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Enough with democracy, welcome martial law?

A Brief History of Pakistani Economy 1947-2010


Pakistani economy grew at a fairly impressive rate of 6 percent per year through the first four decades of the nation's existence. In spite of rapid population growth during this period, per capita incomes doubled, inflation remained low and poverty declined from 46% down to 18% by late 1980s, according to eminent Pakistani economist Dr. Ishrat Husain. This healthy economic performance was maintained through several wars and successive civilian and military governments in 1950s, 60s, 70s and 80s until the decade of 1990s, now appropriately remembered as the lost decade.

In the 1990s, economic growth plummeted to between 3% and 4%, poverty rose to 33%, inflation was in double digits and the foreign debt mounted to nearly the entire GDP of Pakistan as the governments of Benazir Bhutto (PPP) and Nawaz Sharif (PML) played musical chairs. Before Sharif was ousted in 1999, the two parties had presided over a decade of corruption and mismanagement. In 1999 Pakistan’s total public debt as percentage of GDP was the highest in South Asia – 99.3 percent of its GDP and 629 percent of its revenue receipts, compared to Sri Lanka (91.1% & 528.3% respectively in 1998) and India (47.2% & 384.9% respectively in 1998). Internal Debt of Pakistan in 1999 was 45.6 per cent of GDP and 289.1 per cent of its revenue receipts, as compared to Sri Lanka (45.7% & 264.8% respectively in 1998) and India (44.0% & 358.4% respectively in 1998).

After a relatively peaceful but economically stagnant decade of the 1990s, the year 1999 brought a bloodless coup led by General Pervez Musharraf, ushering in an era of accelerated economic growth that led to more than doubling of the national GDP, and dramatic expansion in Pakistan's urban middle class.
Pakistan became one of the four fastest growing economies in the Asian region during 2000-07 with its growth averaging 7.0 per cent per year for most of this period. As a result of strong economic growth, Pakistan succeeded in reducing poverty by one-half, creating almost 13 million jobs, halving the country's debt burden, raising foreign exchange reserves to a comfortable position and propping the country's exchange rate, restoring investors' confidence and most importantly, taking Pakistan out of the IMF Program.

The above facts were acknowledged by the current PPP government in a Memorandum of Economic and Financial Policies (MEFP) for 2008/09-2009/10, while signing agreement with the IMF on November 20, 2008. The document clearly (but grudgingly) acknowledged that "Pakistan's economy witnessed a major economic transformation in the last decade. The country's real GDP increased from $60 billion to $170 billion, with per capita income rising from under $500 to over $1000 during 2000-07". It further acknowledged that "the volume of international trade increased from $20 billion to nearly $60 billion. The improved macroeconomic performance enabled Pakistan to re-enter the international capital markets in the mid-2000s. Large capital inflows financed the current account deficit and contributed to an increase in gross official reserves to $14.3 billion at end-June 2007. Buoyant output growth, low inflation, and the government's social policies contributed to a reduction in poverty and improvement in many social indicators". (see MEFP, November 20, 2008, Para 1)

The decade also cast a huge shadow of the US "war on terror" on Pakistan, eventually turning the nation into a frontline state in the increasingly deadly conflict that shows no signs of abating. Along with the blood and gore and chaos on the streets, there are hopeful signs that rule of law and accountability is beginning to prevail in the country with the restoration of representative democracy and independent judiciary, largely in response to an increasingly assertive urban middle class, vibrant mass media and growing civil society.
The Zardari-Gilani government inherited a relatively sound economy on March 31, 2008. It inherited foreign exchange reserves of $13.3 billion, exchange rate at Rs62.76 per US dollar, the KSE index at 15,125 with market capitalization at $74 billion, inflation at 20.6 per cent and the country's debt burden on a declining path. The government itself acknowledged in the same document that "the macroeconomic situation deteriorated significantly in 2007/08 and the first four months of 2008/09 owing to adverse security developments, large exogenous price shocks (oil and food), global financial turmoil, and policy inaction during the political transition to the new government". (Para 3 of the MEFP, November 20, 2008.

Why is it that Pakistani economy has done well under military governments and performed poorly when led by politicians? To put it all in perspective, let's recall how late Dr. Mahbub ul-Haq, the renowned Pakistani economist who is credited with the idea of UNDP's human development index (HDI), explained the corrosive impact of political patronage on economic policy in Pakistan.

In a 10/12/1988 interview with Professor Anatol Lieven of King's College and quoted in a recent book "Pakistan-A Hard Country", here is what Dr. Haq said:

"..every time a new political government comes in they have to distribute huge amounts of state money and jobs as rewards to politicians who have supported them, and short term populist measures to try to convince the people that their election promises meant something, which leaves nothing for long-term development. As far as development is concerned, our system has all the worst features of oligarchy and democracy put together.

That is why only technocratic, non-political governments in Pakistan have ever been able to increase revenues. But they can not stay in power for long because they have no political support...For the same reason we have not been able to deregulate the economy as much as I wanted, despite seven years of trying, because the politicians and officials both like the system Bhutto (Late Prime Minister Zulfikar Ali Bhutto) put in place. It suits them both very well, because it gave them lots of lucrative state-sponsored jobs in industry and banking to take for themselves or distribute to their relatives and supporters."

Go to hell, democrazy in pakistan!


Come to pakistan, & live in pakistan, thn you will know why its, called democrazy! In pakistan.
This could make anyone CRY!
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secondly Language plays the most important role- as long as English is our language of ideas- it will have its impact or better to add Persian/Arabic as must learn language. so that we are a better and moderate fusion of the two civilizations...
I've heard a million pakistanis cry and moan that. I'd raher die than have that. No compulsion.
The tortures i have gone through are undescribable, i''d never want the future genrations to see the same
 
Chaos in PA after Seemal Kamran stopped to enter

Thursday, June 21, 2012 3:12:07 PM
Staff Report
Welcome to CNBC Pakistan

LAHORE: The Punjab Assembly (PA) session witnessed chaos and pandemonium on the third consecutive day as Seemal Kamran, an MPA from the opposition Pakistan Muslim League-Quaid (PML-Q) fell unconscious after a four-hour long protest after she was barred from entering the assembly on Thursday.

Opposition and government members were seen slapping and grabbing each other’s collars during the assembly session.
Seemal Kamran was stopped from entering the assembly building in the aftermath of throwing a shoe at Unification Bloc leader Sheikh Alauddin, who had passed vulgar remarks against women MPAs in the opposition.

Opposition leader Raja Riaz blamed the speaker for being non neutral.
Samina Khawar of PML-Q wanted to speak in favor of Kamran but PML-N members confronted her resulting in slapping and fighting between the female members.
Speaker tried to calm down the situation but his efforts went in vain.
In this way, the budget Bill of 2012-13 was passed during the chaos. CNBC

No we Don't want , this democracy!

Protests against power outages in Gujranwala, Hyderabad, Charsada
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Thursday, June 21, 2012 3:42:07 PM
Staff Report
www.cnbcpakistan.com

GUJRANWALA: Citizens of Gujranwala, Hyderabad, Charsada and other cities staged violent protests against long power outages on Thursday.


The citizens of Gujranwala staged the protest on the fifth consecutive day and damaged the gird station at Pasror Road.


Some of the protesters burnt tyres at G. T Road and threw stones on vehicles.


In Hyderabad, same kinds of protests were staged where the protesters broke things of HESCO office. The protesters said that there was no power supply in Latifabad No 10 and 12 from last two days.


In Charsada, the protesters also stopped the vehicle of Provincial Minister Barrister Arshad Abdullah during the protest. CNBC

We don't want this democrazy, where our politicians are. Fighting in our democrazly elected parliments, while our poors were dying for electricity?
Shame on this democrazy, & to the peoples who support it!
 
Chaos in PA after Seemal Kamran stopped to enter

Thursday, June 21, 2012 3:12:07 PM
Staff Report
Welcome to CNBC Pakistan

LAHORE: The Punjab Assembly (PA) session witnessed chaos and pandemonium on the third consecutive day as Seemal Kamran, an MPA from the opposition Pakistan Muslim League-Quaid (PML-Q) fell unconscious after a four-hour long protest after she was barred from entering the assembly on Thursday.

Opposition and government members were seen slapping and grabbing each other’s collars during the assembly session.
Seemal Kamran was stopped from entering the assembly building in the aftermath of throwing a shoe at Unification Bloc leader Sheikh Alauddin, who had passed vulgar remarks against women MPAs in the opposition.

Opposition leader Raja Riaz blamed the speaker for being non neutral.
Samina Khawar of PML-Q wanted to speak in favor of Kamran but PML-N members confronted her resulting in slapping and fighting between the female members.
Speaker tried to calm down the situation but his efforts went in vain.
In this way, the budget Bill of 2012-13 was passed during the chaos. CNBC

No we Don't want , this democracy!
Yes you want crazy generals to go to war with India just to teach them a lesson.. WOW!
 
I would really like to see a survey done in Pakistan regarding which system of governance they want . I won't be surprised if most say martial law , although Pakistan would be one of the few countries to prefer Military rule over democracy .

actually our martial laws were more democratic than democracy. most Pakistani like martial law, although it has its own problems but historically people were better off in martial law. problem comes when our generals start to make foreigners happy since they know their rule is illegal they go to far in pleasing foreign countries (US and Saudia)

Q: What is the opposite of 'arab spring'.
A: Pakistani fall.

yes on top of india, your right place is always under pakistan.
i have never seen even pakistanis obsessed with pakistan as much as you people. I first thought it was only indian woman but i was wrong. what it is?? bad boy attraction?
 
Yes, agreed these things might happen.

These criminals have to stand for election every now and then so there is a option for people to challenge them if not the hearing and all. In your above statement I did not bring this up but there is enough instances in India where the same thing has happened, it used to happen quite frequently before.. Now it is changing, it took its time but it is changing.. so that is how democracy grows..

In a dictatorship everything gets by the whims of the people in power, they are simply not accountable to anyone. How can that be when they are not god? Running a Govt is not a religion where being accountable to GOD is sufficient, they should be accountable to the people of the country.
First of all , Non of our politician is capable to manage our country according to our conditions, all most all of them are corrupt and for hiding their previous sins they do more blunders. they only care about theirselves don't have any sympathy for our country that cuz of them where we are now. How can you expect to be accountable to his peoples when his shoulders have burden of numerous sins. look how they are neglecting every order of Supreme court. They control our country with the help of local criminals, They support corruption, they don't have skills , How can you expect better from them.
 
First of all , Non of our politician is capable to manage our country according to our conditions, all most all of them are corrupt and for hiding their previous sins they do more blunders. they only care about theirselves don't have any sympathy for our country that cuz of them where we are now. How can you expect to be accountable to his peoples when his shoulders have burden of numerous sins. look how they are neglecting every order of Supreme court. They control our country with the help of local criminals, They support corruption, they don't have skills , How can you expect better from them.
you simply choose better guys, why vote in a despotic way..
 
Yes you want crazy generals to go to war with India just to teach them a lesson.. WOW!
We want peace with india, with respect & friendship & meaningfull dialoge on kashmir, don't be affraid from our genrls, they are better thn our politicians.
 
I've heard a million pakistanis cry and moan that. I'd raher die than have that. No compulsion.
The tortures i have gone through are undescribable, i''d never want the future genrations to see the same
I can understand, I'm also survived by such an attack, No one can understand that cold feeling when you're left wounded but no one is there to help. that past era was better then this criminal era , these politicians have converted our country into hell hole. That attack have changed my whole point of view.
 
We want peace with india, with respect & friendship & meaningfull dialoge on kashmir, don't be affraid from our genrls, they are better thn our politicians.
We are not afraid of your generals, what you missed in my point is that war pulls economies down, hope it is clear now...
 
Who can avert the future crises?

Ashraf Mumtaz | June 21, 2012 | 6

www.Thenation.pk
LAHORE – Most of the political parties appear to be changing their plans and strategies after the disqualification of Syed Yousuf Raza Gilani as prime minister. The shift in their positions is very clear.
When Mr Gilani was under court pressure to send a letter to the Swiss authorities to have cases against President Zardari reopened, he refused, saying that even his successor, who will be ‘my nominee’ will not do so.
But only 24 hours after his ouster, the PPP’s central executive committee and parliamentary party have given all powers to President Zardari to nominate the new candidate for the office of the chief executive. Mr Gilani will have no role in choosing the new ‘scapegoat’,*whose main duty in office will be to resist all efforts to claw the PPP co-chairman’s money back from the Swiss banks.
The PML-N has been demanding fresh elections, but on Wednesday it nominated former KP chief minister Mehtab Abbasi for the post of prime minister and started contacts with other parties, including those which are allies of the ruling PPP, to seek their support for him. These efforts show that the PML-N hopes it will be able to get their backing for its candidate.
The JUI-F, which remained part of the PPP-led coalition for about three years before parting ways as a mark of protest against the removal of its then minister Azam Swati along with Hamid Saeed Kazmi in Haj scam, is being approached afresh both by the PPP and the PML-N for future cooperation.* Maulana Fazlur Rehman, who has been working with the PPP governments even in the past but has never joined hands with the PML-N, will soon decide which side he is on. *
The MQM, which is an ally of the PPP, is also being approached by the PML-N, which had taken a policy decision a few years ago never to join hands with this party because of its past conduct. Despite that principled decision, this party had tried to take the MQM along several months ago, but failed.
The candidates for the office of the prime minister are to file nomination papers today – and election is scheduled for tomorrow.* By then it will become clear which party stands where.
But let’s try to analyse which party should adopt what course of action in the supreme national interest.
The parties which have welcomed the Supreme Court’s decision about the disqualification of Mr Gilani have, impliedly, supported the apex court’s order that a letter should be written to the Swiss authorities. There shouldn’t be any other interpretation of their statements.
This being so, they are left with no justification to continue to stand by the PPP in the coalition. And if they are still on the PPP’s side, then their statement in support of the SC order will sound hypocritical.
The PML-N is a party which is committed to bringing back President Zardari’s money from the Swiss banks.* Therefore, all other parties having representation in the National Assembly should support the PML-N’s candidate. In fact, if all non-PPP parties join hands, a new setup can be brought into being. If the top PML-N and the PML-Q leaders don’t make mutual cooperation an ego problem and shun petty differences for the greater good of the country, a change is round the corner.
And once a PML-N man, or a non-PML-N man is elected as prime minister with the supporter of other parties, it will be nothing short of a ‘soft revolution’.
Just imagine for a while the situation when President Zardari is in the presidency and a PML-N man is the prime minister. The president will be reduced to a figurehead, not allowed to use the Presidency for political activities of his party. (The Lahore High Court had stopped him from doing this, but he held a party meeting at the Presidency even yesterday). *
Working with a premier from a rival party will also make clear the real worth of a head of state under the 18th Amendment.
The major benefit of the PML-N prime minister in the prevailing situation will be that he will write a letter to the Swiss authorities without wasting a single minute.
Then the new head of government can also dissolve the National Assembly, or render a binding advice to the president to do so. This will pave the way for fresh elections, giving the PPP full opportunity to return to power on account of what they claim to be their ‘unmatched performance’.
A prime minister from some opposition party can save the country from the crises that will become unavoidable*in case some PPP man is in power.
It is no secret that a PPP prime minister will be required to defy the SC order about the Swiss letter. In case he goes by the party policy he will be disqualified by the apex court.*And in case he thinks of complying with the court instructions, he will be voted out by the party.
Whether the parties take care of their personal interests or that of the country will become clear during the next few days.
 
No better guys are availible, to vote send some of yours , LK advani! Will be accepted with open hearts.
Why do you need Advani, you seem like a good candidate when you care so much.. why don't you try Politics..
 
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