some extent, is probably right) and—worse—ill intent in terms of the nuclear program. But even when concluding that more sanctions pressure was needed, it is important to consider that the failure of the gasoline ban might not have stemmed from Iranian intransigence but instead from the selection of pain its recipient— in the end—was able to reject. The intention behind both rejection and resistance is to deflect the impact on target decision making. While the pain may still exist, its psychological impact may therefore be neutered. Resolve is, after all, a function of complex psychological and physically tangible variable interactions. It results from estimates of one’s own tolerance for pain in the future, the likelihood of increasing pain, the coherence of that pain, and its intensity. With strategies to protect resolve, those targeted by sanctions both up the ante with their adversaries and reinforce their own positions

And now in 2018, Iran is self sufficient in Benzine production.
In recent years Iran built and localized Refinery building such as : Persian gulf star Refinery, the biggest in its kind in world with production of high quality Benzine.
http://www.tehrantimes.com/news/425889/Persian-Gulf-Star-Refinery-s-daily-output-hits-26m-liters

 

[SubWater]

please write mediafire instead of three star in the book link

 

[Indus Pakistan]

No they can't. Being cut off from the world economy or having to be weiged down by a heavy fine when dealing with the world economy does not make you stronger. It just penalizes you.

 

[war&peace]

Iran has to clear the dust of doubt around it and establish good relations with its neighbours that's the only way Iran can get away even from US sanctions.

 

[SubWater]

Iran has to clear the dust of doubt around it and establish good relations with its neighbours that's the only way Iran can get away even from US sanctions.

We always wanted to have good relation with our neighbors. We are historically, linguistically near to our neighbors and have similar Racial and culture with them.
That is Amerika and west and East who create problems among us.

 

[war&peace]

We always wanted to have good relation with our neighbors. We are historically, linguistically near to our neighbors and have similar Racial and culture with them.
That is Amerika and west and East who create problems among us.

For example if Pakistan and Iran can trade in local currencies without involving dollar. Both countries have a long border and similarly you should try with central Asian states, Iraq, Turkey and China. All of these countries are victim of US trade wars and sanctions so it is a good time to cooperate with them.

Arab-Iran have a bad history so it won't get fixed any time soon but if Iran manages good relations with aforementioned countries, a lot of adverse effects of the sanctions can be neutralised. Then keep EU in a loop as well.

However to get closer to Pakistan, Iran may need to distance itself from India to some extent at least on strategic and military levels.

 

[SubWater]

For example if Pakistan and Iran can trade in local currencies without involving dollar. Both countries have a long border and similarly you should try with central Asian states, Iraq, Turkey and China. All of these countries are victim of US trade wars and sanctions so it is a good time to cooperate with them.

That is right, I wonder why Pakistan is not interested to import oil and gas from Iran. at end you need energy consumption to advance just see how much energy advanced countries like US and China use.
Iran can give you guys unlimited amount of energy and in response you can give Iran agricultural products.

Arab-Iran have a bad history so it won't get fixed any time soon but if Iran manages good relations with aforementioned countries, a lot of adverse effects of the sanctions can be neutralised.

That is not right, Our problems with Arabs is because of US. Just see independent Arab countries are good with Iran but west Arab puppets are enemy with Iran.

Then keep EU in a loop as well.

EU is not trustworthy partner. at end they are another US puppet.

However to get closer to Pakistan, Iran may need to distance itself from India to some extent at least on strategic and military levels.

we do not have any strategic or military cooperation with India. we only do business with them But you have military cooperation with Saudis and that is strategical while that does not worried us b/c you are independent country and we trust you guys.

 

[war&peace]

hat is right, I wonder why Pakistan is not interested to import oil and gas from Iran. at end you need energy consumption to advance just see how much energy advanced countries like US and China use.
Iran can give you guys unlimited amount of energy and in response you can give Iran agricultural products.

Previous administrations in Islamabad were biased and influenced by certain lobbies and countries for a plethora of reasons. However now for the first time after 70's we have our representative govt. We really want good relations with Iran and also other countries. We will keep our relations with KSA as well but those should not affect our relations with Iran whatsoever. Iran is our neighbour and we should trade all sorts of stuff with it.

 

[WinterNights]

Iran's biggest problem relating to sanctions was not the sanctions themselves but rather the mismanagement inside the country in dealing with them. If Iran develops the correct management, not only could it neutralise the sanctions, but it could grow. The American's made a huge miscalculations, they thought they can bully everyone else into not doing business with Iran indefinitely, but the unattended consequence will be the end of their fiat currency as the worlds currency. Using the dollar as a weapon will naturally mean nations will neutralise that threat.

 

[Clutch]

No they don't .moderate day sanctions are what in ancient times when invading armies surrounded and laid siege to a city and blockaged it.

Its meant to suffocate. No country can survive isolation. Because no country is 100% self dependent economically.

Fact. Mullahism is destroying Iran.

 

[Aramagedon]

Fact. Mullahism is destroying Iran.

Western imperialism is destroying Iran.

 

[Yongpeng Sun-Tastaufen]

No they can't. Being cut off from the world economy or having to be weiged down by a heavy fine when dealing with the world economy does not make you stronger. It just penalizes you.

Enemies of Iran will never trade with Iran anyway. Friends of Iran will continue to trade with Iran regardless of western sanctions. These sanctions make it clear who are friends of Iran, who are enemies of Iran.

 

[Clutch]

Western imperialism is destroying Iran.

Nope... Mullahism. Iran during the 1980s and 1990s had a free pass from the west. It's wasn't till the 2000s that the country faced increased scrutiny from the west.

Iran was a basket case during the 1980s and 1990s as well.

 

[Yongpeng Sun-Tastaufen]

It was Iran that made enemy with America. Iran cancelled F-14 order right after the 1979 revolution and detained US embassy personnel. Who is the aggressor? It is Iran, not America. If Iranians wish to live in hate. That's their choice. But just remember, love trumps hate. Everywhere.

 

[Aramagedon]

Nope... Mullahism. Iran during the 1980s and 1990s had a free pass from the west. It's wasn't till the 2000s that the country faced increased scrutiny from the west.

Iran was a basket case during the 1980s and 1990s as well.

Being puppet of a foreign country through a puppet king isn't something that Iranians be proud of.

That's why after fall of monarchy 98% of Iranians voted to IR.

West has many double standards.

For example it recognize the Zionist occupitaion of Palestine, bombing of Yemen for three years, making coups and wars/civil wars in other countries, etc. but it doesn't tolerate sovereign countries with independent foreign policies.

Iran, Pakistan, China, Libya, Syria, Venezula, Brazil, Bolivia, etc... are some examples.

They have tested all kinds of wars against Iran but they completely defeated. I'm sure in this economic warfare they will get defeated too if we don't lack suitable managment in our country.

Plus, during shah era we completely imported everyrhing and were completely dependent on west. But now we produce tens of products which has made west too angry.

And I really dislike ahmadinejad but I've missed his days when we were booming in everything.

This rouhani idiot came with "85% defence budget cut" and suspension of space program and many other programs to cheer west but west even did not sell one boeing to us.

https://defence.pk/pdf/threads/made-in-iran.156164


My english is sloppy.