Vergennes
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I think if Germany and France are on board then it will pass. Smaller countries will not be able to hold out over the intense pressure being put on them by the larger countries.
People thought that France was supporting it due to self-interest but looks like it will not be a net beneficiary after-all.
Tough negociations ahead..... you will need the agreement of the 27 for the plan to go ahead.... Many disagreements about the ratio of grants and loans + the "richest" paying for the "others".
BTW an interesting map ;
Impact of the crisis on gdp growth in Europe,excluding political measures.