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Fudging the population: The missing 90 million Indian Muslims

Zarvan

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Indian muslims offer Jummat-ul-Vida, the last congregational Friday prayers in the holy month of Ramadan at Jama Masjid in New Delhi. PHOTO: AFP

There is one thing about Indian Muslims that just can’t be denied – most of them are poor. They don’t earn enough to be able to go on vacations to other countries. Most of them wish to go for Hajj to Saudi Arabia, and this they are able to do only when they are very old; having struggled to save over many years for the journey.

Of course, there are rich and literate Indian Muslims whom one occasionally meets (mostly in the UAE and Saudi Arabia), and when you talk to them, they are adamant that the population of Indian Muslims is much more than that declared by their government. I have heard this many a times from the few educated Indian Muslims I have come across during my trips to foreign countries.

However, Hindutva extremists fear that Indian Muslims are growing exponentially and India will soon become a Muslim-majority state. This is because, according to the past seven Indian censuses (1951 to 2011), Muslims have grown from 11.66% to 14.23% of the total Indian population. What they don’t know is that their governments have tried to keep Hindutva extremists calm by deliberately suppressing the actual number of Indian Muslims. I mean, if virulent Hindutva extremists are terrified by just a 2.75% increase in the Muslim population in 60 years, they will definitely come out on the streets and kill all Muslims in sight if told that the number of Indian Muslims is actually around 22% of the total population.


So I have done a lot of research over the past few months and I can easily prove that fudging has taken place when recording the number of Muslims in India. I shall try to explain as simply as possible.

Let us start with the Indian census of 1941, six years before the British left the sub-continent. According to the Hindutva extremist Jana Sangh’s website, in 1941, the number of Muslims in undivided India was 94.4 million, half of whom lived in what later became Pakistan (including Bangladesh). The 47 million Muslims of Pakistan and Bangladesh had grown to about 326 million in 2011, while the 47 million Muslims in India had grown to only 172.2 million in the same year. This is a big difference of 153.8 million. However, we have to take into consideration the migration of Muslims from India to Pakistan and Bangladesh immediately after Partition.

According to Indian census data, the population of Indian Muslims grew by 33% between 1951 and 1961. If we assume that the population grew at the same rate between 1941 and 1951, the Muslim population in India in 1951 would have been 62.5 million. The exact number of Muslims who left India to settle in Pakistan and Bangladesh after Partition is unknown, but is estimated to be between six and eight million. If we assume that seven million Muslims left India after Partition, and that another million Muslims died in the Bengal famine of 1943, the Indian Muslim population in 1951 would have been about 54 million, instead of 35 million as recorded in the 1951 census.

Again, according to Indian census data, the Indian Muslim population grew by about 386% in 60 years from 1951 to 2011. If the population had been recorded at 54 million in 1951, it would and should have been about 262 million today (assuming that it grew by 386%, as per India’s data itself). Since the 2011 census reported the number of Indian Muslims as 172 million, there are at least 90 million Indian Muslims who have not been registered by the Indian authorities. This means that in 2011, there were at least 22 Muslims out of every 100 Indians.

So the question then arises, why don’t Indian Muslims speak up? One reason could be that they are too busy struggling desperately to survive, and don’t care whether they are registered or not, since they know that they will always remain the underdogs in a country which is rapidly heading towards Hindutva Talibanisation. Then of course, there is the Indian government itself, which wants to ensure that India remains a Hindu-majority country. They fear that once a state has more Muslims than others, that state could demand independence. Already West Bengal, Assam and Kerala have more than 25 % of Muslim population, while Uttar Pradesh (UP) and Bihar have a significant Muslim population.

But Hindutva extremists should ask themselves why Muslims are growing so rapidly, while Hindus are declining in India. Perhaps a high protein diet (including beef) increases fertility?

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Shakir Lakhani
Engineer, former visiting lecturer at NED Engineering College, industrialist, associated with petroleum/chemical industries for many years. Loves writing, and (in the opinion of most of those who know him), mentally unbalanced. He tweets @shakirlakhani (twitter.com/shakirlakhani)



https://blogs.tribune.com.pk/story/...lation-the-missing-90-million-indian-muslims/
 
Who is this new toilet writer hired by Tribune recently!?Struggling to survive with this high growth rate?

I suggest, @Zarvan, instead of fantasising about the greater virility of beef-eaters, you read up on the differential birth-rates caused by differences in living standards and levels of poverty. Even a simpleton can explain the greater birth-rate of the Muslim population, not by citing multiple marriages and the indulgence of the Muslim Indian male in sex to the exclusion of all other entertainment, as the orange bhakt does, not by citing the greater virility of beef-fed members of a feeble, half-starved population, as this green bhakt does, but by an understanding of that factor alone, the higher birth-rate of the poor, and the drop in this birth-rate on the improvement of living conditions and living standards.
 
but by an understanding of that factor alone, the higher birth-rate of the poor, and the drop in this birth-rate on the improvement of living conditions and living standards.[/USER]
They are underdeveloped cause they chose to be.
They enjoy more amount of social concession than any other religion.
 
Yes. It is wrong to be against any particular religion. It is not wrong, and 90% will disagree with me, to be against ALL religion.

I am not as learned as you but my little mind understands this. There is no point frothing on Christianity today. Only regions worth worth insulting today are Islam and Hinduism.
 
I am not as learned as you but my little mind understands this. There is no point frothing on Christianity today. Only regions worth worth insulting today are Islam and Hinduism.

I don't agree. All religions are deceptions of the people.

thanda hou vai
:rofl::rofl::rofl:

Na, dada, ei shob shojjo korte nai.

thanda hou vai
:rofl::rofl::rofl:

BTW, I confidently expect to see the population growth slow down remarkably in Bangladesh with increasing prosperity.
 
BTW, I confidently expect to see the population growth slow down remarkably in Bangladesh with increasing prosperity.
3.trends are going on in BD now.
1. Happy to have 2 kids.
2. Become happy to have girl.
3. Some ppl are happy to just have 1 kid, be it boy or girl.
 
As of 2015
Capturebirth.PNG

according to research, a nation need at 2.2% fertile rate to maintain the growth of the population, so Bangladeshi population is actually in decline mode.
more precisously
A loosely defined goal of Zero Population Growth is to match the replacement fertility rate, which is the average number of children per woman which would hold the population constant. This replacement fertility will depend on mortality rates and the sex ratio at birth, and varies from around 2.1 in developed countries to over 3.0 in some developing countries.
 

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