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Bank of America says PKR could devalue to Rs340/$
High domestic borrowing, unsustainable debt raise concerns over currency’s stability
Salman Siddiqui
July 06, 2023
Bank of America (BofA)Securities has predicted that Pakistan’s currency could devalue to Rs340 against the US dollar due to high domestic borrowing, substantial interest payments, and the need to restructure unsustainable debt in 2024 and 2025.
The Pakistani rupee closed at Rs277.41 against the US dollar in the interbank market on Wednesday, according to the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP).
BofA Securities expects inflation to remain high over the next few years, with a projection of 26% in FY24. They also anticipate that Pakistan’s central bank’s key policy rate may rise to 25% in the year, compared to the current rate of 22%.
The report suggests that the economy may grow by 2.5% in the year, falling short of the government’s target of 3.5% for FY24.